scholarly journals Early Warning System for Online STEM Learning—A Slimmer Approach Using Recurrent Neural Networks

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (22) ◽  
pp. 12461
Author(s):  
Chih-Chang Yu ◽  
Yufeng (Leon) Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
At Risk ◽  
At Risk Students ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Conventional Machine ◽  
Machine Learning Models

While the use of deep neural networks is popular for predicting students’ learning outcomes, convolutional neural network (CNN)-based methods are used more often. Such methods require numerous features, training data, or multiple models to achieve week-by-week predictions. However, many current learning management systems (LMSs) operated by colleges cannot provide adequate information. To make the system more feasible, this article proposes a recurrent neural network (RNN)-based framework to identify at-risk students who might fail the course using only a few common learning features. RNN-based methods can be more effective than CNN-based methods in identifying at-risk students due to their ability to memorize time-series features. The data used in this study were collected from an online course that teaches artificial intelligence (AI) at a university in northern Taiwan. Common features, such as the number of logins, number of posts and number of homework assignments submitted, are considered to train the model. This study compares the prediction results of the RNN model with the following conventional machine learning models: logistic regression, support vector machines, decision trees and random forests. This work also compares the performance of the RNN model with two neural network-based models: the multi-layer perceptron (MLP) and a CNN-based model. The experimental results demonstrate that the RNN model used in this study is better than conventional machine learning models and the MLP in terms of F-score, while achieving similar performance to the CNN-based model with fewer parameters. Our study shows that the designed RNN model can identify at-risk students once one-third of the semester has passed. Some future directions are also discussed.

scholarly journals Learning to Identify At-Risk Students in Distance Education Using Interaction Counts

2016 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 124 ◽  
Author(s):  
Douglas Detoni ◽  
Cristian Cechinel ◽  
Ricardo Araujo Matsumura ◽  
Daniela Francisco Brauner
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
At Risk ◽  
At Risk Students ◽  
Drop Out ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Student Dropout ◽  
Vector Machines ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Student dropout is one of the main problems faced by distance learning courses. One of the major challenges for researchers is to develop methods to predict the behavior of students so that teachers and tutors are able to identify at-risk students as early as possible and provide assistance before they drop out or fail in their courses. Machine Learning models have been used to predict or classify students in these settings. However, while these models have shown promising results in several settings, they usually attain these results using attributes that are not immediately transferable to other courses or platforms. In this paper, we provide a methodology to classify students using only interaction counts from each student. We evaluate this methodology on a data set from two majors based on the Moodle platform. We run experiments consisting of training and evaluating three machine learning models (Support Vector Machines, Naive Bayes and Adaboost decision trees) under different scenarios. We provide evidences that patterns from interaction counts can provide useful information for classifying at-risk students. This classification allows the customization of the activities presented to at-risk students (automatically or through tutors) as an attempt to avoid students drop out.

scholarly journals Predicting S&P 500 Market Price by Deep Neural Network and Enemble Model

2020 ◽  
Vol 214 ◽  
pp. 02040
Author(s):  
Feiyu Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Linear Regression ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Conventional Machine ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The method to predict the movement of stock market has appealed to scientists for decades. In this article, we use three different models to tackle that problem. In particular, we propose a Deep Neural Network (DNN) to predict the intraday direction of SP500 index and compare the DNN with two conventional machine learning models, i.e. linear regression, support vector machine. We demonstrate that DNN is able to predict SP500 index with relatively highest accuracy.

scholarly journals Convolutional Neural Networks for Challenges in Automated Nuclide Identification

Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (15) ◽  
pp. 5238
Author(s):  
Anthony N. Turner ◽  
Carl Wheldon ◽  
Tzany Kokalova Wheldon ◽  
Mark R. Gilbert ◽  
Lee W. Packer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Significant Gain ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Isotope Identification ◽  
Close Source ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Improvements in Radio-Isotope IDentification (RIID) algorithms have seen a resurgence in interest with the increased accessibility of machine learning models. Convolutional Neural Network (CNN)-based models have been developed to identify arbitrary mixtures of unstable nuclides from gamma spectra. In service of this, methods for the simulation and pre-processing of training data were also developed. The implementation of 1D multi-class, multi-label CNNs demonstrated good generalisation to real spectra with poor statistics and significant gain shifts. It is also shown that even basic CNN architectures prove reliable for RIID under the challenging conditions of heavy shielding and close source geometries, and may be extended to generalised solutions for pragmatic RIID.

