Higher Death Rates in the Italian COVID-19 Outbreak: A Comparative Modelling Analysis of 8,342 Italy and 44,672 China Cases

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Simone Lanini ◽  
Francesco Vairo ◽  
Vincenzo Puro ◽  
Paola Scognamiglio ◽  
Franco Locatelli ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Death Rates ◽  
Comparative Modelling ◽  
Modelling Analysis

Comparative modelling analysis of boron dynamic adsorption on fibrous adsorbent prepared using radiation grafting versus granular resin

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (3) ◽  
pp. 105208
Author(s):  
Teo Ming Ting ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud Nasef ◽  
Deepalakshmi Aravindan ◽  
Mohd Azhar Ahmad ◽  
Mukhlis Mokhtar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Dynamic Adsorption ◽  
Radiation Grafting ◽  
Comparative Modelling ◽  
Modelling Analysis

scholarly journals Validation of the Modes of Transmission Model as a Tool to Prioritize HIV Prevention Targets: A Comparative Modelling Analysis

PLoS ONE ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 9 (7) ◽  
pp. e101690 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sharmistha Mishra ◽  
Michael Pickles ◽  
James F. Blanchard ◽  
Stephen Moses ◽  
Zara Shubber ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Hiv Prevention ◽  
Transmission Model ◽  
Modes Of Transmission ◽  
Comparative Modelling ◽  
Modelling Analysis

scholarly journals Projections of human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination impact in Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, and Pakistan: a comparative modelling study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allison Portnoy ◽  
Kaja Abbas ◽  
Steven Sweet ◽  
Jane Kim ◽  
Mark Jit
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
Human Papillomavirus ◽  
Hpv Vaccination ◽  
Health Impact ◽  
World Health ◽  
Potential Health ◽  
Study Objective ◽  
Comparative Modelling ◽  
Modelling Analysis ◽  
Vaccine Impact

Background: Cervical cancer is the second most common cancer among women in Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, and Pakistan. However, of these four countries, only Ethiopia has introduced human papillomavirus (HPV) vaccination at the national level in 2018 and India in a few states in 2016. Our study objective was to estimate the potential health impact of HPV vaccination among ten cohorts of 9-year-old girls from 2021-2030 in Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, and Pakistan using two independent mathematical models, and assess similarities and differences in vaccine impact projections through comparative modelling analysis. Methods: Using two widely published models (Harvard and PRIME) to estimate HPV vaccination impact, we simulated a vaccination scenario of 90% annual coverage among 9-year-old girls from 2021-2030 in Ethiopia, India, Nigeria, and Pakistan. We estimated the potential health impact in terms of cervical cancer cases, deaths, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) averted among vaccinated cohorts from the time of vaccination until 2100. We also conducted a comparative modelling analysis to understand the differences in vaccine impact estimates generated by the two models. Results: Prior to harmonising model assumptions, the range between the PRIME model and the Harvard model for the potential health impact of HPV vaccination in terms of the number of cervical cancer cases averted among girls vaccinated 2021-2030 between the year of vaccination and 2100 was: 262,000 to 270,000 in Ethiopia; 1,640,000 to 1,970,000 in India; 330,000 to 336,000 in Nigeria; and 111,000 to 133,000 in Pakistan. When harmonising model assumptions, alignment on HPV type distribution significantly narrowed the differences in vaccine impact estimates. Conclusions: The main difference in estimates for cases, deaths, and DALYs averted by vaccination between the models are due to variation in interpretation around data on cervical cancer attribution to HPV-16/18; differences in estimates for DALYs averted are additionally due to differences in age-specific remaining life expectancy over time between the two models. As countries make progress towards the World Health Organization targets for cervical cancer elimination, continued explorations of underlying differences in model inputs, assumptions, and results when examining cervical cancer prevention policy will be critical.

scholarly journals Required duration of mass ivermectin treatment for onchocerciasis elimination in Africa: a comparative modelling analysis

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wilma A. Stolk ◽  
Martin Walker ◽  
Luc E. Coffeng ◽  
María-Gloria Basáñez ◽  
Sake J. de Vlas
Keyword(s):  
Ivermectin Treatment ◽  
Comparative Modelling ◽  
Modelling Analysis

scholarly journals Mortality impact of achieving WHO cervical cancer elimination targets: a comparative modelling analysis in 78 low-income and lower-middle-income countries

The Lancet ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 395 (10224) ◽  
pp. 591-603 ◽  
Author(s):  
Karen Canfell ◽  
Jane J Kim ◽  
Marc Brisson ◽  
Adam Keane ◽  
Kate T Simms ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Cervical Cancer ◽  
Low Income ◽  
Middle Income ◽  
Middle Income Countries ◽  
Comparative Modelling ◽  
Modelling Analysis
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