scholarly journals A More Accurate Estimation of Semiparametric Logistic Regression

Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (19) ◽  
pp. 2376
Author(s):  
Xia Zheng ◽  
Yaohua Rong ◽  
Ling Liu ◽  
Weihu Cheng

Growing interest in genomics research has called for new semiparametric models based on kernel machine regression for modeling health outcomes. Models containing redundant predictors often show unsatisfactory prediction performance. Thus, our task is to construct a method which can guarantee the estimation accuracy by removing redundant variables. Specifically, in this paper, based on the regularization method and an innovative class of garrotized kernel functions, we propose a novel penalized kernel machine method for a semiparametric logistic model. Our method can promise us high prediction accuracies, due to its capability of flexibly describing the complicated relationship between responses and predictors and its compatibility of the interactions among the predictors. In addition, our method can also remove the redundant variables. Our numerical experiments demonstrate that our method yields higher prediction accuracies compared to competing approaches.

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 324
Author(s):  
Haobin Jiang ◽  
Xijia Chen ◽  
Yifu Liu ◽  
Qian Zhao ◽  
Huanhuan Li ◽  
...  

Accurately estimating the online state-of-charge (SOC) of the battery is one of the crucial issues of the battery management system. In this paper, the gas–liquid dynamics (GLD) battery model with direct temperature input is selected to model Li(NiMnCo)O2 battery. The extended Kalman Filter (EKF) algorithm is elaborated to couple the offline model and online model to achieve the goal of quickly eliminating initial errors in the online SOC estimation. An implementation of the hybrid pulse power characterization test is performed to identify the offline parameters and determine the open-circuit voltage vs. SOC curve. Apart from the standard cycles including Constant Current cycle, Federal Urban Driving Schedule cycle, Urban Dynamometer Driving Schedule cycle and Dynamic Stress Test cycle, a combined cycle is constructed for experimental validation. Furthermore, the study of the effect of sampling time on estimation accuracy and the robustness analysis of the initial value are carried out. The results demonstrate that the proposed method realizes the accurate estimation of SOC with a maximum mean absolute error at 0.50% in five working conditions and shows strong robustness against the sparse sampling and input error.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 696
Author(s):  
Eun Ji Choi ◽  
Jin Woo Moon ◽  
Ji-hoon Han ◽  
Yongseok Yoo

The type of occupant activities is a significantly important factor to determine indoor thermal comfort; thus, an accurate method to estimate occupant activity needs to be developed. The purpose of this study was to develop a deep neural network (DNN) model for estimating the joint location of diverse human activities, which will be used to provide a comfortable thermal environment. The DNN model was trained with images to estimate 14 joints of a person performing 10 common indoor activities. The DNN contained numerous shortcut connections for efficient training and had two stages of sequential and parallel layers for accurate joint localization. Estimation accuracy was quantified using the mean squared error (MSE) for the estimated joints and the percentage of correct parts (PCP) for the body parts. The results show that the joint MSEs for the head and neck were lowest, and the PCP was highest for the torso. The PCP for individual activities ranged from 0.71 to 0.92, while typing and standing in a relaxed manner were the activities with the highest PCP. Estimation accuracy was higher for relatively still activities and lower for activities involving wide-ranging arm or leg motion. This study thus highlights the potential for the accurate estimation of occupant indoor activities by proposing a novel DNN model. This approach holds significant promise for finding the actual type of occupant activities and for use in target indoor applications related to thermal comfort in buildings.