414 Deep Neural Networks: A Survey Tool for Obstructive Sleep Apnea Prediction

SLEEP ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 44 (Supplement_2) ◽  
pp. A164-A164
Author(s):  
Pahnwat Taweesedt ◽  
JungYoon Kim ◽  
Jaehyun Park ◽  
Jangwoon Park ◽  
Munish Sharma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Obstructive Sleep Apnea ◽  
Sleep Apnea ◽  
Deep Neural Networks ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Obstructive Sleep ◽  
Screening Questionnaires ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Abstract Introduction Obstructive sleep apnea (OSA) is a common sleep-related breathing disorder with an estimation of one billion people. Full-night polysomnography is considered the gold standard for OSA diagnosis. However, it is time-consuming, expensive and is not readily available in many parts of the world. Many screening questionnaires and scores have been proposed for OSA prediction with high sensitivity and low specificity. The present study is intended to develop models with various machine learning techniques to predict the severity of OSA by incorporating features from multiple questionnaires. Methods Subjects who underwent full-night polysomnography in Torr sleep center, Texas and completed 5 OSA screening questionnaires/scores were included. OSA was diagnosed by using Apnea-Hypopnea Index ≥ 5. We trained five different machine learning models including Deep Neural Networks with the scaled principal component analysis (DNN-PCA), Random Forest (RF), Adaptive Boosting classifier (ABC), and K-Nearest Neighbors classifier (KNC) and Support Vector Machine Classifier (SVMC). Training:Testing subject ratio of 65:35 was used. All features including demographic data, body measurement, snoring and sleepiness history were obtained from 5 OSA screening questionnaires/scores (STOP-BANG questionnaires, Berlin questionnaires, NoSAS score, NAMES score and No-Apnea score). Performance parametrics were used to compare between machine learning models. Results Of 180 subjects, 51.5 % of subjects were male with mean (SD) age of 53.6 (15.1). One hundred and nineteen subjects were diagnosed with OSA. Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic Curve (AUROC) of DNN-PCA, RF, ABC, KNC, SVMC, STOP-BANG questionnaire, Berlin questionnaire, NoSAS score, NAMES score, and No-Apnea score were 0.85, 0.68, 0.52, 0.74, 0.75, 0.61, 0.63, 0,61, 0.58 and 0,58 respectively. DNN-PCA showed the highest AUROC with sensitivity of 0.79, specificity of 0.67, positive-predictivity of 0.93, F1 score of 0.86, and accuracy of 0.77. Conclusion Our result showed that DNN-PCA outperforms OSA screening questionnaires, scores and other machine learning models. Support (if any):

Building-damage detection method based on machine learning utilizing aerial photographs of the Kumamoto earthquake

2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (3) ◽  
pp. 1166-1187 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shohei Naito ◽  
Hiromitsu Tomozawa ◽  
Yuji Mori ◽  
Takeshi Nagata ◽  
Naokazu Monma ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Convolutional Neural Network ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Aerial Photographs ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Visual Interpretation ◽  
Damage Classification ◽  
Kumamoto Earthquake ◽  
Machine Learning Models

This article presents a method for detecting damaged buildings in the event of an earthquake using machine learning models and aerial photographs. We initially created training data for machine learning models using aerial photographs captured around the town of Mashiki immediately after the main shock of the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake. All buildings are classified into one of the four damage levels by visual interpretation. Subsequently, two damage discrimination models are developed: a bag-of-visual-words model and a model based on a convolutional neural network. Results are compared and validated in terms of accuracy, revealing that the latter model is preferable. Moreover, for the convolutional neural network model, the target areas are expanded and the recalls of damage classification at the four levels range approximately from 66% to 81%.

