scholarly journals Ensuring Financial Stability: Financial Structure and the Impact of Monetary Policy on Asset Prices

Author(s):  
Katrin Assenmacher-Wesche ◽  
Stefan Gerlach
Author(s):  
Hongyi Chen ◽  
Andrew Tsang

This chapter uses the factor-augmented vector autoregression framework to study the impact on the Hong Kong economy of the diverging monetary policies by the Fed, the European Central Bank (ECB), and the Bank of Japan (BoJ), as well as the slowdown of the Mainland economy. The empirical results show that shocks in US monetary policy rate mainly affect interest rate-sensitive sectors in Hong Kong and that monetary easing from the ECB and the BoJ somewhat offsets the impact of tightening of the Fed. Real variables such as real GDP growth and the unemployment rate are more sensitive to the economic slowdown in Mainland China. However, Hong Kong’s financial stability, particularly with regard to loan quality, banks’ capital and liquidity, is well maintained by macroprudential policies, suggesting that Hong Kong’s financial system is resilient to external shocks.


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 472
Author(s):  
Petre Caraiani ◽  
Adrian Călin

We investigate the effects of monetary policy shocks, including unconventional policy measures, on the bubbles of the energy sector, for the case of the United States. We estimate a time-varying Bayesian VAR model that allows for quantifying the impact of monetary policy shocks on asset prices and bubbles. The energy sector is measured through the S&P Energy Index, while bubbles are measured through the difference between asset prices and the corresponding dividends for the energy sector. We find significant differences in the impact of monetary policy shocks for the aggregate economy and for the energy sector. The findings seem sensitive to the interest rate use, i.e., whether one uses the shadow interest rate or the long-term interest rate.


2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (2) ◽  
pp. 175-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Brigitte Young

Unconventional monetary policy was implemented as a result of the financial crisis and resulted in rising asset prices in the stock markets. While the increase in asset prices is not exclusively triggered by unconventional monetary policy, central bankers accept that unconventional monetary policy has resulted in distributional effects on wealth, and that these are not negligible. What is missing are studies analyzing whether these non-standard monetary policies have different distributional effects on women and men. The intent of the paper is to interrogate whether unconventional monetary policy of central banks has a gender bias that operates in favor of men as gender and against women as gender. Relying on insights from feminist economics, the paper uses the results of the ECB Household Finance and Consumption Survey (HFCS) of 62,000 household across 15 euro-area countries. While the results are tentative, they show an asymmetric distributional gendered impact. Since the rich own more assets than the poor, and since monetary easing works in part by raising asset prices, these unconventional policies may unintentionally benefit the wealthier quintile (on average more male) at the expense of the poorer strata of society (on average more female).


2002 ◽  
Vol 2002 (04) ◽  
pp. 1-34
Author(s):  
Roberto Rigobon ◽  
◽  
Brian Sack

2020 ◽  
Vol 59 ◽  

The article focuses on the issues of systematization, analysis and development of the classification of instruments for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system, which is a determining factor in the formation of the necessary influences to ensure the financial stability of the banking system. For the selection and application of the toolkit that most precisely meets the goals, current conditions and priorities of ensuring the financial stability of the banking system, its classification was supplemented by the introduction of new classification features. In particular, in order to take into account the importance of maintaining the continuous circulation of financial flows in the banking system, their consistency and synchrony, we developed a classification criterion ‘for influencing the inflow and outflow of financial flows’, which makes it possible to use the appropriate instrument to complete such specific tasks as ensuring continuity, streamlining the cost of resources, smoothing the impact on interest rates of liquidity changes. Based on the presence of different levels of regulatory influences on ensuring the financial stability of the banking system – strategic and operational – the classification criteria ‘to influence the achievement of monetary policy operational goals’ and ‘to influence the achievement of strategic monetary policy goals’ were introduced. The classification criterion ‘impact on systemic/state-owned banks’ is justified by the significance of systemically important banks for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system, since a significant concentration of assets and capital in such banks requires the use of special tools aimed at preventing systemic risks. Taking into account the need for balancing the flows of credits provided by the banking system, the impact of risks on banking activities, the classification features of instruments for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system ‘by impact on the credit cycle’, ‘by key risks’, ‘by organizational elements’ were proposed. Allocation of the classification features of the instruments for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system will contribute to the achievement of targeting of regulatory and organizational influences and compliance with the criteria of rationality and adequacy when choosing specific instruments. This will create the basis for the selection and application of such a combination of instruments that most closely meets the goals, current conditions and priorities for ensuring the financial stability of the banking system.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 82
Author(s):  
Oparah Felix Chukwudi ◽  
James Tumba Henry

