scholarly journals Comparison of Artificial Neural Network and Box- Jenkins Models to Predict the Number of Patients with Hypertension in Kalar

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 110
Author(s):  
Layla A. Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Intelligent Technique ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
Artificial Neural

    Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is widely used in many complex applications. Artificial neural network is a statistical intelligent technique resembling the characteristic of the human neural network.  The prediction of time series from the important topics in statistical sciences to assist administrations in the planning and make the accurate decisions, so the aim of this study is to analysis the monthly hypertension in Kalar for the period (January 2011- June 2018) by applying an autoregressive –integrated- moving average model  and artificial neural networks and choose the best and most efficient model for patients with hypertension in Kalar through the comparison between neural networks and Box- Jenkins models on a data set for predict. Comparisons between the models has been performed using Criterion indicator Akaike information Criterion, mean square of error,  root mean square of error, and mean absolute percentage error, concluding that the prediction for patients with hypertension by using artificial neural networks model is the best.

A simulation-based method using artificial neural networks for solving the inverse kinematic problem of articulated robots

2015 ◽  
Vol 231 (3) ◽  
pp. 470-479 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mustafa Soylak ◽  
Tuğrul Oktay ◽  
İlke Turkmen
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Inverse Kinematic ◽  
Plasma Cutting ◽  
Three Dimensional Model ◽  
Inverse Kinematic Problem ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural

In our article, inverse kinematic problem of a plasma cutting robot with three degree of freedom is solved using artificial neural networks. Artificial neural network was trained using joint angle values according to cartesian coordinates ( x, y, z) of end point of a robotic arm. The Levenberg–Marquardt training algorithm was applied to educate artificial neural network. To validate the designed neural network, it was tested using a new test data set which is not applied in training. A simulation was performed on a three-dimensional model of MSC.ADAMS software using angle values obtained from artificial neural network test. It was revealed from this simulation that trajectory of plasma cutting torch obtained using artificial neural network agreed well with desired trajectory.

Use of Artificial Neural Networks for Calculating Elasticity Modulus of Construction Layers of Non-Rigid Road Surfacing Based on Natural Data

2020 ◽  
pp. 111-120
Author(s):  
М. М. М. Елшами ◽  
А. Н. Тиратурян ◽  
А. Н. Канищев
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Elastic Moduli ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Instrumental Recording ◽  
Accuracy Of Prediction

Постановка задачи. Рассматриваются вопросы использования искусственных нейронных сетей при решении задач обработки результатов инструментальных регистраций чаш прогибов нежесткой дорожной одежды с использованием установок ударного нагружения FWD . Результаты. Проведен анализ и отмечены недостатки существующих методов обработки экспериментальных чаш прогибов, в частности метода обратного расчета модулей упругости слоев дорожных одежд, заключающиеся в длительном времени выполнения расчетов и неустойчивости получаемых результатов. Построена структура искусственной нейронной сети для определения модулей упругости слоев дорожной одежды. Обучение искусственной нейронной сети осуществлялось с использованием метода обратного распространения ошибки. Выводы. Разработанная нейронная сеть продемонстрировала хорошие результаты при обучении по тестовому набору данных, а также высокую точность прогнозирования модулей упругости слоев дорожных одежд. Statement of the problem. The article is devoted to the use of artificial neural networks in solving the problems of processing the results of instrumental recording of bowls of deflections of non-rigid road surfacing using FWD shock loading settings. Results. The analysis was carried out, the shortcomings of the existing processing methods were identified, in particular the backcalculation method, which involves a long calculation time, and the instability of the results obtained. The structure of the artificial neural network was designed to determine the elastic moduli of the pavement layers. Training of an artificial neural network was carried out using the method of back propagation of error. Conclusions. The developed neural network has shown good results in training on the test data set, as well as high accuracy of prediction of the elastic moduli of the pavement.

scholarly journals Advanced Stochastic Optimization Algorithm for Deep Learning Artificial Neural Networks in Banking and Finance Industries

2019 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
pp. p8
Author(s):  
Jamilu Auwalu Adamu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Probability Distribution ◽  
Trial And Error ◽  
Activation Functions ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Artificial Neural

