scholarly journals Modeliranje i prognoziranje broja zaposlenih u turizmu i hotelskoj industriji u Republici Hrvatskoj primjenom modela umjetnih neuronskih mreža

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-20
Author(s):  
Tea Baldigara
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Prognostic Power ◽  
Modelling And Forecasting

The paper investigates the performance and prognostic power of artificial neural network models in modelling and forecasting of time series of seasonal character. Models of artificial neural networks have been applied in modelling and forecasting the monthly total number of employees, the number of employed men and the number of employed women in the activity of providing accommodation services and preparing and serving food and beverages in the Republic of Croatia. The obtained modelling results have been compared with the results obtained by applying some of the traditionally used quantitative models in the analysis of seasonal time series, such as the Holt-Winters model of triple exponential smoothing and the seasonal multiplicative model of exponential trend. The evaluation of the performance and prognostic power of individual models was performed by comparing the average absolute and average absolute percentage error and the correlation coefficient between the actual and estimated values, and the predicted values were compared with the actual values. The evaluation of the obtained results showed that the selected model of acyclic multilayer perceptron is suitable for modelling and forecasting time series of seasonal character. The comparison of prognostic powers and actual and projected values of the number of employees suggests that the designed model of the artificial neural network is very reliable. This indicates that the models of artificial neural networks have great application potentials in the domain of modelling and forecasting of time series of a seasonal character.

Artificial Neural Networks

2011 ◽  
pp. 222-243
Author(s):  
Joarder Kamruzzaman ◽  
Ruhul Sarker
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Network Applications ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Neural Network Applications

The primary aim of this chapter is to present an overview of the artificial neural network basics and operation, architectures, and the major algorithms used for training the neural network models. As can be seen in subsequent chapters, neural networks have made many useful contributions to solve theoretical and practical problems in finance and manufacturing areas. The secondary aim here is therefore to provide a brief review of artificial neural network applications in finance and manufacturing areas.

Comparing Conventional and Artificial Neural Network Models for the Pricing of Options

2002 ◽  
pp. 220-235 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Lajbcygier
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Input Parameter ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Conventional Models ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Models

The pricing of options on futures is compared using conventional models and artificial neural networks. This work demonstrates superior pricing accuracy using the artificial neural networks in an important subset of the input parameter set.

scholarly journals Analysis of ARIMA-Artificial Neural Network Hybrid Model in Forecasting of Stock Market Returns

2020 ◽  
pp. 42-53
Author(s):  
Yakubu Musa ◽  
Stephen Joshua
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Hybrid Model ◽  
Market Returns ◽  
Stock Market Returns ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Modelling And Forecasting

This study focuses on the modelling of Nigerian stock market all–shares index and evaluations of predictions ability using ARIMA, Artificial Neural Network and a hybrid ARIMA-Artificial Neural Network model. The ARIMA (1,1,1) model and neural network with architecture (6:1:3) turns out to be the most fitted among the considered models, these models were used for forecasting the returns, and their performances have been compared according to some statistical measure of accuracy. A hybrid model has been constructed using ARIMA-Artificial Neural Networks model, the computational results on the data reveal that the hybrid model using Artificial Neural Network, provides better forecasts, and will enhance forecasting over the single ARIMA and Artificial Neural Networks models. The study recommends the use of ARIMA-Artificial neural network for modelling and forecasting stock market returns.

Artificial Neural Networks

2006 ◽  
pp. 1-27 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joarder Kamruzzaman ◽  
Ruhul A. Sarker
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Network Applications ◽  
The Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Neural Network Applications

The primary aim of this chapter is to present an overview of the artificial neural network basics and operation, architectures, and the major algorithms used for training the neural network models. As can be seen in subsequent chapters, neural networks have made many useful contributions to solve theoretical and practical problems in finance and manufacturing areas. The secondary aim here is therefore to provide a brief review of artificial neural network applications in finance and manufacturing areas.

scholarly journals Automatic migraine classification using artificial neural networks

F1000Research ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 9 ◽  
pp. 618
Author(s):  
Paola A. Sanchez-Sanchez ◽  
José Rafael García-González ◽  
Juan Manuel Rúa Ascar
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Accuracy And Precision ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Models ◽  
Selection Of

