scholarly journals Ranking of hybrid wavelet-AI models by TOPSIS method for estimation of daily flow discharge

2020 ◽  
Vol 20 (8) ◽  
pp. 3156-3171
Author(s):  
Hiwa Farajpanah ◽  
Morteza Lotfirad ◽  
Arash Adib ◽  
Hassan Esmaeili-Gisavandani ◽  
Özgur Kisi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Gene Expression Programming ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Discrete Wavelet ◽  
Topsis Method ◽  
M5 Model Tree ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Flow Discharge ◽  
Discharge Temperature

Abstract This research uses the multi-layer perceptron–artificial neural network (MLP-ANN), radial basis function–ANN (RBF-ANN), least square support vector machine (LSSVM), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), M5 model tree (M5T), gene expression programming (GEP), genetic programming (GP) and Bayesian network (BN) with five types of mother wavelet functions (MWFs: coif4, db10, dmey, fk6 and sym7) and selects the best model by the TOPSIS method. The case study is the Navrood watershed in the north of Iran and the considered parameters are daily flow discharge, temperature and precipitation during 1991 to 2018. The derived results show that the best method is the hybrid of the M5T model with sym7 wavelet function. The MWFs were decomposed by discrete wavelet transform (DWT). The combination of AI models and MWFs improves the correlation coefficient of MLP, RBF, LSSVM, ANFIS, GP, GEP, M5T and BN by 8.05%, 4.6%, 8.14%, 8.14%, 22.97%, 7.5%, 5.75% and 10% respectively.

scholarly journals Reference Evapotranspiration Modeling Using New Heuristic Methods

Entropy ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 22 (5) ◽  
pp. 547 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rana Muhammad Adnan ◽  
Zhihuan Chen ◽  
Xiaohui Yuan ◽  
Ozgur Kisi ◽  
Ahmed El-Shafie ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Prediction Accuracy ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Reference Evapotranspiration ◽  
Search Algorithm ◽  
Gravitational Search Algorithm ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
M5 Model Tree ◽  
Inference System

The study investigates the potential of two new machine learning methods, least-square support vector regression with a gravitational search algorithm (LSSVR-GSA) and the dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), for modeling reference evapotranspiration (ETo) using limited data. The results of the new methods are compared with the M5 model tree (M5RT) approach. Previous values of temperature data and extraterrestrial radiation information obtained from three stations, in China, are used as inputs to the models. The estimation exactness of the models is measured by three statistics: root mean square error, mean absolute error, and determination coefficient. According to the results, the temperature or extraterrestrial radiation-based LSSVR-GSA models perform superiorly to the DENFIS and M5RT models in terms of estimating monthly ETo. However, in some cases, a slight difference was found between the LSSVR-GSA and DENFIS methods. The results indicate that better prediction accuracy may be obtained using only extraterrestrial radiation information for all three methods. The prediction accuracy of the models is not generally improved by including periodicity information in the inputs. Using optimum air temperature and extraterrestrial radiation inputs together generally does not increase the accuracy of the applied methods in the estimation of monthly ETo.

scholarly journals Time Series Prediction of Electricity Demand Using Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference Systems

2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
Amevi Acakpovi ◽  
Alfred Tettey Ternor ◽  
Nana Yaw Asabere ◽  
Patrick Adjei ◽  
Abdul-Shakud Iddrisu
Keyword(s):  
Urban Areas ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Predictive Accuracy ◽  
Resource Planning ◽  
Electricity Demand ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Quality Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy

