scholarly journals Estimating Downward Shortwave Solar Radiation on Clear-Sky Days in Heterogeneous Surface Using LM-BP Neural Network

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (2) ◽  
pp. 273
Author(s):  
Weizhen Wang ◽  
Jiaojiao Feng ◽  
Feinan Xu

Downward surface shortwave radiation (DSSR) plays an important role in the energy balance of the earth’s surface. Accurate estimate of DSSR is of great significance for the rational and effective use of solar energy. Some parameterization schemes were proposed to estimate DSSR using meteorological measurements given ground-based radiation observation sites are scare and uneven. With the development of remote sensing technique, remotely sensed data can be applied to obtain continuous DSSR in space. Commonly, the spatial resolution of most radiation products is relatively low and cannot meet the needs of certain fields. Moreover, some retrieval algorithms based on the radiation transfer models are complicated for non-professionals. In this study, a back-propagation (BP) neural network method with Levenberg–Marquardt (LM) algorithm (hereafter referred to as LM-BP) was applied to predict DSSR by building the relationship between measured DSSR and high-resolution remote sensing data from the Advanced Space-borne Thermal Emission Reflectance Radiometer (ASTER). The DSSR observations from the four-component radiation sensor installed at the land covered by vegetable, village, maize, orchard, Gobi, sandy desert, desert steppe, and wetland were used to validate the model estimates. The results showed that the estimates of DSSR from LM-BP agreed well with the site measurements, with the root mean square error (RMSE) and the mean bias error (MBE) values of 27.34 W/m2 and −1.59 W/m2, respectively. This indicates that by combining the LM-BP network model and ASTER images can obtain precise DSSR in heterogenous surface. The DSSR results of this study can provide accurate high-spatial resolution input data for hydrological, evapotranspiration, and crop models.

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 2996
Author(s):  
Qinwei Zhang ◽  
Mingqi Li ◽  
Maohua Wang ◽  
Arthur Paul Mizzi ◽  
Yongjian Huang ◽  
...  

High spatial resolution carbon dioxide (CO2) flux inversion systems are needed to support the global stocktake required by the Paris Agreement and to complement the bottom-up emission inventories. Based on the work of Zhang, a regional CO2 flux inversion system capable of assimilating the column-averaged dry air mole fractions of CO2 (XCO2) retrieved from Orbiting Carbon Observatory-2 (OCO-2) observations had been developed. To evaluate the system, under the constraints of the initial state and boundary conditions extracted from the CarbonTracker 2017 product (CT2017), the annual CO2 flux over the contiguous United States in 2016 was inverted (1.08 Pg C yr−1) and compared with the corresponding posterior CO2 fluxes extracted from OCO-2 model intercomparison project (OCO-2 MIP) (mean: 0.76 Pg C yr−1, standard deviation: 0.29 Pg C yr−1, 9 models in total) and CT2017 (1.19 Pg C yr−1). The uncertainty of the inverted CO2 flux was reduced by 14.71% compared to the prior flux. The annual mean XCO2 estimated by the inversion system was 403.67 ppm, which was 0.11 ppm smaller than the result (403.78 ppm) simulated by a parallel experiment without assimilating the OCO-2 retrievals and closer to the result of CT2017 (403.29 ppm). Independent CO2 flux and concentration measurements from towers, aircraft, and Total Carbon Column Observing Network (TCCON) were used to evaluate the results. Mean bias error (MBE) between the inverted CO2 flux and flux measurements was 0.73 g C m−2 d−1, was reduced by 22.34% and 28.43% compared to those of the prior flux and CT2017, respectively. MBEs between the CO2 concentrations estimated by the inversion system and concentration measurements from TCCON, towers, and aircraft were reduced by 52.78%, 96.45%, and 75%, respectively, compared to those of the parallel experiment. The experiment proved that CO2 emission hotspots indicated by the inverted annual CO2 flux with a relatively high spatial resolution of 50 km consisted well with the locations of most major metropolitan/urban areas in the contiguous United States, which demonstrated the potential of combing satellite observations with high spatial resolution CO2 flux inversion system in supporting the global stocktake.


