Uncertainties in Standard Analyses of Boundary Effects in Buildup Data

2005 ◽  
Vol 8 (05) ◽  
pp. 437-444 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leif Larsen

Summary Boundary effects are often observed in buildup data—or at least that is the conclusion frequently drawn from an observed increase in derivative on a log-log plot or an increase in slope on a semilog plot. Furthermore, if (for instance) it is concluded that the effects of a sealing fault are seen in a given data set, then simple line methods or direct analytical-modeling efforts are normally used to determine the distance to the boundary. A sealing fault is the normal choice of boundary model if a doubling is observed in derivative or semilog slope. If a four-fold increase in derivative is observed, then a model with the well placed somewhere between two sealing faults forming a right angle would be a normal choice. But what if the two faults are not sealing? If the flow capacity on the other side of the faults is only one-third of the value on the well side, what will be the derivative characteristics? Problems like these are addressed in detail in this paper, with a series of simple rules given for possible combinations that will generate buildup data of a specific type (i.e., with specific "familiar characteristics"). The rules can be used to list alternative interpretations without running separate analyses. For instance, it is shown that the derivative characteristics of any sector model bounded by sealing faults correspond to an infinite number of two-zone sector models with an angle between the boundaries and permeability contrast satisfying a single equation. Other pairs of models with similar characteristics are models with partially sealing faults and specific three-zone sector models, and either of these types of models and radial composite models. This clearly complicates analyses. Also addressed are problems related to possible differences in the boundary effects observed in drawdown and buildup data for certain models. As one example, U-shaped and sector models can have identical buildup characteristics over a wide time range, although drawdown data from the models have distinctly different boundary characteristics. Radial composite and composite sector models are also of this type, with potentially significant differences between drawdown and buildup data. The reason for bringing up such cases is to emphasize the importance of attempting to collect high-quality drawdown data in addition to buildup data to limit the range of possible interpretation models. For completeness, effects of uncertainties in basic input parameters on the final analyses are also covered in the paper. Introduction It is well known that buildup data from a well near a sealing fault might exhibit a doubling of derivatives on a log-log diagnostic plot, as illustrated in Fig. 1. This doubling of derivatives corresponds to a doubling of slope on a semilog plot, as shown by Horner, and refers to a change between early and late data requiring storage effects to become negligible and radial flow to be reached before the onset of boundary effects. For this behavior to occur, it is also necessary for the flow period before shut-in to be long enough to be fully or almost fully affected by the boundary effect.

2020 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 959-970
Author(s):  
Kelly M. Reavis ◽  
James A. Henry ◽  
Lynn M. Marshall ◽  
Kathleen F. Carlson

Purpose The aim of this study was to examine the relationship between tinnitus and self-reported mental health distress, namely, depression symptoms and perceived anxiety, in adults who participated in the National Health and Nutrition Examinations Survey between 2009 and 2012. A secondary aim was to determine if a history of serving in the military modified the associations between tinnitus and mental health distress. Method This was a cross-sectional study design of a national data set that included 5,550 U.S. community-dwelling adults ages 20 years and older, 12.7% of whom were military Veterans. Bivariable and multivariable logistic regression was used to estimate the association between tinnitus and mental health distress. All measures were based on self-report. Tinnitus and perceived anxiety were each assessed using a single question. Depression symptoms were assessed using the Patient Health Questionnaire, a validated questionnaire. Multivariable regression models were adjusted for key demographic and health factors, including self-reported hearing ability. Results Prevalence of tinnitus was 15%. Compared to adults without tinnitus, adults with tinnitus had a 1.8-fold increase in depression symptoms and a 1.5-fold increase in perceived anxiety after adjusting for potential confounders. Military Veteran status did not modify these observed associations. Conclusions Findings revealed an association between tinnitus and both depression symptoms and perceived anxiety, independent of potential confounders, among both Veterans and non-Veterans. These results suggest, on a population level, that individuals with tinnitus have a greater burden of perceived mental health distress and may benefit from interdisciplinary health care, self-help, and community-based interventions. Supplemental Material https://doi.org/10.23641/asha.12568475