Background: Previous studies of migraine classification have focused on the analysis of brain waves, leading to the development of complex tests that are not accessible to the majority of the population. In the early stages of this pathology, patients tend to go to the emergency services or outpatient department, where timely identification largely depends on the expertise of the physician and continuous monitoring of the patient. However, owing to the lack of time to make a proper diagnosis or the inexperience of the physician, migraines are often misdiagnosed either because they are wrongly classified or because the disease severity is underestimated or disparaged. Both cases can lead to inappropriate, unnecessary, or imprecise therapies, which can result in damage to patients’ health. Methods: This study focuses on designing and testing an early classification system capable of distinguishing between seven types of migraines based on the patient’s symptoms. The methodology proposed comprises four steps: data collection based on symptoms and diagnosis by the treating physician, selection of the most relevant variables, use of artificial neural network models for automatic classification, and selection of the best model based on the accuracy and precision of the diagnosis. Results: The artificial neural network models used provide an excellent classification performance, with accuracy and precision levels >97% and which exceed the classifications made using other model, such as logistic regression, support vector machines, nearest neighbor, and decision trees. Conclusions: The implementation of migraine classification through artificial neural networks is a powerful tool that reduces the time to obtain accurate, reliable, and timely clinical diagnoses.

scholarly journals An ARMA Type Pi-Sigma Artificial Neural Network for Nonlinear Time Series Forecasting

2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (2) ◽  
pp. 121-132 ◽  
Author(s):  
Esra Akdeniz ◽  
Erol Egrioglu ◽  
Eren Bas ◽  
Ufuk Yolcu
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Time Series ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Real Life ◽  
Life Time ◽  
High Order ◽  
Non Linear ◽  
Artificial Neural

Abstract Real-life time series have complex and non-linear structures. Artificial Neural Networks have been frequently used in the literature to analyze non-linear time series. High order artificial neural networks, in view of other artificial neural network types, are more adaptable to the data because of their expandable model order. In this paper, a new recurrent architecture for Pi-Sigma artificial neural networks is proposed. A learning algorithm based on particle swarm optimization is also used as a tool for the training of the proposed neural network. The proposed new high order artificial neural network is applied to three real life time series data and also a simulation study is performed for Istanbul Stock Exchange data set.

scholarly journals Application of deep artificial neural networks to multi-dimensional flamelet libraries and spray flames

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
pp. 151-168 ◽  
Author(s):  
Opeoluwa Owoyele ◽  
Prithwish Kundu ◽  
Muhsin M Ameen ◽  
Tarek Echekki ◽  
Sibendu Som
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Dimensional Manifold ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Compression Ignition Engine ◽  
Memory Footprint ◽  
Lookup Tables ◽  
Artificial Neural

The “curse of dimensionality” has limited the applicability and expansion of tabulated combustion models. While the tabulated flamelet model and other multi-dimensional manifold approaches have shown predictive capability, the associated tabulation involves the storage of large lookup tables, requiring large memory as well as multi-dimensional interpolation subroutines, all implemented during runtime. This work investigates the use of deep artificial neural networks to replace lookup tables in order to reduce the memory footprint and increase the computational speed of tabulated flamelets and related approaches. Specifically, different strategic approaches to training the artificial neural network models are explored and a grouped multi-target artificial neural network is introduced, which takes advantage of the ability of artificial neural networks to map an input space to multiple targets by classifying the species based on their correlation to one another. The grouped multi-target artificial neural network approach is validated by applying it to an n-dodecane spray flame using conditions of the Spray A flame from the Engine Combustion Network and comparing global flame characteristics for different ambient conditions using a well-established large-eddy simulation framework. The same framework is then extended to the simulations of methyl decanoate combustion in a compression ignition engine. The validation studies show that the grouped multi-target artificial neural networks are able to accurately capture flame liftoff, autoignition, two-stage heat release and other quantitative trends over a range of conditions. The use of neural networks in conjunction with the grouping mechanism as performed in the grouped multi-target artificial neural network produces a significant reduction in the memory footprint and computational costs for the code and, thus, widens the operating envelope for higher fidelity engine simulations with detailed mechanisms.

