scholarly journals COLLABORATIVE RESEARCH: TOWARDS ADVANCED UNDERSTANDING AND PREDICTIVE CAPABILITY OF CLIMATE CHANGE IN THE ARCTIC USING A HIGH-RESOLUTION REGIONAL ARCTIC CLIMATE SYSTEM MODEL

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
William J. Gutowski
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongwen Wu ◽  
Rucong Yu ◽  
Yixiong Lu ◽  
Weihua Jie ◽  
Yongjie Fang ◽  
...  

Abstract. BCC-CSM2-HR is a high-resolution version of the Beijing Climate Center (BCC) Climate System Model. Its development is on the basis of the medium-resolution version BCC-CSM2-MR which is the baseline for BCC participation to the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). This study documents the high-resolution model, highlights major improvements in the representation of atmospheric dynamic core and physical processes. BCC-CSM2-HR is evaluated for present-day climate simulations from 1971 to 2000, which are performed under CMIP6-prescribed historical forcing, in comparison with its previous medium-resolution version BCC-CSM2-MR. We focus on basic atmospheric mean states over the globe and variabilities in the tropics including the tropic cyclones (TCs), the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Madden-Julian Oscillation (MJO), and the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the stratosphere. It is shown that BCC-CSM2-HR keeps well the global energy balance and can realistically reproduce main patterns of atmosphere temperature and wind, precipitation, land surface air temperature and sea surface temperature. It also improves in the spatial patterns of sea ice and associated seasonal variations in both hemispheres. The bias of double intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), obvious in BCC-CSM2-MR, is almost disappeared in BCC-CSM2-HR. TC activity in the tropics is increased with resolution enhanced. The cycle of ENSO, the eastward propagative feature and convection intensity of MJO, the downward propagation of QBO in BCC-CSM2-HR are all in a better agreement with observation than their counterparts in BCC-CSM2-MR. We also note some weakness in BCC-CSM2-HR, such as the excessive cloudiness in the eastern basin of the tropical Pacific with cold Sea Surface Temperature (SST) biases and the insufficient number of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic.


2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (19) ◽  
pp. 4973-4991 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter R. Gent ◽  
Gokhan Danabasoglu ◽  
Leo J. Donner ◽  
Marika M. Holland ◽  
Elizabeth C. Hunke ◽  
...  

The fourth version of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM4) was recently completed and released to the climate community. This paper describes developments to all CCSM components, and documents fully coupled preindustrial control runs compared to the previous version, CCSM3. Using the standard atmosphere and land resolution of 1° results in the sea surface temperature biases in the major upwelling regions being comparable to the 1.4°-resolution CCSM3. Two changes to the deep convection scheme in the atmosphere component result in CCSM4 producing El Niño–Southern Oscillation variability with a much more realistic frequency distribution than in CCSM3, although the amplitude is too large compared to observations. These changes also improve the Madden–Julian oscillation and the frequency distribution of tropical precipitation. A new overflow parameterization in the ocean component leads to an improved simulation of the Gulf Stream path and the North Atlantic Ocean meridional overturning circulation. Changes to the CCSM4 land component lead to a much improved annual cycle of water storage, especially in the tropics. The CCSM4 sea ice component uses much more realistic albedos than CCSM3, and for several reasons the Arctic sea ice concentration is improved in CCSM4. An ensemble of twentieth-century simulations produces a good match to the observed September Arctic sea ice extent from 1979 to 2005. The CCSM4 ensemble mean increase in globally averaged surface temperature between 1850 and 2005 is larger than the observed increase by about 0.4°C. This is consistent with the fact that CCSM4 does not include a representation of the indirect effects of aerosols, although other factors may come into play. The CCSM4 still has significant biases, such as the mean precipitation distribution in the tropical Pacific Ocean, too much low cloud in the Arctic, and the latitudinal distributions of shortwave and longwave cloud forcings.