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Annie Bartlett ◽  
Jared G Smith ◽  
Louise Warner ◽  
Heidi Hales

Abstract Background The system of secure care for young people in England and Wales comprises youth justice, welfare and mental health facilities. Empirical studies have failed to investigate the system as a whole. The National Adolescent Study in 2016 was the first to provide comprehensive system wide information. This paper, derived from that data set, addresses equity of service provision for young men and women in secure care who have mental health problems.MethodsThe detained census population of English young people was 1322 and detailed data were available on 93% of this population, including 983 young men and 290 young women. The descriptive census data were interrogated to identify associations between gender, other sociodemographic and clinical variables, using Chi-square and Fisher’s exact tests. To control for Type 1 errors, the False Discovery rate approach was used. SPSS (V25) was used for statistical analysis.Results Numerically more young men in secure care than young women in secure care warrant a psychiatric diagnosis but young women had a 9 fold increase in the odds of having a diagnosis compared with the young men. The pattern of mental health diagnoses differed significantly by gender as did the pattern of young men and women’s secure care placement. This different pattern of placement continued to differ by gender when the nature of the mental health diagnosis was taken into account.Conclusions No definitive explanation is evident for the significantly different, placement patterns of young men and young women with the same, mental health diagnoses but the anticipated consequences for some, young men and some young women are important. Proper explanation demands an examination of process variables out with the remit of this study. The lack of routine scrutiny and transparent processes across secure settings could be responsible for the development of these differential placement practices; these practices seem at odds with the duty placed on public services by the Equality Act.


BMJ Open ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. e022137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Allison S Letica-Kriegel ◽  
Hojjat Salmasian ◽  
David K Vawdrey ◽  
Brett E Youngerman ◽  
Robert A Green ◽  
...  

MotivationCatheter-associated urinary tract infections (CAUTI) are a common and serious healthcare-associated infection. Despite many efforts to reduce the occurrence of CAUTI, there remains a gap in the literature about CAUTI risk factors, especially pertaining to the effect of catheter dwell-time on CAUTI development and patient comorbidities.ObjectiveTo examine how the risk for CAUTI changes over time. Additionally, to assess whether time from catheter insertion to CAUTI event varied according to risk factors such as age, sex, patient type (surgical vs medical) and comorbidities.DesignRetrospective cohort study of all patients who were catheterised from 2012 to 2016, including those who did and did not develop CAUTIs. Both paediatric and adult patients were included. Indwelling urinary catheterisation is the exposure variable. The variable is interval, as all participants were exposed but for different lengths of time.SettingUrban academic health system of over 2500 beds. The system encompasses two large academic medical centres, two community hospitals and a paediatric hospital.ResultsThe study population was 47 926 patients who had 61 047 catheterisations, of which 861 (1.41%) resulted in a CAUTI. CAUTI rates were found to increase non-linearly for each additional day of catheterisation; CAUTI-free survival was 97.3% (CI: 97.1 to 97.6) at 10 days, 88.2% (CI: 86.9 to 89.5) at 30 days and 71.8% (CI: 66.3 to 77.8) at 60 days. This translated to an instantaneous HR of. 49%–1.65% in the 10–60 day time range. Paraplegia, cerebrovascular disease and female sex were found to statistically increase the chances of a CAUTI.ConclusionsUsing a very large data set, we demonstrated the incremental risk of CAUTI associated with each additional day of catheterisation, as well as the risk factors that increase the hazard for CAUTI. Special attention should be given to patients carrying these risk factors, for example, females or those with mobility issues.


2011 ◽  
Vol 109 ◽  
pp. 32-36
Author(s):  
Shu You Wang ◽  
Jian Bing Men ◽  
Jian Wei Jiang

The influence of radial and axial boundary effect on penetration effect are calculated, numerical simulation are executed to compute the kinetic projectile against deep hard target by finite element code, the boundary effects were achieved for different velocity range. Result shows that the minimal Dt/Dp (diameter ratio of target to projectile) for impact velocity 600m/s is 17.5, while the minimal Dt/Dp for impact velocity 900m/s is 20. Furthermore, the depth of equivalent target to substitute semi-infinite target is twice of penetration depth limit for impact velocity 300m/s, and 1.6 times respectively, for impact velocity 600m/s, 900m/s.


