scholarly journals Technology Shocks and Monetary Policy in an Estimated Sticky Price Model of the US Economy

Author(s):  
Sanvi Avouyi-Dovi ◽  
Julien Matheron
Author(s):  
Elena Lutskaya ◽  

The article examines the views of Western researchers on overcoming the COVID-19 crisis and its consequences. The main focus is on the monetary policy of the Federal Reserve system - the most developed financial system that affects both the US economy and global markets.


2012 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 533
Author(s):  
David Gordon

The Federal Reserve Bank (FED) plays a vital role in the US economy. The roles and functions of the Fed are discussed here. This paper also offers an explanation of the traditional tools the Fed uses to conduct monetary policy. Open market operations are explained. The important role of the discount rate is discussed. The legally required reserve ratios are also explored. This author believes that the Fed has recently created a new tool. This tool is the payment of interest on demand deposit accounts at the Fed. This new tool is explained and its ramifications explored. The functions of monetary policy are also expanded upon in this paper.


2018 ◽  
Vol 108 (9) ◽  
pp. 2551-2589 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stefano Eusepi ◽  
Bruce Preston

This paper proposes a theory of the fiscal foundations of inflation based on imperfect knowledge and learning. Because imperfect knowledge breaks Ricardian equivalence, the scale and composition of the public debt matter for inflation. High and moderate duration debt generates wealth effects on consumption demand that impairs the intertemporal substitution channel of monetary policy: aggressive monetary policy is required to anchor inflation expectations. Counterfactual experiments conducted in an estimated model reveal that the US economy would have been substantially more volatile over the Great Inflation and Great Moderation periods if US debt levels had been those observed in Italy or Japan. (JEL D84, E31, E32, E52, E62, H63)


2018 ◽  
Vol 23 (3) ◽  
pp. 1074-1101
Author(s):  
Alessandro Barattieri ◽  
Maya Eden ◽  
Dalibor Stevanovic

We present a stylized model that illustrates how interbank trading can reduce the sensitivity of lending to entrepreneurs' net worth, thus affecting the transmission mechanism of monetary policy through the credit channel. We build a model-consistent measure of interconnectedness and document that, in the United States, this measure has increased substantially during the period 1952–2016. Finally, interacting the measure of interconnectedness in a structural vector autoregression and a factor-augmented vector autoregression for the US economy, we find that the impulse responses of several real and financial variables to monetary policy shocks are dampened as interconnectedness increases. We confirm the same result using data from 10 Euro area countries for the period 1999–2016.


2020 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 22
Author(s):  
Nicholas Bitar

Will the US sustain its economy after the tariff war with China, or will the economy regress? This paper offers a conceptual framework, based on the tenets of New-Keynesian theory, to answer this question. I anticipate that the tariff will have a positive effect on the GDP of the US economy in the short run while prices will rise. When adding the most recent reforms of interest cut by the Fed to 1.75% in September (2019) the model concludes a better outcome. Followed by an expansionary monetary policy by reducing the interest rate, the aftermath of the tariff war on China seems to have a positive impact on the US income and productivity. Obviously, some critics to the Trump Administration indeed shed light on the curtailed global and US social welfare that is caused by the inflationary effect of the tariff war, in addition to the deteriorating conditions for some trading sectors in the US which would certainly lead to unemployment. But the benefits to the US economy that are translated by the New-Keynesian theoretical framework show a positive impact on US production, employment, and GDP.


2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michel Juillard ◽  
Philippe Karam ◽  
Douglas Laxton ◽  
Paolo A. Pesenti

2008 ◽  
Vol 38 (153) ◽  
pp. 513-533 ◽  
Author(s):  
Trevor Evans

Since the 1980s, the US has developed a form of finance-led capitalism in which growth has been highly dependent on credit expansion and asset bubbles. Profitability has steadily climbed, and there has been a massive redistribution of income in favour of the top 1% of income earners. But the financial crisis which began in August 2007 and which deepened with the collapse of Lehman Brothers in September 2008 has left this model in ruins. As the traditional instruments of monetary policy proved ineffective the US state was obliged to partially nationalise the financial system. With banks unwilling to lend to even the best-known companies, the US economy is faced with a major recession which is likely to further exacerbate the difficulties facing the financial sector.


Subject Prospects for the US economy in 2022. Significance The US economy has recovered quickly, with real GDP surpassing the level of the previous peak by the third quarter. Personal consumption spending is 8.6% above pre-pandemic levels but employment remains well below, while supply/demand imbalances will ease only gradually through 2022. Fiscal and monetary policy will be less expansionary, even if President Joe Biden’s second, USD2tn social infrastructure bill passes, and if rates stay on hold well into next year.


Significance President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador (AMLO) has nominated Herrera to become governor of the Bank of Mexico (Banxico) from 2022, taking over from incumbent Governor Alejandro Diaz de Leon. Impacts The markets have taken the changes calmly so far, but Ramirez is a relatively unknown quantity, raising some potential uncertainty. Until Ramirez is ratified by legislators, his decisions will be legally questionable, raising the prospect of challenges in court. As Banxico governor, Herrera will enjoy legal autonomy, giving him the freedom to diverge from AMLO on policy positions. Maintenance of a tight fiscal policy and a tighter monetary policy will dampen growth in 2021. Exports, particularly those geared towards the US economy, will be the most powerful engine of growth.


2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-27
Author(s):  
Oleksandr Bandura ◽  
Valeriia Tkachova

Most central banks of developed countries realize the “quantitative easing” (QE) monetary policy that allows us to speak about globalization as for monetary policy, as for this policy effects. We identified some positive and negative effects from the QE policy for the US economy (as the issuing country) and for Ukraine (as a country that accept of this policy effects on local level) that can be taking into account when national economy economic planning.At the base of author’s CMI-model of macroeconomic dynamics we proposed possible explanation for this monetary policy effects for the US economy that have no satisfied explanation within well-known models: 1) comparatively low economic growth rate under the QE monetary policy; 2) phenomenon of low inflation under sharp rising of money supply as a result of the QE policy; 3) phenomenon of record employment under comparatively small economic growth rate. Also we identified some other effects of the QE monetary policy that can be explained within well-known models. There are the following ones: negative interest rates for bonds market, the US dollar weakening on FOREX market, price rising for gold and various digital assets. We proposed some possible ways to use global effects from the QE monetary policy to benefit Ukrainian economy. For example, we proposed to change the structure of part of the gold and foreign exchange reserves of the National Bank of Ukraine (NBU) in order to increase its value, actually, under the risk-free way. We can use periods of the US economy stimulus provided by Federal Reserve Bank to increase part of gold in the reserves with corresponding decreasing of foreign exchange part. When the stimulus will be stopped, we proposed to decrease part of gold with corresponding increasing of foreign exchange part. Conclusions, tied with impact of the cumulative market imperfections value (ΔР) on economic growth rate obtained for the US economy, are valid and for Ukrainian economy, because, beforehand, we proved the validity of our CMI-model for national economy, too. JEL classification: E30, E31, E32, E37


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