scholarly journals Post-Normal Climate Science

2012 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Werner Krauss ◽  
Mike S. Schäfer ◽  
Hans von Storch
Keyword(s):  
Climate Science ◽  
Scientific Policy ◽  
Normal Science ◽  
Normative Judgment ◽  
Climate Research ◽  
Social Realm ◽  
Scientific Policy Advice ◽  
Management Of Uncertainty ◽  
Special Symposium

This special symposium grew out of a workshop held in Hamburg in 2011 (Krauss and von Storch 2012) and of a long-term interest in climate research as post-normal science. A decade earlier, Dennis Bray and Hans von Storch (1999) stated that the management of uncertainty and its extension into the political and social realm make climate science a case for post-normal science. Interpreting a survey among German and American climate scientists, they suggested that scientific policy advice is the result of both scientific knowledge and normative judgment.

scholarly journals Co-producing “Post-normal” Climate Knowledge with Communities in Northeast Bangladesh

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 259-268 ◽  
Author(s):  
S. Bremer ◽  
M. Stiller-Reeve ◽  
A. Blanchard ◽  
N. Mamnun ◽  
Z. Naznin ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Science ◽  
Science Inquiry ◽  
Research Process ◽  
Normal Science ◽  
Research Practice ◽  
Climate Research ◽  
Science Theory ◽  
Climate Knowledge ◽  
Production Research ◽  
Concepts Of Knowledge

Abstract Concepts of knowledge “co-production” are increasingly encouraged in climate research, including as an extended mode of climate science inquiry. So-called “post-normal” science offers opportunities to advance this branch of co-production research with theory and methods. However, the literature lacks material of how to “do” climate knowledge co-production as extended science, and particularly as post-normal science. This paper presents an account of post-normal science theory and how it guided the TRACKS (Transforming Climate Knowledge with and for Society) project’s research practice, co-producing climate knowledge with communities in northeast Bangladesh. Key principles of post-normal science are described and explanations given of how they were translated into the research process, and specifically into workshops. The paper therefore provides insights for scholars and practitioners on one form of knowledge co-production, and thus contributes to this growing scholarship.

Long-Term Monitoring and Research in the Clarion-Clipperton Zone

2021 ◽  
Vol 55 (6) ◽  
pp. 16-21
Author(s):  
Laurence P. Madin
Keyword(s):  
Large Scale ◽  
Renewable Energy Sources ◽  
Academic Research ◽  
Climate Science ◽  
Polymetallic Nodules ◽  
Continuous Presence ◽  
Offshore Oil Industry ◽  
Offshore Oil ◽  
Term Monitoring

Abstract The widely recognized need for large-scale transition from fossil to renewable energy sources has led to renewed effort to obtain metals needed for battery-based electric transportation and other functions. A potential source of some of these metals is the deposits of polymetallic nodules on the deep seafloor. If mining of these deposits proceeds in the coming decade, the enterprise creates an opportunity for extensive, long-term oceanographic research in the mining locations. The need to monitor environmental effects of mining activity can best be met with a near-continuous presence of a research platform in the vicinity. The platform could be a ship or potentially a semi-submersible platform like those used in the offshore oil industry. Such a facility might be supported by a consortium of mining companies and also provide opportunities for academic research in ocean and climate science.

scholarly journals What Does Good Science-Based Advice to Politics Look Like?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martin Carrier
Keyword(s):  
Social Values ◽  
Moral Values ◽  
Policy Advice ◽  
Social Goals ◽  
Scientific Policy ◽  
Good Science ◽  
The Public ◽  
Scientific Policy Advice ◽  
Political Economic ◽  
Value Free Ideal

AbstractI address options for providing scientific policy advice and explore the relation between scientific knowledge and political, economic and moral values. I argue that such nonepistemic values are essential for establishing the significance of questions and the relevance of evidence, while, on the other hand, such social choices are the prerogative of society. This tension can be resolved by recognizing social values and identifying them as separate premises or as commissions while withholding commitment to them, and by elaborating a plurality of policy packages that envisage the implementation of different social goals. There are limits to upholding the value-free ideal in scientific research. But by following the mentioned strategy, science can give useful policy advice by leaving the value-free ideal largely intact. Such scientific restraint avoids the risk of appearing to illegitimately impose values on the public and could make the advice given more trustworthy.

scholarly journals Long Term Land-Cover Changes on Regional to Global Scales Inferred From Fossil Pollen – How to Meet the Challenges of Climate Research?

PAGES news ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 8 (3) ◽  
pp. 30-32 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marie-José Gaillard ◽  
S Sugita ◽  
A Broström ◽  
M Eklöf ◽  
P Pilesjö
Keyword(s):  
Land Cover ◽  
Land Cover Changes ◽  
Fossil Pollen ◽  
Climate Research

The Weather Roulette: A Game to Communicate the Usefulness of Probabilistic Climate Predictions

2019 ◽  
Vol 100 (10) ◽  
pp. 1909-1921 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marta Terrado ◽  
Llorenç Lledó ◽  
Dragana Bojovic ◽  
Asun Lera St. Clair ◽  
Albert Soret ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Decision Making ◽  
Return On Investment ◽  
Climate Science ◽  
Skill Score ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Business Sector ◽  
Weather Forecasts ◽  
Climate Anomalies ◽  
Forecast Quality

AbstractClimate predictions, from three weeks to a decade into the future, can provide invaluable information for climate-sensitive socioeconomic sectors, such as renewable energy, agriculture, or insurance. However, communicating and interpreting these predictions is not straightforward. Barriers hindering user uptake include a terminology gap between climate scientists and users, the difficulties of dealing with probabilistic outcomes for decision-making, and the lower skill of climate predictions compared to the skill of weather forecasts. This paper presents a gaming approach to break communication and understanding barriers through the application of the Weather Roulette conceptual framework. In the game, the player can choose between two forecast options, one that uses ECMWF seasonal predictions against one using climatology-derived probabilities. For each forecast option, the bet is spread proportionally to the predicted probabilities, either in a single year game or a game for the whole period of 33 past years. This paper provides skill maps of forecast quality metrics commonly used by the climate prediction community (e.g., ignorance skill score and ranked probability skill score), which in the game are linked to metrics easily understood by the business sector (e.g., interest rate and return on investment). In a simplified context, we illustrate how in skillful regions the economic benefits of using ECMWF predictions arise in the long term and are higher than using climatology. This paper provides an example of how to convey the usefulness of climate predictions and transfer the knowledge from climate science to potential users. If applied, this approach could provide the basis for a better integration of knowledge about climate anomalies into operational and managerial processes.

Making behavioral science integral to climate science and action

2020 ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
BARUCH FISCHHOFF
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Public Discourse ◽  
Behavioral Science ◽  
Climate Science ◽  
Behavioral Sciences ◽  
Quarter Century ◽  
Science And Policy ◽  
Climate Research ◽  
Quantitative Estimates

Abstract The behavioral sciences were there at the beginning of the systematic study of climate change. However, in the ensuing quarter century, they largely faded from view, during which time public discourse and policy evolved without them. That disengagement and the recent reengagement suggest lessons for the future role of the behavioral sciences in climate science and policy. Looking forward, the greatest promise lies in projects that make behavioral science integral to climate science by: (1) translating behavioral results into the quantitative estimates that climate analyses need; (2) making climate research more relevant to climate-related decisions; and (3) treating the analytical process as a behavioral enterprise, potentially subject to imperfection and improvement. Such collaborations could afford the behavioral sciences more central roles in setting climate-related policies, as well as implementing them. They require, and may motivate, changes in academic priorities.

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