scholarly journals Machine Learning Based Predictions of Dissolved Oxygen in a Small Coastal Embayment

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 1007
Author(s):  
Manuel Valera ◽  
Ryan K. Walter ◽  
Barbara A. Bailey ◽  
Jose E. Castillo

Coastal dissolved oxygen (DO) concentrations have a profound impact on nearshore ecosystems and, in recent years, there has been an increased prevalance of low DO hypoxic events that negatively impact nearshore organisms. Even with advanced numerical models, accurate prediction of coastal DO variability is challenging and computationally expensive. Here, we apply machine learning techniques in order to reconstruct and predict nearshore DO concentrations in a small coastal embayment while using a comprehensive set of nearshore and offshore measurements and easily measured input (training) parameters. We show that both random forest regression (RFR) and support vector regression (SVR) models accurately reproduce both the offshore DO and nearshore DO with extremely high accuracy. In general, RFR consistently peformed slightly better than SVR, the latter of which was more difficult to tune and took longer to train. Although each of the nearshore datasets were able to accurately predict DO values using training data from the same site, the model only had moderate success when using training data from one site to predict DO at another site, which was likely due to the the complexities in the underlying dynamics across the sites. We also show that high accuracy can be achieved with relatively little training data, highlighting a potential application for correcting time series with missing DO data due to quality control or sensor issues. This work establishes the ability of machine learning models to accurately reproduce DO concentrations in both offshore and nearshore coastal waters, with important implications for the ability to detect and indirectly measure coastal hypoxic events in near real-time. Future work should explore the ability of machine learning models in order to accurately forecast hypoxic events.

2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Moojung Kim ◽  
Young Jae Kim ◽  
Sung Jin Park ◽  
Kwang Gi Kim ◽  
Pyung Chun Oh ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Annual influenza vaccination is an important public health measure to prevent influenza infections and is strongly recommended for cardiovascular disease (CVD) patients, especially in the current coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. The aim of this study is to develop a machine learning model to identify Korean adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination Methods Adults with CVD (n = 815) from a nationally representative dataset of the Fifth Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES V) were analyzed. Among these adults, 500 (61.4%) had answered "yes" to whether they had received seasonal influenza vaccinations in the past 12 months. The classification process was performed using the logistic regression (LR), random forest (RF), support vector machine (SVM), and extreme gradient boosting (XGB) machine learning techniques. Because the Ministry of Health and Welfare in Korea offers free influenza immunization for the elderly, separate models were developed for the < 65 and ≥ 65 age groups. Results The accuracy of machine learning models using 16 variables as predictors of low influenza vaccination adherence was compared; for the ≥ 65 age group, XGB (84.7%) and RF (84.7%) have the best accuracies, followed by LR (82.7%) and SVM (77.6%). For the < 65 age group, SVM has the best accuracy (68.4%), followed by RF (64.9%), LR (63.2%), and XGB (61.4%). Conclusions The machine leaning models show comparable performance in classifying adult CVD patients with low adherence to influenza vaccination.


Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (21) ◽  
pp. 6019
Author(s):  
José Manuel Lozano Domínguez ◽  
Faroq Al-Tam ◽  
Tomás de J. Mateo Sanguino ◽  
Noélia Correia

Improving road safety through artificial intelligence-based systems is now crucial turning smart cities into a reality. Under this highly relevant and extensive heading, an approach is proposed to improve vehicle detection in smart crosswalks using machine learning models. Contrarily to classic fuzzy classifiers, machine learning models do not require the readjustment of labels that depend on the location of the system and the road conditions. Several machine learning models were trained and tested using real traffic data taken from urban scenarios in both Portugal and Spain. These include random forest, time-series forecasting, multi-layer perceptron, support vector machine, and logistic regression models. A deep reinforcement learning agent, based on a state-of-the-art double-deep recurrent Q-network, is also designed and compared with the machine learning models just mentioned. Results show that the machine learning models can efficiently replace the classic fuzzy classifier.


Geosciences ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 265
Author(s):  
Stefan Rauter ◽  
Franz Tschuchnigg

The classification of soils into categories with a similar range of properties is a fundamental geotechnical engineering procedure. At present, this classification is based on various types of cost- and time-intensive laboratory and/or in situ tests. These soil investigations are essential for each individual construction site and have to be performed prior to the design of a project. Since Machine Learning could play a key role in reducing the costs and time needed for a suitable site investigation program, the basic ability of Machine Learning models to classify soils from Cone Penetration Tests (CPT) is evaluated. To find an appropriate classification model, 24 different Machine Learning models, based on three different algorithms, are built and trained on a dataset consisting of 1339 CPT. The applied algorithms are a Support Vector Machine, an Artificial Neural Network and a Random Forest. As input features, different combinations of direct cone penetration test data (tip resistance qc, sleeve friction fs, friction ratio Rf, depth d), combined with “defined”, thus, not directly measured data (total vertical stresses σv, effective vertical stresses σ’v and hydrostatic pore pressure u0), are used. Standard soil classes based on grain size distributions and soil classes based on soil behavior types according to Robertson are applied as targets. The different models are compared with respect to their prediction performance and the required learning time. The best results for all targets were obtained with models using a Random Forest classifier. For the soil classes based on grain size distribution, an accuracy of about 75%, and for soil classes according to Robertson, an accuracy of about 97–99%, was reached.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2 (2) ◽  
pp. 106-119
Author(s):  
Subasish Das ◽  
Minh Le ◽  
Boya Dai

