scholarly journals Landslide Susceptibility Modeling Using Integrated Ensemble Weights of Evidence with Logistic Regression and Random Forest Models

2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wei Chen ◽  
Zenghui Sun ◽  
Jichang Han
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Random Forest ◽  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Roc Curves ◽  
Weights Of Evidence ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset

The main aim of this study was to compare the performances of the hybrid approaches of traditional bivariate weights of evidence (WoE) with multivariate logistic regression (WoE-LR) and machine learning-based random forest (WoE-RF) for landslide susceptibility mapping. The performance of the three landslide models was validated with receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under the curve (AUC). The results showed that the areas under the curve obtained using the WoE, WoE-LR, and WoE-RF methods were 0.720, 0.773, and 0.802 for the training dataset, and were 0.695, 0.763, and 0.782 for the validation dataset, respectively. The results demonstrate the superiority of hybrid models and that the resultant maps would be useful for land use planning in landslide-prone areas.

scholarly journals Landslide susceptibility mapping on a global scale using the method of logistic regression

2017 ◽  
Vol 17 (8) ◽  
pp. 1411-1424 ◽  
Author(s):  
Le Lin ◽  
Qigen Lin ◽  
Ying Wang
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Soil Moisture ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Confusion Matrix ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Global Scale ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Occurrence ◽  
Explanatory Factors ◽  
Five Factors

Abstract. This paper proposes a statistical model for mapping global landslide susceptibility based on logistic regression. After investigating explanatory factors for landslides in the existing literature, five factors were selected for model landslide susceptibility: relative relief, extreme precipitation, lithology, ground motion and soil moisture. When building the model, 70 % of landslide and nonlandslide points were randomly selected for logistic regression, and the others were used for model validation. To evaluate the accuracy of predictive models, this paper adopts several criteria including a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve method. Logistic regression experiments found all five factors to be significant in explaining landslide occurrence on a global scale. During the modeling process, percentage correct in confusion matrix of landslide classification was approximately 80 % and the area under the curve (AUC) was nearly 0.87. During the validation process, the above statistics were about 81 % and 0.88, respectively. Such a result indicates that the model has strong robustness and stable performance. This model found that at a global scale, soil moisture can be dominant in the occurrence of landslides and topographic factor may be secondary.

Communality from equal weight for GIS-based landslide susceptibility mapping

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandip Som ◽  
Saibal Ghosh ◽  
Soumitra Dasgupta ◽  
Thrideep Kumar ◽  
J. N. Hindayar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Land Use Planning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Regional Scale ◽  
Model Development ◽  
Model Performance ◽  
Roc Curves ◽  
Landslide Inventory ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Equal Weight ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Index

Abstract Modeling landslide susceptibility is one of the important aspects of land use planning and risk management. Several modeling methods are available based either on highly specialized knowledge on causative attributes or on good landslide inventory data to use as training and testing attribute on model development. Understandably, these two criteria are rarely available for local land regulators. This paper presents a new model methodology, which requires minimum knowledge of causative attributes and does not depend on landslide inventory. As landslide causes due to the combined effect of causative attributes, this model utilizes communality (common variance) of the attributes, extracted by exploratory factor analysis and used for calculation of landslide susceptibility index. The model can understand the inter-relationship of different geo-environmental attributes responsible for landslide along with identification and prioritization of attributes on model performance to delineate non-performing attributes. Finally, the model performance is compared with the well established AHP method (knowledge driven) and FRM method (data driven) by cut-off independent ROC curves along with cost-effectiveness. The model shows it’s performance almost at par with the established models, involving minimum modeling expertise. The findings and results of the present work will be helpful for the town planners and engineers on a regional scale for generalized planning and assessment.

scholarly journals Comparison of Random Forest Model and Frequency Ratio Model for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping (LSM) in Yunyang County (Chongqing, China)

