The earthquake hazard alert of September 1982 in Southern Tobago

1988 ◽  
Vol 78 (4) ◽  
pp. 1550-1562
Author(s):  
F. D. Morgan ◽  
G. Wadge ◽  
J. Latchman ◽  
W. P. Aspinall ◽  
D. Hudson ◽  
...  

Abstract An earthquake swarm that occurred in the vicinity of the island of Tobago (West Indies) during the latter half of 1982 was monitored in the near-field by a five-station seismograph network. The monitoring of the swarm eventually led to the issuing of a potential earthquake hazard alert, 3 days prior to the major energy release (earthquake magnitude mb = 5.2). We discuss the reasons for issuing this alert. In particular, daily monitoring of the changing b value and energy release was used to constrain estimates of future earthquake behavior. The aftershock seismicity showed activity in a direction trending west to WNW. This is in good agreement with the focal mechanism of the main earthquake which showed right-lateral strike-slip motion along an E-W fault plane dipping steeply (71°) to the north. This active fault appears to form part of the previously unrecognized Southern Tobago Fault System for which there is evidence in the geology of the Late Neogene rocks of the island.

Author(s):  
Fred F. Pollitz ◽  
William C. Hammond ◽  
Charles W. Wicks

Abstract The 2020 M 6.5 Stanley, Idaho, earthquake produced rupture in the north of the active Sawtooth fault in the northern basin and range at depth, without any observable surface rupture. Global Positioning System (GPS) and Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data yield several millimeters of static offsets out to ∼100  km from the rupture and up to ∼0.1  m of near-field crustal deformation. We combine the GPS and InSAR data with long-period regional seismic waveforms to derive models of kinematic slip and afterslip. We find that the coseismic rupture is complex, likely involving up to 2 m combined left-lateral strike slip and normal slip on a previously unidentified ∼south-southeast-striking fault. This slip is predominantly left-lateral strike slip, different from the dominant east-northeast–west-northwest normal faulting of the region. At least one ∼northeast-trending fault, likely associated with the Trans-Challis fault system, is inferred to have accommodated a few decimeters of right-lateral afterslip, consistent with vigorous aftershock activity at depth along northeast-trending lineations.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernard Guest

<p>The left-lateral Doruneh Fault System (DFS) bounds the north margin of the Central Iranian microplate, and has played an important role in the structural evolution of the Turkish-Iranian Plateau and of Afghanistan. The western termination of the DFS is a sinistral synthetic branch fault array that shows clear kinematic evidence of having undergone recent slip sense inversion from a dextral array to a sinistral array in the latest Neogene or earliest Quaternary. Similarly, kinematic evidence from the Anarak Metamorphic complex at the southwestern most branch of the DFS terminal fault array suggests that this core complex formed at a transpressive left stepping termination and that it was inverted in the latest Neogene to a transtensional fault termination. The recognition that the DFS and possibly other faults in NE Iran were inverted from dextral to sinistral strike slip in the latest Neogene, and the likely connection between the DFS and the Herat Fault of Afghanistan suggests that the evolutions of Afghanistan and the Indo-Asian collisional system are linked to the tectonic evolution of the Turkish-Iranian Plateau. This speculative model explains the Late Neogene tectonic realignment of the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone in terms of the interaction between the Afghan blocks that were extruding west from the Indo-Asian collision and the Turkish Iranian collision zone that was evolving to the east as Arabia sutured diachronously with Eurasia. The collision of the Afghan blocks with East Iran effectively locked the respective eastern and western free boundaries for the Arabia-Eurasia, and Indo-Asian collisional belts and forced them to diverge away from one another.<span> If confirmed,</span> this explains the Late Miocene to Pliocene tectonic reorganization that is recognized across the Middle East and has implications for geologic process models across the region. Regional tectonic reorganization and/or inversion may (1) invert and possibly breach older Cenozoic structures while forming a younger generation of post-Miocene structures, (2) reorganize drainage and sediment supply networks, and sealing and obscuring older structural and stratigraphic bodies under younger sediments, (3) rejuvenate existing structures and trigger secondary fluid migration, and (4) increase exhumation, sediment supply, and subsidence in late Neogene basins across the region.</p>


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marc Regnier ◽  
Gabriela Ponce ◽  
Marianne Saillard ◽  
Laurence Audin ◽  
Sandro Vaca ◽  
...  

