scholarly journals MultiStep Ahead Forecasting for Hourly PM10 and PM2.5 Based on Two-Stage Decomposition Embedded Sample Entropy and Group Teacher Optimization Algorithm

Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
pp. 64
Author(s):  
Feng Jiang ◽  
Yaqian Qiao ◽  
Xuchu Jiang ◽  
Tianhai Tian

The randomness, nonstationarity and irregularity of air pollutant data bring difficulties to forecasting. To improve the forecast accuracy, we propose a novel hybrid approach based on two-stage decomposition embedded sample entropy, group teaching optimization algorithm (GTOA), and extreme learning machine (ELM) to forecast the concentration of particulate matter (PM10 and PM2.5). First, the improvement complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN) is employed to decompose the concentration data of PM10 and PM2.5 into a set of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) with different frequencies. In addition, wavelet transform (WT) is utilized to decompose the IMFs with high frequency based on sample entropy values. Then the GTOA algorithm is used to optimize ELM. Furthermore, the GTOA-ELM is utilized to predict all the subseries. The final forecast result is obtained by ensemble of the forecast results of all subseries. To further prove the predictable performance of the hybrid approach on air pollutants, the hourly concentration data of PM2.5 and PM10 are used to make one-step-, two-step- and three-step-ahead predictions. The empirical results demonstrate that the hybrid ICEEMDAN-WT-GTOA-ELM approach has superior forecasting performance and stability over other methods. This novel method also provides an effective and efficient approach to make predictions for nonlinear, nonstationary and irregular data.

Sensors ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 19 (21) ◽  
pp. 4751 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoling Li ◽  
Bin Liu ◽  
Yang Liu ◽  
Jiawei Li ◽  
Jiarui Lai ◽  
...  

Doppler radar for monitoring vital signals is an emerging tool, and how to remove the noise during the detection process and reconstruct the accurate respiration and heartbeat signals are hot issues in current research. In this paper, a novel radar vital signal separation and de-noising technique based on improved complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (ICEEMDAN), sample entropy (SampEn), and wavelet threshold is proposed. First, the noisy radar signal was decomposed into a series of intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) using ICEEMDAN. Then, each IMF was analyzed using SampEn to find out the first few IMFs containing noise, and these IMFs were de-noised using the wavelet threshold. Finally, in order to extract accurate vital signals, spectrum analysis and Kullback–Leible (KL) divergence calculations were performed on all IMFs, and appropriate IMFs were selected to reconstruct respiration and heartbeat signals. Moreover, as far as we know, there is almost no previous research on radar vital signal de-noising based on the proposed technique. The effectiveness of the algorithm was verified using simulated and measured experiments. The results show that the proposed algorithm could effectively reduce the noise and was superior to the existing de-noising technologies, which is beneficial for extracting more accurate vital signals.


2013 ◽  
Vol 347-350 ◽  
pp. 426-429 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wen Bin Zhang ◽  
Yan Jie Zhou ◽  
Jia Xing Zhu ◽  
Ya Song Pu

In this paper, a new rotor fault diagnosis method was proposed based on rank-order morphological filter, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), sample entropy and grey relation degree. Firstly, the sampled data was de-noised by rank-order morphological filter. Secondly, the de-noised signal was decomposed into a finite number of stationary intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). Thirdly, some IMFs containing the most dominant fault information were calculated the sample entropy for four rotor conditions. Finally, the grey relation degree between the symptom set and standard fault set was calculated as the identification evidence for fault diagnosis. The practical results show that this method is quite effective in rotor fault diagnosis. Its suitable for on-line monitoring and diagnosis of rotating machinery.


Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (9) ◽  
pp. 1039 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haikun Shang ◽  
Yucai Li ◽  
Junyan Xu ◽  
Bing Qi ◽  
Jinliang Yin

To eliminate the influence of white noise in partial discharge (PD) detection, we propose a novel method based on complete ensemble empirical mode decomposition with adaptive noise (CEEMDAN) and approximate entropy (ApEn). By introducing adaptive noise into the decomposition process, CEEMDAN can effectively separate the original signal into different intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) with distinctive frequency scales. Afterward, the approximate entropy value of each IMF is calculated to eliminate noisy IMFs. Then, correlation coefficient analysis is employed to select useful IMFs that represent dominant PD features. Finally, real IMFs are extracted for PD signal reconstruction. On the basis of EEMD, CEEMDAN can further improve reconstruction accuracy and reduce iteration numbers to solve mode mixing problems. The results on both simulated and on-site PD signals show that the proposed method can be effectively employed for noise suppression and successfully extract PD pulses. The fusion algorithm combines the CEEMDAN algorithm and the ApEn algorithm with their respective advantages and has a better de-noising effect than EMD and EEMD.


2013 ◽  
Vol 694-697 ◽  
pp. 1151-1154
Author(s):  
Wen Bin Zhang ◽  
Ya Song Pu ◽  
Jia Xing Zhu ◽  
Yan Ping Su

In this paper, a novel fault diagnosis method for gear was approached based on morphological filter, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), sample entropy and grey incidence. Firstly, in order to eliminate the influence of noises, the line structure element was selected for morphological filter to denoise the original signal. Secondly, denoised vibration signals were decomposed into a finite number of stationary intrinsic mode functions (IMF) and some containing the most dominant fault information were calculated the sample entropy. Finally, these sample entropies could serve as the feature vectors, the grey incidence of different gear vibration signals was calculated to identify the fault pattern and condition. Practical results show that this method can be used in gear fault diagnosis effectively.