2020 ◽  
Vol 17 (12) ◽  
pp. 4206 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Wang ◽  
Deliang Sun ◽  
Haijia Wen ◽  
Hong Zhang ◽  
Fengtai Zhang
Keyword(s):  
Random Forest ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Frequency Ratio ◽  
Coincidence Degree ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Entire Area ◽  
Conditioning Factors

To compare the random forest (RF) model and the frequency ratio (FR) model for landslide susceptibility mapping (LSM), this research selected Yunyang Country as the study area for its frequent natural disasters; especially landslides. A landslide inventory was built by historical records; satellite images; and extensive field surveys. Subsequently; a geospatial database was established based on 987 historical landslides in the study area. Then; all the landslides were randomly divided into two datasets: 70% of them were used as the training dataset and 30% as the test dataset. Furthermore; under five primary conditioning factors (i.e., topography factors; geological factors; environmental factors; human engineering activities; and triggering factors), 22 secondary conditioning factors were selected to form an evaluation factor library for analyzing the landslide susceptibility. On this basis; the RF model training and the FR model mathematical analysis were performed; and the established models were used for the landslide susceptibility simulation in the entire area of Yunyang County. Next; based on the analysis results; the susceptibility maps were divided into five classes: very low; low; medium; high; and very high. In addition; the importance of conditioning factors was ranked and the influence of landslides was explored by using the RF model. The area under the curve (AUC) value of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve; precision; accuracy; and recall ratio were used to analyze the predictive ability of the above two LSM models. The results indicated a difference in the performances between the two models. The RF model (AUC = 0.988) performed better than the FR model (AUC = 0.716). Moreover; compared with the FR model; the RF model showed a higher coincidence degree between the areas in the high and the very low susceptibility classes; on the one hand; and the geographical spatial distribution of historical landslides; on the other hand. Therefore; it was concluded that the RF model was more suitable for landslide susceptibility evaluation in Yunyang County; because of its significant model performance; reliability; and stability. The outcome also provided a theoretical basis for application of machine learning techniques (e.g., RF) in landslide prevention; mitigation; and urban planning; so as to deliver an adequate response to the increasing demand for effective and low-cost tools in landslide susceptibility assessments.

scholarly journals Evaluation of Different Machine Learning Models and Novel Deep Learning-based Algorithm for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingyu Zhang ◽  
Huanyuan Wang ◽  
Tianqing Chen ◽  
Zenghui Sun ◽  
Tao Wang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Deep Learning ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Reference Model ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Operating Characteristics ◽  
Predisposing Factor

Abstract The losses and damage caused by landslides are countless in the world every year. However, the existing approaches of landslide susceptibility mapping cannot fully meet the requirement of landslide prevention, and further excavation and innovation are also needed. Therefore, the main aim of this study is to develop a novel deep learning model namely landslide net (LSNet) to assess the landslide susceptibility in Hanyin County, China, meanwhile, support vector machine model (SVM) and kernel logistic regression model (KLR) were employed as reference model. The inventory map was generated based on 259 landslides, the training dataset and validation dataset were respectively prepared using 70% landslides and the remaining 30% landslides. The variance inflation factor (VIF) was applied to optimize each landslide predisposing factor. Three benchmark indices were used to evaluate the result of susceptibility mapping and area under receiver operating characteristics curve (AUROC) was used to compare the models. Result demonstrated that although the processing speed of LSNet model is the slowest, it still significantly outperformed its corresponding benchmark models with validation dataset, and has the highest accuracy (0.950), precision (0.951), F1 (0.951) and AUROC (0.941), which reflected excellent predictive ability in some degree. The achievements obtained in this study can improve the rapid response capability of landslide prevention for Hanyin County.

scholarly journals Hybrid Computational Intelligence Methods for Landslide Susceptibility Mapping

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 325 ◽  
Author(s):  
Guirong Wang ◽  
Xinxiang Lei ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Himan Shahabi ◽  
Ataollah Shirzadi
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Radial Basis Function Network ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