This study examined the impact of monetary policy on financial stability in the Nigerian banking industry for the period 2008Q1 to 2016Q2, using an error correction model. Banking industry financial stability index (BIFSI) was computed within the study and was used as a measure of financial stability in the Nigerian banking industry. The study discovered that the impact of monetary policy on financial stability in the Nigerian banking industry was weak. It also revealed a significant long run equilibrium relationship between monetary policy and financial stability in the Nigerian banking industry with a speed of adjustment to long run equilibrium of 66.54%. It was concluded that open market operation and exchange rate channels are more effective channels of transmitting monetary policy to financial stability in the banking industry, than interest rate channel.


2004 ◽  
Vol 51 (8) ◽  
pp. 1553-1575 ◽  
Author(s):  
Roberto Rigobon ◽  
Brian Sack

2012 ◽  
Vol 114 (1) ◽  
pp. 29-31 ◽  
Author(s):  
Murat Duran ◽  
Gülserim Özcan ◽  
Pınar Özlü ◽  
Deren Ünalmış

2021 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 205-215
Author(s):  
Sri Ayomi ◽  
Eleonora Sofilda ◽  
Muhammad Zilal Hamzah ◽  
Ari Mulianta Ginting

In the financial system and economy, the banking industry plays a crucial role. Default risk takes central stage in preserving financial stability and needs to be mitigated as it can trigger a crisis. The study examines the combined effects of monetary policy and bank competition on banking defaults. Using a sample of 95 commercial banks in Indonesia between 2009 and 2019, this study employs the Generalized Method of Moments, a two-step dynamic panel-data estimation system, to analyze it. Empirical estimation results show that monetary policy, through an increase in the benchmark interest rate, negatively affects probability of default. The extent of banking stability is also enhanced by monetary policy. Banking competition has a negative and significant effect on probability of default and has a positive effect on the banking distance to default. Furthermore, the combined impact of monetary policy and banking competition positively affects probability of default but has a negative impact on the distance of default. Building on this study, to promote a stable and more efficient banking system, policymakers should develop policies that foster complementary monetary and competition policies.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (517) ◽  
pp. 81-88
Author(s):  
A. D. Pilko ◽  
◽  
V. R. Kramar ◽  

The publication is concerned with highlighting the results of the carried out analysis of the existing practice of developing macroeconomic models directed towards determining the main parameters of monetary policy of central banks, as well as assessing their impact on the indicators of financial stability of the banking system. Given the low efficiency of the traditional approaches to the formation of the monetary rule both in countries with developed market economies and in countries with small open economies (in particular, Taylor rule), possible ways to solve this problem are proposed taking into account the existing experience in shaping monetary policy parameters in the context of inflation targeting, which is already available at the NBU. The strengths and weaknesses of the main approaches to the modeling of the monetary transmission mechanism, as well as the forecasting of its impact on the financial stability of the banking system, which are used in the formation of basic and auxiliary models of the central bank, are analyzed. Particular attention is paid to structural econometric models, vector autoregression models and dynamic stochastic models of general equilibrium. As a result, a possible variant for developing an approach to macroeconomic modeling is proposed, in the framework of which assessment and analysis of the impact of monetary policy on the indicators of financial stability of the banking system is envisaged. The practical implementation of this approach makes it possible to develop models for assessing and analyzing the efficiency of the current monetary policy, projecting macroeconomic development scenarios in the short and medium term, which will both directly and indirectly determine the indicators of financial stability of the banking system.


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