Author(s):  
Chenyu Zhou ◽  
Liangyao Yu ◽  
Yong Li ◽  
Jian Song

Accurate estimation of sideslip angle is essential for vehicle stability control. For commercial vehicles, the estimation of sideslip angle is challenging due to severe load transfer and tire nonlinearity. This paper presents a robust sideslip angle observer of commercial vehicles based on identification of tire cornering stiffness. Since tire cornering stiffness of commercial vehicles is greatly affected by tire force and road adhesion coefficient, it cannot be treated as a constant. To estimate the cornering stiffness in real time, the neural network model constructed by Levenberg-Marquardt backpropagation (LMBP) algorithm is employed. LMBP is a fast convergent supervised learning algorithm, which combines the steepest descent method and gauss-newton method, and is widely used in system parameter estimation. LMBP does not rely on the mathematical model of the actual system when building the neural network. Therefore, when the mathematical model is difficult to establish, LMBP can play a very good role. Considering the complexity of tire modeling, this study adopted LMBP algorithm to estimate tire cornering stiffness, which have simplified the tire model and improved the estimation accuracy. Combined with neural network, A time-varying Kalman filter (TVKF) is designed to observe the sideslip angle of commercial vehicles. To validate the feasibility of the proposed estimation algorithm, multiple driving maneuvers under different road surface friction have been carried out. The test results show that the proposed method has better accuracy than the existing algorithm, and it’s robust over a wide range of driving conditions.


Agronomy ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (12) ◽  
pp. 2439
Author(s):  
Haixiao Ge ◽  
Fei Ma ◽  
Zhenwang Li ◽  
Changwen Du

The accurate estimation of grain yield in rice breeding is crucial for breeders to screen and select qualified cultivars. In this study, a low-cost unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV) platform mounted with an RGB camera was carried out to capture high-spatial resolution images of rice canopy in rice breeding. The random forest (RF) regression techniques were used to establish yield models by using (1) only color vegetation indices (VIs), (2) only phenological data, and (3) fusion of VIs and phenological data as inputs, respectively. Then, the performances of RF models were compared with the manual observation and CERES-Rice model. The results indicated that the RF model using VIs only performed poorly for estimating yield; the optimized RF model that combined the use of phenological data and color VIs performed much better, which demonstrated that the phenological data significantly improved the model performance. Furthermore, the yield estimation accuracy of 21 rice cultivars that were continuously planted over three years in the optimal RF model had no significant difference (p > 0.05) with that of the CERES-Rice model. These findings demonstrate that the RF model, by combining phenological data and color Vis, is a potential and cost-effective way to estimate yield in rice breeding.


Author(s):  
Toshiaki Jo ◽  
Hiroki Yamanaka

Environmental DNA (eDNA) analysis is a promising tool for non-disruptive and cost-efficient estimation of species abundance. However, its practical applicability in natural environments is limited because it is unclear whether eDNA concentrations actually represent species abundance in the field. Although the importance of accounting for eDNA dynamics, such as transport and degradation, has been discussed, the influences of eDNA characteristics, including production source and state, and methodology, including collection and quantification strategy and abundance metrics, on the accuracy of eDNA-based abundance estimation were entirely overlooked. We conducted a meta-analysis using 56 previous eDNA literature and investigated the relationships between the accuracy (R2) of eDNA-based abundance estimation and eDNA characteristics and methodology. Our meta-regression analysis found that R2 values were significantly lower for crustaceans than fish, suggesting that less frequent eDNA production owing to their external morphology and physiology may impede accurate estimation of their abundance via eDNA. Moreover, R2 values were positively associated with filter pore size, indicating that selective collection of larger-sized eDNA, which is typically fresher, could improve the estimation accuracy of species abundance. Furthermore, R2 values were significantly lower for natural than laboratory conditions, while there was no difference in the estimation accuracy among natural environments. Our findings shed a new light on the importance of what characteristics of eDNA should be targeted for more accurate estimation of species abundance. Further empirical studies are required to validate our findings and fully elucidate the relationship between eDNA characteristics and eDNA-based abundance estimation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (4) ◽  
pp. e2504 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shelley H. Liu ◽  
Jennifer F. Bobb ◽  
Birgit Claus Henn ◽  
Lourdes Schnaas ◽  
Martha M. Tellez-Rojo ◽  
...  

