Prediction of Foreign Direct Investment: an Application to South African Data

2022 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 115-133
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Direct Investment

scholarly journals Linkages and spillover effects of South African foreign direct investment in Botswana and Kenya

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felix Adamu Nandonde ◽  
Richard Adu-Gyamfi ◽  
TinayeSonto Mmusi ◽  
Herbert Wamalwa ◽  
Simplice A. Asongu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Spillover Effects

scholarly journals Determinants of foreign direct investment in Lesotho: evidence from cointegration and error correction modeling

2013 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 99-106
Author(s):  
Malefa Rose Malefane
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Political Stability ◽  
Promotion Strategy ◽  
Investment Promotion ◽  
Regulatory Frameworks ◽  
Critical Issues ◽  
Red Tape ◽  
Error Correction Modeling

Over the past decade, Lesotho has recorded a substantial increase in levels of foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow, part of it prompted by trade privileges. Building on the extant literature, this study provides an empirical analysis of determinants of FDI in Lesotho. The study looks at how macroeconomic stability, regulatory frameworks, political stability and market size affect FDI.  The evidence from this study shows that some of the foreign enterprises in Lesotho are there to serve a bigger South African market. Also, the country has benefited from a more export-oriented investment promotion strategy. Critical issues however remain that must be addressed if the country is to attract more FDI and retain existing investors .These issues pertain to bureaucratic red-tape, corruption and political instability.

South African foreign policy will see cosmetic changes

2018 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Policy ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Security Council ◽  
Land Reform ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Investment Climate ◽  
Government Bonds ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Un Security Council

Subject South African foreign policy. Significance President Cyril Ramaphosa has focused largely on domestic issues in his first six months in office. However, a push for new foreign direct investment of 100 billion dollars over five years, coupled with the securing of a non-permanent seat on the UN Security Council from 2019-20, have raised hopes of a fresh foreign policy approach across several fronts. Impacts Despite Ramaphosa's reassurances, radical land reform proposals could undermine attempts to improve the wider investment climate. New US tariffs on steel, aluminium and possibly automobiles could offset advantages from the Africa Growth and Opportunity Act (AGOA). Confidence-building economic measures will be necessary to stem the large sale of government bonds by foreigners.

scholarly journals An Investigation of the Dynamic Effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) and Interest Rates on GDP in South Africa

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (5(J)) ◽  
pp. 29-37
Author(s):  
Thomas Habanabakize ◽  
Daniel F Meyer
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
South Africa ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Positive Relationship ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Repo Rate

Economic growth in South Africa has been in the “doldrums” for the past decade. If well managed, foreign direct investment (FDI) and repo rate (interest rate) could have a positive impact and assist in rapid economic growth so urgently needed in South Africa. FDI has been a driving force for growth in many developing economies. Not enough has been done to attract FDI in South Africa. The country has enormous ability and capacity to attract FDI inflows and to have the advantages from it. A quantitative research approach was used to analyse the association amongst the variables which include FDI, GDP and repo rate in the South African economy. The South African Reserve Bank database was used and the period analysed is from 2000 to 2016. Statistical and econometric methods such as correlation analysis, unit root tests, ARDL Bounds test for cointegration, an error correction model (ECM), and the Granger causality tests were used. Subsequently, after the econometric model was estimated, findings indicated the existence of a long-run relationship between the three variables. While, a significant positive relationship exists between FDI and GDP, a negative long-run relationship was found between GDP and repo rate and interestingly a nonsignificant relationship between repo rate and FDI. In the short run, the positive effect of FDI on GDP is minimal whilst a significant and positive relationship exists between GDP and repo rate. The results did also show some limitations in the results, with regards to FDI and repo rate that there is no significant relationship between the variables, meaning that repo rate does not have an impact on FDIs. Although some long-run evidence was found of FDI playing a role in economic growth in South Africa, such impact is limited. Also very interesting is that the repo rate and FDI do not have a statistically significant relationship. This could be due to the rising risks associated with investments in the country. In conclusion, there are many variables which could have a positive impact on the attraction of FDIs and such factors will be explored further in future studies. 

scholarly journals Dumping The Competition, And Scarring Off Investors: The Impact And Influence Of The South African Anti-Dumping And Competition Measures On Foreign Direct Investment

2015 ◽  
Vol 14 (4) ◽  
pp. 669
Author(s):  
Omphemetse S. Sibanda
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Competition Law ◽  
Market Size ◽  
Trade Policies ◽  
The Public ◽  
Foreign Companies ◽  
Regional Influence ◽  
The Impact