One of the objectives of this paper is to incorporate fat-tail effects into, for instance, Sigmoid in order to introduce Transparency and Stability into the existing stochastic Activation Functions. Secondly, according to the available literature reviewed, the existing set of Activation Functions were introduced into the Deep learning Artificial Neural Network through the “Window” not properly through the “Legitimate Door” since they are “Trial and Error “and “Arbitrary Assumptions”, thus, the Author proposed a “Scientific Facts”, “Definite Rules: Jameel’s Stochastic ANNAF Criterion”, and a “Lemma” to substitute not necessarily replace the existing set of stochastic Activation Functions, for instance, the Sigmoid among others. This research is expected to open the “Black-Box” of Deep Learning Artificial Neural networks. The author proposed a new set of advanced optimized fat-tailed Stochastic Activation Functions EMANATED from the AI-ML-Purified Stocks Data  namely; the Log – Logistic (3P) Probability Distribution (1st), Cauchy Probability Distribution (2nd), Pearson 5 (3P) Probability Distribution (3rd), Burr (4P) Probability Distribution (4th), Fatigue Life (3P) Probability Distribution (5th), Inv. Gaussian (3P) Probability Distribution (6th), Dagum (4P) Probability Distribution (7th), and Lognormal (3P) Probability Distribution (8th) for the successful conduct of both Forward and Backward Propagations of Deep Learning Artificial Neural Network. However, this paper did not check the Monotone Differentiability of the proposed distributions. Appendix A, B, and C presented and tested the performances of the stressed Sigmoid and the Optimized Activation Functions using Stocks Data (2014-1991) of Microsoft Corporation (MSFT), Exxon Mobil (XOM), Chevron Corporation (CVX), Honda Motor Corporation (HMC), General Electric (GE), and U.S. Fundamental Macroeconomic Parameters, the results were found fascinating. Thus, guarantee, the first three distributions are excellent Activation Functions to successfully conduct any Stock Deep Learning Artificial Neural Network. Distributions Number 4 to 8 are also good Advanced Optimized Activation Functions. Generally, this research revealed that the Advanced Optimized Activation Functions satisfied Jameel’s ANNAF Stochastic Criterion depends on the Referenced Purified AI Data Set, Time Change and Area of Application which is against the existing “Trial and Error “and “Arbitrary Assumptions” of Sigmoid, Tanh, Softmax, ReLu, and Leaky ReLu.

FORECASTING THE INTENSITY OF SOLAR RADIATION BASED ON ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS

2021 ◽  
Vol 43 (2) ◽  
pp. 60-67
Author(s):  
B.I. Basok ◽  
M.P. Novitska ◽  
V.P. Kravchenko
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Experimental Data ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Solar Radiation ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Advantages And Disadvantages ◽  
Database Evaluation ◽  
Artificial Neural

The paper considers short-term forecasting of the intensity of solar radiation in the city of Odessa based on an artificial neural network. The artificial neural network was trained on the experimental data of the ground weather station (Davis 6162EU), which is installed on the roof of the educational building of the Odessa National Polytechnic University. Modeling, validation, and testing of experimental data were performed using the MATLAB software package, namely Neural Network Toolbox. The Levenberg-Markwatt model is used in this work. The analyzed data set was divided into proportions of 70%, 15%, 15% for neural network training, its validation, and testing, respectively. The results which the trained neural network gave during forecasting within the framework of the database and outside it are given. The deviation between real and forecast data is analyzed. The root-mean-square error on December 26, 2016 was 13.03 W / m2, and on December 27, 2016 - 9.44 W / m2 when forecasting outside the database. Evaluation of the accuracy of an artificial neural network has shown its effectiveness in predicting the intensity of solar radiation. To predict parameters based on artificial neural networks, experimental data that describe a real system are needed. Artificial neural networks, like other approximation methods, have both advantages and disadvantages.

scholarly journals Modeliranje i prognoziranje broja zaposlenih u turizmu i hotelskoj industriji u Republici Hrvatskoj primjenom modela umjetnih neuronskih mreža

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-20
Author(s):  
Tea Baldigara
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Prognostic Power ◽  
Modelling And Forecasting