scholarly journals Chained Anomaly Detection Models for Federated Learning: An Intrusion Detection Case Study

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (12) ◽  
pp. 2663 ◽  
Author(s):  
Davy Preuveneers ◽  
Vera Rimmer ◽  
Ilias Tsingenopoulos ◽  
Jan Spooren ◽  
Wouter Joosen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Intrusion Detection ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Traditional System ◽  
Blockchain Technology ◽  
Malicious Behavior ◽  
Machine Learning Models

The adoption of machine learning and deep learning is on the rise in the cybersecurity domain where these AI methods help strengthen traditional system monitoring and threat detection solutions. However, adversaries too are becoming more effective in concealing malicious behavior amongst large amounts of benign behavior data. To address the increasing time-to-detection of these stealthy attacks, interconnected and federated learning systems can improve the detection of malicious behavior by joining forces and pooling together monitoring data. The major challenge that we address in this work is that in a federated learning setup, an adversary has many more opportunities to poison one of the local machine learning models with malicious training samples, thereby influencing the outcome of the federated learning and evading detection. We present a solution where contributing parties in federated learning can be held accountable and have their model updates audited. We describe a permissioned blockchain-based federated learning method where incremental updates to an anomaly detection machine learning model are chained together on the distributed ledger. By integrating federated learning with blockchain technology, our solution supports the auditing of machine learning models without the necessity to centralize the training data. Experiments with a realistic intrusion detection use case and an autoencoder for anomaly detection illustrate that the increased complexity caused by blockchain technology has a limited performance impact on the federated learning, varying between 5 and 15%, while providing full transparency over the distributed training process of the neural network. Furthermore, our blockchain-based federated learning solution can be generalized and applied to more sophisticated neural network architectures and other use cases.

scholarly journals Fraudulent Face Image Detection

2020 ◽  
Vol 32 ◽  
pp. 03005
Author(s):  
Rahul Awhad ◽  
Saurabh Jayswal ◽  
Adesh More ◽  
Jyoti Kundale
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Face Image ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Image Detection ◽  
Software Applications ◽  
Support Vector Classifier ◽  
The Face ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Due to the growing advancements in technology, many software applications are being developed to modify and edit images. Such software can be used to alter images. Nowadays, an altered image is so realistic that it becomes too difficult for a person to identify whether the image is fake or real. Such software applications can be used to alter the image of a person’s face also. So, it becomes very difficult to identify whether the image of the face is real or not. Our proposed system is used to identify whether the image of a face is fake or real. The proposed system makes use of machine learning. The system makes use of a convolution neural network and support vector classifier. Both these machine learning models are trained using real as well as fake images. Both these trained models will take an image as an input and will determine whether the image is fake or real.

scholarly journals Machine learning model for predicting the optimal depth of tracheal tube insertion in pediatric patients: A retrospective cohort study

