scholarly journals A Novel Approach for Classification and Forecasting of Time Series in Particle Accelerators

Information ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 121
Author(s):  
Sichen Li ◽  
Mélissa Zacharias ◽  
Jochem Snuverink ◽  
Jaime Coello de Portugal ◽  
Fernando Perez-Cruz ◽  
...  

The beam interruptions (interlocks) of particle accelerators, despite being necessary safety measures, lead to abrupt operational changes and a substantial loss of beam time. A novel time series classification approach is applied to decrease beam time loss in the High-Intensity Proton Accelerator complex by forecasting interlock events. The forecasting is performed through binary classification of windows of multivariate time series. The time series are transformed into Recurrence Plots which are then classified by a Convolutional Neural Network, which not only captures the inner structure of the time series but also uses the advances of image classification techniques. Our best-performing interlock-to-stable classifier reaches an Area under the ROC Curve value of 0.71±0.01 compared to 0.65±0.01 of a Random Forest model, and it can potentially reduce the beam time loss by 0.5±0.2 s per interlock.

2020 ◽  
Vol 11 (8-2020) ◽  
pp. 176-178
Author(s):  
B.S. Darkhovsky ◽  
◽  
Y.A. Dubnov ◽  
A.Y. Popkov ◽  
◽  
...  

This work is devoted to a new model-free approach to a problem of binary classification of multivariate time-series. The approach is based on the original theory of epsilon-complexity which allows almost every mapping that satisfies Hoelder condition, be characterized by a pair of real numbers –complexity coefficients. Thus we can form a feature space in which a classification problem can be formulated and solved. We provide an example of classification of real EEG signals.


2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (147) ◽  
pp. 20180695 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simone Cenci ◽  
Serguei Saavedra

Biotic interactions are expected to play a major role in shaping the dynamics of ecological systems. Yet, quantifying the effects of biotic interactions has been challenging due to a lack of appropriate methods to extract accurate measurements of interaction parameters from experimental data. One of the main limitations of existing methods is that the parameters inferred from noisy, sparsely sampled, nonlinear data are seldom uniquely identifiable. That is, many different parameters can be compatible with the same dataset and can generalize to independent data equally well. Hence, it is difficult to justify conclusive assertions about the effect of biotic interactions without information about their associated uncertainty. Here, we develop an ensemble method based on model averaging to quantify the uncertainty associated with the effect of biotic interactions on community dynamics from non-equilibrium ecological time-series data. Our method is able to detect the most informative time intervals for each biotic interaction within a multivariate time series and can be easily adapted to different regression schemes. Overall, this novel approach can be used to associate a time-dependent uncertainty with the effect of biotic interactions. Moreover, because we quantify uncertainty with minimal assumptions about the data-generating process, our approach can be applied to any data for which interactions among variables strongly affect the overall dynamics of the system.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (11) ◽  
pp. 1751 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abderrahim Nemmaoui ◽  
Manuel A. Aguilar ◽  
Fernando J. Aguilar ◽  
Antonio Novelli ◽  
Andrés García Lorca

A workflow headed up to identify crops growing under plastic-covered greenhouses (PCG) and based on multi-temporal and multi-sensor satellite data is developed in this article. This workflow is made up of four steps: (i) data pre-processing, (ii) PCG segmentation, (iii) binary pre-classification between greenhouses and non-greenhouses, and (iv) classification of horticultural crops under greenhouses regarding two agronomic seasons (autumn and spring). The segmentation stage was carried out by applying a multi-resolution segmentation algorithm on the pre-processed WorldView-2 data. The free access AssesSeg command line tool was used to determine the more suitable multi-resolution algorithm parameters. Two decision tree models mainly based on the Plastic Greenhouse Index were developed to perform greenhouse/non-greenhouse binary classification from Landsat 8 and Sentinel-2A time series, attaining overall accuracies of 92.65% and 93.97%, respectively. With regards to the classification of crops under PCG, pepper in autumn, and melon and watermelon in spring provided the best results (Fβ around 84% and 95%, respectively). Data from the Sentinel-2A time series showed slightly better accuracies than those from Landsat 8.


Sensors ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 21 (21) ◽  
pp. 7417
Author(s):  
Alex J. Hope ◽  
Utkarsh Vashisth ◽  
Matthew J. Parker ◽  
Andreas B. Ralston ◽  
Joshua M. Roper ◽  
...  

Concussion injuries remain a significant public health challenge. A significant unmet clinical need remains for tools that allow related physiological impairments and longer-term health risks to be identified earlier, better quantified, and more easily monitored over time. We address this challenge by combining a head-mounted wearable inertial motion unit (IMU)-based physiological vibration acceleration (“phybrata”) sensor and several candidate machine learning (ML) models. The performance of this solution is assessed for both binary classification of concussion patients and multiclass predictions of specific concussion-related neurophysiological impairments. Results are compared with previously reported approaches to ML-based concussion diagnostics. Using phybrata data from a previously reported concussion study population, four different machine learning models (Support Vector Machine, Random Forest Classifier, Extreme Gradient Boost, and Convolutional Neural Network) are first investigated for binary classification of the test population as healthy vs. concussion (Use Case 1). Results are compared for two different data preprocessing pipelines, Time-Series Averaging (TSA) and Non-Time-Series Feature Extraction (NTS). Next, the three best-performing NTS models are compared in terms of their multiclass prediction performance for specific concussion-related impairments: vestibular, neurological, both (Use Case 2). For Use Case 1, the NTS model approach outperformed the TSA approach, with the two best algorithms achieving an F1 score of 0.94. For Use Case 2, the NTS Random Forest model achieved the best performance in the testing set, with an F1 score of 0.90, and identified a wider range of relevant phybrata signal features that contributed to impairment classification compared with manual feature inspection and statistical data analysis. The overall classification performance achieved in the present work exceeds previously reported approaches to ML-based concussion diagnostics using other data sources and ML models. This study also demonstrates the first combination of a wearable IMU-based sensor and ML model that enables both binary classification of concussion patients and multiclass predictions of specific concussion-related neurophysiological impairments.


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