scholarly journals What’s in a Name: A Bayesian Hierarchical Analysis of the Name-Letter Effect

2012 ◽  
Vol 3 ◽  
Author(s):  
Oliver Dyjas ◽  
Raoul P. P. P. Grasman ◽  
Ruud Wetzels ◽  
Han L. J. van der Maas ◽  
Eric-Jan Wagenmakers
2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 57-91 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rachael Meager

Despite evidence from multiple randomized evaluations of microcredit, questions about external validity have impeded consensus on the results. I jointly estimate the average effect and the heterogeneity in effects across seven studies using Bayesian hierarchical models. I  find the impact on household business and consumption variables is unlikely to be transformative and may be negligible. I find reasonable external validity: true heterogeneity in effects is moderate, and approximately 60 percent of observed heterogeneity is sampling variation. Households with previous business experience have larger but more heterogeneous effects. Economic features of microcredit interventions predict variation in effects better than studies’ evaluation protocols. (JEL D14, G21, I38, O12, O16, P34, P36)


2010 ◽  
Vol 15 (3) ◽  
pp. 290-307 ◽  
Author(s):  
Taeryon Choi ◽  
Mark J. Schervish ◽  
Ketra A. Schmitt ◽  
Mitchell J. Small

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rachael Meager

This paper develops methods to aggregate evidence on distributional treatment effects from multiple studies conducted in different settings, and applies them to the microcredit literature. Several randomized trials of expanding access to microcredit found substantial effects on the tails of household outcome distributions, but the extent to which these findings generalize to future settings was not known. Aggregating the evidence on sets of quantile effects poses additional challenges relative to average effects because distributional effects must imply monotonic quantiles and pass information across quantiles. Using a Bayesian hierarchical framework, I develop new models to aggregate distributional effects and assess their generalizability. For continuous outcome variables, the methodological challenges are addressed by applying transforms to the unknown parameters. For partially discrete variables such as business profits, I use contextual economic knowledge to build tailored parametric aggregation models. I find generalizable evidence that microcredit has negligible impact on the distribution of various household outcomes below the 75th percentile, but above this point there is no generalizable prediction.


2008 ◽  
Vol 42 (15) ◽  
pp. 5607-5614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas J. Santner ◽  
Peter F. Craigmile ◽  
Catherine A. Calder ◽  
Rajib Paul

2003 ◽  
Vol 36 (15) ◽  
pp. 421-425
Author(s):  
O.F. Agbaje ◽  
S.D. Luzio ◽  
A.I.S. Albarrak ◽  
D.J. Lunn ◽  
D.R. Owens ◽  
...  

2004 ◽  
Vol 61 (6) ◽  
pp. 1032-1047 ◽  
Author(s):  
Catherine GJ Michielsens ◽  
Murdoch K McAllister

Stock–recruit functions are important in fisheries stock assessment, but there is often uncertainty surrounding the appropriate stock–recruit model and its parameter values. Combining different stock–recruit data sets of related species through Bayesian hierarchical analysis can decrease these uncertainties and help to characterize appropriate stock–recruit forms and ranges of plausible parameter values. Two different stock–recruit functions (Beverton–Holt and Ricker) have been parameterized in terms of the steepness, which is a parameter that is comparable between populations. In the hierarchical analysis, the prior probability distribution of parameters for the cross-population variation in steepness is determined through a concise model structure. By calculating the Bayes' posteriors for alternative model forms, model uncertainty is accounted for. This methodology has been applied to Atlantic salmon (Salmo salar) stock–recruit data to provide predictions for the steepness of the stock–recruit function for Baltic salmon for which no stock–recruit data exist.


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