scholarly journals Tropical Cyclone Landfall Frequency and Large-Scale Environmental Impacts along Karstic Coastal Regions (Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico)

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (17) ◽  
pp. 5815
Author(s):  
Victor H. Rivera-Monroy ◽  
Luis M. Farfán ◽  
Luis Brito-Castillo ◽  
Jorge Cortés-Ramos ◽  
Eduardo González-Rodríguez ◽  
...  

Tropical cyclones (TCs) are natural systems that develop over ocean basins and are key components of the atmospheric activity during the warm season. However, there are still knowledge gaps about the combined positive and negative TC impacts on the structure and function of coastal socio-ecosystems. Using remote sensing tools, we analyzed the frequency, trajectory, and intensity of 1894 TCs from 1851–2019 to identify vulnerable “hotspots” across the Yucatan Peninsula (YP), Mexico. A total of 151 events hit the YP, with 96% of landings on the eastern coast. We focused on three major hurricanes (Emily and Wilma, 2005; Dean, 2007) and one tropical storm (Stan, 2005) to determine the impacts on cumulative precipitation, vegetation change, and coastal phytoplankton (Chl-a) distribution across the YP. Despite a short inland incursion, Wilma’s environmental damage was coupled to strong winds (157–241 km/h), slow motion (4–9 km/h), and heavy precipitation (up to 770 mm). Because of an extensive footprint, Wilma caused more vegetation damage (29%) than Dean (20%), Emily (7%), and Stan (2%). All TCs caused a Chl-a increase associated to submarine discharge and upwelling off the peninsula coastlines. Disaster risk along the coast underscores negative economic impacts and positive ecological benefits at the regional scale.

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Richard Evan Feldman ◽  
Antonio Celis-Murillo ◽  
Jill L. Deppe ◽  
Michael P. Ward

Abstract Background For migrating birds, stopover requires spending time and energy that otherwise could be allocated to flying. Thus, birds optimally refuel their subsequent migratory flight by reducing stopover duration or foraging activity in food-rich environments. In coastal habitats, birds may forego refueling and take short stopovers irrespective of local food availability. Given the paucity of studies exploring how migrants adjust stopover behavior in response to temporal variation in food availability, especially in the Neotropics, we fixed radio tags to 51 Red-eyed Vireos (Vireo olivaceous) over two years at two sites on the coast of Mexico’s Yucatan Peninsula. Methods We applied VHF radio tags during the fall of 2016 and 2017, and tracked birds using automatic and manual receiving units. We estimated stopover duration and activity levels (one site only) for between six and fifteen birds, depending on site and year. We measured fruit availability weekly along the net lanes where we captured birds. We used a generalized linear model to estimate the relationships between stopover duration/activity level and fruit density, bird body mass and year. We interpreted relationships for the model with the lowest AICc value. Results We found that approximately half of the birds departed on the same day they were captured. For the birds that stayed longer, we could not discern whether they did so because they were light, or fruit density was high. On the other hand, lighter birds were more active than heavier birds but only in one of the two years. Conclusions Given our results, it is unlikely that Red-eyed Vireos refuel along the Yucatan coast. However, they still likely need to recuperate from crossing the Gulf of Mexico, which may necessitate foraging more often if in poor body condition. If the birds then move inland then stopover should be thought of as a large-scale phenomenon, where habitats with different functions may be spread out over a broad landscape.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Nicholas Paul Everett Mulcahy

<p>Hurricanes and tropical storms can cause large scale morphological changes to barrier beach systems in tropical environments. Many such systems are fronted by coral reefs; however, unlike siliciclastic barrier beaches, little is known about the significance of hurricanes to barrier beach evolution on coral-fringed calcium carbonate coastlines. This study provides a detailed assessment of the impacts of Hurricane Wilma, a major hurricane, on the reef-protected and exposed barrier beaches of northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. The study considers both the short (0-8 months) and medium term (8-56 months) response, and postulates the significance of major storm events over the longer term.  Hurricane Wilma made landfall in late October 2005 as a Category 4 hurricane, bringing sustained wind speeds of 67 ms-1, and storm waves with significant wave heights (HS) ≈ 13 m. The storm persisted for over 20 hours, while storm waves inundated the low lying barrier beaches and rainfall flooded inland wetlands and lagoons.  To determine the impacts of Hurricane Wilma and quantify post-storm recovery of reef-protected and unprotected barrier beaches, geomorphic mapping and post-storm surveying (2006 and 2010) was completed at 49 locations between Punta Nizuc and Punta Maroma. In addition, 220 sediment samples were collected from across barrier beaches and the backreef lagoon for textural and petrographic analysis. Satellite imagery was also used to quantify immediate storm impacts and recovery of the shoreline.  Barrier beaches were found to have responded to storm waves in two broadly different ways: reef-protected beaches accreted by between 2.1 and 24.6 m, as the beach and foredunes were reworked. In contrast, unprotected beaches underwent erosion of over 10 m. By 2006, reef-protected beaches had undergone rapid shoreface and beachface adjustment. Over the next four years, these beaches gradually transgressed landwards and aggraded subaerially as they readjusted to their pre-storm equilibrium beach profile. Exposed beaches responded much more rapidly than those protected by reefs, with shoreline adjustment occurring within eight months of the storm. Subaerial beach development was, however, much slower, requiring extended calm conditions to infill the eroded beach. The storm and post storm geomorphic responses were found to be highly variable alongshore, and influenced by several factors, including dune height, beach width, and wave exposure.  The results indicate that under the contemporary climatic conditions hurricanes are key drivers of barrier beach evolution over the short (0-8 months) to medium terms (8-56 months), but are not so influential over longer time scales. However, an expected increase in the number of major storms (category 3-5) in the future may increase the significance of hurricanes to longer term barrier evolution, with the storm impacts likely to be greater and the recovery times longer. Understanding these responses is particularly critical as many areas continue to be developed, and as the coral reef protecting the coastline becomes threatened by the implications of climatic change.</p>


