Does it Pay to Forecast the Business Cycle? A U.S. Update and an International Perspective

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
James A. Conover ◽  
Marilyn K. Wiley
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycle ◽  
International Perspective ◽  
The Business Cycle

scholarly journals Disability, capacity for work and the business cycle: an international perspective

2010 ◽  
Vol 25 (63) ◽  
pp. 483-536 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hugo Benítez-Silva ◽  
Richard Disney ◽  
Sergi Jiménez-Martín
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycle ◽  
International Perspective ◽  
The Business Cycle

Stock Returns and the Business Cycle

CFA Digest ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 42-43
Author(s):  
Daniel B. Cashion
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycle ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
The Business Cycle

EXPANSIONS AND RECESSIONS IN THE MEXICAN STATES: A CLASSICAL BUSINESS CYCLES APPROACH

2017 ◽  
Vol 3 (5) ◽  
pp. 32
Author(s):  
Pablo Mejía-Reyes
Keyword(s):  
Business Cycles ◽  
Business Cycle ◽  
Monthly Basis ◽  
Production Index ◽  
Clear Cut ◽  
Output Measure ◽  
Central Regions ◽  
The Business Cycle ◽  
National Business ◽  
Cycle Indicator

This paper aims to document expansions and recessions characteristics for 17 states of Mexico over the period 1993-2006 by using a classical business cycle approach. We use the manufacturing production index for each state as the business cycle indicator since it is the only output measure available on a monthly basis. According to this approach, we analyse asymmetries in mean, volatility and duration as well as synchronisation over the business cycle regimes (expansions and recessions) for each case. Our results indicate that recessions are less persistent and more volatile (in general) than expansions in most Mexican states; yet, there is no clear cut evidence on mean asymmetries. In turn, there seems to be strong links between the business cycle regimes within the Northern and Central regions of the country and between states with similar industrialisation patterns, although it is difficult to claim that a national business cycle exists.

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