<p>Along the Ecuadorian margin, the North Andean Sliver is moving in the northeastward direction due to the oblique subduction of the Nazca plate. The opening of the gulf of Guayaquil is a consequence of this motion. Two principal models compete to explain the opening. One proposes an opening achieved essentially with strike-slip motion along a single major fault through the gulf, the other with a combination of strike-slip and normal faulting on both sides of the gulf. The consequences in term of seismic hazard are very different. A single strike-slip fault model could imply a long fault segment capable of generating large magnitude events. In contrast, a multi-segments composite fault system will give conditions for producing small to medium size earthquakes. The southern Ecuador subduction zone is characterized by the absence of large historical earthquake. Data from the historical and instrumental seismicity for magnitude above 4 show the forearc has a high level of moderate seismic activity within and around the gulf that connects to the crustal seismic activity of the volcanic arc. In contrast, the forearc elsewhere shows very little or no seismic activity between the marine forearc zone and the volcanic arc. Regional and global CMTS data show a large number of mechanisms within the gulf that do not line up on a simple straight fault system. We present new earthquake data from the recently upgraded national seismic network of Ecuador. They provide the first image of SW-NE trending crustal faults stretching in the central part of the gulf and running eastward south of the Puna island. The main seismic belt appears to be discontinuous, made of short length segments with variable trends. The variety of focal solutions also indicates complex faulting. As the shape of this seismic belt is in good agreement with the orientation of the GPS velocity vectors, this new fault zone is readily interpreted as the southernmost segment of the actual NAS boundary. Others seismic clusters are observed parallel to the northern coast of the gulf, indicating active structures eventually accommodating the North-South opening of the gulf through normal faulting. b-value analysis of the main seismic belt seismicity shows high b value (>1) indicating either highly fractured or heterogeneous medium, or/and low stress level within the gulf of Guayaquil. This is again in agreement with a multi-segmented faulting system and also with the lack of large magnitude event in the historical seismic data. A cross-section for the entire seismic belt shows a depth extend of the crustal seismic activity down to 30 km which confirms the seismic belt to be a sliver boundary.</p>


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Anupama M. ◽  
Sunil P.S.

Abstract Heterogeneity of pre and post seismic stress states associated to any earthquake play a primary role in understanding the earthquake mechanism and hazard assessment of a seismically dynamic region. The Mw 7.8, November 14, 2016 Kaikoura, New Zealand earthquake offer an unprecedented possibility to observe the heterogeneity in stress field over a very complex fault system wherein subduction zone converges with the strike slip faults system. Here we report the pre and post seismic stress field asperity first time in terms of spatial and temporal variations of b-values associated to the Kaikoura main-shock. Pre seismic spatial disparity of b-value indicates the existence of two prominent low b-value clusters, one towards southwest closer to the epicenter and other to the north of the rupture zone. During co seismic period, owing to the stress release near the epicentral area, the pattern of prominent low b-value pattern has become negligible in the post seismic period. However, the pattern of low b-value in the north of the rupture zone remains similar in the post seismic period indicates the unreleased strain energy in the province. The temporal evaluation of the earthquakes frequency magnitude distributions over a period of two decades also showed an analogous pattern that the b-values were decreased considerably before the large earthquakes in the expanse, which could spawn a larger future earthquakes in the vicinity.


2019 ◽  
Vol 90 (6) ◽  
pp. 2095-2110 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen P. Hicks ◽  
James Verdon ◽  
Brian Baptie ◽  
Richard Luckett ◽  
Zoë K. Mildon ◽  
...  

ABSTRACT Earthquakes induced by subsurface industrial activities are a globally emotive issue, with a growing catalog of induced earthquake sequences. However, attempts at discriminating between natural and induced causes, particularly for anomalously shallow seismicity, can be challenging. An earthquake swarm during 2018–2019 in southeast England with a maximum magnitude of ML 3.2 received great public and media attention because of its proximity to operating oilfields. It is therefore vital and timely to provide a detailed characterization of the earthquake sequence at present, and to decide based on current evidence, whether the earthquakes were likely natural or induced. We detected 168 low‐magnitude earthquakes and computed detailed source parameters of these events. Most earthquakes occurred at a shallow depth of 2.3 km, >1  km deeper than the geological formations targeted by the oilfields, and laterally >3  km away from the drill sites. We combine the east–west‐trending cluster of the seismicity with 2D seismic reflection profiles to find the causative fault system for the earthquakes. A b‐value close to unity and strike‐slip faulting mechanisms are consistent with tectonic reactivation along a pre‐existing fault. Overall, we find no indicators in the earthquake parameters that would strongly suggest an induced source. Nor do we find any clear trends between seismicity and drilling activities based on operational logs provided by the operators. Injected volumes are near zero and monthly production amounts are many orders of magnitude smaller than other reported cases of extraction‐induced seismicity. On balance, and based on the available evidence, we find it currently unlikely that nearby industrial activities induced the seismic swarm. Most likely, the Surrey earthquakes offer a uniquely detailed insight into shallow seismicity within sedimentary basins. Nevertheless, self‐reporting of injection and production times and volumes by operators, and the lack of easily and publicly available oilfield operational data continues to be a point of concern for local residents.


