scholarly journals ANALYSIS AND ASSESSMENT OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT USING THE ANALOG MODEL OF L. R. KLEIN

2020 ◽  
pp. 56-63
Author(s):  
P. I. Kuzmin ◽  
A. G. Zinoviev

The article is devoted to the use of analysis and assessment methods for the development of the regional economy, based on a system of interrelated indicators characterizing the state and development of the region’s economy. One of these key statistics is gross regional product. Based on the gross regional product, an assessment is made of the results of production, the level of socio-economic development, the volume of material wealth of the population, the rate of economic growth, etc. The specifics of the conditions of the regional economic system, with the leading role of territorial factors in the development of socio-economic processes in the region, requires the need to formulate new approaches to assessing and analyzing the development of the regional economy that meet the requirements of a market economy. The basis of such approaches is the mechanism of using econometric methods in the process of economic and mathematical modeling of gross regional product in order to show the relationship and interdependence between the main economic indicators of the region. Using an analogue of the model L. R. Klein, the authors of this article built a system of simultaneous equations that establish the relationship between the gross regional product (GRP) and the aggregate of the main regional indicators of the Altai Territory based on statistical information from the Federal State Statistics Service in the Altai Territory. The construction of such an econometric GRP model will allow for continuous monitoring and diagnostics of the main generalizing economic indicators of the region, relying on the identified causal relationships between them, as well as identifying regional factors in the structure of the GRP, contributing to the acceleration of the socioeconomic development of the region, both in terms of the conditions for their formation and increase the efficiency of their use, and in ensuring sustainability and determining forecast estimates of the region’s economy. Based on the constructed model, the article analyzes the interconnections and interdependencies of the gross regional product on the cost of fixed assets, investments, the actual volume of household consumption and other economic indicators in comparable prices in 2016.

2020 ◽  
pp. 212-222
Author(s):  
Inna Kudryashova ◽  
Marina Pleshakova ◽  
Inna Ryabova

Foreign direct investment (FDI) has played a key role in the efforts to achieve a sustainable economic growth and high social and economic indicators in many countries and regions of the world. The paper focuses on the analysis of the role of foreign direct investment in the economy of Volgograd region. The author uses the comparative analysis, historical and statistical methods, and correlation analysis. The analysis of the indicators of 2011–2019 shows a small share of foreign direct investment in the gross regional product in Volgograd region in comparison with the Russian Federation, and insufficient provision of regional economy with labour resources. The comparison shows a discrepancy between the real needs and sectoral distribution of foreign direct investment in the regional economy. The research on the country and type composition of FDI in Volgograd region reveals some positive trends. The share of investments in the form of capital in comparison with the share of debt capital has increased; the share of off-shore foreign direct investment has decreased. The correlation analysis reveals a moderate or weak relationship between foreign direct investment and key economic indicators of Volgograd region, i.e. gross regional product, employment rate, average monthly income of the population, depreciation of fixed assets and labour productivity. The results show the need to develop special measures to maximize benefits from the cooperation of regional businesses and foreign investors in Volgograd region.


2019 ◽  
Vol 131 ◽  
pp. 01097
Author(s):  
Wei Li ◽  
Yi Li ◽  
Ya fei Liu ◽  
Sheng xi Ding

This paper according to the characteristics of Qinghai Province System, constructs the evaluation index of informatization and regional economic development level, and the relationship between informatization and regional economic development in Qinghai Province is analyzed and calculated emphatically based on gray correlation method. The results show that the influence of different indicators on the regional economic development of Qinghai Province is different. Finally, the author puts forward some suggestions on the coordinated development of informatization construction and regional economy in Qinghai Province.


2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tat’yana Pozdnyakova

The Federal District, as the highest link in the economic zoning of the Russian Federation, is the most important element of the national economic system, which largely determines the features of its functioning. The article provides an overview of the internal differences of the federal districts of the Russian Federation in terms of gross regional product. This indicator is one of the most important indicators of the specificity of the socio-economic development of the regions, and also, to a certain extent, reflects the possibility of their balanced functioning. Based on the official data presented on the website of the Federal State Statistics Service, the federal districts of Russia were ranked according to the indicator under study and their typology was presented. Within the framework of this typology, groups are identified that reflect the differences between the constituent entities of the Russian Federation in the distribution of gross regional product per capita in federal districts with its value above or below the average Russian level, respectively. Within each federal district, entities with maximum and minimum values of gross regional product per capita were identified. On this basis, an intra-district imbalance coefficient is calculated, reflecting the degree of the gap in the levels of socio-economic development of the constituent entities of the Russian Federation within the corresponding federal district. A brief description of the federal districts belonging to two different types is given in terms of the balance of their socio-economic development. The general trend of dependence of the coefficient of intra-district imbalance on the level of regional development is shown. There are some features that need to be taken into account when formulating development programmes and strategies at the federal district gape.


