scholarly journals UTILIZING SITE CHARACTERISTICS IN NEURAL NETWORK MODELLING OF PERCENTAGE COST-TIME OVERRUN OF BUILDING PROJECTS

2017 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-15
Author(s):  
A. O. Ujene ◽  
A. A. Umoh
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Cost Overrun ◽  
Construction Costs ◽  
Network Modelling ◽  
Building Projects ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Site Characteristics ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
The Cost ◽  
Prediction Approach

This study evaluated the site characteristics influencing the time and cost delivery of building projects, determined the range of percentage cost and time overrun and developed a neural network model for predicting the percentage cost and time overrun using the site characteristics of building projects. The study evaluated twelve site characteristics and two performance indicators obtained from records of construction costs, contract documents, and valuation reports of 126 purposively sampled building projects spread across several cities in Nigeria. Analyses were with descriptive and artificial neural network. It was concluded that with fairly favourable site characteristics, cost overrun range reached 77.95% with a mean variation of 44.36%, while time overrun range reached 51.23% with a mean variation of 26.77%. It was found that the accuracy performance levels of 91.93% and 91.43% for the cost and time overrun predictions respectively were very high for the optimum models. Building projects have eight significant site characteristics which can be used to reliably predict the percentage overrun, among which the ground water level, level of available infrastructure and labour proximity around the site are the most important predictors of cost and time overrun. The study recommended that project owners, consultants, contractors and other stakeholders should always use the eight identified site characteristics in predicting percentage cost and time overrun, with more priority on the first three characteristics. The study also recommended the neural network prediction approach due to its prediction accuracy.

Location Selection of Public Transit Transfer Hubs Based on Gray NN Model Improved by GA

2013 ◽  
Vol 660 ◽  
pp. 174-178
Author(s):  
Min An Tang ◽  
Xiao Ming Wang ◽  
Shuang Yuan ◽  
Zhen Rong Sun
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Public Transit ◽  
Small Sample ◽  
Location Selection ◽  
Lanzhou City ◽  
Gray System Theory ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Public Traffic ◽  
Neural Network Prediction

The public traffic flow has the gray characteristics of “small sample and poor information”, thereby a forecast method for transfer flow based on the gray soft computing is proposed. This method utilizes the gray system theory to establish gray neural network prediction model, aiming to improve performance of the neural network as well as the accuracy of the system’s prediction by using genetic algorithm. The results show that the optimized model can more accurately predict the traffic flow, providing a more effective way of location selection for public transit transfer hubs. Finally, take the planning of public transit transfer hubs in Lanzhou City as an example to carry out empirical analysis and evaluation for the transfer hubs using this method

scholarly journals Optimization of machining parameters during Drilling by Taguchi based Design of Experiments and Validation by Neural Network

2018 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 294-301
Author(s):  
Reddy Sreenivasulu ◽  
Chalamalasetti SrinivasaRao
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Design Of Experiments ◽  
Computational Cost ◽  
Machining Parameters ◽  
Burr Size ◽  
Taguchi Design Of Experiments ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Input Parameters ◽  
Hole Making ◽  
The Cost

Drilling is a hole making process on machine components at the time of assembly work, which are identify everywhere. In precise applications, quality and accuracy play a wide role. Nowadays’ industries suffer due to the cost incurred during deburring, especially in precise assemblies such as aerospace/aircraft body structures, marine works and automobile industries. Burrs produced during drilling causes dimensional errors, jamming of parts and misalignment. Therefore, deburring operation after drilling is often required. Now, reducing burr size is a serious topic. In this study experiments are conducted by choosing various input parameters selected from previous researchers. The effect of alteration of drill geometry on thrust force and burr size of drilled hole was investigated by the Taguchi design of experiments and found an optimum combination of the most significant input parameters from ANOVA to get optimum reduction in terms of burr size by design expert software. Drill thrust influences more on burr size. The clearance angle of the drill bit causes variation in thrust. The burr height is observed in this study.  These output results are compared with the neural network software @easy NN plus. Finally, it is concluded that by increasing the number of nodes the computational cost increases and the error in nueral network decreases. Good agreement was shown between the predictive model results and the experimental responses.  

scholarly journals Axle Temperature Monitoring and Neural Network Prediction Analysis for High-Speed Train under Operation

Symmetry ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (10) ◽  
pp. 1662
Author(s):  
Wei Hao ◽  
Feng Liu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Network Model ◽  
Neural Network Model ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Prediction Method ◽  
High Speed Train ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Network Prediction ◽  
Trained Neural Network

Predicting the axle temperature states of the high-speed train under operation in advance and evaluating working states of axle bearings is important for improving the safety of train operation and reducing accident risks. The method of monitoring the axle temperature of a train under operation, combined with the neural network prediction method, was applied. A total of 36 sensors were arranged at key positions such as the axle bearings of the train gearbox and the driving end of the traction motor. The positions of the sensors were symmetrical. Axle temperature measurements over 11 days with more than 38,000 km were obtained. The law of the change of the axle temperature in each section was obtained in different environments. The resultant data from the previous 10 days were used to train the neural network model, and a total of 800 samples were randomly selected from eight typical locations for the prediction of axle temperature over the following 3 min. In addition, the results predicted by the neural network method and the GM (1,1) method were compared. The results show that the predicted temperature of the trained neural network model is in good agreement with the experimental temperature, with higher precision than that of the GM (1,1) method, indicating that the proposed method is sufficiently accurate and can be a reliable tool for predicting axle temperature.

