scholarly journals Estimating the Competitive Storage Model with Stochastic Trends in Commodity Prices

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kjartan Kloster Osmundsen ◽  
Tore Selland Kleppe ◽  
Roman Liesenfeld ◽  
Atle Oglend
Econometrics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (4) ◽  
pp. 40
Author(s):  
Kjartan Kloster Osmundsen ◽  
Tore Selland Kleppe ◽  
Roman Liesenfeld ◽  
Atle Oglend

We propose a State-Space Model (SSM) for commodity prices that combines the competitive storage model with a stochastic trend. This approach fits into the economic rationality of storage decisions and adds to previous deterministic trend specifications of the storage model. For a Bayesian posterior analysis of the SSM, which is nonlinear in the latent states, we used a Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm based on the particle marginal Metropolis–Hastings approach. An empirical application to four commodity markets showed that the stochastic trend SSM is favored over deterministic trend specifications. The stochastic trend SSM identifies structural parameters that differ from those for deterministic trend specifications. In particular, the estimated price elasticities of demand are typically larger under the stochastic trend SSM.


2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (4) ◽  
pp. 744-763 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christophe Gouel ◽  
Nicolas Legrand

2011 ◽  
Vol 11 (64) ◽  
pp. 1 ◽  
Author(s):  
Norbert Funke ◽  
Weifeng Wu ◽  
Yanliang Miao ◽  
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◽  
...  

2009 ◽  
pp. 4-14 ◽  
Author(s):  
G. Gref ◽  
K. Yudaeva

Problems in the financial sector were at the core of the current economic crisis. Therefore, economic recovery will only become sustainable after taking care of the major weaknesses in the financial sector. This conclusion is relevant both for the US and UK - the two countries where crisis has started, and for other economies which financial institutions turned out to be fragile in the face of the swings in the risk appetite. Russia is one of the countries where the crisis has revealed serious deficiency in the financial sector. Our study of 11 banking crises during the last 25-30 years shows that sustainable economic recovery and decrease in the dependence on commodity prices will be virtually impossible without cleaning of balance sheets and capitalization of the financial sector.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 31-43
Author(s):  
Tatiana A. VASKOVSKAYA ◽  
◽  
Boris A. KLUS ◽  

The development of energy storage systems allows us to consider their usage for load profile leveling during operational planning on electricity markets. The paper proposes and analyses an application of an energy storage model to the electricity market in Russia with the focus on the day ahead market. We consider bidding, energy storage constraints for an optimal power flow problem, and locational marginal pricing. We show that the largest effect for the market and for the energy storage system would be gained by integration of the energy storage model into the market’s optimization models. The proposed theory has been tested on the optimal power flow model of the day ahead market in Russia of 10000-node Unified Energy System. It is shown that energy storage systems are in demand with a wide range of efficiencies and cycle costs.


CFA Digest ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 44 (7) ◽  
Author(s):  
Vipul K. Bansal

1999 ◽  
Vol 38 (2) ◽  
pp. 219-222
Author(s):  
Hina Nazli

Modernisation of the agricultural, industrial and household sectors causes the demand for energy to increase more rapidly than its supply. In countries that aim to modernise quickly a heavy investment is required to redress this imbalance. That is why in countries such as Pakistan, the energy has remained on the top of the agenda of loan negotiation with international donor agencies. Energy serves as both a final consumption good and as an essential intermediate input in the production of goods. Thus any change in the price of energy at both these levels affects consumption as well as production and that, in turn, can cause changes in the prices of all other commodities. A change in the prices of exportables affects their demand in foreign markets and any change in the prices of import-competing and nontraded goods affects their demand at home. The net effects of all these changes can be measured in terms of the effects on real GDP, balance of trade, and government revenue. And, because any change in commodity prices exerts a negative impact on real consumption of households; the formulation of a comprehensive energy policy requires a framework that can take the immense complexity of the linkages of all the sectors of the economy into consideration. In the book under review, Dr Farzana Naqvi, argues that the issues of energy pricing can not be examined in isolation and presents a general equilibrium framework to address the complex issues related to energy, economy and equity.


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