2015 ◽  
Vol 2015 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Mohammed Alguraibawi ◽  
Habshah Midi ◽  
A. H. M. Rahmatullah Imon

Identification of high leverage point is crucial because it is responsible for inaccurate prediction and invalid inferential statement as it has a larger impact on the computed values of various estimates. It is essential to classify the high leverage points into good and bad leverage points because only the bad leverage points have an undue effect on the parameter estimates. It is now evident that when a group of high leverage points is present in a data set, the existing robust diagnostic plot fails to classify them correctly. This problem is due to the masking and swamping effects. In this paper, we propose a new robust diagnostic plot to correctly classify the good and bad leverage points by reducing both masking and swamping effects. The formulation of the proposed plot is based on the Modified Generalized Studentized Residuals. We investigate the performance of our proposed method by employing a Monte Carlo simulation study and some well-known data sets. The results indicate that the proposed method is able to improve the rate of detection of bad leverage points and also to reduce swamping and masking effects.


Paleobiology ◽  
2010 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 253-282 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philip D. Mannion ◽  
Paul Upchurch

Both the body fossils and trackways of sauropod dinosaurs indicate that they inhabited a range of inland and coastal environments during their 160-Myr evolutionary history. Quantitative paleoecological analyses of a large data set of sauropod occurrences reveal a statistically significant positive association between non-titanosaurs and coastal environments, and between titanosaurs and inland environments. Similarly, “narrow-gauge” trackways are positively associated with coastal environments and “wide-gauge” trackways are associated with inland environments. The statistical support for these associations suggests that this is a genuine ecological signal: non-titanosaur sauropods preferred coastal environments such as carbonate platforms, whereas titanosaurs preferred inland environments such as fluvio-lacustrine systems. These results remain robust when the data set is time sliced and jackknifed in various ways. When the analyses are repeated using the more inclusive groupings of titanosauriforms and Macronaria, the signal is weakened or lost. These results reinforce the hypothesis that “wide-gauge” trackways were produced by titanosaurs. It is commonly assumed that the trackway and body fossil records will give different results, with the former providing a more reliable guide to the habitats occupied by extinct organisms because footprints are produced during life, whereas carcasses can be transported to different environments prior to burial. However, this view is challenged by our observation that separate body fossil and trackway data sets independently support the same conclusions regarding environmental preferences in sauropod dinosaurs. Similarly, analyzing localities and individuals independently results in the same environmental associations. We demonstrate that conclusions about environmental patterns among fossil taxa can be highly sensitive to an investigator's choices regarding analytical protocols. In particular, decisions regarding the taxonomic groupings used for comparison, the time range represented by the data set, and the criteria used to identify the number of localities can all have a marked effect on conclusions regarding the existence and nature of putative environmental associations. We recommend that large data sets be explored for such associations at a variety of different taxonomic and temporal scales.


2018 ◽  
Vol 08 (06) ◽  
pp. 1850044 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xixi Li ◽  
Zhonghua Yao ◽  
Juan Xie ◽  
Zongxin Li ◽  
Hua Hao ◽  
...  

Grain boundary effect on BaTiO3 has been widely investigated for several decades. However, all of them tailored the grain boundary by grain size of BaTiO3. In this case, a direct way was introduced to modify the grain boundary by coating technique to investigate the role of grain boundary in ferroelectric materials. Nonferroelectric phase TiO2 was employed to investigate grain boundary effects on the electrical properties of BaTiO3 piezoelectric ceramics. TiO2 coating can result in the reduction of piezoelectric and ferroelectric properties and the annealing process in oxygen can increase piezoelectric behavior of pure BaTiO3 due to valence state of Ti ions while that remains for Ti-modified composition possibly due to the increased grain boundary effect by impedance analysis. Compared with ferroelectric grain, grain boundary plays a critical role to impact the electrical properties of perovskite-type ferroelectric materials.


