scholarly journals Correlation analysis of voting results in the Russian federal and regional elections of 2011–2018

2021 ◽  
pp. 205-225
Author(s):  
Arkady Lyubarev

Correlation coefficients between the results of political parties in the 2016 State Duma elections in the Russian Federation as a whole and in 26 regions, as well as in the elections of regional parliaments of 35 subjects of the Russian Federation in 2012–2015 were calculated. For the 2016 State Duma elections, data was used at all levels – regions, single-member electoral districts, TEC and PEC. It is noted that the “United Russia” correlations with all major parties are generally negative. A fairly high level of correlation is observed between the liberal parties. The main focus is on correlations between parliamentary opposition parties and parties with similar names. The correlation coefficients between the results of parties and candidates in the State Duma elections of 2011 and 2016 and the Presidential elections of 2012 and 2018 were also calculated, showing the stability of the geographical distribution of the electorate of the main parties. Regional differences in the nature of correlations between the main political parties are noted. It is assumed that correlations between parties reflect not so much their ideological closeness as the social closeness of their electorate. In this regard, it is noted that a positive correlation between the results of ideologically distant parties (“Yabloko” and the Communist party or “Yabloko” and “Rodina”) is associated with their reliance on the urban electorate and, perhaps, its most educated part. The reasons for voting for spoiler parties and the role of these parties in reducing the results of the main participants in the elections are discussed.

Author(s):  
N. P. Tikhomirov ◽  
A. V. Novikov

The article studies specific features of relatively new risks of declining the level of social and economic stability of states due to acts of terrorism and approaches to their estimation and prevention. Specificity of these risks are shown, which are connected with unlimited spheres of activity and methods of terrorists, vagueness of their reasoning and so on, which determines the high level of uncertainty in probability estimation, damages and other consequences of their activity. The structure of damages was systemized, within the frames of which direct and indirect damages in different fields of national economy and population of global community were identified. Estimation of such damaged which took place in different countries was provided. Unique characteristics of risks of terroristic attacks were given, which differ from other types of economic risks and predetermine the necessity to develop specific steps and strategies of their prevention. Key lines in the activity aimed at reducing risks of terroristic threats were discussed that stipulate disclosing basic factors promoting their appearance, estimation of conditions and trends in their development and elaboration of methods counteracting such threats. Legal basis of counteracting terrorism in the Russian Federation was considered that imply strengthening the role of state in the struggle against this phenomenon, for example by allocation of necessary finance resources directed to the development of accessible network of information, to the improvement of objects’ safeguarding, insurance protection of the population and other lines in anti-terrorist activity. The author discusses possible approaches to estimation of probability of terroristic attacks by using binary and multiple choice with regard to indicators showing conditions of their conducting.


Author(s):  
Марина Козырева ◽  
Marina Kozyreva ◽  
Александр Криони ◽  
Alexander Krioni ◽  
Николай Морозов ◽  
...  

The paper features some sociocultural and legal aspects of social activity executed by various subjects of the credit relations in the Russian Federation. The focus is made on the banking sector. The authors use culturological and activity approaches to legal and illegal actions of credit institutions and demonstrate some specific traits of administrative offenses in this sector. The paper also describes the culture of credit loans, in particular, that of microfinance institutions. The authors believe that this kind of activity is aimed at gaining and can be characterized as immoral. They studied behavioral stereotypes of borrowers and credit institutions to classify the social activities of the credit relations subjects. A high level of social activity of borrowers is directed to satisfaction of physiological requirements and security needs. The social activity of credit institutions is mostly limited by its respect for legal standards and improving the level of culture of loan granting. Hence, if the social activity of credit relations subjects that meets cultural and legal standards, it contributes to the development of national economy.


Author(s):  
D.A EZHOV ◽  

The article assesses the electoral prospects of new political parties registered by the Ministry of Justice of the Russian Federation in 2020, on the eve of the elections of deputies to the State Duma of the Russian Federation, scheduled for September 2021. Based on the results of regional elections held on a single voting day on September 13, 2020, party rhetoric and documents, the author consistently characterizes the electoral potential of the political parties such as «New People», «For Truth», «Green Alternative», and «Direct Democracy Party». The author's judgments are based on the hypothesis that the current electoral potential of new parties, which is fixed at a relatively low level, does not allow us to consider them as competitive and independent subjects in the election campaign at the start of the campaign. The likelihood of certain new parties receiving deputy mandates due to the victory of their candidates in single-mandate constituencies is emphasized. Special attention is paid to the consideration of methods of forming a pool of supporters of new political parties, determined by the specifics of their functioning.