The Neural Network Prediction to the Wear and Tear Fault of Thrust Bearing in Air Compressor

2013 ◽  
Vol 333-335 ◽  
pp. 1758-1761
Author(s):  
Song He Zhang ◽  
Yue Gang Luo ◽  
Bin Wu ◽  
Bing Cheng Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Traditional Method ◽  
Thrust Bearing ◽  
Axial Thrust ◽  
Air Compressor ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Wear And Tear ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Tear Fault ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Ann

The wear and tear allowances (displacements) of axial thrust bearing in air compressor was diagnosed and predicted, applying the model of artificial neural network (ANN), and compared with the traditional method of diagnosis and prediction. It showed that the results of diagnosis and prediction are more precise than that of traditional method. It can diagnosis and predicts the wear and tear allowances of axial thrust bearing better.

scholarly journals Effect of different parameters of heterogeneous dams on safety factor using the neural network. Case study: Marvan dam

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (02) ◽  
pp. 126-138
Author(s):  
B. Beiranvand ◽  
A. Mohammadzade ◽  
M. Komasi
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Factor Of Safety ◽  
Pore Water Pressure ◽  
Water Pressure ◽  
Drainage System ◽  
Friction Angle ◽  
The Body ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
The Cost

The drainage system is used to guide the flow of water in the earth dams. Construction of drainage in the dam body to collect and direct the drainage formed in the dam body to keep the slope dry and prevent the increase of pore water pressure in the body. One of the main goals of the designers is to find the minimum factor of safety and, consequently, reduce the cost of construction. In this study, the Marvak dam is modeled with the actual characteristics of the materials in the Geostudio software, and with the change in the dimensions of the drain, the material and the slope of the dam body, the minimum Factor of safety of the dam is obtained. In order to predict the minimum Factor of safety, a two-layer neural network has been used. With the training of the neural network based on the data obtained from heterogeneous dams, a minimum Factor of safety has been extracted for optimization of drainage. Finally, it was determined that the internal friction angle of the body material and the slope of the dam have the greatest effect on the dam factor of safety.

scholarly journals Selection of the optimal type of thermal insulation structure based on the neural network modelling

2020 ◽  
Vol 216 ◽  
pp. 01037
Author(s):  
Irina Akhmetova ◽  
Elena Balzamova ◽  
Veronika Bronskaya ◽  
Denis Balzamov ◽  
Konstantin Lapin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Web Application ◽  
District Heating ◽  
Heat Network ◽  
Network Modelling ◽  
Query Log ◽  
Neural Network Modelling ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Selection Of ◽  
Optimal Type

A software package with the user interface for calculating, analyzing and predicting the parameters of cogeneration-based district heating based on the neural network modelling is presented in order to optimize and ensure the reliability of heat networks. The package is the basis for a web-application that allows to calculate the characteristics of the heat network in accordance with the model, keep a query log and provide the possibility of administration.

scholarly journals Innovative management neural network modelling based on logistic theory

2018 ◽  
Vol 239 ◽  
pp. 04021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olga Kalinina ◽  
Eduard Balchik ◽  
Sergei Barykin
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Research Area ◽  
Network Modelling ◽  
Specific Flow ◽  
Industrial Enterprises ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
The Social ◽  
Innovative Management ◽  
True Knowledge ◽  
Material Values

Logistical approach assumes the scheme of the variety of flows, including financial resources, material values and information with all of them being united in a specific flow of logistical resources. The paper covers the concept that the stages of the study are likely to form the research area being described as the net of the characteristics of the social and economic system subject to researcher consideration. The neural network considers attitudes of modern scientific thought on obtaining objectively true knowledge about the surrounding reality on the basis of the theory of logistic studies of unique innovative management developing systems. The different principles of training neural networks enable to independently determine the degree of influence of certain factors on the result of operations. Continuous innovative development of production processes, ongoing automation processes in all areas of industrial enterprises and other related changes in the knowledge economy increase the role of information and its processing in providing competitive advantages.

Research on the BPNN in the Prediction of PMV

2010 ◽  
Vol 29-32 ◽  
pp. 2804-2808 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Yao ◽  
Jin Xu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Iterative Process ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Mean Radiant Temperature ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Air Velocity ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Radiant Temperature ◽  
Prediction Approach ◽  
Bpnn Model

In view of the problem that it is difficult to calculate the Fanger’s PMV equation due to its complicated iterative process, a backpropagation neural network (BPNN) model was built to predict PMV. Air temperature, relative humidity, mean radiant temperature, air velocity, metabolic rate and clothing index were used as the input of neural network and PMV output as the output of the neural network. The results show that this prediction approach is very effective and has higher accuracy absolute error below 5%. As a conclusion, this study has a real significance, because it gives a new method with reliability and accuracy in the prediction of PMV.

Research on the Application of the Prediction of the Expressway Traffic Flow Based on the Neural Network with Genetic Algorithm

2011 ◽  
Vol 189-193 ◽  
pp. 4400-4404 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chun Mei Zhu ◽  
Chang Peng Yan ◽  
Xiao Li Xu ◽  
Guo Xin Wu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Genetic Algorithm ◽  
Traffic Flow ◽  
Bp Neural Network ◽  
Mixed Model ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Neural Network Prediction ◽  
Speed Up ◽  
Neural Network Algorithm ◽  
Genetic Neural Network

In order to improve the efficiency and accuracy of the prediction of expressway traffic flow, this paper, based on the characteristics of the data of the expressway traffic flow, focuses on an optimized method of prediction with the application of the neural network with genetic algorithm. Applying genetic algorithm, optimizing BP neural network structure and establishing a new mixed model, this algorithm speed up the slow convergence velocity of traditional BP neural network prediction and increases the possibility to escape local minima. This algorithm based on the optimized genetic neural network predicts the actual data of the expressway traffic flow, the result of which shows that the application of the optimized method of prediction with the genetic neural network algorithm is effective and that it improves the rate and the accuracy of the prediction of the expressway traffic flow.

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