Author(s):  
R Vinayakumar ◽  
K.P. Soman ◽  
Prabaharan Poornachandran

This article describes how sequential data modeling is a relevant task in Cybersecurity. Sequences are attributed temporal characteristics either explicitly or implicitly. Recurrent neural networks (RNNs) are a subset of artificial neural networks (ANNs) which have appeared as a powerful, principle approach to learn dynamic temporal behaviors in an arbitrary length of large-scale sequence data. Furthermore, stacked recurrent neural networks (S-RNNs) have the potential to learn complex temporal behaviors quickly, including sparse representations. To leverage this, the authors model network traffic as a time series, particularly transmission control protocol / internet protocol (TCP/IP) packets in a predefined time range with a supervised learning method, using millions of known good and bad network connections. To find out the best architecture, the authors complete a comprehensive review of various RNN architectures with its network parameters and network structures. Ideally, as a test bed, they use the existing benchmark Defense Advanced Research Projects Agency / Knowledge Discovery and Data Mining (DARPA) / (KDD) Cup ‘99' intrusion detection (ID) contest data set to show the efficacy of these various RNN architectures. All the experiments of deep learning architectures are run up to 1000 epochs with a learning rate in the range [0.01-0.5] on a GPU-enabled TensorFlow and experiments of traditional machine learning algorithms are done using Scikit-learn. Experiments of families of RNN architecture achieved a low false positive rate in comparison to the traditional machine learning classifiers. The primary reason is that RNN architectures are able to store information for long-term dependencies over time-lags and to adjust with successive connection sequence information. In addition, the effectiveness of RNN architectures are shown for the UNSW-NB15 data set.


2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenzo Ishikawa ◽  
Kenji Nishiwaki ◽  
Kin-ya Oda

Abstract We compute an $s$-channel $2\to2$ scalar scattering $\phi\phi\to\Phi\to\phi\phi$ in the Gaussian wave-packet formalism at the tree level. We find that wave-packet effects, including shifts of the pole and the width of the propagator of $\Phi$, persist even when we do not take into account the time boundary effect for $2\to2$ proposed earlier. An interpretation of the result is that a heavy scalar $1\to2$ decay $\Phi\to\phi\phi$, taking into account the production of $\Phi$, does not exhibit the in-state time boundary effect unless we further take into account in-boundary effects for the $2\to2$ scattering. We also show various plane-wave limits.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Lukas Aigner ◽  
Timea Katona ◽  
Hadrien Michel ◽  
Arsalan Ahmed ◽  
Thomas Hermans ◽  
...  

<p>Detailed information on the clay content of the subsurface and its spatial distribution plays a critical role in the interaction between surface- and groundwater. In this study, we investigate a new methodology to integrate data measured with electromagnetic and electrical geophysical methods, namely, the transient electromagnetic (TEM) and the spectral induced polarization (SIP) to quantify subsurface clay content in an imaging framework. The methodology is tested in data sets collected at a quarry close to Vienna and consists of a ca. 10 m thick clay layer below a ca. 8 m thick overburden of sandy silts. Our data set includes SIP data collected along a 315 m long profile with an electrode separation of 5 m in a frequency range from 0.1 to 225 Hz. Along this profile, we measured 26 TEM soundings using a 12.5 m loop with 24 windows recording in a time range between 4 and 140 μs. Ground truth information corresponds to grain size analysis conducted in 25 soil samples collected in a depth from 5 to 28 m. SIP inversion results at a single frequency provided structural a-priori information to improve the inversion of the TEM data. The inverted TEM conductivity model, nearest to the position of soil sample collection, was correlated to the grain size distribution and the resulting positive exponential relationship was used to obtain vertical 1D variations of clay content with depth. All sounding positions were interpolated to obtain a 2D image of subsurface clay content. This clay content variations were then compared to images of the Cole-Cole parameters, describing the frequency dependence of SIP imaging results. To evaluate the uncertainty in our clay estimations, we applied the Bayesian evidential learning 1D imaging (BEL1D). We obtained uncertainties of layer thickness, resistivity, and clay content by integrating the clay-conductivity relationship derived from TEM data into the BEL1D framework.</p>


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