New Era of History Matching and Probabilistic Forecasting- A Case Study

Author(s):  
Stig Ludvig Selberg ◽  
Bjorn Egil Ludvigsen ◽  
Tom Harneshaug ◽  
Alexander Omar Diab
Author(s):  
Jacquelyn Dowd Hall ◽  
Kathryn Nasstrom

A case study of the southern oral history program is the essence of this chapter. From its start in 1973 until 1999, the Southern Oral History Program (SOHP) was housed by the history department at the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill (UNC), rather than in the library or archives, where so many other oral history programs emerged. The SOHP is now part of UNC's Center for the Study of the American South, but it continues to play an integral role in the department of history. Concentrating on U.S. southern racial, labor, and gender issues, the program offers oral history courses and uses interviews to produce works of scholarship, such as the prize-winning book Like a Family: The Making of a Southern Cotton Mill World. The folks at the Institute for Southern Studies tried to combine activism with analysis, trying to figure out how to take the spirit of the movement into a new era.


2006 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shawket G. Ghedan ◽  
Adrian P. Gibson ◽  
Ilhan Sener ◽  
Ozgur Eylem Gunal ◽  
Alexander Diab ◽  
...  

2013 ◽  
Vol 50 ◽  
pp. 4-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. Arnold ◽  
V. Demyanov ◽  
D. Tatum ◽  
M. Christie ◽  
T. Rojas ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Vol 5 (4) ◽  
pp. 580-617
Author(s):  
David J. DeVore

Eusebius’s Ecclesiastical History, a seminal late-antique historical narrative, features three periodizations of the church’s past. First, a soteriological periodization divides God’s relationship with humanity at Christ’s Incarnation, an event that Eusebius marks in Book 1 with detailed commentary on the gospels rather than narrative. Second, an ecclesiastical periodization divides pristine, heroic apostolic times from post-apostolic times. The divide between apostolic times and the post-apostolic periods is illustrated through a comparison of History 2.13–17, about Simon Magus, Peter, and Mark, and 6.12, on Serapion of Antioch. And third, an epistemological periodization distinguished earlier times from Eusebius’s lifetime, the latter marked by frequent references to “our time.” Eusebius changed numerous narrative features with his changes of period, including alternating between commentary, diachronic, and synchronic format for different time periods; changing protagonists’ fallibility, individuality, composition of texts, and citation of scripture; and providing notices of episcopal successions and quotation of sources. Moreover, Eusebius’s History changed periods not with the sharp breaks of many modern histories but with gradual transitions. He also underscored key continuities, including God’s intervention in human events and alternation between persecuting and protecting rulers—a continuity within which, contrary to scholarly assumptions, the History never inaugurates a new era with the emergence of Constantine. The case study of Eusebius’s periodization suggests an important limitation of the analytic usefulness of periodizations such as “Late Antiquity” for organizing intellectual history.


Author(s):  
Herpita Wahyuni ◽  
Eko Priyo Purnomo ◽  
Aqil Teguh Fathani

This research focuses on social media. We were using Social Media in Supporting Tourism Development During Covid-19: Case Study a New Era Policy in Bandung. This study uses descriptive qualitative research methods with data sources through the Twitter account of the Bandung City Culture and Tourism Office @DisbudparBdg assisted by the NVivo 12 Plus software. We are utilising Social Media to Support Tourism Development During Covid-19: A Case Study of New Era Policy in Bandung by measuring the use of social media in tourism planning, creation, integration, and marketing strategy. This research shows tourism planning in a new standard era by directing outdoor tourism and implementing health protocols. The Tourism Promotion Board integrates cooperation between the Bandung City Culture and Tourism Office and PT Kereta Api Pariwisata. Tourism marketing by providing tourist information can give tourists confidence that Bandung is an attractive and robust destination city in improving health regulations and strictly following health protocol rules during recreation.


2021 ◽  
Vol 236 ◽  
pp. 05059
Author(s):  
Xian Li ◽  
Eakachat Joneurairatana ◽  
Veerawat Sirivesmas

Architects and designers realize that new buildings cannot completely replace old buildings in the process of urbanization in the world. To establish a method of the new building and the old building coexist and to create the new paradigm of the new building construction in the old district is the responsibility faced by the contemporary architects. This paper first analyzes the old building renovation projects in Berlin and Paris in the 1980s and puts forward the symbiotic relationship between the old and the new buildings in the new era, thus obtaining the research objectives, trying to redefine new buildings and old districts, and creating the new paradigm of contemporary building construction in old districts. Using workshop as an exploration method, this paper conducts data research and sampling analyses on the Chinatown area in Bangkok, and explores the combination mode and paradigm transformation of new buildings and old districts in the city, aiming to seek solutions utilizing art exploration.


2018 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 667-680 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jennie Molinder ◽  
Heiner Körnich ◽  
Esbjörn Olsson ◽  
Hans Bergström ◽  
Anna Sjöblom

Abstract. The problem of icing on wind turbines in cold climates is addressed using probabilistic forecasting to improve next-day forecasts of icing and related production losses. A case study of probabilistic forecasts was generated for a 2-week period. Uncertainties in initial and boundary conditions are represented with an ensemble forecasting system, while uncertainties in the spatial representation are included with a neighbourhood method. Using probabilistic forecasting instead of one single forecast was shown to improve the forecast skill of the ice-related production loss forecasts and hence the icing forecasts. The spread of the multiple forecasts can be used as an estimate of the forecast uncertainty and of the likelihood for icing and severe production losses. Best results, both in terms of forecast skill and forecasted uncertainty, were achieved using both the ensemble forecast and the neighbourhood method combined. This demonstrates that the application of probabilistic forecasting for wind power in cold climates can be valuable when planning next-day energy production, in the usage of de-icing systems and for site safety.


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