2013 ◽  
Vol 756-759 ◽  
pp. 3366-3371 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruo Bo Xin ◽  
Zhi Fang Jiang ◽  
Ning Li ◽  
Lu Jian Hou

In order to obtain high precision results of urban air quality forecast, we propose a short-term predictive model of air quality in this paper, which is on the basis of the ambient air quality monitoring data and relevant meteorological data of a monitoring site in Licang district of Qingdao city in recent three years. The predictive model is based on BP neural network and used to predict the ambient air quality in the next some day or within a certain period of hours. In the design of the predictive model, we apply LM algorithm, Simulated Annealing algorithm and Early Stopping algorithm into BP network, and use a reasonable method to extract the historical data of two years as the training samples, which are the main reasons why the prediction results are better both in speed and in accuracy. And when predicting within a certain period of hours, we also adopt an average and equivalent idea to reduce the error accuracy, which brings us good results.


2010 ◽  
Vol 121-122 ◽  
pp. 574-578
Author(s):  
Hui Yu Jiang ◽  
Min Dong ◽  
Wei Li

The octanol / water partition coefficient (Kow) is an important physical parameters to describe their behavior in the environment. However, because of some reasons, it is difficult to determine the octanol / water partition coefficient of each compound accurately. In this paper, we will introduce RBF neural network and molecular bond connectivity index to forecast the solubility of organic compounds in water. The result is better using the BP network to predict, the correlation coefficient has achieved 0.998, the prediction error in the permission scope.


2011 ◽  
Vol 1 ◽  
pp. 163-167
Author(s):  
Da Ke Wu ◽  
Chun Yan Xie

Leafminer is one of pest of many vegetables, and the damage may cover so much of the leaf that the plant is unable to function, and yields are noticeably decreased. In order to get the information of the pest in the vegetable before the damage was not serious, this research used a BP neural network to classify the leafminer-infected tomato leaves, and the fractal dimension of the leaves was the input data of the BP neural network. Prediction results showed that when the number of FD was 21 and the hidden nodes of BP neural network were 21, the detection performance of the model was good and the correlation coefficient (r) was 0.836. Thus, it is concluded that the FD is an available technique for the detection of disease level of leafminer on tomato leaves.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuanjiang Li ◽  
Yuehua Li ◽  
Feng Li ◽  
Bin Zhao ◽  
QingQing Li

When thermopile sensor is used for safety monitoring of equipment in industrial environments, particularly for measuring the thermal radiation information of device, the measured result of this kind of sensor is usually affected by ambient temperature due to its unique structure. An improved PSO-BP algorithm is proposed for temperature compensation of thermopile sensor and correcting the error in the condition of the system accuracy requirements reduced by temperature. The core of improved PSO-BP algorithm is to improve the certainty of initial weights and thresholds that belonged to BP neural network and then train the samples by using BP neural network for enhancing the generalization ability and stability of system. The experimental results show that the proposed PSO-BP network outperforms other similar algorithms with faster convergence speed, lower errors, and higher accuracy.


2010 ◽  
Vol 29-32 ◽  
pp. 1543-1549 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Wei ◽  
Hong Yu ◽  
Jin Li

Three-ratio of the IEC is a convenient and effective approach for transformer fault diagnosis in the dissolved gas analysis (DGA). Fuzzy theory is used to preprocess the three-ratio for its boundary that is too absolute. As the same time, an improved quantum genetic algorithm IQGA (QGASAC) is used to optimize the weight and threshold of the back propagation (BP). The local and global searching ability of the QGASAC approach is utilized to find the BP optimization solution. It can overcome the slower convergence velocity and hardly getting the optimization of the BP neural network. So, aiming at the shortcoming of BP neural network and three-ratio, blurring the boundary of the gas ratio and the QGASAC algorithm is introduced to optimize the BP network. Then the QGASAC-IECBP method is proposed in this paper. Experimental results indicate that the proposed algorithm in this paper that both convergence velocity and veracity are all improved to some extent. And in this paper, the proposed algorithm is robust and practical.