2014 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 34-56 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tongwen Wu ◽  
Lianchun Song ◽  
Weiping Li ◽  
Zaizhi Wang ◽  
Hua Zhang ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 1495-1532 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. A. Blazey ◽  
M. M. Holland ◽  
E. C. Hunke

Abstract. Sea ice cover in the Arctic Ocean is a continued focus of attention. This study assesses the capability of hindcast simulations of the Community Climate System Model (CCSM) to reproduce observed snow depths and densities overlying the Arctic Ocean sea ice. The model is evaluated using measurements provided by historic Russian polar drift stations. Following the identification of seasonal biases produced in the simulations, the thermodynamic transfer through the snow – ice column is perturbed to determine model sensitivity to these biases. This study concludes that perturbations on the order of the observed biases result in modification of the annual mean conductive flux of 0.5 W m−2 relative to an unmodified simulation. The results suggest that the ice has a complex response to snow characteristics, with ice of different thicknesses producing distinct reactions. Consequently, we suggest that the inclusion of additional snow evolution processes such as blowing snow, densification, and seasonal changes in snow conductivity in sea ice models would increase the fidelity of the model with respect to the physical system. Moreover, our results suggest that simulated high latitude precipitation biases have important effects on the simulated ice conditions, resulting in impacts on the Arctic climate in general in large-scale climate.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (5) ◽  
pp. 2977-3006
Author(s):  
Tongwen Wu ◽  
Rucong Yu ◽  
Yixiong Lu ◽  
Weihua Jie ◽  
Yongjie Fang ◽  
...  

Abstract. BCC-CSM2-HR is a high-resolution version of the Beijing Climate Center (BCC) Climate System Model (T266 in the atmosphere and 1/4∘ latitude × 1/4∘ longitude in the ocean). Its development is on the basis of the medium-resolution version BCC-CSM2-MR (T106 in the atmosphere and 1∘ latitude × 1∘ longitude in the ocean) which is the baseline for BCC participation in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 6 (CMIP6). This study documents the high-resolution model, highlights major improvements in the representation of atmospheric dynamical core and physical processes. BCC-CSM2-HR is evaluated for historical climate simulations from 1950 to 2014, performed under CMIP6-prescribed historical forcing, in comparison with its previous medium-resolution version BCC-CSM2-MR. Observed global warming trends of surface air temperature from 1950 to 2014 are well captured by both BCC-CSM2-MR and BCC-CSM2-HR. Present-day basic atmospheric mean states during the period from 1995 to 2014 are then evaluated at global scale, followed by an assessment on climate variabilities in the tropics including the tropical cyclones (TCs), the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO), the Madden–Julian Oscillation (MJO), and the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) in the stratosphere. It is shown that BCC-CSM2-HR represents the global energy balance well and can realistically reproduce the main patterns of atmospheric temperature and wind, precipitation, land surface air temperature, and sea surface temperature (SST). It also improves the spatial patterns of sea ice and associated seasonal variations in both hemispheres. The bias of the double intertropical convergence zone (ITCZ), obvious in BCC-CSM2-MR, almost disappears in BCC-CSM2-HR. TC activity in the tropics is increased with resolution enhanced. The cycle of ENSO, the eastward propagative feature and convection intensity of MJO, and the downward propagation of QBO in BCC-CSM2-HR are all in a better agreement with observations than their counterparts in BCC-CSM2-MR. Some imperfections are, however, noted in BCC-CSM2-HR, such as the excessive cloudiness in the eastern basin of the tropical Pacific with cold SST biases and the insufficient number of tropical cyclones in the North Atlantic.


1997 ◽  
Vol 25 ◽  
pp. 107-110 ◽  
Author(s):  
John W. Weatherly ◽  
Thomas W. Bettge ◽  
Bruce P. Briegleb

The Climate System Model (CSM) developed at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR) consists of atmosphere, land and ocean models, as well as a dynamic-thermodynamic sea-ice model. The results of sea-ice simulation using the first coupled climate simulation with the CSM is presented. It was found that the simulated total-ice areas in both hemispheres compared well with observations for winter, but were too large for summer. The numerical solution of the cavitating fluid dynamics was found to allow excessive ridging of ice, and an ad hoc correction was implemented. The ice velocities were realistic for the Antarctic, but for the Arctic were turned toward Alaska and Siberia by modeled winds and currents. This ice-drift pattern was reflected by ice thickness, which lacks the observed ridging near Greenland. The results illustrate the sensitivity of sea ice to the simulation of polar climate and the challenge of modeling the entire climate system.


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