Predicting Defaults with Regime Switching Intensity: Model and Empirical Evidence

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui-Ching Chuang ◽  
Chung-Ming Kuan
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Intensity Model

scholarly journals Monetary Response to Exchange Rate Dynamics: Regime Switching – Chartists and Fundamentalists Application to Australia

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ferry Syarifuddin
Keyword(s):  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Central Bank ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Rate Model ◽  
Central Bank Intervention ◽  
Exchange Rate Dynamics ◽  
Reserve Bank ◽  
Stabilizing Effect ◽  
Exchange Rate Intervention

In this paper we study the effect of central bank intervention within a heterogeneous expectations exchange rate model. The empirical evidence is conducted by applying a Markov switching approach to daily AUD/USD exchange rate, intervention data of the Reserve Bank of Australia from 2006 to 2012. Our results are supporting both chartists and fundamentalist regimes. It is shown that the two regimes are persistent. However, Reserve Bank of Australia efforts to exert a stabilizing effect of foreign exhange interventions, the result is inconclusive.

scholarly journals Application of Markov Regime Switching Autoregressive Model to Gold Prices in Pakistan

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 309-323
Author(s):  
Tahira Bano Qasim ◽  
Gul Zaib Iqbal ◽  
Mahmood Ul Hassan ◽  
Hina Ali
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Empirical Analysis ◽  
Regime Switching ◽  
Autoregressive Model ◽  
Structural Changes ◽  
Ar Model ◽  
Markov Regime Switching ◽  
Regime Switching Models ◽  
Switching Models ◽  
The Empirical Analysis

The goal of this study is to investigate the performance of the Markov regime switching autoregressive (MRS-AR) model to estimate and forecast the gold prices in Pakistan. Initial analysis of the data covering from January 1995 to January 2019 reveals the existence of nonstationarity, heteroscedasticity, and structural changes. The dynamics of the data are studied in two distinct regimes. The empirical analysis provides evidence that the regime shifts are mattered and MRS-AR model is found to be suitable even in the case of nonstationarity. Moreover, it is worthwhile to note that the Markov regime switching successfully captures the nonlinearities and heteroscedasticity underlying the selected data and provides efficient forecasts. Based on empirical evidence it is recommended that the applications of regime switching models should be promoted in other fields of life.

Challenges to the social motivation theory of autism: The dangers of counteracting an imprecise theory with even more imprecision

2019 ◽  
Vol 42 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mirko Uljarević ◽  
Giacomo Vivanti ◽  
Susan R. Leekam ◽  
Antonio Y. Hardan
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Social Motivation ◽  
Motivation Theory ◽  
The Social

Abstract The arguments offered by Jaswal & Akhtar to counter the social motivation theory (SMT) do not appear to be directly related to the SMT tenets and predictions, seem to not be empirically testable, and are inconsistent with empirical evidence. To evaluate the merits and shortcomings of the SMT and identify scientifically testable alternatives, advances are needed on the conceptualization and operationalization of social motivation across diagnostic boundaries.

Integrating perspectives: How the development of second-personal competence lays the foundation for a second-personal morality

2020 ◽  
Vol 43 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Corbit ◽  
Chris Moore
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Developmental Process ◽  
Focal Point ◽  
Personal Information ◽  
Personal Competence ◽  
Triadic Interactions ◽  
Personal Morality ◽  
Integrative Process

Abstract The integration of first-, second-, and third-personal information within joint intentional collaboration provides the foundation for broad-based second-personal morality. We offer two additions to this framework: a description of the developmental process through which second-personal competence emerges from early triadic interactions, and empirical evidence that collaboration with a concrete goal may provide an essential focal point for this integrative process.

Men Are Hierarchical, Women Are Egalitarian: An Implicit Gender Stereotype

2004 ◽  
Vol 63 (2) ◽  
pp. 107-111 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marianne Schmid Mast
Keyword(s):  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Implicit Association Test ◽  
Gender Stereotype ◽  
Association Test ◽  
Implicit Association ◽  
Two Samples

The goal of the present study was to provide empirical evidence for the existence of an implicit hierarchy gender stereotype indicating that men are more readily associated with hierarchies and women are more readily associated with egalitarian structures. To measure the implicit hierarchy gender stereotype, the Implicit Association Test (IAT, Greenwald et al., 1998) was used. Two samples of undergraduates (Sample 1: 41 females, 22 males; Sample 2: 35 females, 37 males) completed a newly developed paper-based hierarchy-gender IAT. Results showed that there was an implicit hierarchy gender stereotype: the association between male and hierarchical and between female and egalitarian was stronger than the association between female and hierarchical and between male and egalitarian. Additionally, men had a more pronounced implicit hierarchy gender stereotype than women.

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