The paper investigates the performance and prognostic power of artificial neural network models in modelling and forecasting of time series of seasonal character. Models of artificial neural networks have been applied in modelling and forecasting the monthly total number of employees, the number of employed men and the number of employed women in the activity of providing accommodation services and preparing and serving food and beverages in the Republic of Croatia. The obtained modelling results have been compared with the results obtained by applying some of the traditionally used quantitative models in the analysis of seasonal time series, such as the Holt-Winters model of triple exponential smoothing and the seasonal multiplicative model of exponential trend. The evaluation of the performance and prognostic power of individual models was performed by comparing the average absolute and average absolute percentage error and the correlation coefficient between the actual and estimated values, and the predicted values were compared with the actual values. The evaluation of the obtained results showed that the selected model of acyclic multilayer perceptron is suitable for modelling and forecasting time series of seasonal character. The comparison of prognostic powers and actual and projected values of the number of employees suggests that the designed model of the artificial neural network is very reliable. This indicates that the models of artificial neural networks have great application potentials in the domain of modelling and forecasting of time series of a seasonal character.

scholarly journals Individual Growth Model for Eucalyptus Stands in Brazil Using Artificial Neural Network

ISRN Forestry ◽  
2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Renato Vinícius Oliveira Castro ◽  
Carlos Pedro Boechat Soares ◽  
Helio Garcia Leite ◽  
Agostinho Lopes de Souza ◽  
Gilciano Saraiva Nogueira ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Growth And Yield ◽  
Tree Level ◽  
Productive Capacity ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Individual Tree ◽  
Artificial Neural

This work aimed to model the growth and yield of Eucalyptus stands located in northern Brazil, at the individual tree level, by using artificial neural networks (ANNs). Data from permanent plots were used for training the neural networks to predict tree height and diameter as well as mortality probability. Once trained, the networks were evaluated using an independent data set. The first group was composed of 33 plots (11 in each productive capacity class) and was used for artificial neural network training. In five measurements, this group totaled 8,735 cases (measurements of individual trees), as each plot had 53 trees on average throughout this evaluation. The second group was composed of 30 plots (10 in each productive capacity class) and was used for model validation. This group totaled 7,756 cases. Were tested different network architectures Multilayer Perceptron (MLP). Results revealed an underestimation bias for number of surviving trees. However, estimates of diameter, height, and volume per hectare were found to be accurate. This indicates that artificial neural networks are a viable alternative to the traditional growth and yield modeling approach in the forestry sector.

scholarly journals Optimal Artificial Neural Network Type Selection Method for Usage in Smart House Systems

Sensors ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 47
Author(s):  
Vasyl Teslyuk ◽  
Artem Kazarian ◽  
Natalia Kryvinska ◽  
Ivan Tsmots
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Input Data ◽  
Optimization Criterion ◽  
Fuzzy Input ◽  
Different Types ◽  
Smart House ◽  
Artificial Neural

In the process of the “smart” house systems work, there is a need to process fuzzy input data. The models based on the artificial neural networks are used to process fuzzy input data from the sensors. However, each artificial neural network has a certain advantage and, with a different accuracy, allows one to process different types of data and generate control signals. To solve this problem, a method of choosing the optimal type of artificial neural network has been proposed. It is based on solving an optimization problem, where the optimization criterion is an error of a certain type of artificial neural network determined to control the corresponding subsystem of a “smart” house. In the process of learning different types of artificial neural networks, the same historical input data are used. The research presents the dependencies between the types of neural networks, the number of inner layers of the artificial neural network, the number of neurons on each inner layer, the error of the settings parameters calculation of the relative expected results.

scholarly journals FEATURES OF DIAGNOSTIC ARTIFICIAL NEURAL NETWORKS FOR HYBRID EXPERT SYSTEMS

2019 ◽  
Vol 26 ◽  
pp. 36-46
Author(s):  
S. KONOVALOV ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Expert Systems ◽  
Technical System ◽  
Bulletin Board ◽  
Confidence Factor ◽  
Complex Technical System ◽  
Artificial Neural

