scholarly journals Predicting the Safety Climate in Construction Sites of Saudi Arabia: A Bootstrapped Multiple Ordinal Logistic Regression Modeling Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (4) ◽  
pp. 1474
Author(s):  
Anas A. Makki ◽  
Ibrahim Mosly

Construction site accidents can be reduced through proactive steps using prediction models developed based on factors that influence the safety climate. In this study, a prediction model of the safety climate observed by construction site personnel in Saudi Arabia was developed, identifying a set of significant safety climate predictors. The model was built with data collected from 401 active construction site personnel using a bootstrapped multiple ordinal logistic regression model. The model revealed five significant predictors: supervision, guidance, and inspection; social security and health insurance; management’s commitment to safety; management’s safety justice; and coworker influence. The model can correctly predict 67% of the safety evaluations. The identified predictors present proof of the importance of safety support, commitment, and interaction in construction sites and their influence on the perceived evaluations of the safety climate by personnel. Moreover, the prediction model can help construction industry decision makers, safety policy designers, government agencies, and stakeholders to estimate the safety climate and assess the current situation. Furthermore, the model can help form a better understanding and determine areas of improvement, which can translate into higher safety performance levels.

Author(s):  
Ibrahim Mosly ◽  
Anas A. Makki

The construction industry in Saudi Arabia relies prominently on migrant workers of multi-sociodemographic characteristics with different perceptions of a safety climate. The exploration of the perceptions regarding the safety climate among various groups of migrant workers may help identify effective means of improving safety levels at construction sites in Saudi Arabia. This study aimed to examine the effects of multi-sociodemographic characteristics of construction site personnel on their perceptions of the factors that influence the safety climate at construction sites in Saudi Arabia. Data were collected from 401 construction site workers, employed at ongoing construction project sites in Saudi Arabia, using a designed questionnaire. A generalized, linear model approach was applied, using the single ordinal logistic regression method, to analyze the collected data. The results revealed the significant sets of sociodemographic characteristics and their associated subgroups that had significant effects on the perception of importance assigned to each safety climate-influencing factor. These findings provide a better understanding of the views of construction site personnel on the safety climate and can assist construction industry decision-makers, safety policy designers, government agencies, and stakeholders when designing better-targeted enhancement plans and strategies to improve the safety climate of construction sites, based on the sociodemographic makeup of the personnel at each construction site.


2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (21) ◽  
pp. 7741
Author(s):  
Sang Yeob Kim ◽  
Gyeong Hee Nam ◽  
Byeong Mun Heo

Metabolic syndrome (MS) is an aggregation of coexisting conditions that can indicate an individual’s high risk of major diseases, including cardiovascular disease, stroke, cancer, and type 2 diabetes. We conducted a cross-sectional survey to evaluate potential risk factor indicators by identifying relationships between MS and anthropometric and spirometric factors along with blood parameters among Korean adults. A total of 13,978 subjects were enrolled from the Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Statistical analysis was performed using a complex sampling design to represent the entire Korean population. We conducted binary logistic regression analysis to evaluate and compare potential associations of all included factors. We constructed prediction models based on Naïve Bayes and logistic regression algorithms. The performance evaluation of the prediction model improved the accuracy with area under the curve (AUC) and calibration curve. Among all factors, triglyceride exhibited a strong association with MS in both men (odds ratio (OR) = 2.711, 95% confidence interval (CI) [2.328–3.158]) and women (OR = 3.515 [3.042–4.062]). Regarding anthropometric factors, the waist-to-height ratio demonstrated a strong association in men (OR = 1.511 [1.311–1.742]), whereas waist circumference was the strongest indicator in women (OR = 2.847 [2.447–3.313]). Forced expiratory volume in 6s and forced expiratory flow 25–75% strongly associated with MS in both men (OR = 0.822 [0.749–0.903]) and women (OR = 1.150 [1.060–1.246]). Wrapper-based logistic regression prediction model showed the highest predictive power in both men and women (AUC = 0.868 and 0.932, respectively). Our findings revealed that several factors were associated with MS and suggested the potential of employing machine learning models to support the diagnosis of MS.


2012 ◽  
Vol 460 ◽  
pp. 393-397 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peng Fei Mu ◽  
Dong Ling Zhang ◽  
Xiao Mei Xu ◽  
Yang Liu

It presents a proposed method for the development of quality evaluation and classification for material products, and shows the application of the ordinal logistic regression model and its advantages. It involved several steps: applying the linguistic information processing method, building the ordinal logistic regression model, differentiating and analyzing the quality evaluation to reach the quality classification result


The Bank Marketing data set at Kaggle is mostly used in predicting if bank clients will subscribe a long-term deposit. We believe that this data set could provide more useful information such as predicting whether a bank client could be approved for a loan. This is a critical choice that has to be made by decision makers at the bank. Building a prediction model for such high-stakes decision does not only require high model prediction accuracy, but also needs a reasonable prediction interpretation. In this research, different ensemble machine learning techniques have been deployed such as Bagging and Boosting. Our research results showed that the loan approval prediction model has an accuracy of 83.97%, which is approximately 25% better than most state-of-the-art other loan prediction models found in the literature. As well, the model interpretation efforts done in this research was able to explain a few critical cases that the bank decision makers may encounter; therefore, the high accuracy of the designed models was accompanied with a trust in prediction. We believe that the achieved model accuracy accompanied with the provided interpretation information are vitally needed for decision makers to understand how to maintain balance between security and reliability of their financial lending system, while providing fair credit opportunities to their clients.


2021 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jie Liu ◽  
Jian Zhang ◽  
Haodong Huang ◽  
Yunting Wang ◽  
Zuyue Zhang ◽  
...  

Objective: We explored the risk factors for intravenous immunoglobulin (IVIG) resistance in children with Kawasaki disease (KD) and constructed a prediction model based on machine learning algorithms.Methods: A retrospective study including 1,398 KD patients hospitalized in 7 affiliated hospitals of Chongqing Medical University from January 2015 to August 2020 was conducted. All patients were divided into IVIG-responsive and IVIG-resistant groups, which were randomly divided into training and validation sets. The independent risk factors were determined using logistic regression analysis. Logistic regression nomograms, support vector machine (SVM), XGBoost and LightGBM prediction models were constructed and compared with the previous models.Results: In total, 1,240 out of 1,398 patients were IVIG responders, while 158 were resistant to IVIG. According to the results of logistic regression analysis of the training set, four independent risk factors were identified, including total bilirubin (TBIL) (OR = 1.115, 95% CI 1.067–1.165), procalcitonin (PCT) (OR = 1.511, 95% CI 1.270–1.798), alanine aminotransferase (ALT) (OR = 1.013, 95% CI 1.008–1.018) and platelet count (PLT) (OR = 0.998, 95% CI 0.996–1). Logistic regression nomogram, SVM, XGBoost, and LightGBM prediction models were constructed based on the above independent risk factors. The sensitivity was 0.617, 0.681, 0.638, and 0.702, the specificity was 0.712, 0.841, 0.967, and 0.903, and the area under curve (AUC) was 0.731, 0.814, 0.804, and 0.874, respectively. Among the prediction models, the LightGBM model displayed the best ability for comprehensive prediction, with an AUC of 0.874, which surpassed the previous classic models of Egami (AUC = 0.581), Kobayashi (AUC = 0.524), Sano (AUC = 0.519), Fu (AUC = 0.578), and Formosa (AUC = 0.575).Conclusion: The machine learning LightGBM prediction model for IVIG-resistant KD patients was superior to previous models. Our findings may help to accomplish early identification of the risk of IVIG resistance and improve their outcomes.


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