scholarly journals Analysis of the variations of measured values in continuous long-term geodetic monitoring

2016 ◽  
Vol 15 (1) ◽  
pp. 11-33
Author(s):  
Jan Vaněček

<pre>A geodetic measurement of shifts and deformations by total station is a well-known and widely used method. There is presented the analysis of the variations over time of the measured values in continuous geodetic monitoring in this paper. There are used measured data from a specific monitoring system of a surface mine in the time period from January 2006 to July 2010 in the analysis.</pre><pre>The aim of the analysis is to describe linear trend and periodic changes in measured data (horizontal direction, zenith angle and slope distance). The main method of the analysis is a linear-harmonic function approximation.</pre>

2016 ◽  
Vol 56 (6) ◽  
pp. 478-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jan Vaněček ◽  
Martin Štroner

widespread used method. In this paper, an analysis of the accuracy and its changes over time of the measured values in continuous geodetic monitoring is presented. For the analysis, a set of data measured in the period of time between January 2006 to July 2010 was used. The main method of the analysis is a linear-harmonic function approximation.


2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (23) ◽  
pp. 11779-11790 ◽  
Author(s):  
E. Remsberg ◽  
G. Lingenfelser

Abstract. Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) Version 6.2 ozone profiles are analyzed for their decadal-scale responses in the middle and upper stratosphere from September 1991 to August 2005. The profile data are averaged within twelve, 20°-wide latitude bins from 55° S to 55° N and at twelve altitudes from 27.5 to 55.0 km. The separate, 14-yr data time series are analyzed using multiple linear regression (MLR) models that include seasonal, 28 and 21-month, 11-yr sinusoid, and linear trend terms. Proxies are not used for the 28-mo (QBO-like), 11-yr solar uv-flux, or reactive chlorine terms. Instead, the present analysis focuses on the periodic 11-yr terms to see whether they are in-phase with that of a direct, uv-flux forcing or are dominated by some other decadal-scale influence. It is shown that they are in-phase over most of the latitude/altitude domain and that they have max minus min variations between 25° S and 25° N that peak near 4% between 30 and 40 km. Model simulations of the direct effects of uv-flux forcings agree with this finding. The shape of the 11-yr ozone response profile from SAGE II also agrees with that diagnosed for the stratosphere over the same time period from the HALOE data. Ozone in the middle stratosphere of the northern subtropics is perturbed during 1991−1992 following the eruption of Pinatubo, and there are pronounced decadal-scale variations in the ozone of the upper stratosphere for the northern middle latitudes presumably due to dynamical forcings. The 11-yr ozone responses of the southern hemisphere appear to be free of those extra influences. The associated linear trend terms from the SAGE II analyses are slightly negative (−2 to −4%/decade) between 35 and 45 km and nearly constant across latitude. This finding is consistent with the fact that ozone is estimated to have decreased by no more than 1.5% due to the increasing chlorine from mid-1992 to about 2000 but with little change thereafter. It is concluded that a satellite, solar occultation measurement provides both the signal sensitivity and the vertical resolution to record the stratospheric ozone response to the forcing from the solar uv-flux, as well as those due to any other long-term changes.


1999 ◽  
Vol 82 (5) ◽  
pp. 419-426 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gwenaëlle Le Blay ◽  
Catherine Michel ◽  
Hervé M. Blottière ◽  
Christine Cherbut

Some data suggest that the colonic microflora may adapt to produce more butyrate if given time and the proper substrate. To test this hypothesis, we investigated the effect of prolonged feeding of resistant potato starch on butyrate production. Rats were fed on either a low-fibre diet (basal) or the same diet supplemented with 90 g resistant potato starch/kg (PoS) for 0·5, 2 and 6 months. Short-chain fatty acid (SCFA) concentrations were determined in caecal and colonic contents at the end of each ingestion period. Total SCFA concentration increased over time throughout the caecocolonic tract with PoS, but was not modified with the basal diet. While propionate concentration was unchanged, butyrate concentration was highly increased by PoS at each time period in both the caecum and colon. Moreover, the butyrogenic effect of PoS increased over time, and the amount of butyrate was increased 6-fold in the caecum and proximal colon and 3-fold in the distal colon after 6 months compared with 0·5 months. Accordingly, the ratio butyrate: - total SCFA increased over time throughout the caecocolonic tract (12·6 (SE 2·8)v. 28 (SE 1·8) % in the caecum, 10·5 (SE 1·4)v. 26·8 (SE 0·9) % in the proximal colon, and 7·3 (SE 2·4)v.23·9 (SE 2·7) % in the distal colon at 0·5v. 6 months respectively), while the proportion of acetate decreased. Neither the proportion nor the concentration of butyrate was modified over time with the basal diet. Butyrate production was thus promoted by long-term ingestion of PoS, from the caecum towards the distal colon, which suggests that a slow adaptive process occurs within the digestive tract in response to a chronic load of indigestible carbohydrates.