Abstract Crash occurrence is a complex phenomenon, and crashes associated with pedestrians and bicyclists are even more complex. Furthermore, pedestrian- and bicyclist-involved crashes are typically not reported in detail in state or national crash databases. To address this issue, developers created the Pedestrian and Bicycle Crash Analysis Tool (PBCAT). However, it is labour-intensive to manually identify the types of pedestrian and bicycle crash from crash-narrative reports and to classify different crash attributes from the textual content of police reports. Therefore, there is a need for a supporting tool that can assist practitioners in using PBCAT more efficiently and accurately. The objective of this study is to develop a framework for applying machine-learning models to classify crash types from unstructured textual content. In this study, the research team collected pedestrian crash-typing data from two locations in Texas. The XGBoost model was found to be the best classifier. The high prediction power of the XGBoost classifiers indicates that this machine-learning technique was able to classify pedestrian crash types with the highest accuracy rate (up to 77% for training data and 72% for test data). The findings demonstrate that advanced machine-learning models can extract underlying patterns and trends of crash mechanisms. This provides the basis for applying machine-learning techniques in addressing the crash typing issues associated with non-motorist crashes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. T309-T321
Author(s):  
Fan Peng ◽  
Suping Peng ◽  
Wenfeng Du ◽  
Hongshuan Liu

Accurate measurement of coalbed methane (CBM) content is the foundation for CBM resource exploration and development. Machine-learning techniques can help address CBM content prediction tasks. Due to the small amount of actual measurement data and the shallow model structure, however, the results from traditional machine-learning models have errors to some extent. We have developed a deep belief network (DBN)-based model with the input as continuous real values and the activation function as the rectified linear unit. We first calculated a variety of seismic attributes of the target coal seam to highlight the features of the coal seam, then we preprocessed the original attribute features, and finally developed the performance of the DBN model using the preprocessed features. We used 23,374 training data to train our model, 23,240 for pretraining, and 134 for fine-tuning. For the purpose of demonstrating the advantages of the DBN model, we compared it with two typical machine-learning models, including the multilayer perceptron model and the support vector regression model. These two models were trained based on the same labeled training data. The results, obtained from different models, indicated that the DBN model has the least error, which means that it is more accurate than the other two models when used to predict CBM content.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 1081
Author(s):  
Spyros Theocharides ◽  
Marios Theristis ◽  
George Makrides ◽  
Marios Kynigos ◽  
Chrysovalantis Spanias ◽  
...  

A main challenge for integrating the intermittent photovoltaic (PV) power generation remains the accuracy of day-ahead forecasts and the establishment of robust performing methods. The purpose of this work is to address these technological challenges by evaluating the day-ahead PV production forecasting performance of different machine learning models under different supervised learning regimes and minimal input features. Specifically, the day-ahead forecasting capability of Bayesian neural network (BNN), support vector regression (SVR), and regression tree (RT) models was investigated by employing the same dataset for training and performance verification, thus enabling a valid comparison. The training regime analysis demonstrated that the performance of the investigated models was strongly dependent on the timeframe of the train set, training data sequence, and application of irradiance condition filters. Furthermore, accurate results were obtained utilizing only the measured power output and other calculated parameters for training. Consequently, useful information is provided for establishing a robust day-ahead forecasting methodology that utilizes calculated input parameters and an optimal supervised learning approach. Finally, the obtained results demonstrated that the optimally constructed BNN outperformed all other machine learning models achieving forecasting accuracies lower than 5%.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (16) ◽  
pp. 2655 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hugo Crisóstomo de Castro Filho ◽  
Osmar Abílio de Carvalho Júnior ◽  
Osmar Luiz Ferreira de Carvalho ◽  
Pablo Pozzobon de Bem ◽  
Rebeca dos Santos de Moura ◽  
...  

