Does Expectations Management Impair the Usefulness of Analyst Forecasts in Firm Valuation?

2007 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Tian
Keyword(s):  
Analyst Forecasts ◽  
Firm Valuation ◽  
Expectations Management

scholarly journals Attention to dividends, inattention to earnings?

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Charles G. Ham ◽  
Zachary R. Kaplan ◽  
Steven Utke
Keyword(s):  
Earnings Management ◽  
Trading Volume ◽  
Accounting Information ◽  
Analyst Forecasts ◽  
Firm Valuation ◽  
Earnings Response Coefficients ◽  
Earnings Information ◽  
Earnings Response ◽  
Cash Reserves ◽  
Supply Information

AbstractWe examine whether dividends serve as substitutes or complements to accounting information in firm valuation. Consistent with dividends substituting for earnings information, we find that dividend paying firms have 11%–15% lower earnings response coefficients (ERCs) than non-payers. We find more substitution when the dividend provides a stronger signal of permanent earnings: when the firm is less likely to cut the dividend, when the firm is likely to fund the dividend out of earnings rather than cash reserves, or when the dividend is larger. We then show that dividend payers have lower absolute returns, less trading volume, and fewer analyst forecasts at the earnings announcement (EA), suggesting that dividend payers attract less attention to their less informative EAs. Finally, we show that the lower EA attention translates into less earnings management and fewer earnings-related disclosures for dividend payers relative to non-payers. Collectively, this evidence suggests that dividends supply information about permanent earnings and, although costly, could be an efficient way for some firms to satisfy investors’ demand for earnings information.

The Effect of Underreaction and Overreaction of Firm Stocks to Firm Valuation: Data from the Indonesian Stock Exchange

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yohanes Indrayono
Keyword(s):  
Behavioral Finance ◽  
Firm Value ◽  
Intangible Assets ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Investor Sentiment ◽  
Firm Valuation ◽  
Good News ◽  
Industrial Sectors ◽  
Tangible Assets ◽  
Firm Profitability

<p>This study contributes to the on-going studies on behavioral finance by providing a case study on underreaction and overreaction of firm stocks to firm valuation. We use the Model of Investor Sentiment (Barberis et al., 2005) to evaluate underreaction and overreaction behavior and reflect on specific findings in the Indonesian market. The result of the study is most of the stocks in the Indonesian Stock Exchange are more overreaction to the news of firm financial statements. Firms on the industry with more intangible assets measure more overreaction than firms on industries with more tangible assets. For stocks with overreaction, the stock firm value is positively affected by a change in the total assets and profitability, but not by change of book value. The result concretized no evidence that firm stocks overreacted to the news more than underreacting. In stock industrial sectors, the financial institutions and wholesale industry stocks demonstrated remarkable overreactions. Nonetheless, automotive, building construction, food and beverage as well as cement evidenced more underreaction. For better return in financial markets, investors may buy stocks of the firm on industry with more tangible assets when there is no good news about the increasing firm profitability and sales; nonetheless, they should buy stocks of the firm on industry with more intangible assets when there is no lousy news about the increasing firm profitability and sales. </p>

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