scholarly journals Perbandingan Analisis Decline Curve antara Metode Trial Error dan Decline Type Curve Matching Untuk Menentukan Cadangan Minyak Sisa

2016 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 33-43
Author(s):  
Guntur Setiawan

Decline curve analysis often used to determine remaning reserves in a reservoir. To analyze with this method, the decline type curve from production period (trend) must be known. To determine decline type curve, in this paper will use two methods there are: trial error & x2 chisquare test and decline type curve matching. Both of methods have different way to determine decline type curve. Trial error done by making tabulation and calculation, while decline type curve matching done by overlay. The calculation are aimed to determine decline type curve, Remaining Reserves (RR) and Estimate Ultimate Recovery (EUR). Analysis done by taking sample of data well X which is a new well produced since September 2013 till the last data is Febuary 2016. First step of this study done by making type curve from equations and assumptionin literature then plot production rate vs time and choose production period (trend) to be analyzed. After that, determine decline type curve by trial error and decline type curve matching and do forecast until get remaining reserves and estimated ultimate recovery if economic limit rate production known. From calculation of both methods, resulted exponential decline type curve. For the error method obtained RR  41322,3 STB and EUR 240328,9 STB, while for decline type curve matching obtained RR 40534,2 STB and EUR 239540,8 STB

SPE Journal ◽  
2012 ◽  
Vol 18 (01) ◽  
pp. 97-113 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ayala H Luis F. ◽  
Peng Ye

Summary Rate-time decline-curve analysis is the technique most extensively used by engineers in the evaluation of well performance, production forecasting, and prediction of original fluids in place. Results from this analysis have key implications for economic decisions surrounding asset acquisition and investment planning in hydrocarbon production. State-of-the-art natural gas decline-curve analysis heavily relies on the use of liquid (oil) type curves combined with the concepts of pseudopressure and pseudotime and/or empirical curve fitting of rate-time production data using the Arps hyperbolic decline model. In this study, we present the analytical decline equation that models production from gas wells producing at constant pressure under boundary-dominated flow (BDF) which neither employs empirical concepts from Arps decline models nor necessitates explicit calculations of pseudofunctions. New-generation analytical decline equations for BDF are presented for gas wells producing at (1) full production potential under true wide-open decline and (2) partial production potential under less than wide-open decline. The proposed analytical model enables the generation of type-curves for the analysis of natural gas reservoirs producing at constant pressure and under BDF for both full and partial production potential. A universal, single-line gas type curve is shown to be straightforwardly derived for any gas well producing at its full potential under radial BDF. The resulting type curves can be used to forecast boundary-dominated performance and predict original gas in place without (1) iterative procedures, (2) prior knowledge of reservoir storage properties or geological data, and (3) pseudopressure or pseudotime transformations of production data obtained in the field.


2018 ◽  
Vol 141 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiazheng Qin ◽  
Shiqing Cheng ◽  
Youwei He ◽  
Yang Wang ◽  
Dong Feng ◽  
...  

Nowadays, production performance evaluation of a multifractured horizontal well (MFHW) has attracted great attention. This paper presents a mathematical model of an MFHW with considering segmented fracture (SF) for better evaluation of fracture and reservoir properties. Each SF consists of two parts: fracture segment far from wellbore (FSFW) and fracture segment near to wellbore (FSNW) in segmented fracture model (SFM), which is different from fractures consists of only one segment in common fracture model (CFM). Employing the source function and Green's function, Newman's product method, Duhamel principle, Stehfest inversion algorithm, and Laplace transform, production solution of an MFHW can be obtained using SFM. Total production rate is mostly contributed from FSNW rather than FSFW in many cases; ignoring this phenomenon may lead to obvious erroneous in parameter interpretation. Thus, clear distinctions can be found between CFM and SFM on the compound type curves. By using decline curve analysis (DCA), the influences of sensitive parameters (e.g., dimensionless half-length, dimensionless production rate, conductivity, and distance between SF) on compound type curves are analyzed. The results of sensitivity analysis are benefit of parameter estimation during history matching.


