scholarly journals Development of Foot-and-mouth Disease Transmission Simulator —Japan Simulation Model of Animal Infectious Diseases-FMD, JSMIN-FMD—

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 93-101
Author(s):  
Yoko HAYAMA ◽  
Takehisa YAMAMOTO ◽  
Toshiyuki TSUTSUI
Keyword(s):  
Infectious Diseases ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Disease Transmission ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Foot And Mouth

scholarly journals Foot and Mouth Disease and Cryptosporidiosis: Possible Interaction between Two Emerging Infectious Diseases

2003 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 109-112 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul R. Hunter ◽  
Rachel M. Chalmers ◽  
Qutub Syed ◽  
L. Sara Hughes ◽  
Sarah Woodhouse ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Infectious Diseases ◽  
Emerging Infectious Diseases ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Foot And Mouth

scholarly journals Sensitivity analysis of a stochastic simulation model for foot and mouth disease

2010 ◽  
Vol 53 (5) ◽  
pp. 529-544 ◽  
Author(s):  
I. Traulsen ◽  
G. Rave ◽  
J. Krieter
Keyword(s):  
Sensitivity Analysis ◽  
Simulation Model ◽  
Control Strategy ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Fractional Factorial ◽  
Eu Directive ◽  
Local Spread ◽  
Foot And Mouth ◽  
And Control

Abstract. A spatial and temporal Monte-Carlo simulation model was developed to analyse the epidemiology and control of foot and mouth disease (FMD). Animal, people and vehicle contacts as well as airborne and local spread represented the FMD virus transmission between farms housing cattle, pigs or sheep. Contacts were explicitly modelled by routes, airborne transmission by the Gaussian Dispersion model and local spread by distance dependent transmission probabilities. Control measures were implemented according to the EU Directive (2003/85/EG). A sensitivity analysis with a two-level fractional factorial design was used to examine the robustness of the simulation model to extreme input values. The influence of eleven input parameters and interactions between them were estimated: ability of airborne spread, duration of the incubation period, time from infection until infectivity, time from onset of clinical signs until diagnosis, farm density, type of index case, number of farms visited per route, visiting interval, type of the animal sales, control strategy, and delay until start of control strategies. The considered parameters as well as certain two-factor interactions between them showed a significant impact on the epidemic duration and the number of infected and culled farms. Particularly, the parameter airborne spread, farm density, number of farms visited per route and control strategy influenced the course of the epidemic. The consideration of airborne spread as well as the implementation of contacts between farms with routes allowed a detailed analysis of these transmission paths.

scholarly journals Manipulation of contact network structure and the impact on foot-and-mouth disease transmission

2018 ◽  
Vol 157 ◽  
pp. 8-18 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sibylle Mohr ◽  
Michael Deason ◽  
Mikhail Churakov ◽  
Thomas Doherty ◽  
Rowland R. Kao
Keyword(s):  
Network Structure ◽  
Disease Transmission ◽  
Foot And Mouth Disease ◽  
Mouth Disease ◽  
Contact Network ◽  
Foot And Mouth ◽  
The Impact
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