scholarly journals Predicting Future Locations of Moving Objects by Recurrent Mixture Density Network

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 116
Author(s):  
Rui Chen ◽  
Mingjian Chen ◽  
Wanli Li ◽  
Naikun Guo
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Moving Objects ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Performance Comparison ◽  
Parameter Analysis ◽  
Location Prediction ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Mixture Density

Accurate and timely location prediction of moving objects is crucial for intelligent transportation systems and traffic management. In recent years, ubiquitous location acquisition technologies have provided the opportunity for mining knowledge from trajectories, making location prediction and real-time decisions more feasible. Previous location prediction methods have mostly developed on the basis of shallow models whereas shallow models are not competent for some tricky challenges such as multi-time-step location coordinates prediction. Motivated by the current study status, we are dedicated to a deep-learning-based approach to predict the coordinates of several future locations of moving objects based on recent trajectory records. The method of this work consists of three successive parts: trajectory preprocessing, prediction model construction, and post-processing. In this work, a prediction model named the bidirectional recurrent mixture density network (BiRMDN) was constructed by integrating the long short-term memory (LSTM) and mixture density network (MDN) together. This model has the ability to learn long-term contextual information from recent trajectory and model real-valued location coordinates. We employed a vessel trajectory dataset for the implementation of this approach and determined the optimal model configuration after several parameter analysis experiments. Experimental results involving a performance comparison with other widely used methods demonstrate the superiority of the BiRMDN model.

scholarly journals A Novel Algorithm Based on the Pixel-Entropy for Automatic Detection of Number of Lanes, Lane Centers, and Lane Division Lines Formation

Entropy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (10) ◽  
pp. 725 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fernando Hermosillo-Reynoso ◽  
Deni Torres-Roman ◽  
Jayro Santiago-Paz ◽  
Julio Ramirez-Pacheco
Keyword(s):  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Moving Objects ◽  
Color Space ◽  
Automatic Detection ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Lane Detection ◽  
Computational Time ◽  
The Road

Lane detection for traffic surveillance in intelligent transportation systems is a challenge for vision-based systems. In this paper, a novel pixel-entropy based algorithm for the automatic detection of the number of lanes and their centers, as well as the formation of their division lines is proposed. Using as input a video from a static camera, each pixel behavior in the gray color space is modeled by a time series; then, for a time period τ , its histogram followed by its entropy are calculated. Three different types of theoretical pixel-entropy behaviors can be distinguished: (1) the pixel-entropy at the lane center shows a high value; (2) the pixel-entropy at the lane division line shows a low value; and (3) a pixel not belonging to the road has an entropy value close to zero. From the road video, several small rectangle areas are captured, each with only a few full rows of pixels. For each pixel of these areas, the entropy is calculated, then for each area or row an entropy curve is produced, which, when smoothed, has as many local maxima as lanes and one more local minima than lane division lines. For the purpose of testing, several real traffic scenarios under different weather conditions with other moving objects were used. However, these background objects, which are out of road, were filtered out. Our algorithm, compared to others based on trajectories of vehicles, shows the following advantages: (1) the lowest computational time for lane detection (only 32 s with a traffic flow of one vehicle/s per-lane); and (2) better results under high traffic flow with congestion and vehicle occlusion. Instead of detecting road markings, it forms lane-dividing lines. Here, the entropies of Shannon and Tsallis were used, but the entropy of Tsallis for a selected q of a finite set achieved the best results.

scholarly journals Using Deep Learning to Forecast Maritime Vessel Flows

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (6) ◽  
pp. 1761 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangyu Zhou ◽  
Zhengjiang Liu ◽  
Fengwu Wang ◽  
Yajuan Xie ◽  
Xuexi Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Information ◽  
Automatic Identification ◽  
Identification System ◽  
System Data ◽  
Lstm Network

Forecasting vessel flows is important to the development of intelligent transportation systems in the maritime field, as real-time and accurate traffic information has favorable potential in helping a maritime authority to alleviate congestion, mitigate emission of GHG (greenhouse gases) and enhance public safety, as well as assisting individual vessel users to plan better routes and reduce additional costs due to delays. In this paper, we propose three deep learning-based solutions to forecast the inflow and outflow of vessels within a given region, including a convolutional neural network (CNN), a long short-term memory (LSTM) network, and the integration of a bidirectional LSTM network with a CNN (BDLSTM-CNN). To apply those solutions, we first divide the given maritime region into M × N grids, then we forecast the inflow and outflow for all the grids. Experimental results based on the real AIS (Automatic Identification System) data of marine vessels in Singapore demonstrate that the three deep learning-based solutions significantly outperform the conventional method in terms of mean absolute error and root mean square error, with the performance of the BDLSTM-CNN-based hybrid solution being the best.

scholarly journals Fuzzy Ontology and LSTM-based Text Mining: A Transportation Network Monitoring System for Assisting Travel

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 234 ◽  
Author(s):  
Farman Ali ◽  
Shaker El-Sappagh ◽  
Daehan Kwak
Keyword(s):  
Social Media ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Transportation Network ◽  
Semantic Knowledge ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Information ◽  
Fuzzy Ontology ◽  
Transport Services ◽  
Ontology Language

Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITSs) utilize a sensor network-based system to gather and interpret traffic information. In addition, mobility users utilize mobile applications to collect transport information for safe traveling. However, these types of information are not sufficient to examine all aspects of the transportation networks. Therefore, both ITSs and mobility users need a smart approach and social media data, which can help ITSs examine transport services, support traffic and control management, and help mobility users travel safely. People utilize social networks to share their thoughts and opinions regarding transportation, which are useful for ITSs and travelers. However, user-generated text on social media is short in length, unstructured, and covers a broad range of dynamic topics. The application of recent Machine Learning (ML) approach is inefficient for extracting relevant features from unstructured data, detecting word polarity of features, and classifying the sentiment of features correctly. In addition, ML classifiers consistently miss the semantic feature of the word meaning. A novel fuzzy ontology-based semantic knowledge with Word2vec model is proposed to improve the task of transportation features extraction and text classification using the Bi-directional Long Short-Term Memory (Bi-LSTM) approach. The proposed fuzzy ontology describes semantic knowledge about entities and features and their relation in the transportation domain. Fuzzy ontology and smart methodology are developed in Web Ontology Language and Java, respectively. By utilizing word embedding with fuzzy ontology as a representation of text, Bi-LSTM shows satisfactory improvement in both the extraction of features and the classification of the unstructured text of social media.

scholarly journals An Improved Hybrid Highway Traffic Flow Prediction Model Based on Machine Learning

2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (20) ◽  
pp. 8298
Author(s):  
Zhanzhong Wang ◽  
Ruijuan Chu ◽  
Minghang Zhang ◽  
Xiaochao Wang ◽  
Siliang Luan
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Model ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Permutation Entropy ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Gray Wolf ◽  
Highway Traffic ◽  
Traffic Flow Prediction ◽  
Flow Prediction

For intelligent transportation systems (ITSs), reliable and accurate real-time traffic flow prediction is an important step and a necessary prerequisite for alleviating traffic congestion and improving highway operation efficiency. In this paper, we propose an improved hybrid predicting model including two steps: decomposition and prediction to predict highway traffic flow. First, we adopted the complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) method to adaptively decompose the original nonlinear, nonstationary, and complex highway traffic flow data. Then, we used the improved weighted permutation entropy (IWPE) to obtain new reconstructed components. In the prediction step, we used the gray wolf optimizer (GWO) algorithm to optimize the least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) prediction model established for each reconstruction component and integrate the prediction results of each subsequence to obtain the final prediction result. We experimentally validated the effectiveness of the proposed approach. The research results reveal that the proposed model is useful for predicting traffic flow and its changing trends and also allowing transportation officials to make more effective traffic decisions.

scholarly journals Automatic Vehicles Detection, Classification and Counting Techniques / Survey

2020 ◽  
pp. 1811-1822
Author(s):  
Mustafa Najm ◽  
Yossra Hussein Ali
Keyword(s):  
Real Time ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Background Subtraction ◽  
Moving Objects ◽  
Vehicle Detection ◽  
Intelligent Transportation ◽  
Traffic Monitoring ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Condition ◽  
Real Time Processing

Vehicle detection (VD) plays a very essential role in Intelligent Transportation Systems (ITS) that have been intensively studied within the past years. The need for intelligent facilities expanded because the total number of vehicles is increasing rapidly in urban zones. Traffic monitoring is an important element in the intelligent transportation system, which involves the detection, classification, tracking, and counting of vehicles. One of the key advantages of traffic video detection is that it provides traffic supervisors with the means to decrease congestion and improve highway planning. Vehicle detection in videos combines image processing in real-time with computerized pattern recognition in flexible stages. The real-time processing is very critical to keep the appropriate functionality of automated or continuously working systems. VD in road traffics has numerous applications in the transportation engineering field. In this review, different automated VD systems have been surveyed,  with a focus on systems where the rectilinear stationary camera is positioned above intersections in the road rather than being mounted on the vehicle. Generally, three steps are utilized to acquire traffic condition information, including background subtraction (BS), vehicle detection and vehicle counting. First, we illustrate the concept of vehicle detection and discuss background subtraction for acquiring only moving objects. Then a variety of algorithms and techniques developed to detect vehicles are discussed beside illustrating their advantages and limitations. Finally, some limitations shared between the systems are demonstrated, such as the definition of ROI, focusing on only one aspect of detection, and the variation of accuracy with quality of videos. At the point when one can detect and classify vehicles, then it is probable to more improve the flow of the traffic and even give enormous information that can be valuable for many applications in the future.

scholarly journals A Peak Traffic Congestion Prediction Method Based on Bus Driving Time

Entropy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (7) ◽  
pp. 709 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhao Huang ◽  
Jizhe Xia ◽  
Fan Li ◽  
Zhen Li ◽  
Qingquan Li
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Congestion ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Road Traffic ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Driving Time ◽  
Congestion Prediction ◽  
Congestion Index