1981 ◽  
Vol 21 (03) ◽  
pp. 354-362 ◽  
Author(s):  
Giovanni Da Prat ◽  
Heber Cinco-Ley ◽  
Henry Ramey

Abstract Constant producing pressure solutions that define declining production rates with time for a naturally fractured reservoir are presented. The solutions for the dimensionless flow rate are based on a model presented by Warren and Root. The model was extended to include constant producing pressure in both infinite and finite systems. The results obtained for a finite no-flow outer boundary are new and surprising. It was found that the flow rate shows a rapid decline initially, becomes nearly constant for a period, and then a final decline in rat,- takes place.A striking result of the present study is that ignoring the presence of a constant flow rate period in a type-curve match can lead to erroneous estimates of the dimensionless outer radius of a reservoir. An example is presented to illustrate the method of type-curve matching for a naturally fractured system. Introduction Naturally fractured reservoirs consist of heterogeneous porous media where the openings (fissures and fractures) vary considerably in size. Fractures and openings of large size form vugs and interconnected channel, whereas the tine cracks form block systems which are the main body of the reservoir (Fig. 1). The porous blocks store most of the fluid in the reservoir and are often of low permeability, whereas the fractures have a low storage capacity and high permeability. Most of the fluid flow will occur through the fissures with the blocks acting as fluid sources. Even though the volumetric average permeability in a naturally fractured system is low, such systems often exhibit an effective permeability that is higher than the block matrix permeability, and behave differently from ordinary homogeneous media. These systems have been studied extensively in the petroleum literature. One of the first such studies was published by Pirson in 1953. In 1959, Pollard presented one of the first pressure transient models available for interpretation of well test data from two-porosity systems. The most complete analysis of transient flow in two-porosity systems was presented in 1960 by Barenblatt and Zheltov. The Warren and Root study in 1963 is considered the forerunner of modern interpretation of two-porosity systems. Their paper has been the subject of study by many authors. The behavior of fractured systems has long been a topic of controversy Many authors have indicated that the graphical technique proposed by Pollard in 1959 is susceptible to error caused by approximations in the mathematical model. Nevertheless, the Pollard method still is used. The most complete study of two-porosity systems appears to be the Mavor and Cinco-Ley study in 1979. This study considers wellbore storage and skin effect, and also considers production, both at constant rate and at constant pressure. However, little information is presented concerning the effect of the size of the system on pressure buildup behavior.Although decline curve analysis is widely used, methods specific to two-porosity fractured systems do not appear to be available. It is the objective of this paper to produce and study decline curve analysis for a naturally fractured reservoir. The Warren and Root model was chosen as the basis for this work. Partial Differential Equations The basic partial differential equations for fluid flow in a two-porosity system were presented by Warren and Root in 1963. The model was extended by Mavor and Cinco-Ley to include wellbore storage and skin effect. SPEJ P. 354^


1998 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ram G. Agarwal ◽  
David C. Gardner ◽  
Stanley W. Kleinsteiber ◽  
Del D. Fussell

2016 ◽  
Vol 36 ◽  
pp. 402-413 ◽  
Author(s):  
He Zhang ◽  
Dean Rietz ◽  
Adam Cagle ◽  
Martin Cocco ◽  
John Lee

2000 ◽  
Vol 3 (06) ◽  
pp. 525-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. Ansah ◽  
R.S. Knowles ◽  
T.A. Blasingame

