Aggregate Credit Risk, Firm Characteristics and Conditional Factor Model

2012 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hwagyun Kim ◽  
Arvind Mahajan ◽  
Alex Petkevich
Mathematics ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 562
Author(s):  
Pawel Siarka

This paper addresses the problem of modeling credit risk for multi-product and global loan portfolios. The authors presented an improved version of the Basel Committee’s one-factor model for capital requirements calculation. They examined whether latent market factors corresponding to distinct portfolios are always highly correlated within the global portfolio and how this correlation impacts total losses distribution function. Historical losses of top-tier banks (JPMorgan Chace, Bank of America, Citigroup, Wells Fargo, US Bancorp) were analyzed. Furthermore, the estimation of the correlations between latent market factors was conducted, and its impact on the total loss distribution function was assessed. The research was performed based on consolidated financial statements for holding companies - FR Y-9C reports provided by the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago. To verify the improved model, the authors analyzed two distinct loan portfolios for each bank, i.e., credit cards and commercial and industrial loans. They showed that the correlation between latent market factors could be significantly lower than one and disregarding this conclusion may lead to overestimating total unexpected losses. Hence, capital requirements calculated according to the IRB (Internal Ratings Based Approach) formula as a sum of individual VaR999 estimates may be biased. According to this finding, the enhanced one-factor model seems to be more accurate while calculating unexpected total loss for global portfolios. The authors proved that the active credit risk management process aiming to lower market factors’ correlation results in less volatile total losses. Therefore, financial institutions could be more resistant to macroeconomic downturns.


2005 ◽  
Vol 7 (2) ◽  
pp. 85-101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Susanne Emmer ◽  
Dirk Tasche

2016 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 949-971 ◽  
Author(s):  
Meng-Jou Lu ◽  
Cathy Yi-Hsuan Chen ◽  
Wolfgang Karl Härdle

2018 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 153-162 ◽  
Author(s):  
A. Balakrishnan ◽  
Moinak Maiti ◽  
Pradiptarathi Panda

In this article, we examine whether stock returns are related with important firm characteristics and fundamentals such as size, value, profitability and investment. We also evaluate whether the existing asset pricing models of Fama–French three-factor (FFTF) model and Fama–French five-factor model can capture the average returns on portfolios constructed based on the above characteristics and fundamentals. We find from the results that average return pattern clearly shows that Indian stock market is strongly influenced by the factors mentioned above. Asset pricing results also shed light that FFTF model clings on to its efficiency at capturing the average returns on portfolios, while Fama–French five-factor model does a plausible job.


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