All That Glitters Is Not Gold: Asymmetric Investor Attention in the Stock Market

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katrin GGdker ◽  
Moritz Lukas
2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhongdong Chen

PurposeThis study disentangles the investor-base effect and the information effect of investor attention. The former leads to a larger investor base and higher stock returns, while the latter facilitates the dissemination of information among investors and impacts informational trading.Design/methodology/approachUsing positive volume shocks as a proxy for increased investor attention, this study evaluates the impacts of the investor-base effect and the information effect of investor attention on market correction following extreme daily returns in the US stock market from 1966 to 2018.FindingsThis study finds that the investor-base effect increases subsequent returns of both daily winner and daily loser stocks. The information effect leads to economically less significant return reversals for both the daily winner and daily loser stocks. These two effects tend to have economically more significant impacts on the daily loser stocks. The economic significance of these two effects is also related to firm size and the state of the stock market.Originality/valueThis study is the first to disentangle the investor-base effect and the information effect of increased investor attention. The evidence that the information effect facilitates the dissemination of new information and impacts stock returns contributes to the strand of studies on the impact of investor attention on market efficiency. This evidence also contributes to the strand of studies analyzing the impact of informational trading on stock returns. In addition, this study provides evidence for market overreaction and the subsequent correction. The results for up and down markets contribute to the literature on the investors' trading behavior.


2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 589-641
Author(s):  
Cheoljun Eom ◽  
Uk Chang ◽  
Byung Jin Kang ◽  
Woo Baik Lee ◽  
Jong Won Park

This study examines the effects of investor attention on momentum in the Korean stock market. The results reveal significant negative momentum profits in stock groups with high investor attention (high turnover stocks), but insignificant results in those with low investor attention (low turnover stocks). Within high turnover stock groups, the winner portfolio has a declining price trend and insignificant performance, while the loser portfolio realizes significant positive performance through a substantial price increase in the future period. The momentum effect is highly dependent on the reversed performance of the loser portfolio. Second, the performance of the large overreaction stock group shows a more significant negative momentum effect compared to the low overreaction stock group, that is, the degree of overreaction significantly affects the momentum effect. Third, negative momentum profits are consistently observed regardless of the market dynamics. Specifically, more substantial and significant negative performance occurs in the transition market, where the market situation reverses between the past and future periods. Fourth, negative momentum profits are consistently identified even after controlling for the impact of common factors and volatility and liquidity into turnover. Our findings are qualitatively different from the characteristics of the traditional momentum effects generally reported in Western countries.


2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 565-588
Author(s):  
Jangkoo Kang ◽  
Jaesun Yun

In their working paper, Kumar, Ruenzi, and Ungeheuer (KRU) document that stocks ranked as daily winners or losers in the previous month underperform unranked stocks during the month after the ranking. KRU explain that the ranked stocks experience a large increase in investor attention, which leads to temporary overpricing and subsequent underperformance. Following KRU, we investigate whether the same effect exists in the Korean stock market and find a robust daily winners and losers effect. First, stocks that were both daily winners and losers in a given month underperform those that were neither daily winners nor losers during the following months. Second, stocks that were never a daily winner or loser during the previous month do not exhibit the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle or the MAX effect. Moreover, the underperformance of ranked stocks is robust after controlling for the idiosyncratic volatility and the MAX effect. We suggest that the overpricing caused by excessive attention to daily winners and losers may be the main driver of the idiosyncratic volatility puzzle and the MAX effect. Lastly, we find that retail investors buy daily winners and losers, while both institutional investors and foreign investors decrease trades in the ranked stocks.


Complexity ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Minghua Dong ◽  
Xiong Xiong ◽  
Xiao Li ◽  
Dehua Shen

In this paper, we employ Weibo Index as the proxy for investor attention and analyze the relationships between investor attention and stock market performance, i.e., trading volume, return, and volatility. The empirical results firstly show that Weibo attention is positively related to trading volume, intraday volatility, and return. Secondly, there exist bidirectional causal relationships between Weibo attention and stock market performance. Thirdly, we generally find that higher Weibo attention indicates higher correlation coefficients with the quantile regression analysis.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 55-69 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vighneswara Swamy ◽  
Munusamy Dharani

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to investigate whether the investor attention using the Google search volume index (GSVI) can be used to forecast stock returns. The authors also find the answer to whether the “price pressure hypothesis” would hold true for the Indian stock market. Design/methodology/approach The authors employ a more recent fully balanced panel data for the period from July 2012 to Jun 2017 (260 weeks) of observations for companies of NIFTY 50 of the National Stock Exchange in the Indian stock market. The authors are motivated by Tetlock (2007) and Bijl et al. (2016) to employ regression approach of econometric estimation. Findings The authors find that high Google search volumes lead to positive returns. More precisely, the high Google search volumes predict positive and significant returns in the subsequent fourth and fifth weeks. The GSVI performs as an useful predictor of the direction as well as the magnitude of the excess returns. The higher quantiles of the GSVI have corresponding higher excess returns. The authors notice that the domestic investor searches are correlated with higher excess returns than the worldwide investor searches. The findings imply that the signals from the search volume data could be of help in the construction of profitable trading strategies. Originality/value To the best of the authors knowledge, no paper has examined the relationship between Google search intensity and stock-trading behavior in the Indian stock market. The authors use a more recent data for the period from 2012 to 2017 to investigate whether search query data on company names can be used to predict weekly stock returns for individual firms. This study complements the prior studies by investigating the relationship between search intensity and stock-trading behavior in the Indian stock market.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Lee A. Smales

PurposeCOVID-19 has had an immense impact on global stock markets, with no sector escaping its effects. Investor attention towards COVID-19 surged as the virus spread, the number of cases grew and its consequences imposed on everyday life. We assess whether this increase in investor attention may explain stock returns across different sectors during this unusual period.Design/methodology/approachWe adopt the methodology of Da et al. (2015), using Google search volume (GSV) as a proxy for investor attention to examine the relationship between investor attention and stock returns across 11 sectors.FindingsOur results demonstrate that heightened attention towards COVID-19 negatively influences US stock returns. However, relatively speaking, some sectors appear to have gained from the increased attention. This outperformance is centred in the sectors most likely to benefit (or likely to lose least) from the crisis and associated spending by households and government (i.e. consumer staples, healthcare and IT). Such results may be explained by an information discovery hypothesis in the sense that investors are searching online for information to enable a greater understanding of COVID-19's impact on relative stock sector performance.Originality/valueWhile we do not claim that investor attention is the only driver of stock returns during this unique period, we do provide evidence that it contributes to the market impact and to the heterogeneity of returns across stock market sectors.


2017 ◽  
Vol 38 (4) ◽  
pp. 478-492 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xuewu Wesley Wang ◽  
Zhipeng Yan ◽  
Qunzi Zhang ◽  
Xuechen Gao

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