2012 ◽  
Vol 524-527 ◽  
pp. 180-183
Author(s):  
Feng Gao

Total energy, maximum peak amplitude and RMS amplitude are sensitive to sand body, and they are non-linear relations with sand thickness. In this study, a three-layer BP neural network is employed to build the prediction model. Nine samples were analyzed by three-layer BP network. The relationships were produced by BP network between sand thickness and the three seismic attributes. The precise prediction results indicate that the three-layer BP network based modeling is a practically very useful tool in prediction sand thickness. The BP model provided better accuracy in prediction than other methods.


Metals ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 593 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiangjian Gao ◽  
Yingyi Zhang ◽  
Xin Jiang ◽  
Haiyan Zheng ◽  
Fengman Shen

The Ambient Compressive Strength (CS) of pellets, influenced by several factors, is regarded as a criterion to assess pellets during metallurgical processes. A prediction model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) was proposed in order to provide a reliable and economic control strategy for CS in pellet production and to forecast and control pellet CS. The dimensionality of 19 influence factors of CS was considered and reduced by Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The PCA variables were then used as the input variables for the Back Propagation (BP) neural network, which was upgraded by Genetic Algorithm (GA), with CS as the output variable. After training and testing with production data, the PCA-GA-BP neural network was established. Additionally, the sensitivity analysis of input variables was calculated to obtain a detailed influence on pellet CS. It has been found that prediction accuracy of the PCA-GA-BP network mentioned here is 96.4%, indicating that the ANN network is effective to predict CS in the pelletizing process.


Proceedings ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2 (8) ◽  
pp. 547
Author(s):  
Xiamei Zhang ◽  
Shudan Xia

Aero engine is impacted by foreign objects frequently during daily usage, including runway gravel, birds, fuselage components and so on, so the fan and compressor may damage, resulting in serious air crash. Thus, simulating the impact of blades and establishing the numerical analysis model of dynamic response demand immediate attention. In the analysis model, damping coefficient is one of the most important physical parameters of the blade structure and cannot be directly measured. Rayleigh damping is widely applied and can be converted to direct modal damping in ABAQUS. BP neural network is a multi-layer feedforward neural network using back propagation algorithm to adjust the network weights. It can be proved that there exists a three-layer BP network to realize the mapping of arbitrary continuous functions with arbitrary precision. In this study, a novel method for obtaining the damping ratio of the flat blade which applies BP neural network inversion is proposed. In order to demonstrate this method, a simplified experiment was conducted. Firstly, fix a section of aluminum plate and then conduct two set of drop tests on different positions with different impact velocities by a steel ball. At the same time, vibration response was recorded by displacement sensor. Secondly, establish a finite element model using ABAQUS to simulate the drop test. Adopt twenty groups of models with different damping ratio and then obtain their amplitudes and decay time, respectively. Thirdly, train a BP neural network using MATLAB program and then establish the mapping relationship between amplitude, decay time and damping ratio. Fourth, a set of experimental amplitude and decay time is substituted into the previously obtained BP neural network mapping model, and then the real damping ratio is obtained by inference. Finally, the real damping ratio is applied to the flat blade impact simulation of the other set of drop test for validation. The numerical results are consistent with the experimental data, which indicates that the damping ratio obtained by BP neural network inversion is reasonable and reliable.


2014 ◽  
Vol 986-987 ◽  
pp. 1356-1359
Author(s):  
You Xian Peng ◽  
Bo Tang ◽  
Hong Ying Cao ◽  
Bin Chen ◽  
Yu Li

Audible noise prediction is a hot research area in power transmission engineering in recent years, especially come down to AC transmission lines. The conventional prediction models at present have got some problems such as big errors. In this paper, a prediction model is established based on BP network, in which the input variables are the four factors in the international common expression of power line audible noise and the noise value is the output. Take multiple measured power lines as an example, a train is made by the BP network and then the prediction model is set up in the hidden layer of the network. Using the trained model, the audible noise values are predicted. The final results show that the average absolute error in absolute terms of the values by the audible noise prediction model based on BP neural network is 1.6414 less than that predicted by the GE formula.


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