2021 ◽  
Vol 17 (4) ◽  
pp. 19-32
Author(s):  
Anna Stockstad ◽  
Ella Gray ◽  
Stephen Sebestyen ◽  
Nina Lany ◽  
Randall Kolka ◽  
...  

Water table fluctuations in peatlands are closely coupled with the local climate setting and drive critical ecosystem processes such as nutrient cycling. In Minnesota, USA, peatlands cover ten percent of the surface area, approximately 2.5 million hectares, some of which are actively managed for forest products. To explore the relationship between peatland water tables and precipitation, long-term data (1961 to 2019) were used from the Marcell Experimental Forest in northern Minnesota. Starting in 1961, water table data from seven peatlands, including two types of peatlands (bogs and fens), were measured. We used the Theil-Sen estimator to test for monotonic trends in mean monthly water table elevations for individual peatlands and monthly precipitation. Water levels in bogs were both more variable and had mean water table elevations that were closer to the surface. Individual trends of water table elevations differed among peatlands. Water table elevations increased over time in three of the bogs studied and decreased over time in two of the bogs studied. Trends within fens were notably nonlinear across time. No significant linear trend was found for mean monthly precipitation between 1961 and 2019. These results highlight differences in peatlands types, local physiography, and the importance of understanding how changes in long-term dynamics coupled with changing current conditions will influence the effects of water table fluctuations on ecosystem services. The variability of water table elevations in bogs poses potential difficulties in modeling these ecosystems or creating adaptive management plans. KEYWORDS: Peatlands; Hydrology; Water tables; Bogs; Fens; Monitoring; Minnesota; Climate Change


2010 ◽  
Vol 10 (7) ◽  
pp. 17307-17340
Author(s):  
E. Remsberg ◽  
G. Lingenfelser

Abstract. Stratospheric Aerosol and Gas Experiment (SAGE II) Version 6.2 ozone profiles are analyzed for their decadal-scale responses in the middle and upper stratosphere from September 1991 to August 2005, a time span for which the trends in reactive chlorine are relatively small. The profile data are averaged within twelve, 20°-wide latitude bins from 55° S to 55° N and at eleven altitudes from 27.5 to 52.5 km. The separate, 14-yr data time series are analyzed using multiple linear regression (MLR) models that include seasonal, interannual, 11-yr sinusoid, and linear trend terms. Proxies are not used for the interannual, solar uv-flux, or reactive chlorine terms. Instead, the present analysis focuses on the periodic 11-yr terms to see whether they are in-phase with that of a direct, uv-flux forcing or are dominated by some other decadal-scale influence. It is shown that they are in-phase over most of the latitude/altitude domain and that they have max minus min variations between 25° S and 25° N that peak near 4% between 30 and 40 km. Model simulations of the direct effects of uv-flux forcings agree with this finding. Ozone in the middle stratosphere of the northern subtropics is perturbed during 1991–1992, following the eruption of Pinatubo. There are also pronounced decadal-scale variations in the ozone of the upper stratosphere for the middle latitudes of the Northern Hemisphere, presumably due to dynamical forcings. The 11-yr ozone responses of the Southern Hemisphere are relatively free of those extra influences. The associated linear trend terms from the analyses are negative (−2 to −4%/decade) for this 14-yr time period and are nearly constant across latitude in the upper stratosphere. This finding is consistent with the fact that total and reactive chlorine are not changing appreciably from 1991 to 2005. It is concluded that the satellite, solar occultation technique can be used to record the responses of stratospheric ozone to the decadal-scale forcings from the solar uv-flux, as well as those due to the long-term changes from dynamic forcings, reactive chlorine, and the greenhouse gases.


