Uncertainty Assessment of Production Performance for Shale-Gas Reservoirs

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiang Xie ◽  
Seong H. Lee ◽  
Zhiming Wang ◽  
Xian-Huan Wen
Keyword(s):  
Shale Gas ◽  
Uncertainty Assessment ◽  
Production Performance ◽  
Gas Reservoirs ◽  
Shale Gas Reservoirs

scholarly journals The Evaluation and Sensitivity of Decline Curve Modelling

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (11) ◽  
pp. 2765
Author(s):  
Prinisha Manda ◽  
Diakanua Nkazi
Keyword(s):  
Shale Gas ◽  
Goodness Of Fit ◽  
Accuracy Assessment ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Production Performance ◽  
Logistic Growth ◽  
Gas Reservoirs ◽  
Shale Gas Reservoirs ◽  
Decline Curve ◽  
Exponential Decline

The development of prediction tools for production performance and the lifespan of shale gas reservoirs has been a focus for petroleum engineers. Several decline curve models have been developed and compared with data from shale gas production. To accurately forecast the estimated ultimate recovery for shale gas reservoirs, consistent and accurate decline curve modelling is required. In this paper, the current decline curve models are evaluated using the goodness of fit as a measure of accuracy with field data. The evaluation found that there are advantages in using the current DCA models; however, they also have limitations associated with them that have to be addressed. Based on the accuracy assessment conducted on the different models, it appears that the Stretched Exponential Decline Model (SEDM) and Logistic Growth Model (LGM), followed by the Extended Exponential Decline Model (EEDM), the Power Law Exponential Model (PLE), the Doung’s Model, and lastly, the Arps Hyperbolic Decline Model, provide the best fit with production data.

Production-Performance Analysis of Composite Shale-Gas Reservoirs by the Boundary-Element Method

2019 ◽  
Vol 22 (01) ◽  
pp. 238-252 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minglu Wu ◽  
Mingcai Ding ◽  
Jun Yao ◽  
Chenfeng Li ◽  
Zhaoqin Huang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Element Method ◽  
Performance Analysis ◽  
Boundary Element ◽  
Shale Gas ◽  
Production Performance ◽  
Gas Reservoirs ◽  
Shale Gas Reservoirs ◽  
Element Method

scholarly journals Simulation Study to Evaluate the Impact of Fracture Parameters on Shale Gas Productivity

2020 ◽  
Vol 39 (2) ◽  
pp. 432-442
Author(s):  
Abdul Majeed Shar ◽  
Waheed Ali Abro ◽  
Aftab Ahmed Mahesar ◽  
Kun Sang Lee
Keyword(s):  
Shale Gas ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Simulation Software ◽  
Production Performance ◽  
Gas Reservoirs ◽  
Gas Reservoir ◽  
Shale Gas Reservoir ◽  
Fracture Parameters ◽  
Shale Gas Reservoirs ◽  
The Impact

The production from shale gas reservoirs has significantly increased due to technological advancements. The shale gas reservoirs are very heterogeneous and the heterogeneity has a significant effect on the quality and productivity of reservoirs. Hence, it is essential to study the behavior of such reservoirs for accurate modelling and performance prediction. To evaluate the impact of fracture parameters on shale gas reservoir productivity using CMG (Computer Modelling Group) stars simulation software was the main objective of this study. In this paper, a comprehensive analysis considering an example shale gas reservoir was conducted for production performance analysis considering uniform and non-uniform fractures configurations. Several simulations were performed by considering the multi-stage hydraulically fractured reservoir. The sensitivities conducted includes the different cases of moderate and severe heterogeneity along with variable fractures half-length, effect of changing fracture spacing, variable fracture conductivities. The simulation results showed that by increasing conductivity of fracture increases the gas production rate significantly. Moreover, cases of reservoir permeability heterogeneity were analyzed which show the significant effect on gas rate and on cumulative gas production. The results of this study can be used to improve the effectiveness in designing and developing of shale gas reservoirs and also to improve the accuracy of analyzing heterogeneous shale gas reservoir performance.

scholarly journals An integrated workflow to perform reservoir and completion parametric study on a shale gas reservoir

2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (4) ◽  
pp. 1497-1510
Author(s):  
Mohamed Mahmoud ◽  
Ahmed Aleid ◽  
Abdulwahab Ali ◽  
Muhammad Shahzad Kamal
Keyword(s):  
Shale Gas ◽  
Gas Production ◽  
Production Performance ◽  
Analytical Models ◽  
Well Performance ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Gas Reservoirs ◽  
Shale Gas Reservoirs ◽  
The Impact

AbstractThe main objectives of this paper are to assess the long-term and short-term production based on both reservoir parameters and completion parameters of shale gas reservoirs. The effects of the reservoir parameters (permeability and the initial reservoir pressure) and completion parameters (fracture geometry, stimulated reservoir volume, etc.) on the short-term and long-term production of shale gas reservoirs were investigated. The currently used approach relies mainly on the decline curve analysis or analogs from a similar shale play to forecast the gas production from shale gas reservoirs. Both these approaches are not satisfactory because they are calibrated on short production history and do not assess the impact of uncertainty in reservoir and well data. For the first time, this study integrates initial production analysis, probabilistic evaluation, and sensitivity analysis to develop a robust workflow that will help in designing a sustainable production from shale gas plays. The reservoir and completion parameters were collected from different available resources, and the probability distributions of gathered uncertain data were defined. Then analytical models were used to forecast the production. Two well evaluation results are presented in this paper. Based on the results, completion parameters affected the short-term and long-term production, while the reservoir parameters controlled the long-term production. Long-term well performance was mainly controlled by the fracture half-length and fracture height, whereas other completion and reservoir parameters have an insignificant effect. Stimulation treatment design defines the initial well performance, while well placement decision defines well long-term performance. The findings of this study would help in better understanding the production performance of shale gas reservoirs, maximizing production by selecting effective completion parameters and considering the governing reservoir parameters. Moreover, it would help in accomplishing more effective stimulation treatments and define the potentiality of the basin.

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