Testing the Semi-Strong Form of Efficiency Theory in the Nigerian Capital Market: The Input and Output Index

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Ayodele Ajayi
2017 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
pp. 115
Author(s):  
Ajayi John Ayodele ◽  
Segun Anthony Oshadare ◽  
Olufunmilayo Adekemi Ajala

This paper examines the semi-strong form of efficiency of the Nigerian stock market. Such examination is made in the context of whether information impounded in previous stock prices reflect current prices through the input and output index. Data for the study were from secondary sources and it spans from 2005-2013. The population for this study encompasses all the companies that traded in the period of January 1, 2005 to December 31, 2013. All these companies are ranked according to their capitalization and a random sampling technique was employed to select the companies that have the capitalization values above the average value. The study made use of modified transfer function model to estimate the market index which is represented by the outputindex and the computed selected securities represented by the input index which is tantamount to published information. Findings from the paper show that publicly published information captured by the input index commands significant effect on the stock market represented by the output index hence making the Nigerian stock market to be semi-strong inefficient.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 3-15
Author(s):  
Mazen Bustanji

This paper analyses the strong-form efficiency of the capital market in Jordan by evaluating the performance of mutual funds over the period from 2011 to 2016, and compare it with the situation in Saudi Arabia using the Jensen modelling techniques. These tests were applied on monthly data. Results from the study show that there is no evidence of the strong-form of efficiency in either the Amman Stock Exchange or in the Saudi Arabia capital market. Therefore, investors in the Amman Stock Exchange and Saudi Arabia capital market cannot predict stocks prices or returns in the short term; with regard to firms, it suggests that the securities of firms cannot outperform the market and present market price is to a certain extent a true reflection of the present situation of their securities, in addition there is lack number availability of the mutual funds in Jordan.


2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (1) ◽  
pp. 86
Author(s):  
Richa Vij

Mergers and Acquisitions (M&As) are often used as preferred tools of corporate structuring to serve a variety of business objectives and add value for the shareholders. Earlier studies have triggered a number of questions regarding the impact of M&As for the shareholders of acquiring companies. This paper focuses on the M&A among Indian companies and the response of the Indian capital market to such attempts as reflected in the changes in the stock return for different window periods close the M&A announcement. The findings of the present study suggest that there is significant impact of M&A announcement on stock returns for almost half of the sample acquirer companies. The study offers evidence in support of the contention that Indian stock market is not efficient in the semi-strong form with respect to M&A announcement information for acquirer companies and emphasizes that  investment analyst cannot ignore the information regarding the M&A deals.


2018 ◽  
Vol 108 (12) ◽  
pp. 3626-3650
Author(s):  
Albert H. Choi ◽  
Kathryn E. Spier

Before filing suit, a plaintiff can take a financial position in a defendant firm. A short position benefits the plaintiff by transforming a negative expected-value claim into a positive expected-value one and by enhancing the claim's settlement value. If the capital market is less than strong-form efficient, the plaintiff also benefits directly from the decline in the defendant's stock price. When the defendant is privately informed about the case's merits, bargaining failures can arise. While aggressive short-selling benefits the plaintiff at the expense of the defendant, moderate levels of short-selling can benefit the defendant and raise the settlement rate. (JEL D82, G14, K41)


2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (03) ◽  
pp. 12-18
Author(s):  
Azeez B.A. ◽  
Sulaiman L.A.

The responsiveness of the market financial instruments in terms of prices to reflect market information and the inability of information privileged market participant(s) to out-perform other counterparts pose the quest to test whether the strong form of market efficiency prevail in the Nigerian capital market or not. With the extraction of the returns on 240 stocks from the database of the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE), a comparison was made between a constructed random portfolio and a 3-year annualized average return on the portfolios of the mutual fund industry. In this empirical study, the analysis deduced that mutual funds were unable to out-perform the random portfolios created from the index stocks, which thus implies that the strong form of market efficiency holds in the Nigerian Capital Market. Nonetheless, profound analysis on stock volatility risk is essential to avoid substantial loss in the stock market.


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