scholarly journals A New Methodology for Decision-Making in Buildings Energy Optimization

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (13) ◽  
pp. 4558 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio E. Masdías-Bonome ◽  
José A. Orosa ◽  
Diego Vergara
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Optimal Conditions ◽  
Iterative Calculation ◽  
Reduce Energy Consumption ◽  
The One

When designing or retrofitting a building, not too many tools let architects and engineers to define the optimal conditions to reduce energy consumption with the minimal economic investment. This is because different software resources must be employed and an iterative calculation must be done which, most of times, is not possible. The present study aims to define an original methodology that let researchers and architects to select the best option between different possibilities. To reach this objective, Monte Carlo method is employed on the ISO 13790 standard reaching the probability distribution of the energy consumption of each building after each possible modification. From main results, two mathematical models were obtained from a real case study showing the relation between annual energy consumption and economic investment of each different building retrofits. What is more, in disagreement with the expected result, the best retrofit option was not the one with the highest cost and qualities. In conclusion, this methodology can be a useful tool for researchers and professionals to improve their decision-making.

scholarly journals Prediksi Tingkat Penerimaan Lulusan Siswa Kejuruan dalam Dunia Usaha dan Industri Menggunakan Metode Monte Carlo

2020 ◽  
pp. 84-89
Author(s):  
Hasanatul Iftitah ◽  
Y Yuhandri
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Vocational School ◽  
Vocational Schools ◽  
Random Numbers ◽  
Vocational High School ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Academic Year

Vocational High School (SMK) Negeri 4 Kota Jambi is one of the favorite vocational schools in Jambi City which is also the only pure tourism vocational school in Jambi Province. SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi has several vocational majors, namely culinary, beauty, fashion and hospitality. In general, students who choose to attend vocational schools have the hope of being able to work immediately after graduating from school, they do not need to continue to study to be able to work. In this study, researchers will predict the level of acceptance of students from SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi in the business and industrial world using the Monte Carlo method. Monte Carlo is a method that can find values ​​that are close to the actual value of events that will occur based on the distribution of sampling data. The technique of this method is to select random numbers from the probability distribution to perform the simulation. The data used in this study is the data of students from SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi who worked from the 2015/2016 Academic Year to the 2018/2019 Academic Year. Furthermore, the data will be processed using the Monte Carlo method. The simulation will be implemented using PHP programming. The result of this research is the level of prediction accuracy of students of SMK Negeri 4 Kota Jambi who are accepted in the business and industrial world using the Monte Carlo method is 84%.

scholarly journals Stochastic energy-demand analyses with random input parameters for the single-family house

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marcin Koniorczyk ◽  
Witold Grymin ◽  
Marcin Zygmunt ◽  
Dalia Bednarska ◽  
Alicja Wieczorek ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Stochastic Perturbation ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Single Family ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Stochastic Perturbation Method ◽  
Family House

AbstractIn the analyses of the uncertainty propagation of buildings’ energy-demand, the Monte Carlo method is commonly used. In this study we present two alternative approaches: the stochastic perturbation method and the transformed random variable method. The energy-demand analysis is performed for the representative single-family house in Poland. The investigation is focused on two independent variables, considered as uncertain, the expanded polystyrene thermal conductivity and external temperature; however the generalization on any countable number of parameters is possible. Afterwards, the propagation of the uncertainty in the calculations of the energy consumption has been investigated using two aforementioned approaches. The stochastic perturbation method is used to determine the expected value and central moments of the energy consumption, while the transformed random variable method allows to obtain the explicit form of energy consumption probability density function and further characteristic parameters like quantiles of energy consumption. The calculated data evinces a high accordance with the results obtained by means of the Monte Carlo method. The most important conclusions are related to the computational cost reduction, simplicity of the application and the appropriateness of the proposed approaches for the buildings’ energy-demand calculations.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Influence Subjective Human Parameters in the Calculation of Thermal Comfort and Energy Consumption of Buildings

Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (8) ◽  
pp. 1531 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Robledo-Fava ◽  
Mónica C. Hernández-Luna ◽  
Pedro Fernández-de-Córdoba ◽  
Humberto Michinel ◽  
Sonia Zaragoza ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Energy Consumption ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Numerical Model ◽  
Thermal Comfort ◽  
Energy Demand ◽  
Measured Data ◽  
Point Temperature ◽  
Set Point ◽  
Indoor Comfort

In the present work, we analyze the influence of the designer’s choice of values for the human metabolic index (met) and insulation by clothing (clo) that can be selected within the ISO 7730 for the calculation of the energy demand of buildings. To this aim, we first numerically modeled, using TRNSYS, two buildings in different countries and climatologies. Then, we consistently validated our simulations by predicting indoor temperatures and comparing them with measured data. After that, the energy demand of both buildings was obtained. Subsequently, the variability of the set-point temperature concerning the choice of clo and met, within limits prescribed in ISO 7730, was analyzed using a Monte Carlo method. This variability of the interior comfort conditions has been finally used in the numerical model previously validated, to calculate the changes in the energy demand of the two buildings. Therefore, this work demonstrated that the diversity of possibilities offered by ISO 7730 for the choice of clo and met results, depending on the values chosen by the designer, in significant differences in indoor comfort conditions, leading to non-negligible changes in the calculations of energy consumption, especially in the case of big buildings.

scholarly journals Analysis of the Accuracy of the Calculation of the Diaphragm Area by the Monte Carlo Method

2020 ◽  
pp. 22-26
Author(s):  
O. D. Kupko
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Standard Deviation ◽  
Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Circular Aperture ◽  
The Monte Carlo Method ◽  
Relative Standard ◽  
Uniform Probability Distribution ◽  
Standard Deviations ◽  
The Difference

The process of measuring the area of a circular diaphragm using a device that determines the coordinates of the boundary of the diaphragm is theoretically considered. The Monte Carlo method with a small number of implementations was used. The procedure for calculating the area is described in detail. We considered a circular aperture with a precisely known radius. On the circumference of the diaphragm, the coordinate measuring points vibrated through 0.1, 0.3, 0.6, and π/2 radians vibrated. To simulate random deviations (uncertainties) when measuring coordinates, random additives were used with a uniform probability distribution and a given standard deviation. For each case, the areas were calculated in accordance with the proposed procedure. The difference in the results of calculating the area from the true area depending on the number of measurement points and the standard deviation of random additives is analyzed. It is shown that the ratio of the relative standard deviations of the area to the relative standard deviations of the coordinates is approximately the same for each number of measurements. The dependence of this relationship on the number of measurements is determined. The results obtained are analyzed.

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