In this study, hybrid integration of MultiBoosting based on two artificial intelligence methods (the radial basis function network (RBFN) and credal decision tree (CDT) models) and geographic information systems (GIS) were used to establish landslide susceptibility maps, which were used to evaluate landslide susceptibility in Nanchuan County, China. First, the landslide inventory map was generated based on previous research results combined with GIS and aerial photos. Then, 298 landslides were identified, and the established dataset was divided into a training dataset (70%, 209 landslides) and a validation dataset (30%, 89 landslides) with ensured randomness, fairness, and symmetry of data segmentation. Sixteen landslide conditioning factors (altitude, profile curvature, plan curvature, slope aspect, slope angle, stream power index (SPI), topographical wetness index (TWI), sediment transport index (STI), distance to rivers, distance to roads, distance to faults, rainfall, NDVI, soil, land use, and lithology) were identified in the study area. Subsequently, the CDT, RBFN, and their ensembles with MultiBoosting (MCDT and MRBFN) were used in ArcGIS to generate the landslide susceptibility maps. The performances of the four landslide susceptibility maps were compared and verified based on the area under the curve (AUC). Finally, the verification results of the AUC evaluation show that the landslide susceptibility mapping generated by the MCDT model had the best performance.

scholarly journals A Comparative Study of Landslide Susceptibility Mapping Using SVM and PSO-SVM Models Based on Grid and Slope Units

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
Shuai Zhao ◽  
Zhou Zhao
Keyword(s):  
Support Vector Machine ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Slope Angle ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Slope Aspect ◽  
Support Vector

The main purpose of this study aims to apply and compare the rationality of landslide susceptibility maps using support vector machine (SVM) and particle swarm optimization coupled with support vector machine (PSO-SVM) models in Lueyang County, China, enhance the connection with the natural terrain, and analyze the application of grid units and slope units. A total of 186 landslide locations were identified by earlier reports and field surveys. The landslide inventory was randomly divided into two parts: 70% for training dataset and 30% for validation dataset. Based on the multisource data and geological environment, 16 landslide conditioning factors were selected, including control factors and triggering factors (i.e., altitude, slope angle, slope aspect, plan curvature, profile curvature, SPI, TPI, TRI, lithology, distance to faults, TWI, distance to rivers, NDVI, distance to roads, land use, and rainfall). The susceptibility between each conditioning factor and landslide was deduced using a certainty factor model. Subsequently, combined with grid units and slope units, the landslide susceptibility models were carried out by using SVM and PSO-SVM methods. The precision capability of the landslide susceptibility mapping produced by different models and units was verified through a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve. The results showed that the PSO-SVM model based on slope units had the best performance in landslide susceptibility mapping, and the area under the curve (AUC) values of training and validation datasets are 0.945 and 0.9245, respectively. Hence, the machine learning algorithm coupled with slope units can be considered a reliable and effective technique in landslide susceptibility mapping.

scholarly journals Quantitative Assessment of Landslide Susceptibility Comparing Statistical Index, Index of Entropy, and Weights of Evidence in the Shangnan Area, China

Entropy ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (11) ◽  
pp. 868 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Liu ◽  
Zhao Duan
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Weights Of Evidence ◽  
Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Shaanxi Province ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Susceptibility Map ◽  
Statistical Index ◽  
Index Of Entropy ◽  
Testing Dataset

In this study, a comparative analysis of the statistical index (SI), index of entropy (IOE) and weights of evidence (WOE) models was introduced to landslide susceptibility mapping, and the performance of the three models was validated and systematically compared. As one of the most landslide-prone areas in Shaanxi Province, China, Shangnan County was selected as the study area. Firstly, a series of reports, remote sensing images and geological maps were collected, and field surveys were carried out to prepare a landslide inventory map. A total of 348 landslides were identified in study area, and they were reclassified as a training dataset (70% = 244 landslides) and testing dataset (30% = 104 landslides) by random selection. Thirteen conditioning factors were then employed. Corresponding thematic data layers and landslide susceptibility maps were generated based on ArcGIS software. Finally, the area under the curve (AUC) values were calculated for the training dataset and the testing dataset in order to validate and compare the performance of the three models. For the training dataset, the AUC plots showed that the WOE model had the highest accuracy rate of 76.05%, followed by the SI model (74.67%) and the IOE model (71.12%). In the case of the testing dataset, the prediction accuracy rates for the SI, IOE and WOE models were 73.75%, 63.89%, and 75.10%, respectively. It can be concluded that the WOE model had the best prediction capacity for landslide susceptibility mapping in Shangnan County. The landslide susceptibility map produced by the WOE model had a profound geological and engineering significance in terms of landslide hazard prevention and control in the study area and other similar areas.