Summary In this paper we present a rigorous theoretical development of solutions for boundary-dominated gas flow during reservoir depletion. These solutions were derived by directly coupling the stabilized flow equation with the gas material balance equation. Due to the highly nonlinear nature of the gas flow equation, pseudo pressure and pseudotime functions have been used over the years for the analysis of production rate and cumulative production data. While the pseudo pressure and pseudotime functions do provide a rigorous linearization of the gas flow equation, these transformations do not provide direct solutions. In addition, the pseudotime function requires the average reservoir pressure history, which in most cases is simply not available. Our approach uses functional models to represent the viscosity-compressibility product as a function of the reservoir pressure/z-factor (p/z) profile. These models provide approximate, but direct, solutions for modeling gas flow during the boundary-dominated flow period. For convenience, the solutions are presented in terms of dimensionless variables and expressed as type curve plots. Other products of this work are explicit relations for p/z and Gp(t). These solutions can be easily adapted for field applications such as the prediction of rate or cumulative production. We also provide verification of our new flow rate and pressure solutions using the results of numerical simulation and we demonstrate the application of these solutions using a field example. Introduction We focus here on the development and application of semi-analytic solutions for modeling gas well performance¾with particular emphasis on production rate analysis using decline type curves. Our emphasis on decline curve analysis arises both from its usefulness in viewing the entire well history, as well as its familiarity in the industry as a straightforward and consistent analysis approach. More importantly, the approach does not specifically require reservoir pressure data (although pressure data are certainly useful). Decline curve analysis typically involves a plot of production rate, qg and/or other rate functions (e.g., cumulative production, rate integral, rate integral derivative, etc.) vs. time (or a time-like function) on a log-log scale. This plot is matched against a theoretical model, either analytically as a functional form or graphically in the form of type curves. From this analysis formation properties are estimated. Production forecasts can then be made by extrapolation of the matched data trends. The specific formation parameters that can be obtained from decline curve analysis are original gas in place (OGIP), permeability or flow capacity, and the type and strength of the reservoir drive mechanism. In addition, we can establish the future performance of individual wells, and the estimated ultimate recovery (EUR). Attempts to theoretically model the production rate performance of gas and oil wells date as far back as the early part of this century. In 1921, a detailed summary of the most important developments in this area was documented in the Manual for the Oil and Gas Industry.1 Several efforts2,3 were made over the years immediately thereafter, and probably the most significant contribution towards the development of the modern decline curve analysis concept is the classic paper by Arps,2 written in 1944. In this work Arps presented a set of exponential and hyperbolic equations for production rate analysis. Although the basis of Arps' development was statistical (and therefore empirical), these historic results have found widespread appeal in the oil and gas industry. The continuous use of the so-called "Arps equations" is primarily due to the explicit form of the relations, which makes these equations quite useful for practical applications. The next major development in production decline analysis technology occurred in 1980, when Fetkovich4 presented a unified type curve which combined the Arps empirical equations with the analytical rate solutions for bounded reservoir systems.


2019 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 1508-1511

Rate-time decline curve analysis is a major technique which is mostly used in petroleum engineering. Many methods are used for the determination of the decrease in the production rate within a given period of time. The main disadvantage of Arp’s decline type curve analysis is that it is only used for boundary dominated flow period; it is not used for transient flow period. The analysis of the Fetkovich is to determine the log-log type curve for both the transient flow period (early time period or infinite) and boundary-dominated flow period (late time period). Arps developed the type curve which shows the production rate decline with time for the finite reservoir or late time period. The exponential or constant flow decline, hyperbolic decline, and harmonic decline according to the value of decline curve exponent (b) is given by Arps. After that Fetkovich improved on earlier work done by Arps in predicting decline production rate of wells over a given period of time. The main objective of this study was to plotting the rate transient analysis curve. I will plot the Fetkovich type curve (combined early and late times region). The graph will be plotted between the dimensionless decline flow rate (qDd) and the dimensionless decline time” (tDd). This will be the objective of the study.


PETRO ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 158
Author(s):  
Bonifasius Aristomo Haryo Adi ◽  
Onnie Ridaliani ◽  
Rida Husla

<p><em>The purpose of calculating the Original Oil In Place (OOIP) is to know the potential of reservoir to be produced. Calculation of OOIP in field Y based on determining the type of drive mechanism at the beginningfollowed by calculation the value of Underground Withdrawal and parameters of fluid expansion. All parameters then used to draw the graphic using Havlena and Odeh Method. The value of OOIP is </em>354,766 MMSTB<em>.</em></p><p><em>Along with the time and production activity, the OOIP will be reduced. Therefore it is important to forecast the production itself. Constant Decline is determined using Trial Error and X<sup>2</sup> Chisquare Test Method with value of constant decline b = 0 and decline rate 0,01855. This means that the type of decline curve is exponential curve. This type of decline curve is used to forecast the production until q economic limit. As a result, the value of Estimated Ultimated Recovery is 296,0386 MMSTB, Recovery Factor 83,4461%, and Remaining Reserve 51,9415 MMSTB</em>.<em></em></p><p align="center"> </p><p>Keyword: <em>Original Oil In Place</em>, <em>Decline Curve Analysis, material balance straight line, Recovery Factor, Remaining Reserve</em></p><p> </p>


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