scholarly journals Job Polarization and Jobless Recoveries

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nir Jaimovich ◽  
Henry Siu
2020 ◽  
Vol 102 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-147 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nir Jaimovich ◽  
Henry E. Siu

Job polarization refers to the shrinking share of employment in middle-skill, routine occupations experienced over the past 35 years. Jobless recoveries refers to the slow rebound in aggregate employment following recent recessions despite recoveries in aggregate output. We show how these two phenomena are related. First, essentially all employment loss in routine occupations occurs in economic downturns. Second, jobless recoveries in the aggregate can be accounted for by jobless recoveries in the routine occupations that are disappearing.


CFA Digest ◽  
2004 ◽  
Vol 34 (1) ◽  
pp. 38-39
Author(s):  
Lester C. Cheng
Keyword(s):  

2021 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tobias Föll

Abstract The Great Recession has drawn attention to the importance of macro-financial linkages. In this paper I explore the joint role of imperfections in labor and financial markets for the cyclical adjustment of the labor market. I show that jobless recoveries emerge when, upon exiting a recession, firms are faced with deteriorating credit conditions. On the financial side, collateral requirements affect the cost of borrowing for firms. On the employment side, hiring frictions and wage rigidity increase the need for credit, making the binding collateral constraint more relevant. In a general equilibrium business cycle model with search and matching frictions, I illustrate that tightening credit conditions calibrated from data negatively affect employment adjustments during recovery periods. Wage rigidity substantially amplifies this mechanism, generating empirically plausible fluctuations in employment and output.


2017 ◽  
Vol 107 (5) ◽  
pp. 168-173 ◽  
Author(s):  
Georg Graetz ◽  
Guy Michaels

Since the early 1990s, recoveries from recessions in the US have been plagued by weak employment growth. We investigate whether a similar problem afflicts other developed economies, and whether technology is a culprit. We study recoveries from 71 recessions in 28 industries and 17 countries from 1970-2011. We find that though GDP recovered more slowly after recent recessions, employment did not. Industries that used more routine tasks, and those more exposed to robotization, did not recently experience slower employment recoveries. Finally, middle-skill employment did not recover more slowly after recent recessions, and this pattern was no different in routine-intensive industries.


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