2020 ◽  
Vol 30 (6) ◽  
pp. 1182-1193
Author(s):  
Juan Carlos Robles Herrejón ◽  
Benjamín Morales‐Vela ◽  
Alejandro Ortega‐Argueta ◽  
Carmen Pozo ◽  
León David Olivera‐Gómez

2008 ◽  
Vol 9 (6) ◽  
pp. 1334-1349 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mathew A. Barlow ◽  
Michael K. Tippett

Abstract Warm season river flows in central Asia, which play an important role in local water resources and agriculture, are shown to be closely related to the regional-scale climate variability of the preceding cold season. The peak river flows occur in the warm season (April–August) and are highly correlated with the regional patterns of precipitation, moisture transport, and jet-level winds of the preceding cold season (November–March), demonstrating the importance of regional-scale variability in determining the snowpack that eventually drives the rivers. This regional variability is, in turn, strongly linked to large-scale climate variability and tropical sea surface temperatures (SSTs), with the circulation anomalies influencing precipitation through changes in moisture transport. The leading pattern of regional climate variability, as resolved in the operationally updated NCEP–NCAR reanalysis, can be used to make a skillful seasonal forecast for individual river flow stations. This ability to make predictions based on regional-scale climate data is of particular use in this data-sparse area of the world. The river flow is considered in terms of 24 stations in Uzbekistan and Tajikistan available for 1950–85, with two additional stations available for 1958–2003. These stations encompass the headwaters of the Amu Darya and Syr Darya, two of the main rivers of central Asia and the primary feeders of the catastrophically shrinking Aral Sea. Canonical correlation analysis (CCA) is used to forecast April–August flows based on the period 1950–85; cross-validated correlations exceed 0.5 for 10 of the stations, with a maximum of 0.71. Skill remains high even after 1985 for two stations withheld from the CCA: the correlation for 1986–2002 for the Syr Darya at Chinaz is 0.71, and the correlation for the Amu Darya at Kerki is 0.77. The forecast is also correlated to the normalized difference vegetation index (NDVI); maximum values exceed 0.8 at 8-km resolution, confirming the strong connection between hydrology and growing season vegetation in the region and further validating the forecast methodology.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
◽  
Nicholas Paul Everett Mulcahy

<p>Hurricanes and tropical storms can cause large scale morphological changes to barrier beach systems in tropical environments. Many such systems are fronted by coral reefs; however, unlike siliciclastic barrier beaches, little is known about the significance of hurricanes to barrier beach evolution on coral-fringed calcium carbonate coastlines. This study provides a detailed assessment of the impacts of Hurricane Wilma, a major hurricane, on the reef-protected and exposed barrier beaches of northeastern Yucatan Peninsula, Mexico. The study considers both the short (0-8 months) and medium term (8-56 months) response, and postulates the significance of major storm events over the longer term.  Hurricane Wilma made landfall in late October 2005 as a Category 4 hurricane, bringing sustained wind speeds of 67 ms-1, and storm waves with significant wave heights (HS) ≈ 13 m. The storm persisted for over 20 hours, while storm waves inundated the low lying barrier beaches and rainfall flooded inland wetlands and lagoons.  To determine the impacts of Hurricane Wilma and quantify post-storm recovery of reef-protected and unprotected barrier beaches, geomorphic mapping and post-storm surveying (2006 and 2010) was completed at 49 locations between Punta Nizuc and Punta Maroma. In addition, 220 sediment samples were collected from across barrier beaches and the backreef lagoon for textural and petrographic analysis. Satellite imagery was also used to quantify immediate storm impacts and recovery of the shoreline.  Barrier beaches were found to have responded to storm waves in two broadly different ways: reef-protected beaches accreted by between 2.1 and 24.6 m, as the beach and foredunes were reworked. In contrast, unprotected beaches underwent erosion of over 10 m. By 2006, reef-protected beaches had undergone rapid shoreface and beachface adjustment. Over the next four years, these beaches gradually transgressed landwards and aggraded subaerially as they readjusted to their pre-storm equilibrium beach profile. Exposed beaches responded much more rapidly than those protected by reefs, with shoreline adjustment occurring within eight months of the storm. Subaerial beach development was, however, much slower, requiring extended calm conditions to infill the eroded beach. The storm and post storm geomorphic responses were found to be highly variable alongshore, and influenced by several factors, including dune height, beach width, and wave exposure.  The results indicate that under the contemporary climatic conditions hurricanes are key drivers of barrier beach evolution over the short (0-8 months) to medium terms (8-56 months), but are not so influential over longer time scales. However, an expected increase in the number of major storms (category 3-5) in the future may increase the significance of hurricanes to longer term barrier evolution, with the storm impacts likely to be greater and the recovery times longer. Understanding these responses is particularly critical as many areas continue to be developed, and as the coral reef protecting the coastline becomes threatened by the implications of climatic change.</p>


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