Blood ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 128 (22) ◽  
pp. 4831-4831
Author(s):  
Mohsen Elalfy ◽  
Baba Inusa ◽  
David Beneitez ◽  
Blanca Xicoy ◽  
Maria Soledad Duran Nieto ◽  
...  

Abstract Background: Hemosiderosis, due to frequent blood transfusions, is associated with liver, heart and endocrine dysfunction. Deferasirox (DFX), a once-daily oral iron chelator is used in the management of these patients (pts). The results of the 3-year (yr), non-interventional SENTINEL study demonstrated long-term safety and efficacy of DFX in a large cohort of pts with transfusional hemosiderosis. The current analysis was performed to further evaluate the long-term efficacy and safety of DFX by age and underlying disease. Methods: The SENTINEL study design was previously reported (El-Beshlawy et al. Haematologica 2016;101(s1):abst E1475). In this study, data were collected for 3 yrs from the initiation of treatment with DFX. Pts aged ≥2 yrs treated with DFX for transfusional hemosiderosis, enrolled according to the local prescription information, were included in the study. Safety was evaluated by regular monitoring and recording of adverse events (AEs) and is reported in all pts who received ≥1 dose of DFX and had ≥1 post baseline (BL) safety assessment (safety set). During each bi-annual time period, summary statistics are provided for the average SF values taken for each pt within that specific time period. Results: Of the120 pts enrolled, 49 (40.8%) were diagnosed with β thalassemia, 31 (25.8%) with sickle cell disease (SCD), 21 (17.5%) with myelodysplastic syndrome (MDS), and 19 (15.8%) with other anemias. The mean±SD age was 28.9±29.0 (range, 1-88) yrs (<18 yrs, n=69 [7.5±4.2]; ≥18 yrs, n=51 [57.9±22.1]). Overall, 42.5% (n=51; <18 yrs, n=45; ≥18 yrs, n=6) of pts completed the 3-yr study. Most common reasons for discontinuation (>10%) include pts no longer requiring study drug (19.2%), AEs (12.5%), and withdrawal of consent (10.8%). Median duration of DFX exposure was 29.9 months (mos), (<18 yrs, 36.0; ≥18 yrs, 10.0). Mean average actual dose was 23.2±8.2 mg/kg/d (<18 yrs, 25.7±6.6; ≥18 yrs, 17.7±8.9). Overall, 54.7% (n=64) of pts did not receive prior iron chelation therapy (ICT) and 45.3% (n=53) received prior ICT. Of the pts evaluable for average actual dose, 56.5% (26/46) of pts without prior ICT and 82.2% (37/45) of pts with prior ICT received treatment with an average actual dose of DFX ≥20 mg/kg/d. Pts without prior ICT received a lower average actual dose (mg/kg/d, mean±SD) of DFX compared to pts receiving prior ICT (<18 yrs, 23.8±5.2 vs 27.6±7.4; ≥18 yrs, 15.4±7.7 vs 20.3±9.7) (Table 1). Of the 117 pts evaluated for safety, increase in serum creatinine, >33% above BL and the age-adjusted upper limit of normal (ULN) on at least 2 consecutive measurements (≥7 days apart) were observed in 14 pts (12%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 7.1-19.2; MDS [n=3], SCD [n=7] and other anemias [n=4]). Increase in alanine aminotransferase (ALT), >5×ULN on at least 2 consecutive measurements (≥7 days apart) was observed in 1 pt (0.9%; 95% CI, 0.0-5.2) with β thalassemia (BL ALT missing). DFX-related AEs gradually decreased over time (Figure 1A). Overall incidence of AEs regardless of relationship with DFX also decreased over time (Figure 1B). In the overall pt population, the median absolute change in SF values (µg/L) from BL to last available post BL (end of study, EOS) was −359.8. In pts with β thalassemia, the median absolute change in SF values from BL to EOS was −491.0 (n=27) in pts <18 yrs and −79.0 (n=6) in pts ≥18 yrs (Figure 2). Conclusions: Nearly, 40% of the pts received treatment with DFX for 36 mos during the study, indicating good tolerance of DFX treatment, and 45% of the pts received prior ICT. Pts with prior ICT received a higher average actual dose of DFX compared to pts without prior ICT. Pediatric pts received a higher average actual daily dose compared to adult pts, irrespective of the chelation group. The majority of pts with prior ICT received an average actual dose of DFX ≥20 mg/kg/d. Long-term treatment with DFX demonstrated a gradual decrease in SF values in the overall pt population, though this was not immediate, likely because of delayed increases in dose based on weight gain and ongoing iron intake. DFX-related AEs gradually decreased over 3 yrs and demonstrated an acceptable safety profile. This reinforces that an average actual dose of DFX ≥20 mg/kg/d might be required in majority of pts for appropriate management of transfusional hemosiderosis in actual practice. Disclosures Bruederle: Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Employment. Azmon:Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Employment. El-Beshlawy:Novartis Pharmaceuticals Corporation: Research Funding; Apo Pharma Inc.: Research Funding.


