scholarly journals Application of the Methods for Comprehensive Reliability Analysis of District Heating Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 24 (3) ◽  
pp. 145-162
Author(s):  
Ivan Postnikov

AbstractThe general idea of the methodology for the comprehensive reliability analysis of district heating systems (DHS), developed earlier by the author of this paper, is a joint considering and modelling of each technological processes, including fuel supply to heat sources (HS), generation of heat energy by these HS and its distribution on district heating network (HN). For solving this problem different methods and models are applied: statistical testing method, Markov random processes, methods of the theory of hydraulic circuits, basic laws of district heating and heat transfer processes, etc. In this paper the main attention is paid to the results of the practical application of methods and models of a comprehensive reliability analysis of DHS using the example of calculations performed for the actual DHS scheme of the Shelekhov city (Irkutsk region, Russia). Different stages of the case study are considered, including preparation of initial data, simulation modelling of fuel supply to HS, modelling of the Markov random process describing operate of DHS, calculation of post-failure modes in HN, evaluation of nodal reliability indices (RI), decomposition analysis of reliability. Based on the analysis of calculation results some preliminary directions are formulated to the increase of reliability for studied DHS. These data are the basis for a comprehensive reliability synthesis (optimization) of DHS, the solution of which is the subject of special perspective stage in development of the research.

2020 ◽  
Vol 209 ◽  
pp. 02028
Author(s):  
Ivan Postnikov ◽  
Andrey Penkovskii ◽  
Ekaterina Mednikova

The paper presents a synthesis of research results on the development of scientific and methodo-logical support for the comprehensive solution of the main technical, economic and organizational problems of designing, functioning and development of modern district heating systems (DHS). These studies were conducted at the Melentiev Energy Systems Institute of SB RAS (Irkutsk city) by the scientific team of the Laboratory of Heat Supply Systems. Within the framework of the developed scientific and methodological support, the following basic problems were solved: optimization of levels of district heating in DHS with feasibility study for connecting new consumers, selection of optimal forms and models of heating market for DHS, comprehensive analysis and ensuring (optimization) reliability of DHS taking into account the fuel supply of heating sources (HS), and other additional problems. Based on the developed scientific and methodological ensuring following practical researches were carried out on existing DHS schemes of cities of the Irkutsk region: optimal management of DHS in Angarsk, Irkutsk region, taking into account the diverging interests of heating market participants; determination of the optimal scale of development of the existing DHS in Irkutsk based on the optimization of the effective heat supply radius taking into account the reliability of heating to consumers; comprehensive reliability analysis of DHS in Shelekhov of Irkutsk region, taking into account the fuel supply to HS.


2015 ◽  
Vol 62 (14) ◽  
pp. 1012-1016 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. I. Sharapov ◽  
M. E. Orlov ◽  
M. V. Kunin

2019 ◽  
Vol 23 (2) ◽  
pp. 207-221 ◽  
Author(s):  
Valery Stennikov ◽  
Ekaterina Mednikova ◽  
Ivan Postnikov ◽  
Andrey Penkovskii

Abstract The problem of determining the effective (optimal) heat supply radius is considered. Heat supply radius is transportation distance of heat energy in the district heating systems (DHS), under which the highest indices of economic efficiency of district heating to consumers are respected. To solve this difficult and multifactorial problem, a bi-level approach has been proposed. This approach allows finding the optimal frameworks of territorial areas of district heating while fulfilling the necessary requirements for thermal-hydraulic modes in heat networks and for reliability of heating to consumers. Methodology for solving the formulated problem is based on bi-level programming methods, models of Theory of hydraulic circuits, nonlinear optimization methods, nodal reliability indices (availability factor, failure-free operation probability), Markov random processes models and other methods and models. A case study has been conducted using the developed methodological apparatus for the actual DHS scheme of the Irkutsk city (Russia, Siberia).


Author(s):  
Ye.Ye. Nikitin

The current situation in the sphere of district heating is analysed on the basis of use of the cognitive approach. The presence of closed chains of cause-effect relationships of negative factors and conflicts of target settings of the subjects in the field of district heating is shown. The conceptual model of energy efficient modernization of district heating systems is proposed. This model includes indicators of the current status of heat sources, networks and heat consumers, energetic and economic models, restrictions, procedure of forming and analysis of the mutual influence of the recommended projects. The quantitative data on indicators of the current state of district heating systems of the cities of Ukraine are presented. The interrelation between indicators of the current state and projects of energy efficient modernization of district heating systems is shown. Assessment of energy self-sufficiency of municipal district heating systems on condition of thermal modernization of buildings is carried out. The creation of energy management systems at the district heating enterprises is proposed. Bib. 6, Fig. 7, Tab. 5.


Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3218
Author(s):  
Pedro Durán ◽  
Herena Torio ◽  
Patrik Schönfeldt ◽  
Peter Klement ◽  
Benedikt Hanke ◽  
...  

There are 1454 district heating systems in Germany. Most of them are fossil based and with high temperature levels, which is neither efficient nor sustainable and needs to be changed for reaching the 2050 climate goals. In this paper, we present a case study for transforming a high to low temperature district heating system which is more suitable for renewable energy supply. With the Carnot Toolbox, a dynamic model of a potential district heating system is simulated and then transformed to a low temperature supply. A sensitivity analysis is carried out to see the system performance in case space constrains restrict the transformation. Finally, an economic comparison is performed. Results show that it is technically possible to perform the transformation until a very low temperature system. The use of decentralized renewable sources, decentralized heat storage tanks and the placement of a heat pump on each building are the key points to achieve the transformation. Regarding the sensitivity analysis, the transformation is worth doing until the seasonal storage and solar collector field sizes are reduced to 60% and 80% of their values in the reference case, respectively. The economic analysis shows, however, that it is hard for highly efficient low temperature renewable based heat networks to compete with district heating systems based on a centralized fossile CHP solution. Thus, though the presented transformation is technically possible, there is a strong need to change existing economic schemes and policies for fostering a stronger promotion of renewable energy policies in the heat sector.


2021 ◽  
Vol 285 ◽  
pp. 116392
Author(s):  
Ruud Egging-Bratseth ◽  
Hanne Kauko ◽  
Brage Rugstad Knudsen ◽  
Sara Angell Bakke ◽  
Amina Ettayebi ◽  
...  

Energies ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (11) ◽  
pp. 3169
Author(s):  
Sara Månsson ◽  
Marcus Thern ◽  
Per-Olof Johansson Kallioniemi ◽  
Kerstin Sernhed

Faults in district heating (DH) customer installations cause high return temperatures, which have a negative impact on both current and future district heating systems. Thus, there is a need to detect and correct these faults soon after they occur to minimize their impact on the system. This paper, therefore, suggests a fault handling process for the detection and elimination of faults in DH customer installations. The fault handling process is based on customer data analysis since many faults manifest in customer data. The fault handling process was based on an analysis of the results from the previous fault handling studies, as well as conducting a workshop with experts from the DH industry. During the workshop, different organizational and technical challenges related to fault handling were discussed. The results include a presentation of how the utilities are currently working with fault handling. The results also present an analysis of different organizational aspects that would have to be improved to succeed in fault handling. The paper also includes a suggestion for how a fault handling process based on fault detection using data analysis may be designed. This process may be implemented by utilities in both current and future DH systems that interested in working more actively with faults in their customer installations.


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