A GIS-based decision making model using fuzzy sets and theory of evidence for seismic vulnerability assessment under uncertainty (case study: Tabriz)

2017 ◽  
Vol 33 (3) ◽  
pp. 1969-1981 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mansoureh Sadrykia ◽  
Mahmoud Reza Delavar ◽  
Mehdi Zare
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (18) ◽  
pp. 6411 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehsan Harirchian ◽  
Kirti Jadhav ◽  
Kifaytullah Mohammad ◽  
Seyed Ehsan Aghakouchaki Hosseini ◽  
Tom Lahmer

Recently, the demand for residence and usage of urban infrastructure has been increased, thereby resulting in the elevation of risk levels of human lives over natural calamities. The occupancy demand has rapidly increased the construction rate, whereas the inadequate design of structures prone to more vulnerability. Buildings constructed before the development of seismic codes have an additional susceptibility to earthquake vibrations. The structural collapse causes an economic loss as well as setbacks for human lives. An application of different theoretical methods to analyze the structural behavior is expensive and time-consuming. Therefore, introducing a rapid vulnerability assessment method to check structural performances is necessary for future developments. The process, as mentioned earlier, is known as Rapid Visual Screening (RVS). This technique has been generated to identify, inventory, and screen structures that are potentially hazardous. Sometimes, poor construction quality does not provide some of the required parameters; in this case, the RVS process turns into a tedious scenario. Hence, to tackle such a situation, multiple-criteria decision-making (MCDM) methods for the seismic vulnerability assessment opens a new gateway. The different parameters required by RVS can be taken in MCDM. MCDM evaluates multiple conflicting criteria in decision making in several fields. This paper has aimed to bridge the gap between RVS and MCDM. Furthermore, to define the correlation between these techniques, implementation of the methodologies from Indian, Turkish, and Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) codes has been done. The effects of seismic vulnerability of structures have been observed and compared.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (24) ◽  
pp. 7038 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jihye Han ◽  
Soyoung Park ◽  
Seongheon Kim ◽  
Sanghun Son ◽  
Seonghyeok Lee ◽  
...  

In this study, we performed seismic vulnerability assessment and mapping of the ML5.8 Gyeongju Earthquake in Gyeongju, South Korea, as a case study. We applied logistic regression (LR) and four kernel models based on the support vector machine (SVM) learning method to derive suitable models for assessing seismic vulnerabilities; the results of each model were then mapped and evaluated. Dependent variables were quantified using buildings damaged in the 9.12 Gyeongju Earthquake, and independent variables were constructed and used as spatial databases by selecting 15 sub-indicators related to earthquakes. Success and prediction rates were calculated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves. The success rates of the models (LR, SVM models based on linear, polynomial, radial basis function, and sigmoid kernels) were 0.652, 0.649, 0.842, 0.998, and 0.630, respectively, and the prediction rates were 0.714, 0.651, 0.804, 0.919, and 0.629, respectively. Among the five models, RBF-SVM showed the highest performance. Seismic vulnerability maps were created for each of the five models and were graded as safe, low, moderate, high, or very high. Finally, we examined the distribution of building classes among the 23 administrative districts of Gyeongju. The common vulnerable regions among all five maps were Jungbu-dong and Hwangnam-dong, and the common safe region among all five maps was Gangdong-myeon.


2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (11) ◽  
pp. 444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mohsen Alizadeh ◽  
Mazlan Hashim ◽  
Esmaeil Alizadeh ◽  
Himan Shahabi ◽  
Mohammad Karami ◽  
...  

Earthquakes are among the most catastrophic natural geo-hazards worldwide and endanger numerous lives annually. Therefore, it is vital to evaluate seismic vulnerability beforehand to decrease future fatalities. The aim of this research is to assess the seismic vulnerability of residential houses in an urban region on the basis of the Multi-Criteria Decision Making (MCDM) model, including the analytic hierarchy process (AHP) and geographical information system (GIS). Tabriz city located adjacent to the North Tabriz Fault (NTF) in North-West Iran was selected as a case study. The NTF is one of the major seismogenic faults in the north-western part of Iran. First, several parameters such as distance to fault, percent of slope, and geology layers were used to develop a geotechnical map. In addition, the structural construction materials, building materials, size of building blocks, quality of buildings and buildings-floors were used as key factors impacting on the building’s structural vulnerability in residential areas. Subsequently, the AHP technique was adopted to measure the priority ranking, criteria weight (layers), and alternatives (classes) of every criterion through pair-wise comparison at all levels. Lastly, the layers of geotechnical and spatial structures were superimposed to design the seismic vulnerability map of buildings in the residential area of Tabriz city. The results showed that South and Southeast areas of Tabriz city exhibit low to moderate vulnerability, while some regions of the north-eastern area are under severe vulnerability conditions. In conclusion, the suggested approach offers a practical and effective evaluation of Seismic Vulnerability Assessment (SVA) and provides valuable information that could assist urban planners during mitigation and preparatory phases of less examined areas in many other regions around the world.


2013 ◽  
Vol 11 (5) ◽  
pp. 1753-1773 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tiago Miguel Ferreira ◽  
Romeu Vicente ◽  
J. A. R. Mendes da Silva ◽  
Humberto Varum ◽  
Aníbal Costa

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