The Vanishing Ramadan Effect: A Structural Time-Series Test

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Abdullah Al-Awadhi ◽  
ahmad Bash ◽  
Fouad Jamaani
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Structural Time Series ◽  
Structural Time

Structural time series modeling: a Bayesian approach

1986 ◽  
Vol 20 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 365-400 ◽  
Author(s):  
J.-P. Florens ◽  
M. Mouchart ◽  
J.-F. Richard
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Bayesian Approach ◽  
Time Series Modeling ◽  
Structural Time Series ◽  
Structural Time

scholarly journals Have Low-Cost Carriers Crowded Out Full Services and Charter Carriers in Tourism Destinations? A Trivariate Structural Time Series Analysis

2020 ◽  
pp. 004728752091080
Author(s):  
Juan L. Eugenio-Martin ◽  
Ubay Perez-Granja
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Low Cost ◽  
German Market ◽  
Structural Time Series ◽  
Common Shocks ◽  
The United Kingdom ◽  
Low Cost Carriers ◽  
Tourism Destinations ◽  
Structural Time ◽  
The Relationship

Long-haul tourist arrivals depend on the airline market, its size, and the degree of competition. This article studies the entry and exit of full service carriers (FSCs), charter carriers (CCs) and low-cost carriers (LCCs) from two origins: the United Kingdom and Germany, and five sun-and-beach destinations in Spain. The relationship among all types of airlines is captured with a trivariate structural time series model to disentangle the airlines’ responses under common shocks of airlines’ entry and/or exit and provides estimates of immediate responses and indicators of responses over time. The results show that in the British market, the entry of LCCs has crowded out FSCs and CCs. However, in the German market, the results are heterogeneous and overall do not support the existence of such crowding out effect.

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