2016 ◽  
Vol 88 (6) ◽  
pp. 791-798
Author(s):  
Xiaogang Wang ◽  
Wutao Qin ◽  
Yuliang Bai ◽  
Naigang Cui

Purpose Penetrator plays an important role in the exploration of Moon and Mars. The navigation method is a key technology during the development of penetrator. To meet the high accuracy requirements of Moon penetrator, this paper aims to propose two kinds of navigation systems. Design/methodology/approach The line of sight of vision sensor between the penetrator and Moon orbiter could be utilized as the measurement during the navigation system design. However, the analysis of observability shows that the navigation system cannot estimate the position and velocity of penetrator, when the line of sight measurement is the only resource of information. Therefore, the Doppler measurement due to the relative motion between penetrator and the orbiter is used as the supplement. The other option is the relative range measurement between penetrator and the orbiter. The sigma-point Kalman Filtering is implemented to fuse the information from the vision sensor and Doppler or rangefinder. The observability of two navigation system is analyzed. Findings The sigma-point Kalman filtering could be used based on vision sensor and Doppler radar or laser rangefinder to give an accurate estimation of Moon penetrator position and velocity without increasing the payload of Moon penetrator or decreasing the estimation accuracy. However, the simulation result shows that the last method is better. The observability analysis also proves this conclusion. Practical implications Two navigation systems are proposed, and the simulations show that both systems can provide accurate estimation of states of penetrator. Originality/value Two navigation methods are proposed, and the observability of these navigation systems is analyzed. The sigma-point Kalman filtering is first introduced to the vision-based navigation system for Moon penetrator to provide precision navigation during the descent phase of Moon penetrator.


Circulation ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 143 (Suppl_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingyu Zhang ◽  
Tiange Liu ◽  
Guoying Wang ◽  
Jessie P Buckley ◽  
Eliseo Guallar ◽  
...  

Background: In utero exposure to metals lead (Pb), cadmium (Cd), and mercury (Hg) may be associated with higher childhood systolic blood pressure (SBP), while trace elements manganese (Mn) and selenium (Se) may have protective, antioxidant effects that modify metal-SBP associations. No study has examined how in utero co-exposure to these metals affect offspring SBP. Objectives: To examine the individual and joint effects of in utero exposure to Cd, Pb, Hg, Mn, and Se on offspring SBP. Methods: We used data from the Boston Birth Cohort (enrolled 2002-2013). We measured metals in maternal red blood cells collected 24-72 hours after delivery. We calculated child age-, sex-, and height-specific SBP percentile per 2017 American Academy of Pediatrics guidelines. We used linear regression models to estimate associations of each metal, and Bayesian kernel machine regression (BKMR) to examine metal co-exposures, with child SBP between 3 to 15 years of age. Results: Our analytic sample comprised 1194 mother-child pairs (61% Black, 20% Hispanic). Hg and Pb were not associated with child SBP. Se and Mn were inversely associated with child SBP: each log2(Se) and log2(Mn) increment was associated with a 6.23 (95% CI: 0.96-11.51) and a 2.62 (95% CI: 0.04-5.20) percentile lower child SBP, respectively. BKMR models showed similar results ( Panel A ). While Cd was not overall associated with child SBP, there was an antagonistic interaction between Cd and Mn (P-interaction = 0.036): the association of Mn and lower child SBP was stronger with higher levels of Cd ( Panel B ). Consistent with this finding, in utero exposure to cigarette smoke (a major source of Cd) modified the association of Mn and child SBP: among children born mothers who smoked cigarette in pregnancy, each log2(Mn) increment was associated with a 10.09 (95% CI: 2.15-18.03) percentile lower SBP ( Panel C ). Conclusion: Optimizing in utero Se levels, as well as Mn levels in pregnant women who had high Cd or smoked during pregnancy, may protect offspring from developing high BP during childhood.


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