scholarly journals Comparison of Artificial Neural Network and Box- Jenkins Models to Predict the Number of Patients with Hypertension in Kalar

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (4) ◽  
pp. 110
Author(s):  
Layla A. Ahmed
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Mean Square ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Intelligent Technique ◽  
Number Of Patients ◽  
Artificial Neural

    Artificial Neural Network (ANN) is widely used in many complex applications. Artificial neural network is a statistical intelligent technique resembling the characteristic of the human neural network.  The prediction of time series from the important topics in statistical sciences to assist administrations in the planning and make the accurate decisions, so the aim of this study is to analysis the monthly hypertension in Kalar for the period (January 2011- June 2018) by applying an autoregressive –integrated- moving average model  and artificial neural networks and choose the best and most efficient model for patients with hypertension in Kalar through the comparison between neural networks and Box- Jenkins models on a data set for predict. Comparisons between the models has been performed using Criterion indicator Akaike information Criterion, mean square of error,  root mean square of error, and mean absolute percentage error, concluding that the prediction for patients with hypertension by using artificial neural networks model is the best.

scholarly journals Photovoltaic Panel Efficiency Estimation with Artificial Neural Networks: Samples of Adiyaman, Malatya, and Sanliurfa

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Yasin Icel ◽  
Mehmet Salih Mamis ◽  
Abdulcelil Bugutekin ◽  
Mehmet Ismail Gursoy
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Network Models ◽  
Estimation Accuracy ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Photovoltaic Panels ◽  
Artificial Neural ◽  
Artificial Neural Network Models

The amount of electric energy produced by photovoltaic panels depends on air temperature, humidity rate, wind velocity, photovoltaic module temperature, and particularly solar radiation. Being aware of the behaviour patterns of the panels to be used in project and planning works regarding photovoltaic applications will set forth a realistic expense form; therefore, erroneous investments will be avoided, and the country budget will benefit from added value. The power ratings obtained from the photovoltaic panels and the environmental factors were measured and recorded for a year by the measurement stations established in three diverse regions (Adiyaman-Malatya-Sanliurfa). In the developed artificial neural network models, the estimation accuracy was 99.94%. Furthermore, by taking the data of the General Directorate of Meteorology as a reference, models of artificial neural networks were developed using the data from Adiyaman province for training; by using Malatya and Sanliurfa as test data, 99.57% estimation accuracy was achieved. With the artificial neural network models developed as a result of the study, the energy efficiency for the photovoltaic energy systems desired to be established by using meteorological parameters such as temperature, humidity, wind, and solar radiation of various regions anywhere in the world can be estimated with high accuracy.

scholarly journals Software Cost Estimation Technique Based On Multiple Artificial Neural Network Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (4) ◽  
pp. 615-624
Author(s):  
Wathq Asmael Hamed
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Neural Networks ◽  
Artificial Neural Network ◽  
Artificial Neural Networks ◽  
Cost Estimation ◽  
Heuristic Algorithms ◽  
Software Cost Estimation ◽  
Neural Network Models ◽  
Software Cost ◽  
Artificial Neural

Software cost estimation is an essential and important endeavor for the effective implementation of applications development project concerning its price & time plus its direction concerning its monitoring of autonomous applications development jobs. Software cost estimation is the prediction of software development endeavor and applications development time necessary to create a software job. The scheduling is of scheduling Resources, Budget, Time and several equally Precise software cost estimation is regarded as a tricky job as the information concerning the application project to be designed in the time of its beginning and completion remains obscure, thus drives the investigators from both professors and business to research in the exact same. What's more, it's always preferable for any approximation version to be inclusive because precision in estimation versions mutually lies together using their inclusiveness. So software cost estimation procedure being predictive in character hence requires for inclusiveness that will consequently bring inside that the precision. Within this paper, we'll present many versions for software cost estimation according to variants from Artificial Neural Networks which were completed within the research study. One of those models relies on exact choice of drivers as input into an Artificial Neural Network. And others derive from hybrids of Artificial Neural Networks with distinct Meta-heuristic algorithms as utilization of meta-heuristics in forecast issues such as that of program cost estimation is becoming more popularity. Everyone these versions have been experimented with variety of valid data collections.    

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