The Synthetic Aperture Radar (SAR) time series allows describing the rice phenological cycle by the backscattering time signature. Therefore, the advent of the Copernicus Sentinel-1 program expands studies of radar data (C-band) for rice monitoring at regional scales, due to the high temporal resolution and free data distribution. Recurrent Neural Network (RNN) model has reached state-of-the-art in the pattern recognition of time-sequenced data, obtaining a significant advantage at crop classification on the remote sensing images. One of the most used approaches in the RNN model is the Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) model and its improvements, such as Bidirectional LSTM (Bi-LSTM). Bi-LSTM models are more effective as their output depends on the previous and the next segment, in contrast to the unidirectional LSTM models. The present research aims to map rice crops from Sentinel-1 time series (band C) using LSTM and Bi-LSTM models in West Rio Grande do Sul (Brazil). We compared the results with traditional Machine Learning techniques: Support Vector Machines (SVM), Random Forest (RF), k-Nearest Neighbors (k-NN), and Normal Bayes (NB). The developed methodology can be subdivided into the following steps: (a) acquisition of the Sentinel time series over two years; (b) data pre-processing and minimizing noise from 3D spatial-temporal filters and smoothing with Savitzky-Golay filter; (c) time series classification procedures; (d) accuracy analysis and comparison among the methods. The results show high overall accuracy and Kappa (>97% for all methods and metrics). Bi-LSTM was the best model, presenting statistical differences in the McNemar test with a significance of 0.05. However, LSTM and Traditional Machine Learning models also achieved high accuracy values. The study establishes an adequate methodology for mapping the rice crops in West Rio Grande do Sul.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Md Abir Hossen ◽  
Prasoon K Diwakar ◽  
Shankarachary Ragi

Abstract Measuring soil health indicators is an important and challenging task that affects farmers’ decisions on timing, placement, and quantity of fertilizers applied in the farms. Most existing methods to measure soil health indicators (SHIs) are in-lab wet chemistry or spectroscopy-based methods, which require significant human input and effort, time-consuming, costly, and are low-throughput in nature. To address this challenge, we develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-driven near real-time unmanned aerial vehicle (UAV)-based multispectral sensing (UMS) solution to estimate total nitrogen (TN) of the soil, an important macro-nutrient or SHI that directly affects the crop health. Accurate prediction of soil TN can significantly increase crop yield through informed decision making on the timing of seed planting, and fertilizer quantity and timing. We train two machine learning models including multi-layer perceptron and support vector machine to predict the soil nitrogen using a suite of data classes including multispectral characteristics of the soil and crops in red, near-infrared, and green spectral bands, computed vegetation indices, and environmental variables including air temperature and relative humidity. To generate the ground-truth data or the training data for the machine learning models, we measure the total nitrogen of the soil samples (collected from a farm) using laser-induced breakdown spectroscopy (LIBS).


2021 ◽  
Vol 12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yameng Wang ◽  
Jingying Wang ◽  
Xiaoqian Liu ◽  
Tingshao Zhu

While depression is one of the most common mental disorders affecting more than 300 million people across the world, it is often left undiagnosed. This paper investigated the association between depression and gait characteristics with the aim to assist in diagnosing depression. Our dataset consisted of 121 healthy people and 126 patients with depression who diagnosed by psychiatrists according to the Diagnostic and Statistical Manual of Mental Disorders. Spatiotemporal, temporal-domain, and frequency-domain features were extracted based on the walking data of 247 participants recorded by Microsoft Kinect (Version 2). Multiple logistic regression was used to analyze the variance of spatiotemporal (12.55%), time-domain (58.36%), and frequency-domain features (60.71%) on recognizing depression based on Nagelkerke's R2 measure, respectively. The contributions of the different types of features were further explored by building machine learning models by using support vector machine algorithm. All the combinations of the three types of gait features were used as training data of machine learning models, respectively. The results showed that the model trained using only time- and frequency-domain features demonstrated the same best performance compared to the model trained using all the features (sensitivity = 0.94, specificity = 0.91, and AUC = 0.93). These results indicated that depression could be effectively recognized through gait analysis. This approach is a step forward toward developing low-cost, non-intrusive solutions for real-time depression recognition.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 12461
Author(s):  
Chih-Chang Yu ◽  
Yufeng (Leon) Wu

While the use of deep neural networks is popular for predicting students’ learning outcomes, convolutional neural network (CNN)-based methods are used more often. Such methods require numerous features, training data, or multiple models to achieve week-by-week predictions. However, many current learning management systems (LMSs) operated by colleges cannot provide adequate information. To make the system more feasible, this article proposes a recurrent neural network (RNN)-based framework to identify at-risk students who might fail the course using only a few common learning features. RNN-based methods can be more effective than CNN-based methods in identifying at-risk students due to their ability to memorize time-series features. The data used in this study were collected from an online course that teaches artificial intelligence (AI) at a university in northern Taiwan. Common features, such as the number of logins, number of posts and number of homework assignments submitted, are considered to train the model. This study compares the prediction results of the RNN model with the following conventional machine learning models: logistic regression, support vector machines, decision trees and random forests. This work also compares the performance of the RNN model with two neural network-based models: the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and a CNN-based model. The experimental results demonstrate that the RNN model used in this study is better than conventional machine learning models and the MLP in terms of F-score, while achieving similar performance to the CNN-based model with fewer parameters. Our study shows that the designed RNN model can identify at-risk students once one-third of the semester has passed. Some future directions are also discussed.


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