Author(s):  
Johannes Albert ◽  
Maximilian Schärf ◽  
Frieder Enzmann ◽  
Martin Waltl ◽  
Frank Sirocko

AbstractThis paper presents radon flux profiles from four regions in Schleswig–Holstein (Northern Germany). Three of these regions are located over deep-rooted tectonic faults or salt diapirs and one is in an area without any tectonic or halokinetic activity, but with steep topography. Contrary to recently published studies on spatial patterns of soil radon gas concentration we measured flux of radon from soil into the atmosphere. All radon devices of each profile were deployed simultaneously to avoid inconsistencies due to strong diurnal variations of radon exhalation. To compare data from different seasons, values had to be normalized. Observed radon flux patterns are apparently related to the mineralogical composition of the Quaternary strata (particularly to the abundance of reddish granite and porphyry), and its grain size (with a flux maximum in well-sorted sand/silt). Minimum radon flux occurs above non-permeable, clay-rich soil layers. Small amounts of water content in the pore space increase radon flux, whereas excessive water content lessens it. Peak flux values, however, are observed over a deep-rooted fault system on the eastern side of Lake Plön, i.e., at the boundary of the Eastholstein Platform and the Eastholstein Trough. Furthermore, high radon flux values are observed in two regions associated with salt diapirism and near-surface halokinetic faults. These regions show frequent local radon flux maxima, which indicate that the uppermost strata above salt diapirs are very inhomogeneous. Deep-rooted increased permeability (effective radon flux depth) or just the boundaries between permeable and impermeable strata appear to concentrate radon flux. In summary, our radon flux profiles are in accordance with the published evidence of low radon concentrations in the “normal” soils of Schleswig–Holstein. However, very high values of radon flux are likely to occur at distinct locations near salt diapirism at depth, boundaries between permeable and impermeable strata, and finally at the tectonically active flanks of the North German Basin.


Geosciences ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 23
Author(s):  
Andrea Di Capua ◽  
Federica Barilaro ◽  
Gianluca Groppelli

This work critically reviews the Eocene–Oligocene source-to-sink systems accumulating volcanogenic sequences in the basins around the Alps. Through the years, these volcanogenic sequences have been correlated to the plutonic bodies along the Periadriatic Fault System, the main tectonic lineament running from West to East within the axis of the belt. Starting from the large amounts of data present in literature, for the first time we present an integrated 4D model on the evolution of the sediment pathways that once connected the magmatic sources to the basins. The magmatic systems started to develop during the Eocene in the Alps, supplying detritus to the Adriatic Foredeep. The progradation of volcanogenic sequences in the Northern Alpine Foreland Basin is subsequent and probably was favoured by the migration of the magmatic systems to the North and to the West. At around 30 Ma, the Northern Apennine Foredeep also was fed by large volcanogenic inputs, but the palinspastic reconstruction of the Adriatic Foredeep, together with stratigraphic and petrographic data, allows us to safely exclude the Alps as volcanogenic sources. Beyond the regional case, this review underlines the importance of a solid stratigraphic approach in the reconstruction of the source-to-sink system evolution of any basin.


Geology ◽  
2000 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 255 ◽  
Author(s):  
Eric Cowgill ◽  
An Yin ◽  
Wang Xiao Feng ◽  
Zhang Qing

2015 ◽  
Vol 73 (4) ◽  
pp. 1127-1137 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leif Nøttestad ◽  
Justine Diaz ◽  
Hector Penã ◽  
Henrik Søiland ◽  
Geir Huse ◽  
...  

Abstract High abundance of Northeast Atlantic mackerel (Scomber scombrus L.), combined with limited food resources, may now force mackerel to enter new and productive regions in the northern Norwegian Sea. However, it is not known how mackerel exploit the spatially varying feeding resources, and their vertical distribution and swimming behaviour are also largely unknown. During an ecosystem survey in the Norwegian Sea during the summer feeding season, swimming direction, and speed of mackerel schools were recorded with high-frequency omnidirectional sonar in four different regions relative to currents, ambient temperature, and zooplankton. A total of 251 schools were tracked, and fish and zooplankton were sampled with pelagic trawl and WP-2 plankton net. Except for the southwest region, swimming direction of the tracked schools coincided with the prevailing northerly Atlantic current direction in the Norwegian Sea. Swimming with the current saves energy, and the current also provides a directional cue towards the most productive areas in the northern Norwegian Sea. Average mean swimming speed in all regions combined was ∼3.8 body lengths s−1. However, fish did not swim in a straight course, but often changed direction, suggesting active feeding in the near field. Fish were largest and swimming speed lowest in the northwest region which had the highest plankton concentrations and lowest temperature. Mackerel swam close to the surface at a depth of 8–39 m, with all schools staying above the thermocline in waters of at least 6°C. In surface waters, mackerel encounter improved foraging rate and swimming performance. Going with the flow until temperature is too low, based on an expectation of increasing foraging rate towards the north while utilizing available prey under way, could be a simple and robust feeding strategy for mackerel in the Norwegian Sea.


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