2010 ◽  
Vol 02 (04) ◽  
pp. 415-428 ◽  
Author(s):  
YU-MEI CHANG ◽  
ZHAOHUA WU ◽  
JULIUS CHANG ◽  
NORDEN E. HUANG

We proposed a new model validation method through ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD) and scale separate correlation. EEMD is used to analyze the nonlinear and nonstationary ozone concentration data and the data simulated from the Taiwan Air Quality Model (TAQM). Our approach consists of shifting an ensemble of white noise-added signal and treats the mean as the final true intrinsic mode functions (IMFs). It provides detailed comparisons of observed and simulated data in various temporal scales. The ozone concentration of Wan-Li station in Taiwan is used to illustrate the power of this new approach. Our results show that, at an urban station, the ozone concentration fluctuation has various cycles that include semi-diurnal, diurnal, and weekly time scales. These results serve to demonstrate the anthropogenic origin of the local pollutant and long-range transport effects were all important. The validation tests indicate that the model used here performs well to simulate phenomena of all temporal scales.


2014 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 402-408
Author(s):  
Wenbin Zhang ◽  
Libin Yu ◽  
Yanping Su ◽  
Jie Min ◽  
Yasong Pu

In this paper, a new gearbox fault identification method was proposed based on mathematical morphological filter, ensemble empirical mode decomposition (EEMD), sample entropy and grey relation degree. Firstly, the sampled data was de-noised by mathematical morphological filter. Secondly, the de-noised signal was decomposed into a finite number of stationary intrinsic mode functions (IMFs) by EEMD method. Thirdly, some IMFs containing the most dominant fault information were calculated by the sample entropy for four gearbox conditions. Finally, since the grey relation degree has good classified capacity for small sample pattern identification, the grey relation degree between the symptom set and standard fault set was calculated as the identification evidence for fault diagnosis. The practical results show that this method is quite effective in gearbox fault diagnosis. It’s suitable for on-line monitoring and fault diagnosis of gearbox.


Atmosphere ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (5) ◽  
pp. 562
Author(s):  
Jorge Moreda-Piñeiro ◽  
Joel Sánchez-Piñero ◽  
María Fernández-Amado ◽  
Paula Costa-Tomé ◽  
Nuria Gallego-Fernández ◽  
...  

Due to the exponential growth of the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic in Spain (2020), the Spanish Government adopted lockdown measures as mitigating strategies to reduce the spread of the pandemic from 14 March. In this paper, we report the results of the change in air quality at two Atlantic Coastal European cities (Northwest Spain) during five lockdown weeks. The temporal evolution of gaseous (nitrogen oxides, comprising NOx, NO, and NO2; sulfur dioxide, SO2; carbon monoxide, CO; and ozone, O3) and particulate matter (PM10; PM2.5; and equivalent black carbon, eBC) pollutants were recorded before (7 February to 13 March 2020) and during the first five lockdown weeks (14 March to 20 April 2020) at seven air quality monitoring stations (urban background, traffic, and industrial) in the cities of A Coruña and Vigo. The influences of the backward trajectories and meteorological parameters on air pollutant concentrations were considered during the studied period. The temporal trends indicate that the concentrations of almost all species steadily decreased during the lockdown period with statistical significance, with respect to the pre-lockdown period. In this context, great reductions were observed for pollutants related mainly to fossil fuel combustion, road traffic, and shipping emissions (−38 to −78% for NO, −22 to −69% for NO2, −26 to −75% for NOx, −3 to −77% for SO2, −21% for CO, −25 to −49% for PM10, −10 to −38% for PM2.5, and −29 to −51% for eBC). Conversely, O3 concentrations increased from +5 to +16%. Finally, pollutant concentration data for 14 March to 20 April of 2020 were compared with those of the previous two years. The results show that the overall air pollutants levels were higher during 2018–2019 than during the lockdown period.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (8) ◽  
pp. 2181
Author(s):  
Rafik Nafkha ◽  
Tomasz Ząbkowski ◽  
Krzysztof Gajowniczek

The electricity tariffs available to customers in Poland depend on the connection voltage level and contracted capacity, which reflect the customer demand profile. Therefore, before connecting to the power grid, each consumer declares the demand for maximum power. This amount, referred to as the contracted capacity, is used by the electricity provider to assign the proper connection type to the power grid, including the size of the security breaker. Maximum power is also the basis for calculating fixed charges for electricity consumption, which is controlled and metered through peak meters. If the peak demand exceeds the contracted capacity, a penalty charge is applied to the exceeded amount, which is up to ten times the basic rate. In this article, we present several solutions for entrepreneurs based on the implementation of two-stage and deep learning approaches to predict maximal load values and the moments of exceeding the contracted capacity in the short term, i.e., up to one month ahead. The forecast is further used to optimize the capacity volume to be contracted in the following month to minimize network charge for exceeding the contracted level. As confirmed experimentally with two datasets, the application of a multiple output forecast artificial neural network model and a genetic algorithm (two-stage approach) for load optimization delivers significant benefits to customers. As an alternative, the same benefit is delivered with a deep learning architecture (hybrid approach) to predict the maximal capacity demands and, simultaneously, to determine the optimal capacity contract.


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