In the proposed article, various methods of constructing an artificial neural network as one of the components of a hybrid expert system for diagnosis were investigated. A review of foreign literature in recent years was conducted, where hybrid expert systems were considered as an integral part of complex technical systems in the field of security. The advantages and disadvantages of artificial neural networks are listed, and the main problems in creating hybrid expert systems for diagnostics are indicated, proving the relevance of further development of artificial neural networks for hybrid expert systems. The approaches to the analysis of natural language sentences, which are used for the work of hybrid expert systems with artificial neural networks, are considered. A bulletin board is shown, its structure and principle of operation are described. The structure of the bulletin board is divided into levels and sublevels. At sublevels, a confidence factor is applied. The dependence of the values of the confidence factor on the fulfillment of a particular condition is shown. The links between the levels and sublevels of the bulletin board are also described. As an artificial neural network architecture, the «key-threshold» model is used, the rule of neuron operation is shown. In addition, an artificial neural network has the property of training, based on the application of the penalty property, which is able to calculate depending on the accident situation. The behavior of a complex technical system, as well as its faulty states, are modeled using a model that describes the structure and behavior of a given system. To optimize the data of a complex technical system, an evolutionary algorithm is used to minimize the objective function. Solutions to the optimization problem consist of Pareto solution vectors. Optimization and training tasks are solved by using the Hopfield network. In general, a hybrid expert system is described using semantic networks, which consist of vertices and edges. The reference model of a complex technical system is stored in the knowledge base and updated during the acquisition of new knowledge. In an emergency, or about its premise, with the help of neural networks, a search is made for the cause and the control action necessary to eliminate the accident. The considered approaches, interacting with each other, can improve the operation of diagnostic artificial neural networks in the case of emergency management, showing more accurate data in a short time. In addition, the use of such a network for analyzing the state of health, as well as forecasting based on diagnostic data using the example of a complex technical system, is presented.

scholarly journals An artificial neural network identifies glyphosate-impacted brackish communities based on 16S rRNA amplicon MiSeq read counts

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
René Janßen ◽  
Jakob Zabel ◽  
Uwe von Lukas ◽  
Matthias Labrenz
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Environmental Monitoring ◽  
Microbial Communities ◽  
List Type ◽  
Neural Net ◽  
Next Generation ◽  
Artificial Neural

AbstractArtificial neural networks can be trained on complex data sets to detect, predict, or model specific aspects. Aim of this study was to train an artificial neural network to support environmental monitoring efforts in case of a contamination event by detecting induced changes towards the microbial communities. The neural net was trained on taxonomic cluster count tables obtained via next-generation amplicon sequencing of water column samples originating from a lab microcosm incubation experiment conducted over 140 days to determine the effects of the herbicide glyphosate on succession within brackish-water microbial communities. Glyphosate-treated assemblages were classified correctly; a subsetting approach identified the clusters primarily responsible for this, permitting the reduction of input features. This study demonstrates the potential of artificial neural networks to predict indicator species in cases of glyphosate contamination. The results could empower the development of environmental monitoring strategies with applications limited to neither glyphosate nor amplicon sequence data.Highlight bullet pointsAn artificial neural net was able to identify glyphosate-affected microbial community assemblages based on next generation sequencing dataDecision-relevant taxonomic clusters can be identified by a stochastically subsetting approachJust a fraction of present clusters is needed for classificationFiltering of input data improves classification

scholarly journals Adaptation of the Diagnostic Artificial Neural Network Structure When New Training Examples Appear

2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (4) ◽  
pp. 120-126
Author(s):  
A. Malikov
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Information Security ◽  
Classification Problem ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Neural Network Structure ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Training Examples ◽  
Information Image

In this paper we can see that identified computer incidents are subject for diagnostics, during which the characteristics of information security violations are clarified (purpose, causes, consequences, etc.). To diagnose computer incidents, we can use methods of automation while collection and processing the events that occur as a result of the implementation of scenarios for information security violations. Artificial neural networks can be used to solve the classification problem of assigning diagnostic data set (information image of a computer incident) to one of the possible values of the violation characteristic. The purpose of this work is to adapt the structure of an artificial neural network that allows the accuracy diagnostics of computer incidents when new training examples appear.

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