This paper is concerned with the reliable prediction of electricity demands using the Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS). The need for electricity demand prediction is fundamental and vital for power resource planning and monitoring. A dataset of electricity demands covering the period of 2003 to 2018 was collected from the Electricity Distribution Company of Ghana, covering three urban areas namely Mallam, Achimota, and Ga East, all in Ghana. The dataset was divided into two parts: one part covering a period of 0 to 500 hours was used for training of the ANFIS algorithm while the second part was used for validation. Three scenarios were considered for the simulation exercise that was done with the MATLAB software. Scenario one considered four inputs sampled data, scenario two considered an additional input making it 5, and scenario 3 was similar to scenario 1 with the exception of the number of membership functions that increased from 2 to 3. The performance of the ANFIS algorithm was assessed by comparing its predictions with other three forecast models namely Support Vector Regression (SVR), Least Square Support Vector Machine (LS-SVM), and Auto-Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA). Findings revealed that the ANFIS algorithm can perform the prediction accurately, the ANFIS algorithm converges faster with an increase in the data used for training, and increasing the membership function resulted in overfitting of data which adversely affected the RMSE values. Comparison of the ANFIS results to other previously used methods of predicting electricity demands including SVR, LS-SVM, and ARIMA revealed that there is merit to the potentials of the ANFIS algorithm for improved predictive accuracy while relying on a quality data for training and reliable setting of tuning parameters.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Approaches for Accurate Prediction of Relative Humidity based on Temperature and Wet-Bulb Depression

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mahdi Ghadiri ◽  
Azam Marjani ◽  
Samira Mohammadinia ◽  
Manouchehr Shokri
Keyword(s):  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Statistical Learning ◽  
Air Conditioning ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Cooling Towers ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Data Points

The main parameters for calculation of relative humidity are the wet-bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. In this work, easy-to-used predictive tools based on statistical learning concepts, i.e., the Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) are developed for calculating relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. To evaluate the aforementioned models, some statistical analyses have been done between the actual and estimated data points. Results obtained from the present models showed their capabilities to calculate relative humidity for divers values of dry bulb temperatures and also wet-bulb depression. The obtained values of MSE and MRE were 0.132 and 0.931, 0.193 and 1.291 for the LSSVM and ANFIS approaches respectively. These developed tools are user-friend and can be of massive value for scientists especially, those dealing with air conditioning and wet cooling towers systems to have a noble check of the relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperatures.

scholarly journals On the Prediction of Biogas Production from Vegetables, Fruits, and Food Wastes by ANFIS- and LSSVM-Based Models

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Yong Yang ◽  
Shuaishuai Zheng ◽  
Zhilu Ai ◽  
Mohammad Mahdi Molla Jafari
Keyword(s):  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Biogas Production ◽  
Input Parameter ◽  
Machine Learning Algorithms ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Robust Algorithms ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Proposed Model

This study is aimed at modeling biodigestion systems as a function of the most influencing parameters to generate two robust algorithms on the basis of the machine learning algorithms, including adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and least square support vector machine (LSSVM). The models are assessed utilizing multiple statistical analyses for the actual values and model outcomes. Results from the suggested models indicate their great capability of predicting biogas production from vegetable food, fruits, and wastes for a variety of ranges of input parameters. The values that are calculated for the mean relative error (MRE %) and mean squared error (MSE) were 29.318 and 0.0039 for ANFIS, and 2.951 and 0.0001 for LSSVM which shows that the latter model has a better ability to predict the target data. Finally, in order to have additional certainty, two analyses of outlier identification and sensitivity were performed on the input parameter data that proved the proposed model in this paper has higher reliability in assessing output values compared with the previous model.

scholarly journals Forecasting Stock Market Volatility Using Hybrid of Adaptive Network of Fuzzy Inference System and Wavelet Functions

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah H. Alenezy ◽  
Mohd Tahir Ismail ◽  
S. Al Wadi ◽  
Muhammad Tahir ◽  
Nawaf N. Hamadneh ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Arima Model ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Percentage Error ◽  
Discrete Wavelet ◽  
Stock Market Volatility ◽  
Adaptive Network ◽  
Anfis Model ◽  
Inference System

