Fault Detection and Classification of Time Series Data Using Support Vector Regression and Inception-v3

2019 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 282-287
Author(s):  
Ika Oktavianti ◽  
Ermatita Ermatita ◽  
Dian Palupi Rini

Licensing services is one of the forms of public services that important in supporting increased investment in Indonesia and is currently carried out by the Investment and Licensing Services Department. The problems that occur in general are the length of time to process licenses and one of the contributing factors is the limited number of licensing officers. Licensing data is a time series data which have monthly observation. The Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Support Vector Machine (SVR) is used as machine learning techniques to predict licensing pattern based on time series data. Of the data used dataset 1 and dataset 2, the sharing of training data and testing data is equal to 70% and 30% with consideration that training data must be more than testing data. The result of the study showed for Dataset 1, the ANN-Multilayer Perceptron have a better performance than Support Vector Regression (SVR) with MSE, MAE and RMSE values is 251.09, 11.45, and 15.84. Then for dataset 2, SVR-Linear has better performance than MLP with values of MSE, MAE and RMSE of 1839.93, 32.80, and 42.89. The dataset used to predict the number of permissions is dataset 2. The study also used the Simple Linear Regression (SLR) method to see the causal relationship between the number of licenses issued and licensing service officers. The result is that the relationship between the number of licenses issued and the number of service officers is less significant because there are other factors that affect the number of licenses.  


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nhat-Duc Hoang ◽  
Anh-Duc Pham ◽  
Minh-Tu Cao

This research aims at establishing a novel hybrid artificial intelligence (AI) approach, named as firefly-tuned least squares support vector regression for time series prediction(FLSVRTSP). The proposed model utilizes the least squares support vector regression (LS-SVR) as a supervised learning technique to generalize the mapping function between input and output of time series data. In order to optimize the LS-SVR’s tuning parameters, theFLSVRTSPincorporates the firefly algorithm (FA) as the search engine. Consequently, the newly construction model can learn from historical data and carry out prediction autonomously without any prior knowledge in parameter setting. Experimental results and comparison have demonstrated that theFLSVRTSPhas achieved a significant improvement in forecasting accuracy when predicting both artificial and real-world time series data. Hence, the proposed hybrid approach is a promising alternative for assisting decision-makers to better cope with time series prediction.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Jiusheng Chen ◽  
Xingkai Xu ◽  
Xiaoyu Zhang

Fault detection for turbine engine components is becoming increasingly important for the efficient running of commercial aircraft. Recently, the support vector machine (SVM) with kernel function is the most popular technique for monitoring nonlinear processes, which can better handle the nonlinear representation of fault detection of turbine engine disk. In this paper, an adaptive weighted one-class SVM-based fault detection method coupled with incremental and decremental strategy is proposed, which can efficiently solve the time series data stream drifting problem. To update the efficient training of the fault detection model, the incremental strategy based on the new incoming data and support vectors is proposed. The weight of the training sample is updated by the variations of the decision boundaries. Meanwhile, to increase the calculating speed of the fault detection model and reduce the redundant data, the decremental strategy based on the k-nearest neighbor (KNN) is adopted. Based on time series data stream, numerical simulations are conducted and the results validated the superiority of the proposed approach in terms of both the detection performance and robustness.


2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 672-686 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen R. Mounce ◽  
Richard B. Mounce ◽  
Joby B. Boxall

The sampling frequency and quantity of time series data collected from water distribution systems has been increasing in recent years, giving rise to the potential for improving system knowledge if suitable automated techniques can be applied, in particular, machine learning. Novelty (or anomaly) detection refers to the automatic identification of novel or abnormal patterns embedded in large amounts of “normal” data. When dealing with time series data (transformed into vectors), this means abnormal events embedded amongst many normal time series points. The support vector machine is a data-driven statistical technique that has been developed as a tool for classification and regression. The key features include statistical robustness with respect to non-Gaussian errors and outliers, the selection of the decision boundary in a principled way, and the introduction of nonlinearity in the feature space without explicitly requiring a nonlinear algorithm by means of kernel functions. In this research, support vector regression is used as a learning method for anomaly detection from water flow and pressure time series data. No use is made of past event histories collected through other information sources. The support vector regression methodology, whose robustness derives from the training error function, is applied to a case study.


Author(s):  
Changchang Che ◽  
Huawei Wang ◽  
Xiaomei Ni ◽  
Qiang Fu

Accurate performance degradation prediction of aeroengines can ensure the safety and reliability of the aircraft. Based on the mass long time series data of multiple state parameters, a novel performance degradation prediction method based on attention model (AM) and support vector regression (SVR) is proposed in this article. The AM uses the attention mechanism between encoder and decoder to realize weight distribution of different source samples, so as to realize time series prediction of state parameters. The SVR model is used to mine the mapping relationship between multiple state parameters and performance degradation. The performance degradation prediction results can be achieved by putting the time series prediction results of multiple state parameters into the SVR model. The turbofan engine degradation simulation dataset carried out using commercial modular aero-propulsion system simulation (C-MAPSS) is used to verify the effectiveness of the proposed method. The results demonstrate that it can get accurate time series prediction and performance degradation analysis results. Compared with other methods, the proposed attention model and support vector regression (AM-SVR) model has lower prediction error and higher stability when dealing with noised samples.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-20 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jheng-Long Wu ◽  
Pei-Chann Chang

This paper presents a novel trend-based segmentation method (TBSM) and the support vector regression (SVR) for financial time series forecasting. The model is named as TBSM-SVR. Over the last decade, SVR has been a popular forecasting model for nonlinear time series problem. The general segmentation method, that is, the piecewise linear representation (PLR), has been applied to locate a set of trading points within a financial time series data. However, owing to the dynamics in stock trading, PLR cannot reflect the trend changes within a specific time period. Therefore, a trend based segmentation method is developed in this research to overcome this issue. The model is tested using various stocks from America stock market with different trend tendencies. The experimental results show that the proposed model can generate more profits than other models. The model is very practical for real-world application, and it can be implemented in a real-time environment.


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