Since the dawn of democracy South Africa has embarked in a process of dismantling protectionist business and trade policies, and made the countrys stream of commerce one of the preferred globally. The countrys sound competition and trade policies, natural resource endowments, market size and regional influence, attracted foreign businesss and foreign direct invetsment (FDI). Equally the country has been under pressure to protect the domestic industries from injurious competition and business, through sector specific laws, anti-dumping and countervailing duties laws, investment and competition regime. The concern has been the likilelihood of the introduction of trade and competition barriers, and the allienation of FDI. This paper critically examines the impact the countrys antidumping and competition law and practice upon foreign direct investment. Domestic industries have never been shy file anti-dumping and anti-competition suits against foreign companies, sometimes even against the public interest outcry. Relevant examples of these suits include the famous Wal-Mart anti-competition case, and recently the Brazilian frozen fowl meat anti-dumping case.

scholarly journals Linkages and Spillover Effects of South African Foreign Direct Investment in Botswana and Kenya

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Felix Nandonde ◽  
Richard Adu-Gyamfi ◽  
Tinaye Mmusi ◽  
Herbert Wamalwa ◽  
Simplice Asongu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Spillover Effects

scholarly journals The global value chain dimension of foreign direct investment flows in the agro-industrial sector of South Africa, 2003–2014

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Henri Bezuidenhout ◽  
Sonja Grater ◽  
Ewert P.J. Kleynhans
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Value Chain ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
The United States ◽  
Industrial Sector ◽  
Value Chains ◽  
Global Value Chain ◽  
African Countries

Orientation: African countries offer many investment opportunities and also urgently need global investment finance. Along the value chains of the agro-industrial sector there are many global challenges for African countries to attract foreign direct investment. This article investigates the investment flows in agro-industries and products to and from South Africa.Research purpose: This study evaluates the nature and dimensions of the agro-industrial sector that receive investment inflows in South Africa, as well as investigating South African investment patterns into Africa.Motivation for the study: Of particular interest is the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) flows, their integration into global value chains and sustainable investment options.Research design, approach and method: Qualitative data and visual techniques using available data for the period 2003–2014 disambiguate the linkages in FDI patterns with regard to regions, industries and specific companies. Flows between regions and the specific companies are identified and studied.Main findings: The results indicate that the United States, the United Kingdom and the Netherlands are the largest investors in South Africa, with a strong focus on agricultural input production and subsequent agro-processing industries. South African investment into Africa follows a similar, albeit narrower and more focused, pattern. The study concludes that foreign multinational enterprises are actively involved in global value chain expansion and South African firms are following suit.Practical/managerial implications: The lack of FDI in actual agricultural crop production in Africa offers future investment opportunities.Contribution/value-add: This study creates a better understanding of how FDI in agriculture is linked to the development of regional value chains in the Southern African region. The methodology applies a novel approach to an important field of study, of which little knowledge exists, and may contribute to the creation of wealth in the countries of the region and the welfare of its population.

scholarly journals Measuring the inward FDI potential of South African regions

2008 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Krugell ◽  
M. Matthee
Keyword(s):  
South Africa ◽  
Foreign Direct Investment ◽  
South African ◽  
Foreign Investment ◽  
Local Governments ◽  
Direct Investment ◽  
Potential Contribution ◽  
Skills Transfer ◽  
Foreign Investors ◽  
Investment Promotion

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to construct an index that captures the factors expected to affect a local economy's attractiveness to foreign investors. Problem statement: Following South Africa's reintegration into the world economy in 1994, foreign direct investment has been seen as a potential driver of growth and development. Concerns about the low investment rate in South Africa raise the possibility of augmenting domestic with foreign investment expenditure. The potential of technology spillovers and skills transfer from foreign direct investment have also been emphasised. As a result, Trade and Investment South Africa is involved in identifying, packaging and promoting investment opportunities. However, investments tend to be place-specific and this has lead to the decentralisation of foreign direct investment promotion. Currently the nine provincial development agencies are competing to attract investors and the larger local governments are also getting involved in the fray. This paper argues that some places have better potential to attract foreign investment than others. A first step to use scarce investment promotion resources more efficiently would be to measure the inward FDI potential of South African regions. Approach: This paper uses principal components analysis to construct an index that captures the factors expected to affect a local economy's attractiveness to foreign investors. This approach draws on UNCTAD's Inward FDI Potential Index and applies it to 354 magisterial districts in South Africa for the periods 1996, 2001 and 2006. The index creates a summary measure of FDI potential.Findings: The results show that different places present differential potential in urbanization and localization economies and market size. The high-potential locations are typically found in or around the major agglomerations, but there are a few smaller places on the periphery that offer FDI potential. Contribution: The index should aid the location decisions of prospective investors as well as local policymakers in their efforts to promote FDI-led economic development. Conclusion: The places with high FDI potential are not randomly scattered across South Africa, but tend to cluster together. Cities and towns can improve their attractiveness to foreign investors through the exploitation of natural resources, population growth, economic growth and strengthening links to metropolitan areas.

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