This study aims to model and enhance the forecasting accuracy of Saudi Arabia stock exchange (Tadawul) data patterns using the daily stock price indices data with 2026 observations from October 2011 to December 2019. This study employs a nonlinear spectral model of maximum overlapping discrete wavelet transform (MODWT) with five mathematical functions, namely, Haar, Daubechies (Db), Least Square (LA-8), Best localization (BL14), and Coiflet (C6) in conjunction with adaptive network-based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS). We have selected oil price (Loil) and repo rate (Repo) as input values according to correlation, the Engle and Granger Causality test, and multiple regressions. The input variables in this study have been collected from Saudi Authority for Statistics and Saudi Central Bank. The output variable is obtained from Tadawul. The performance of the proposed model (MODWT-LA8-ANFIS) is evaluated in terms of mean error (ME), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute percentage error (MAPE). Also, we have compared the MODWT-LA8-ANFIS model with traditional models, which are autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model and ANFIS model. The obtained results show that the performance of MODWT-LA8-ANFIS is better than that of the traditional models. Therefore, the proposed forecasting model is capable of decomposing in the stock markets.

scholarly journals Machine Learning Approaches for Accurate Prediction of Relative Humidity based on Temperature and Wet-Bulb Depression

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qi Luo ◽  
Manouchehr Shokri ◽  
Adrienn Dineva
Keyword(s):  
Relative Humidity ◽  
Statistical Learning ◽  
Air Conditioning ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Cooling Towers ◽  
Learning Approaches ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Data Points

The main parameters for calculation of relative humidity are the wet-bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. In this work, easy-to-used predictive tools based on statistical learning concepts, i.e., the Adaptive Network-Based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) and Least Square Support Vector Machine (LSSVM) are developed for calculating relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperature. To evaluate the aforementioned models, some statistical analyses have been done between the actual and estimated data points. Results obtained from the present models showed their capabilities to calculate relative humidity for divers values of dry bulb temperatures and also wet-bulb depression. The obtained values of MSE and MRE were 0.132 and 0.931, 0.193 and 1.291 for the LSSVM and ANFIS approaches respectively. These developed tools are user-friend and can be of massive value for scientists especially, those dealing with air conditioning and wet cooling towers systems to have a noble check of the relative humidity in terms of wet bulb depression and dry bulb temperatures.

Prediction of groundwater quality parameter in the Tabriz plain, Iran using soft computing methods

2019 ◽  
Vol 68 (7) ◽  
pp. 573-584 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robabeh Jafari ◽  
Ali Torabian ◽  
Mohammad Ali Ghorbani ◽  
Seyed Ahmad Mirbagheri ◽  
Amir Hessam Hassani
Keyword(s):  
Soft Computing ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Gene Expression Programming ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Eastern Region ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Groundwater Aquifer ◽  
Tabriz Plain

Abstract Aquifers are one of the largest available freshwater resources. In this paper, total dissolved solids (TDS) of the groundwater aquifer in Tabriz plain is estimated by groundwater physicochemical parameters including Na, HCO3, Ca, Mg, and SO4 in the eastern region of Urmia Lake. For this purpose, four soft computing approaches, namely, multilayer perceptron (MLP), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), support vector machine (SVM), and gene expression programming (GEP) were used to predict TDS for a period of 10 years (2002–2012). Data were collected from the East Azerbaijan Regional Water Organization, which totaled 1,742 samples. In the application, of the whole data set, 70% (1,220 samples) was used for training and 30% (522 samples) for testing. In the following, the correlation coefficient (R), root mean square error (RMSE), and mean absolute error (MAE) statistics were used for evaluating the accuracy of the models. According to the results, MLP, ANFIS, SVM, and GEP models could be employed successfully in estimating TDS alterations. A comparison was made between these soft computing approaches that corroborated the superiority of the GEP model over MLP, SVM, and ANFIS models with RMSE = 58.93, R = 0.998, and MAE = 5.21.

scholarly journals Comparison of SVM, ANFIS and GEP in modeling monthly potential evapotranspiration in an arid region (Case study: Sistan and Baluchestan Province, Iran)

2018 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 392-403 ◽  
Author(s):  
Omolbani Mohammadrezapour ◽  
Jamshid Piri ◽  
Ozgur Kisi
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Climatic Factors ◽  
Potential Evapotranspiration ◽  
Gene Expression Programming ◽  
Absolute Error ◽  
Weather Data ◽  
Coefficient Of Determination ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Heuristic Methods ◽  
Inference System