2014 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 193-222 ◽  
Author(s):  
Aidan R. Vining ◽  
Claude Laurin ◽  
David Weimer

AbstractAlthough governments worldwide are increasingly choosing to deliver services through organisations with greater autonomy than traditional bureaus, the implicit assumption that such agencification contributes to long-run efficiency remains largely untested. Agencification gives agency managers more autonomy and access to incentive mechanisms that lead to greater efficiency if they are not offset by inefficiencies resulting from managerial discretion. We test the hypothesis that agencification improves efficiency by examining the longer-run performance of 13 agencies in the province of Québec, Canada over approximately 10 years. We find that these agencies experienced long-term productivity gains, but that these gains reached a plateau over the time period studied. In addition, we describe changes in several measures of performance. A survey of the managers of these agencies indicates that they perceive agencification as having a substantive impact, but worry about the sustainability of autonomy and their capacity to show continued gains in measured performance over time.


2005 ◽  
Vol 26 (2) ◽  
pp. 100-106 ◽  
Author(s):  
James D.A. Parker ◽  
Donald H. Saklofske ◽  
Laura M. Wood ◽  
Jennifer M. Eastabrook ◽  
Robyn N. Taylor

Abstract. The concept of emotional intelligence (EI) has attracted growing interest from researchers working in various fields. The present study examined the long-term stability (32 months) of EI-related abilities over the course of a major life transition (the transition from high school to university). During the first week of full-time study, a large group of undergraduates completed the EQ-i:Short; 32 months later a random subset of these students (N = 238), who had started their postsecondary education within 24 months of graduating from high school, completed the measures for a second time. The study found EI scores to be relatively stable over the 32-month time period. EI scores were also found to be significantly higher at Time 2; the overall pattern of change in EI-levels was more than can be attributed to the increased age of the participants.


Water Policy ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. 469-483
Author(s):  
Tishya Chatterjee

In conditions of severe water-pollution and dormant community acceptance of accumulating environmental damage, the regulator's role goes beyond pollution prevention and more towards remediation and solutions based on the community's long-term expectations of economic benefits from clean water. This paper suggests a method to enable these benefits to become perceptible progressively, through participatory clean-up operations, supported by staggered pollution charges. It analyses the relevant literature on pollution prevention and applies a cost-based “willingness to pay” model, using primary basin-level data of total marginal costs. It develops a replicable demand-side approach imposing charge-standard targets over time in urban-industrial basins of developing countries.


Author(s):  
Halil Kaya ◽  
Gaurango Banerjee

The paper examines the Sarbanes-Oxley (2002) Acts immediate impact on board composition and characteristics as well as possible reversals in its impact over time. Effects on directors age and tenure are analyzed over the 2001-06 sample period. Female participation in corporate boards is also studied in the pre-SOX and post-SOX periods. The dual roles of directors in being a member of the board as well as serving as either CEO, CFO, Chairman, Co-Chair, Founder, or Lead Director of their respective companies is also examined. We observe a short-term impact of SOX on board compositions due to changes seen in board characteristics between 2001 (pre-SOX), and 2003-05 short-term period (post-SOX). Also, we observe a reversal of board characteristics in 2006 to pre-SOX levels implying that the effects of SOX on board composition were short-lived, and needs to be monitored over time to ensure adherence to corporate accountability guidelines over the long-term.


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