scholarly journals Macroeconomic Announcements and Risk Premia in the Treasury Bond Market

2008 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabio Moneta
2009 ◽  
Vol 12 (01) ◽  
pp. 63-85 ◽  
Author(s):  
Weihua Shi ◽  
Larry Eisenberg ◽  
Cheng-few Lee

Following Bollerslev et al. (2000), this study characterizes the high-frequency volatility of the Japanese Government Bond (JGB) futures on the Tokyo Stock Exchange (TSE) in terms of intraday calendar effects, announcement effects and volatility persistence effects. The results indicate that, unlike the case for the US Treasury bond futures, only four out of 21 scheduled macroeconomic announcements are found to have a significant impact on volatilities, and their instantaneous and daily influences are rather small. At both instantaneous and daily frequencies, volatility persistence effects have the largest influence on volatility, while macroeconomic announcements have only a negligible impact.


2009 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Magnus Andersson ◽  
Szabolcs Sebestyén ◽  
Lars Jul Overby

AbstractThis paper explores a long dataset (1999-2005) of intraday prices on German long-term bond futures and examines market responses to major macroeconomic announcements and ECB monetary policy releases. German bond markets tend to react more strongly to the surprise component in US macro releases compared with aggregated and national euro area and UK releases, and the strength of those reactions to US releases has increased over the period considered. We also document that the numbers of German unemployed workers consistently have been known to investors before official releases.


2012 ◽  
Vol 02 (02) ◽  
pp. 1250006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Frank de Jong ◽  
Joost Driessen

This paper explores the role of liquidity risk in the pricing of corporate bonds. We show that corporate bond returns have significant exposures to fluctuations in treasury bond liquidity and equity market liquidity. Further, this liquidity risk is a priced factor for the expected returns on corporate bonds, and the associated liquidity risk premia help to explain the credit spread puzzle. In terms of expected returns, the total estimated liquidity risk premium is around 0.6% per annum for US long-maturity investment grade bonds. For speculative grade bonds, which have higher exposures to the liquidity factors, the liquidity risk premium is around 1.5% per annum. We find very similar evidence for the liquidity risk exposure of corporate bonds for a sample of European corporate bond prices.


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