Analysis of the Requirements for the Establishment of a Medium-to Long-term Childcare Policy for the Basic Local Government: Gwangyang City

2019 ◽  
Vol 33 (2) ◽  
pp. 71-94
Author(s):  
Jin Sook Choi ◽  
◽  
Dae Myung Kim ◽  
Jung Youn Ha ◽  
◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Local Government ◽  
Childcare Policy

Forecasting Revenue Impacts from COVID-19: The Case of Florida Municipalities

2021 ◽  
pp. 0160323X2110120
Author(s):  
Hai (David) Guo ◽  
Can Chen
Keyword(s):  
Local Government ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Fiscal Planning ◽  
Revenue Structure ◽  
Municipal Managers ◽  
The Impact

Early in the pandemic, Florida municipal managers indicated that forecasting the impact on local revenues was one of their top priorities in responding to the pandemic, yet such a tool has not been widely available. This study offers simple and straightforward fiscal planning guides for assessing the short-term and long-term impacts of the COVID 19 recession on local government revenues by estimating the revenue declines among 411 Florida municipalities from FY 2021 to FY 2023. The forecast results predict revenues will be reduced by $5.11 billion from 2019 pre-pandemic levels for Florida cities in fiscal years 2021 through 2023. The decline is forecast to be 3.54 percent in FY 2021, 4.02 percent in FY 2022, and 3.29 percent in FY 2023. The revenue structure matters for estimating the revenue decline.

scholarly journals Predicting Incidence of Long-term Care Insurance Certification in Japan with the Kihon Checklist for Frailty Screening Tool: Analysis of Local Government Survey Data

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kumiko Ito ◽  
Hisashi Kawai ◽  
Harukazu Tsuruta ◽  
Shuichi Obuchi
Keyword(s):  
Logistic Regression ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Long Term Care ◽  
Multiple Logistic Regression ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Term Care ◽  
Specificity And Sensitivity ◽  
Long Term Care Insurance ◽  
Level 1

Abstract Background: Predicting incidence of long-term care insurance (LTCI) certification in the short term is of increasing importance in Japan. The present study examined whether the Kihon Checklist (KCL) can be used to predict incidence of LTCI certification (care level 1 or higher) in the short term among older Japanese persons.Methods: In 2015, the local government in Tokyo, Japan, distributed the KCL to all individuals older than 65 years who had not been certified as having a disability or who had already been certified as requiring support level 1–2 according to LTCI system. We also collected LTCI certification data within the 3 months after collecting the KCL data. The data of 17785 respondents were analyzed. First, we selected KCL items strongly associated with incidence of LTCI certification, using stepwise forward-selection multiple logistic regression. Second, we conducted receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analyses for three conditions (1: Selected KCL items, 2: The main 20 KCL items (nos. 1–20), 3: All 25 KCL items). Third, we estimated specificity and sensitivity for each condition.Results: During a 3-month follow-up, 81 (0.5%) individuals required new LTCI certification. Eight KCL items were selected by multiple logistic regression as predictive of certification. The area under the ROC curve in the three conditions was 0.92–0.93, and specificity and sensitivity for all conditions were greater than 80%.Conclusions: Three KCL conditions predicted short-term incidence of LTCI certification. This suggests that KCL items may be used to screen for the risk of incident LTCI certification.

Eurozonization of the Chinese Economy: How Do Intergovernmental Transfers Affect Local Government Debt in China?

2018 ◽  
Vol 17 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Lu ◽  
Huiyong Zhong
Keyword(s):  
Local Government ◽  
Government Debt ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Fiscal Sustainability ◽  
Intergovernmental Transfers ◽  
Fiscal Transfers ◽  
Coastal Cities ◽  
Government Financing ◽  
Per Capita

China's local government debt has risen dramatically bringing risks to China's fiscal sustainability and long term economic growth. Using urban construction investment bonds (UCIBs) issued by local government financing vehicles (LGFVs), we study how intergovernmental fiscal transfers impact the issuance of UCIBs under China's unitary currency system. Applying instrumental variable estimation, we find that special-purpose fiscal transfers per capita are positively associated with the issuance of UCIBs. A one-RMB increase in special-purpose fiscal transfers per capita is associated with an increase in the issuance of UCIBs per capita of 0.282 RMB, whereas regular fiscal transfers (including tax rebates and general fiscal transfers) do not affect the issuance of UCIBs. Furthermore, the effect of special-purpose fiscal transfers on the issuance of UCIBs mainly exists in inland cities rather than coastal cities. This imposes risks of “eurozonization” for the Chinese economy. We also find a deterioration of refinancing in terms of issuing more UCIBs.

Tra Martesana e Villoresi: esperienze di agricoltura urbana

TERRITORIO ◽  
2012 ◽  
pp. 107-111
Author(s):  
Antonio Longo
Keyword(s):  
Local Government ◽  
Environmental Resources ◽  
Outdoor Spaces ◽  
Effective Conditions ◽  
Over Time

The article describes an experience of surveying and planning agricultural outdoor spaces between the Villoresi and Martesana canals, a part of the Milan metropolis rich in landscape and environmental resources and parties interested in various ways in caring for and using them. The project was the result of a competition held by the Cariplo foundation, designed to create effective conditions for the results of the work to take root. There is then a local opportunity offered by two neighbouring towns Cernusco and Bussero, where farmers and local government administrators work, who knew how to experiment with new forms of managing agriculture within towns. The project, which was deliberately simplifi ed in terms of the form and management, tried to interpret these conditions, characterised by practices able to produce landscape over time and to generate long term physical and spatial results by means of actions with no immediately visible results.

Local Government Long-Term Liabilities:

2019 ◽  
pp. 21-48
Author(s):  
MARTIN J. LUBY ◽  
GARY STRONG ◽  
DAVID SAUSTAD
Keyword(s):  
Local Government

Punishing paupers? Control, discipline and mental health in the Southwell workhouse (1836–71)

Rural History ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 30 (02) ◽  
pp. 161-180 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Carter ◽  
Jeff James ◽  
Steve King
Keyword(s):  
Mental Health ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Small Group ◽  
Mentally Ill ◽  
Poor Law ◽  
National Archives ◽  
The Way

AbstractThis article focuses on the way that staff and guardians in the rural Nottinghamshire workhouse of Southwell sought to exert control and containment over pauper inmates. Fusing together local and central records for the period 1834–71, including locally held punishment books and correspondence at The National Archives, Kew (TNA), we argue that the notional power of the workhouse authorities was heavily shaded. Most paupers most of the time did not find their behaviour heavily and clumsily controlled. Rather, staff focused their attention in terms of detecting and punishing disorderly behaviour on a small group of long-term and often mentally ill paupers whose actions might create enmities or spiral into larger conflicts and dissent in the workhouse setting. Both inmates and those under threat of workhouse admission would have seen or heard about punishment of ‘the usual characters’. This has important implications for how we understand the intent and experience of the New Poor Law up to the formation of the Local Government Board (LGB) in 1871.

scholarly journals Local government in England: evolution and long-term trends

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Parr
Keyword(s):  
Structural Change ◽  
Local Government ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Path Dependence ◽  
Regional Government ◽  
Early Nineteenth Century ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
History Of ◽  
Long Term Trends

This paper traces the history of local government in England (as opposed to the United Kingdom) since the early nineteenth century, and explores five long-term trends in its evolution. These are path dependence; the occurrence of major structural change; the phenomenon of policy reversal; the treatment of urban areas; and resistance to regional government. The author concludes that throughout the period under study, policy towards local government has exhibited a ‘pendulum effect’, with two opposing emphases operating in a sequential, rather than a simultaneous manner.

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