Author(s):  
Pavel L. Pavel L. Serdyuk

The article discusses the most difficult issues arising in the qualification of remote fraud in the field of computer information. The article examines the relationship to the composition of fraud of such methods of fraud and breach of trust, such as the destruction, blocking, modification or copying of computer information in order to steal someone else’s property or obtain the right to someone else’s property. The investigated composition of fraud is distinguished from such adjacent compositions as fraud using electronic means of payment (art. 1593 of the Criminal code of the Russian Federation), fraud in the insurance industry (art. 1595 of the Criminal code of the Russian Federation), etc. The role of the social sphere in determining the degree of danger of computer fraud as well as possible errors in the qualification of art. 1596 in conjunction with other articles of the Criminal code of the Russian Federation.


Author(s):  
Roman Saninskiy

The article is devoted to the study of a very complex economic and legal phenomenon —inappropriate spending of budget funds. The article presents economic and legal arguments substantiating the need to counteract this kind of delinquent-criminal behavior as a dysfunction of the modern economy. The substantiation of the social and legal conditionality of the criminalization of misuse of budget funds is proposed. A high level of blanketness of the disposition of Article 2851 of the Criminal Code of the Russian Federation. The most controversial examples of misappropriation of budgetary funds are demonstrated, within the framework of which the most frequent problems of qualification of this kind of socially dangerous behavior arise.


Author(s):  
Elena Ivanovna Vorobyova

In modern conditions of increasing impact of global risks on the national economy, the role of financial support for the socio-economic development of the state is increasing. Financial problems are generated largely by the external environment. Consequently, in order to fulfill the tasks set by the government of the Russian Federation, it is necessary to develop a financial strategy that will allow, taking into account the highest external and internal risks, to ensure the development of the economy and social sphere. The article examines topical problems of finance in the context of economic globalization and the emergence of new challenges and threats at the mega-level, in other words, for all of humanity. Based on statistical data, expert assessments, analysis of scientific literature, the article proposes a set of measures to reduce the high level of global risks, and also considers the possibilities of ensuring an acceptable level of internal risks in the country. The study identified problems at all stages of the financial process, namely, in the formation, distribution and use of financial resources. On the basis of the analysis, conclusions were drawn and ways were proposed for solving urgent financial problems in the Russian Federation.


2020 ◽  
pp. 3-11
Author(s):  
Aleksandr Dovganenko

The article presents the state of Aff airs in the social and labor sphere, namely in the fi eld of social and labor confl icts, based on statistical data. The author presents trends and analyzes the causes of social and labor confl icts in industry and regional sections. The article contains a medium-term forecast of the formation and development of the social and labor situation in the Russian Federation for the fi rst half of 2020.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Любовь Ивановна Шпехт

В настоящее время в Российской Федерации все большее внимание уделяется социально-экономическому развитию территорий. В данной статье политические партии рассмотрены как один из ключевых инструментов социально-экономического развития территорий. В результате проведённого исследования автором сделан вывод о том, что авторитет политических партий оказывает влияние на социально-экономическое развитие муниципальных образований. Ярким примером данного влияния можно обозначить привлечение инвестиционных потоков на территории с высоким показателем узнаваемости партии. Currently, in the Russian Federation, more and more attention is paid to the socio-economic development of territories. In this article, political parties are considered as one of the key instruments for the socio-economic development of territories. As a result of the study, the author concluded that the authority of political parties influences the socio-economic development of municipalities. A striking example of this influence is the attraction of investment flows in a territory with a high level of party recognition.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 70-74
Author(s):  
Oleg V. Neterebskiy

The Object of the Study. The system of social partnership in the Russian Federation. The Subject of the Study. Agreements of the social partnership system of the Russian Federation at various levels (federal, territorial, sectoral). The Purpose of the Study. Identification of trends and main causes of changes in the agreements of the social partnership system in the Russian Federation at various levels and their impact on basic social standards. The Main Provisions of the Article. The author analyzes the agreements of the federal, sectoral and territorial levels of the social partnership system of the Rossiyskaya Federatsiya in chronological dynamics and examines the causes and trends of stagnation of social partnership The analysis of specific obligations of the parties to the agreements, shows a departure from the positive practices developed in the past shows the declarativity of social partnership agreements of the last period and the increasing role of the state while reducing the influence of civil society institutions and related social risks.


2020 ◽  
pp. 13-19
Author(s):  
E. S. Novikova

The methods of increasing the level of competitiveness of the Russian Federation in the world through sustainable development of human capital have been studied. The analysis of the most considerable indicators in the social and economic development of Russia and other leading economies in order to understand the current place and role of the Russian economy in the world society has been presented. Based on the analysis a number of reasons influencing on the further development of the Russian economy, taking into account the more active use of human capital in the global structure of the economy, has been revealed. The result of the study was to identify the weakest issues of the Russian economic structure including the fundamental difficulties in the development of human capital. At the end of the article, the main recommendations for fixing the identified problems have been given.


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