scholarly journals Novelty detection for time series data analysis in water distribution systems using support vector machines

2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 672-686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen R. Mounce ◽  
Richard B. Mounce ◽  
Joby B. Boxall
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Distribution Systems ◽  
Water Distribution ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Water Distribution Systems ◽  
Kernel Functions ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Support Vector

The sampling frequency and quantity of time series data collected from water distribution systems has been increasing in recent years, giving rise to the potential for improving system knowledge if suitable automated techniques can be applied, in particular, machine learning. Novelty (or anomaly) detection refers to the automatic identification of novel or abnormal patterns embedded in large amounts of “normal” data. When dealing with time series data (transformed into vectors), this means abnormal events embedded amongst many normal time series points. The support vector machine is a data-driven statistical technique that has been developed as a tool for classification and regression. The key features include statistical robustness with respect to non-Gaussian errors and outliers, the selection of the decision boundary in a principled way, and the introduction of nonlinearity in the feature space without explicitly requiring a nonlinear algorithm by means of kernel functions. In this research, support vector regression is used as a learning method for anomaly detection from water flow and pressure time series data. No use is made of past event histories collected through other information sources. The support vector regression methodology, whose robustness derives from the training error function, is applied to a case study.

scholarly journals WDSchain: A Toolbox for Enhancing the Security Using Blockchain Technology in Water Distribution System

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (14) ◽  
pp. 1944
Author(s):  
Haitham H. Mahmoud ◽  
Wenyan Wu ◽  
Yonghao Wang
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Distribution Systems ◽  
Water Distribution ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Process Time ◽  
Time Interval ◽  
Security Level ◽  
Data Validation ◽  
Simulated Time

This work develops a toolbox called WDSchain on MATLAB that can simulate blockchain on water distribution systems (WDS). WDSchain can import data from Excel and EPANET water modelling software. It extends the EPANET to enable simulation blockchain of the hydraulic data at any intended nodes. Using WDSchain will strengthen network automation and the security in WDS. WDSchain can process time-series data with two simulation modes: (1) static blockchain, which takes a snapshot of one-time interval data of all nodes in WDS as input and output into chained blocks at a time, and (2) dynamic blockchain, which takes all simulated time-series data of all the nodes as input and establishes chained blocks at the simulated time. Five consensus mechanisms are developed in WDSchain to provide data at different security levels using PoW, PoT, PoV, PoA, and PoAuth. Five different sizes of WDS are simulated in WDSchain for performance evaluation. The results show that a trade-off is needed between the system complexity and security level for data validation. The WDSchain provides a methodology to further explore the data validation using Blockchain to WDS. The limitations of WDSchain do not consider selection of blockchain nodes and broadcasting delay compared to commercial blockchain platforms.

scholarly journals Analisis Pola Prediksi Data Time Series menggunakan Support Vector Regression, Multilayer Perceptron, dan Regresi Linear Sederhana

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 282-287
Author(s):  
Ika Oktavianti ◽  
Ermatita Ermatita ◽  
Dian Palupi Rini
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Multilayer Perceptron ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Training Data ◽  
Machine Learning Techniques ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Contributing Factors ◽  
Testing Data

Licensing services is one of the forms of public services that important in supporting increased investment in Indonesia and is currently carried out by the Investment and Licensing Services Department. The problems that occur in general are the length of time to process licenses and one of the contributing factors is the limited number of licensing officers. Licensing data is a time series data which have monthly observation. The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVR) is used as machine learning techniques to predict licensing pattern based on time series data. Of the data used dataset 1 and dataset 2, the sharing of training data and testing data is equal to 70% and 30% with consideration that training data must be more than testing data. The result of the study showed for Dataset 1, the ANN-Multilayer Perceptron have a better performance than Support Vector Regression (SVR) with MSE, MAE and RMSE values is 251.09, 11.45, and 15.84. Then for dataset 2, SVR-Linear has better performance than MLP with values of MSE, MAE and RMSE of 1839.93, 32.80, and 42.89. The dataset used to predict the number of permissions is dataset 2. The study also used the Simple Linear Regression (SLR) method to see the causal relationship between the number of licenses issued and licensing service officers. The result is that the relationship between the number of licenses issued and the number of service officers is less significant because there are other factors that affect the number of licenses.  

scholarly journals A Novel Time Series Prediction Approach Based on a Hybridization of Least Squares Support Vector Regression and Swarm Intelligence

2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nhat-Duc Hoang ◽  
Anh-Duc Pham ◽  
Minh-Tu Cao
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Least Squares ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Hybrid Approach ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Promising Alternative ◽  
Prediction Approach

This research aims at establishing a novel hybrid artificial intelligence (AI) approach, named as firefly-tuned least squares support vector regression for time series prediction(FLSVRTSP). The proposed model utilizes the least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) as a supervised learning technique to generalize the mapping function between input and output of time series data. In order to optimize the LS-SVR’s tuning parameters, theFLSVRTSPincorporates the firefly algorithm (FA) as the search engine. Consequently, the newly construction model can learn from historical data and carry out prediction autonomously without any prior knowledge in parameter setting. Experimental results and comparison have demonstrated that theFLSVRTSPhas achieved a significant improvement in forecasting accuracy when predicting both artificial and real-world time series data. Hence, the proposed hybrid approach is a promising alternative for assisting decision-makers to better cope with time series prediction.

scholarly journals Anomaly Detection Using Support Vector Machines for Time Series Data

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Umaporn Yokkampon ◽  
Sakmongkon Chumkamon ◽  
Abbe Mowshowitz ◽  
Ryusuke Fujisawa ◽  
Eiji Hayashi
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Support Vector Machines ◽  
Anomaly Detection ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Vector Machines

Performance degradation prediction of aeroengine based on attention model and support vector regression

2021 ◽  
pp. 095441002110147
Author(s):  
Changchang Che ◽  
Huawei Wang ◽  
Xiaomei Ni ◽  
Qiang Fu
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Support Vector Regression ◽  
Time Series Data ◽  
Time Series Prediction ◽  
Performance Degradation ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Support Vector ◽  
Attention Model ◽  
Multiple State ◽  
And Performance

Accurate performance degradation prediction of aeroengines can ensure the safety and reliability of the aircraft. Based on the mass long time series data of multiple state parameters, a novel performance degradation prediction method based on attention model (AM) and support vector regression (SVR) is proposed in this article. The AM uses the attention mechanism between encoder and decoder to realize weight distribution of different source samples, so as to realize time series prediction of state parameters. The SVR model is used to mine the mapping relationship between multiple state parameters and performance degradation. The performance degradation prediction results can be achieved by putting the time series prediction results of multiple state parameters into the SVR model. The turbofan engine degradation simulation dataset carried out using commercial modular aero-propulsion system simulation (C-MAPSS) is used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results demonstrate that it can get accurate time series prediction and performance degradation analysis results. Compared with other methods, the proposed attention model and support vector regression (AM-SVR) model has lower prediction error and higher stability when dealing with noised samples.

Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document