scholarly journals Do gliosarcomas have distinct imaging features on routine MRI?

2021 ◽  
pp. 197140092110123
Author(s):  
Christoph J Maurer ◽  
Irina Mader ◽  
Felix Joachimski ◽  
Ori Staszewski ◽  
Bruno Märkl ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Multivariate Analysis ◽  
Regression Model ◽  
Logistic Regression Model ◽  
External Validation ◽  
Area Under The Curve ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Imaging Features ◽  
Age And Sex

Purpose The aim of this study was the development and external validation of a logistic regression model to differentiate gliosarcoma (GSC) and glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) on standard MR imaging. Methods A univariate and multivariate analysis was carried out of a logistic regression model to discriminate patients histologically diagnosed with primary GSC and an age and sex-matched group of patients with primary GBM on presurgical MRI with external validation. Results In total, 56 patients with GSC and 56 patients with GBM were included. Evidence of haemorrhage suggested the diagnosis of GSC, whereas cystic components and pial as well as ependymal invasion were more commonly observed in GBM patients. The logistic regression model yielded a mean area under the curve (AUC) of 0.919 on the training dataset and of 0.746 on the validation dataset. The accuracy in the validation dataset was 0.67 with a sensitivity of 0.85 and a specificity of 0.5. Conclusions Although some imaging criteria suggest the diagnosis of GSC or GBM, differentiation between these two tumour entities on standard MRI alone is not feasible.

scholarly journals Performance Evaluation of GIS-Based Artificial Intelligence Approaches for Landslide Susceptibility Modeling and Spatial Patterns Analysis

2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. 443 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xinxiang Lei ◽  
Wei Chen ◽  
Binh Thai Pham
Keyword(s):  
Landslide Susceptibility ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Mapping ◽  
Training Dataset ◽  
Validation Dataset ◽  
Affecting Factors ◽  
Susceptibility Maps ◽  
Landslide Susceptibility Maps

The main purpose of this study was to apply the novel bivariate weights-of-evidence-based SysFor (SF) for landslide susceptibility mapping, and two machine learning techniques, namely the naïve Bayes (NB) and Radial basis function networks (RBFNetwork), as benchmark models. Firstly, by using aerial photos and geological field surveys, the 263 landslide locations in the study area were obtained. Next, the identified landslides were randomly classified according to the ratio of 70/30 to construct training data and validation models, respectively. Secondly, based on the landslide inventory map, combined with the geological and geomorphological characteristics of the study area, 14 affecting factors of the landslide were determined. The predictive ability of the selected factors was evaluated using the LSVM model. Using the WoE model, the relationship between landslides and affecting factors was analyzed by positive and negative correlation methods. The above three hybrid models were then used to map landslide susceptibility. Thirdly, the ROC curve and various statistical data (SE, 95% CI and MAE) were used to verify and compare the predictive power of the model. Compared with the other two models, the Sysfor model had a larger area under the curve (AUC) of 0.876 (training dataset) and 0.783 (validation dataset). Finally, by quantitatively comparing the susceptibility values of each pixel, the differences in spatial morphology of landslide susceptibility maps were compared, and the model was found to have limitations and effectiveness. The landslide susceptibility maps obtained by the three models are reasonable, and the landslide susceptibility maps generated by the SysFor model have the highest comprehensive performance. The results obtained in this paper can help local governments in land use planning, disaster reduction and environmental protection.

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