scholarly journals Some Empirical Models of Japanese Government Bond Yields Using Daily Data

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tanweer Akram ◽  
Huiqing Li
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Models ◽  
Japanese Government ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Daily Data

ASSESSING THE RISKS TO THE JAPANESE GOVERNMENT BOND MARKET

2013 ◽  
Vol 04 (01) ◽  
pp. 1350002 ◽  
Author(s):  
WAIKEI RAPHAEL LAM ◽  
KIICHI TOKUOKA
Keyword(s):  
Public Debt ◽  
Financial Distress ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Debt Crisis ◽  
Japanese Government ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Market Capacity ◽  
Debt Dynamics ◽  
The Government

Despite the rise in public debt, Japanese Government Bond (JGB) yields have remained low and stable, supported by steady inflows from household and corporate sectors, high domestic ownership of JGBs, and safe-haven flows in light of ongoing European debt crisis. Nonetheless, the market capacity to absorb new government debt will likely decline over time as the population ages, posing risks for the JGB market. This paper examines the key risks of the JGB market, including a decline of private sector savings and potential spillovers from global financial distress, which could push up the government bond yields. A sharp rise in interest rate could pose challenges on public debt dynamics and financial stability in Japan. In that regard, more ambitious fiscal reforms to reduce public debt will help limit these risks.

Country-specific euro area government bond yield reactions to ECB’s non-standard monetary policy program announcements

2020 ◽  
Vol 21 (4) ◽  
pp. 417-474 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ralf Fendel ◽  
Frederik Neugebauer
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Euro Area ◽  
Yield Reduction ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Bond Yield ◽  
Current Spread ◽  
Policy Program ◽  
Government Bond Markets ◽  
Country Specific

AbstractThis paper employs event study methods to evaluate the effects of ECB’s non-standard monetary policy program announcements on 10-year government bond yields of 11 euro area member states. Measurable effects of announcements arise with a one-day delay meaning that government bond markets take some time to react to ECB announcements. The country-specific extent of yield reduction seems inversely related to the solvency rating of the corresponding countries. The spread between core and periphery countries reduces because of a stronger decrease in the latter. This result is confirmed by letting the announcement variable interact with the current spread level.

A Note Concerning the Dynamics of Government Bond Yields

2021 ◽  
pp. 056943452098827
Author(s):  
Tanweer Akram
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rate ◽  
Financial Markets ◽  
Yield Curve ◽  
Empirical Studies ◽  
State Theory ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Bond Yields ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Government Bonds

Keynes argued that the central bank can influence the long-term interest rate on government bonds and the shape of the yield curve mainly through the short-term interest rate. Several recent empirical studies that examine the dynamics of government bond yields not only substantiate Keynes’s view that the long-term interest rate responds markedly to the short-term interest rate but also have relevance for macroeconomic theory and policy. This article relates Keynes’s discussions of money, the state theory of money, financial markets, investors’ expectations, uncertainty, and liquidity preference to the dynamics of government bond yields for countries with monetary sovereignty. Investors’ psychology, herding behavior in financial markets, and uncertainty about the future reinforce the effects of the short-term interest rate and the central bank’s monetary policy actions on the long-term interest rate. JEL classifications: E12; E40; E43; E50; E58; E60; F30; G10; G12; H62; H63

Forecasting Government Bond Yields with Neural Networks Considering Cointegration

2015 ◽  
Vol 35 (1) ◽  
pp. 86-92 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christoph Wegener ◽  
Christian von Spreckelsen ◽  
Tobias Basse ◽  
Hans-Jörg von Mettenheim
Keyword(s):  
Neural Networks ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Bond Yields

Intraday Patterns, Announcement Effects, and Volatility Persistence in the Japanese Government Bond Futures Market

2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 63-85 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weihua Shi ◽  
Larry Eisenberg ◽  
Cheng-few Lee
Keyword(s):  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Japanese Government ◽  
Government Bond ◽  
Calendar Effects ◽  
Announcement Effects ◽  
Volatility Persistence ◽  
Macroeconomic Announcements ◽  
The Us ◽  
Treasury Bond ◽  
Bond Futures

Following Bollerslev et al. (2000), this study characterizes the high-frequency volatility of the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) futures on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) in terms of intraday calendar effects, announcement effects and volatility persistence effects. The results indicate that, unlike the case for the US Treasury bond futures, only four out of 21 scheduled macroeconomic announcements are found to have a significant impact on volatilities, and their instantaneous and daily influences are rather small. At both instantaneous and daily frequencies, volatility persistence effects have the largest influence on volatility, while macroeconomic announcements have only a negligible impact.

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