PLoS ONE ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (9) ◽  
pp. e0257069
Author(s):  
Jae-Geum Shim ◽  
Kyoung-Ho Ryu ◽  
Sung Hyun Lee ◽  
Eun-Ah Cho ◽  
Sungho Lee ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Machine Learning ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Tracheal Tube ◽  
Pediatric Patients ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Objective To construct a prediction model for optimal tracheal tube depth in pediatric patients using machine learning. Methods Pediatric patients aged <7 years who received post-operative ventilation after undergoing surgery between January 2015 and December 2018 were investigated in this retrospective study. The optimal location of the tracheal tube was defined as the median of the distance between the upper margin of the first thoracic(T1) vertebral body and the lower margin of the third thoracic(T3) vertebral body. We applied four machine learning models: random forest, elastic net, support vector machine, and artificial neural network and compared their prediction accuracy to three formula-based methods, which were based on age, height, and tracheal tube internal diameter(ID). Results For each method, the percentage with optimal tracheal tube depth predictions in the test set was calculated as follows: 79.0 (95% confidence interval [CI], 73.5 to 83.6) for random forest, 77.4 (95% CI, 71.8 to 82.2; P = 0.719) for elastic net, 77.0 (95% CI, 71.4 to 81.8; P = 0.486) for support vector machine, 76.6 (95% CI, 71.0 to 81.5; P = 1.0) for artificial neural network, 66.9 (95% CI, 60.9 to 72.5; P < 0.001) for the age-based formula, 58.5 (95% CI, 52.3 to 64.4; P< 0.001) for the tube ID-based formula, and 44.4 (95% CI, 38.3 to 50.6; P < 0.001) for the height-based formula. Conclusions In this study, the machine learning models predicted the optimal tracheal tube tip location for pediatric patients more accurately than the formula-based methods. Machine learning models using biometric variables may help clinicians make decisions regarding optimal tracheal tube depth in pediatric patients.

Coalbed methane content prediction using deep belief network

2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. T309-T321
Author(s):  
Fan Peng ◽  
Suping Peng ◽  
Wenfeng Du ◽  
Hongshuan Liu
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Coal Seam ◽  
Coalbed Methane ◽  
Deep Belief Network ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Fine Tuning ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Belief Network ◽  
Machine Learning Models

Accurate measurement of coalbed methane (CBM) content is the foundation for CBM resource exploration and development. Machine-learning techniques can help address CBM content prediction tasks. Due to the small amount of actual measurement data and the shallow model structure, however, the results from traditional machine-learning models have errors to some extent. We have developed a deep belief network (DBN)-based model with the input as continuous real values and the activation function as the rectified linear unit. We first calculated a variety of seismic attributes of the target coal seam to highlight the features of the coal seam, then we preprocessed the original attribute features, and finally developed the performance of the DBN model using the preprocessed features. We used 23,374 training data to train our model, 23,240 for pretraining, and 134 for fine-tuning. For the purpose of demonstrating the advantages of the DBN model, we compared it with two typical machine-learning models, including the multilayer perceptron model and the support vector regression model. These two models were trained based on the same labeled training data. The results, obtained from different models, indicated that the DBN model has the least error, which means that it is more accurate than the other two models when used to predict CBM content.

scholarly journals Comparative Analysis of Machine Learning Models for Day-Ahead Photovoltaic Power Production Forecasting

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 1081
Author(s):  
Spyros Theocharides ◽  
Marios Theristis ◽  
George Makrides ◽  
Marios Kynigos ◽  
Chrysovalantis Spanias ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Supervised Learning ◽  
Regression Tree ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Learning Models ◽  
Bayesian Neural Network ◽  
Production Forecasting ◽  
Main Challenge ◽  
Machine Learning Models

A main challenge for integrating the intermittent photovoltaic (PV) power generation remains the accuracy of day-ahead forecasts and the establishment of robust performing methods. The purpose of this work is to address these technological challenges by evaluating the day-ahead PV production forecasting performance of different machine learning models under different supervised learning regimes and minimal input features. Specifically, the day-ahead forecasting capability of Bayesian neural network (BNN), support vector regression (SVR), and regression tree (RT) models was investigated by employing the same dataset for training and performance verification, thus enabling a valid comparison. The training regime analysis demonstrated that the performance of the investigated models was strongly dependent on the timeframe of the train set, training data sequence, and application of irradiance condition filters. Furthermore, accurate results were obtained utilizing only the measured power output and other calculated parameters for training. Consequently, useful information is provided for establishing a robust day-ahead forecasting methodology that utilizes calculated input parameters and an optimal supervised learning approach. Finally, the obtained results demonstrated that the optimally constructed BNN outperformed all other machine learning models achieving forecasting accuracies lower than 5%.

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