The Impact of Expectations Manipulation on the Usefulness of Analyst Forecasts in Firm Valuation*

2009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yao Tian
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (1) ◽  
pp. 14535
Author(s):  
Gerhard Schnyder ◽  
Anna Grosman ◽  
Mathias Siems ◽  
Kun Fu
Keyword(s):  

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 191-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ben Le

PurposeThe purpose of this paper is to examine the effects of working capital management on firm valuation, profitability and risk.Design/methodology/approachThe paper uses a panel data set of 497 firms covering the period 2007 to 2016. The authors test the effects of working capital management on firm valuation, profitability and risk using the panel data methodology that includes firm and year fixed effects regressions.FindingsThe authors find a significantly negative relationship between net working capital (NWC) and firm valuation, profitability and risk. The results suggest that, in managing working capital, firm managers must make a trade-off between their objectives for profitability and risk control. Working-capital management is of particular importance in firms with less access to capital; it is also important when firms are expanding their investments during periods of economic recovery.Originality/valueThis paper contributes to the literature in several ways. First, to my knowledge, it provides the most comprehensive investigation, to date, on the relationship between working capital management and firm valuation, profitability and risk in an emerging market. Second, this study documents the existence of an optimal level of NWC in an emerging market. Third, firm performance, as measured in both market and accounting value, can be improved with efficient working capital management. Finally, the study includes the impact of the business cycle in an analysis of the effects of working capital management on firm performance.


2020 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 255-270
Author(s):  
Ben Le

Purpose This paper aims to examine the impact of government ownership on the cost of debt and firm valuation in listed Vietnamese companies for the period 2007 to 2016. Design/methodology/approach The authors use both the generalised methods of the moment (GMM) and the ordinary least squares (OLS) regressions to analyse a panel data spanning over the period 2007 to 2016 in the markets of Vietnam. Further, the instrumental variable is used in the paper. Findings The authors find that firms with relative higher government stockholdings or state-owned companies where the government owns 50 per cent or more of shares outstanding enjoy a lower cost of debt compared to the other firms. Consequently, these firms have higher firm valuation and profitability. The results are robust for both the GMM and the OLS regressions. Further, firms that no longer retain government ownership have a higher cost of debt than the other firms. The results of the paper imply the importance of political connections in businesses in the market of Vietnam. Originality/value This paper connects the relationship between government ownership and the cost of debt with the relationship between government ownership and firm valuation. The paper tests the relationship between the cost of debt and government ownership using both OLS and GMM specifications and the results are robust for both approaches. The manuscript uses an instrumental variable to show that government ownership has a positive impact on higher firm performance through reducing cost of debt. Further, this paper addresses the possible issue of endogeneity.


2017 ◽  
Vol 93 (4) ◽  
pp. 309-333 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kin Lo ◽  
Serena Shuo Wu

ABSTRACT We examine the impact of Seasonal Affective Disorder (SAD) on financial analysts. We hypothesize and find that analysts are more pessimistic, less precise, and more asymmetric in their boldness in the fall, as indicated by their forecasts of quarterly earnings. The effects are apparent in all forecast horizons analyzed and robust across multiple specifications. Importantly, pessimism in fall forecast revisions shows analyst-specific persistence, providing a strong indication that the effect is a result of SAD rather than other coincident factors. We also find evidence of a reversal in pessimism in the spring. Additional analyses show that analyst forecasts exhibit less seasonality than equity returns, and that the presence of analyst forecasts in the fall is associated with attenuation in the seasonal pattern in stock returns. Overall, the evidence suggests that SAD affects both financial analysts and equity investors, but the effect on the latter is stronger. JEL Classifications: G11; G12; G14; G41; M41. Data Availability: Data are available from public sources cited in the text.


The authors examine the impact that the monthly Employment Situation Report issued by the Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) and the analyst forecasts of that report have on the U.S. Treasury securities market. Surprise increases in total non-farm payroll employment lead to increases in interest rates (especially one- to five-year rates), and surprise decreases lead to smaller declines in interest rates. This interest rate reaction is conditioned on the level of analyst uncertainty about the coming report. Interest rates also react to subsequent revisions of the payroll employment figures. Analyst forecasts as compiled by Bloomberg are unbiased forecasts of the BLS numbers and correctly anticipate most employment level changes. Moreover, there is evidence that the markets react to these forecasts prior to the BLS release. The authors also find that the release of the employment report lowers market uncertainty about future interest rates.


2014 ◽  
Vol 15 (2) ◽  
pp. 92-109 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander Franck ◽  
Alexander Kerl
Keyword(s):  

2015 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gaurav Kumar ◽  
Arun Kumar Misra

<p>Liquidity is said to be the lifeblood of stock markets. It has prominent implications for traders, regulators, stock exchanges and the listed firms. In recent years a huge amount of literature has emerged that deals with liquidity. This article classifies and organises the literature and provides a critical review of the frameworks currently available for modelling liquidity and its macroeconomic and firm specific drivers. Commonality and intraday behaviour of liquidity in various markets is discussed under the umbrella of market microstructures.  Subsequently, liquidity risk as a factor in Asset pricing is analysed taking various models in to consideration. Finally, the study reviewed the impact of liquidity on corporate finance decisions viz. dividends, firm valuation, stock split, capital structure etc.</p>


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document