Road traffic congestion has a large impact on travel. The accurate prediction of traffic congestion has become a hot topic in intelligent transportation systems (ITS). Recently, a variety of traffic congestion prediction methods have been proposed. However, most approaches focus on floating car data, and the prediction accuracy is often unstable due to large fluctuations in floating speed. Targeting these challenges, we propose a method of traffic congestion prediction based on bus driving time (TCP-DT) using long short-term memory (LSTM) technology. Firstly, we collected a total of 66,228 bus driving records from 50 buses for 66 working days in Guangzhou, China. Secondly, the actual and standard bus driving times were calculated by processing the buses’ GPS trajectories and bus station data. Congestion time is defined as the interval between actual and standard driving time. Thirdly, congestion time prediction based on LSTM (T-LSTM) was adopted to predict future bus congestion times. Finally, the congestion index and classification (CI-C) model was used to calculate the congestion indices and classify the level of congestion into five categories according to three classification methods. Our experimental results show that the T-LSTM model can effectively predict the congestion time of six road sections at different time periods, and the average mean absolute percentage error ( M A P E ¯ ) and root mean square error ( R M S E ¯ ) of prediction are 11.25% and 14.91 in the morning peak, and 12.3% and 14.57 in the evening peak, respectively. The TCP-DT method can effectively predict traffic congestion status and provide a driving route with the least congestion time for vehicles.

scholarly journals Traffic Speed Prediction: An Attention-Based Method

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (18) ◽  
pp. 3836 ◽  
Author(s):  
Duanyang Liu ◽  
Longfeng Tang ◽  
Guojiang Shen ◽  
Xiao Han
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Similar Distribution ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Temporal Clustering ◽  
Spatial Features ◽  
Speed Prediction ◽  
Traffic Speed ◽  
Prediction Approach

Short-term traffic speed prediction has become one of the most important parts of intelligent transportation systems (ITSs). In recent years, deep learning methods have demonstrated their superiority both in accuracy and efficiency. However, most of them only consider the temporal information, overlooking the spatial or some environmental factors, especially the different correlations between the target road and the surrounding roads. This paper proposes a traffic speed prediction approach based on temporal clustering and hierarchical attention (TCHA) to address the above issues. We apply temporal clustering to the target road to distinguish the traffic environment. Traffic data in each cluster have a similar distribution, which can help improve the prediction accuracy. A hierarchical attention-based mechanism is then used to extract the features at each time step. The encoder measures the importance of spatial features, and the decoder measures the temporal ones. The proposed method is evaluated over the data of a certain area in Hangzhou, and experiments have shown that this method can outperform the state of the art for traffic speed prediction.

Early Prediction of Driver's Action Using Deep Neural Networks

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 11-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shilpa Gite ◽  
Himanshu Agrawal
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Performance Metrics ◽  
Short Term Memory ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Early Prediction ◽  
The Road ◽  
Learning Technique ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Long Short Term Memory

Intelligent transportation systems (ITSs) are one of the most widely-discussed and researched topic across the world. The researchers have focused on the early prediction of a driver's movements before drivers actually perform actions, which might suggest a driver to take a corrective action while driving and thus, avoid the risk of an accident. This article presents an improved deep-learning technique to predict a driver's action before he performs that action, a few seconds in advance. This is considering both the inside context (of the driver) and the outside context (of the road), and fuses them together to anticipate the actions. To predict the driver's action accurately, the proposed work is inspired by recent developments in recurrent neural networks (RNN) with long short term memory (LSTM) algorithms. The performance merit of the proposed algorithm is compared with four other algorithms and the results suggest that the proposed algorithm outperforms the other algorithms using a range of performance metrics.

scholarly journals Dynamic Car–Following Model Calibration Using SPSA and ISRES Algorithms

2018 ◽  
Vol 47 (2) ◽  
pp. 146-156 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ioulia Markou ◽  
Vasileia Papathanasopoulou ◽  
Constantinos Antoniou
Keyword(s):  
Intelligent Transportation Systems ◽  
Traffic Simulation ◽  
Transportation Systems ◽  
Model Parameters ◽  
Time Step ◽  
Car Following ◽  
Calibration Methods ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Car Following Model ◽  
Parameter Values

Calibration plays a fundamental role in successful applications of traffic simulation and Intelligent Transportation Systems. In this research, the calibration of car–following models is seen as a dynamic problem, which is solved at each individual time–step. The optimization of model parameters is fulfilled using the Simultaneous Perturbation Stochastic Approximation (SPSA) algorithm. The output of the optimization is a distribution of parameter values, capturing a wide range of various traffic conditions. The methodology is demonstrated via a case study, where the proposed framework is implemented for the dynamic calibration of the car–following model used in the TransModeler traffic simulation model and Gipps′ model. This method results to model parameter distributions, which are superior to simply using point parameter values, as they are more realistic, capturing the heterogeneity of driver behavior. Flexibility is thus introduced into the calibration process and restrictions generated by conventional calibration methods are relaxed.

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