Abstract Evapotranspiration is an important component in planning and management of water resources. It depends on climatic factors and the influence of these factors on each other makes evapotranspiration estimation difficult. This study attempts to explore the possibility of predicting this important component using three different heuristic methods: support vector machine (SVM), adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and gene expression programming (GEP). In this regard, according to the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAO) Penman-Monteith equation, the monthly potential evapotranspiration in four synoptic stations (Zahedan, Zabol, Iranshahr, and Chabahar) was calculated using monthly weather data. The weather data were then used as inputs to the SVM, ANFIS and GEP models to estimate potential evapotranspiration. Five different input combinations were tried in the applications. The results of SVM, ANFIS and GEP models were compared based on the coefficient of determination (R2), mean absolute error and root mean square error. Findings showed that the SVM model, whose inputs are average air temperature, relative humidity, wind speed, and sunny hours of the current and one previous month, performed better than the other models for the Zahedan, Zabol, Iranshahr, and Chabahar stations. Comparison of the three heuristic methods indicated that in all stations, the SVM, GEP and ANFIS models took first, second, and third place in estimation of the monthly potential evapotranspiration, respectively.

Improved Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System Using Gray Wolf Optimization: A Case Study in Predicting Biochar Yield

2018 ◽  
Vol 29 (1) ◽  
pp. 924-940 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ahmed A. Ewees ◽  
Mohamed Abd Elaziz
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Local Optimum ◽  
Gray Wolf ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Neuro Fuzzy ◽  
Whale Optimization ◽  
Benchmark Datasets

Abstract This paper presents an alternative method for predicting biochar yields from biomass thermochemical processes. As biochar is considered a renewable and sustainable energy source, it has received more attention. Several methods have been presented to predict biochar, such as neural network (NN) and least square support vector machine (LS-SVM). However, each of them has its own drawbacks, such as getting stuck in a local optimum, which occurs in NN, and lack of uncertainty and time complexity, as in LS-SVM. Therefore, this paper avoids this limitation by using a hybrid method between the adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and gray wolf optimization (GWO) algorithm. The proposed method is called ANFIS-GWO, which consists of two stages. In the first stage, GWO is used to learn the parameters of ANFIS using the training set. Meanwhile, in the second stage, the testing set is used to evaluate the performance of the proposed ANFIS-GWO method. Three experiments were performed to assess the performance of the proposed method. The first experiment used a set of UCI (University of California, Irvine) benchmark datasets to evaluate the effectiveness of ANFIS-GWO. The aim of the second experiment was to evaluate the performance of the proposed ANFIS-GWO method to predict biochar yield from manure pyrolysis. The third experiment aimed to estimate the values of input parameters of pyrolysis that maximize biochar production. The obtained results were compared to those of other methods, such as ANFIS using gradient descent, practical swarm optimization, genetic algorithm, whale optimization algorithm, sine-cosine algorithm, and LS-SVM. The results of the ANFIS-GWO method were >35% of the standard ANFIS and also better than those of other methods.

Studying Fitting Effect by ANFIS in the Electrodialysis Process

2011 ◽  
Vol 268-270 ◽  
pp. 336-339
Author(s):  
Guo Lin Jing ◽  
Wen Ting Du ◽  
Quan Zhou ◽  
Song Tao Li
Keyword(s):  
Fuzzy Inference System ◽  
Fuzzy Inference ◽  
Back Propagation ◽  
Fuzzy Model ◽  
Least Square Method ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Back Propagation Algorithm ◽  
Inference System ◽  
Error Back Propagation ◽  
Error Back Propagation Algorithm

Fuzzy system is known to predict model in the electrodialysis process. This paper aimed to study fitting effect by ANFIS in a laboratory scale ED cell. Separation percent of NaCl solution is mainly as a function of concentration, temperature, flow rate and voltage. Besides, ANFIS(Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System) based on Sugeno fuzzy model, its structure was similar to neural network and could generate fuzzy rules automatically, using the error back propagation algorithm and least square method to adjust the parameters of fuzzy inference system. We obtained fitted values of separation percent by ANFIS. Separation percent from experiments compared with the fitted values of separation percent. The result is shown that the correlation coefficient is 0.988. Therefore, it is verified as a good performance in the electrodialysis process.

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