2020 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 66
Author(s):  
Alexander E. Chistyakov ◽  
Alexander V. Shustov

The article deals with the problem of the influence of the level of socio-economic development of Russian regions on demographic and migration processes. The relationship between economic indicators, the total population growth in the regions and its components-natural and migration growth during 2000-2017 are analyzed. The authors reveals the relationship between the dynamics of the gross regional product (GRP) and the population of the regions, as well as the factors that determine these processes. For the purposes of the study, a sample of “typical” regions was formed. In the process of its formation, national autonomies and remote territories with a more severe climate were excluded from the total number of subjects of the Russian Federation, where the development of demographic and migration processes may be determined by "atypical" factors for other regions of the Russian Federation (national-cultural, climatic, etc.). The article analyzes the causes of internal migration and features of socio-demographic development of subjects of the Russian Federation. The role of the Moscow region as an object of migration attraction is investigated, and the factors that deter and stimulate internal migration are considered. The official data of the Federal state statistics service for 2000-2017 were used as an information base for the study.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (7) ◽  
pp. 1266-1285
Author(s):  
Sn.P. Mongush

Subject. This article explores the various aspects of the concept of Spatial Development. Objectives. The article aims to develop a conceptual basis for the spatial socio-economic development of the collaborating regions. Methods. For the study, I used the methods of comparative and statistical analyses. Results. The article shows how cooperation between the subjects of the Russian Federation increases the potential of economically united regions. Conclusions. When preparing national strategic planning documents, it is necessary to take into account the specifics of regions, their capacity, available resources, and focus on the relationship between regions.


2020 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 662-674
Author(s):  
S.G. Serikov

Subject. This article explores the changes in the economic development of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug during the Soviet and post-Soviet periods. Objectives. The article aims to identify trends and features of the socio-economic development of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug. Methods. For the study, I used the comparative, computational, constructive, and statistical analysis methods. Results. The article reveals key factors in the growth of the Chukotka Autonomous Okrug's gross regional product and the economic challenges to the region. As well, the article considers and proposes some possible options for further socio-economic development of the Okrug. Conclusions. The Okrug's current socio-economic problems are caused by not objective reasons only, but subjective factors, as well.


2020 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Xiaoying Xu ◽  
Zhijian Zeng

The regional economic evaluation and analysis has guiding significance for the subsequent economic strategy formulation. Due to the influence of various factors, the volatility of some current economic evaluation models is relatively large. According to the needs of regional economic evaluation, this study uses computer technology combined with regional economic development to build an economic development evaluation model to evaluate and analyze the regional economy. Through comparative analysis, this study selects the entropy weight-TOPSIS model as the comprehensive evaluation model of regional economy, uses the entropy weight method to determine the weight of each index, and then uses the TOPSIS method to conduct comprehensive evaluation. In addition, this study designs a control experiment to analyze the performance of this study model. Moreover, this study uses the model proposed in this study to conduct regional economic evaluation in recent years, and compares it with real data, and observes the test results with statistical charts and table data. The research results show that this research model has a certain effect, which can provide analytical tools for the follow-up economic strategy research and analysis.


Author(s):  
Н.А. ЧИСТОВА ◽  
А.С. БОРОДИН ◽  
А.Е. КУЧЕРЯВЫЙ

Статья посвящена анализу возможностей сетей связи для сокращения цифрового разрыва между регионами Российской Федерации. Основным результатом статьи является установление взаимосвязи валового регионального продукта и доли занятых в сфере информатизации и связи в общем числе занятых во всех отраслях. Результаты статьи могут быть использованы заинтересованными министерствами и ведомствами при реализации программы цифровой экономики, научными и проектными организациями при планировании и проектировании сетей связи, а также университетами в учебном процессе. The article is devoted to the analysis of the capabilities of telecommunication networks with ultralow latency to reduce the digital divide between the regions of the Russian Federation. The main result of the article is to establish the relationship between the gross regional product and the share of people employed in the field of informatization and communications in the total number of people employed in all industries. The results of the article can be used by interested ministries and departments in the implementation of the digital economy program, scientific and design organizations in the planning and design of communication networks, as well as by universities in the educational process.


Author(s):  
L. Prymostka ◽  
N. Pantielieieva ◽  
I. Krasnova ◽  
V. Lavreniuk ◽  
O. Lytvynenko

Abstract. The globalization of markets, the need to comply with modern economic trends and introduce new technological solutions to increase the profitability of the banking business have significantly intensified the processes of mergers and acquisitions in the banking sector. M&A processes are long and complex, their results are difficult to forecast in lack of actual detailed research. The diversity of the results of the available research requires updating the data based on larger volumes of transactions and larger time intervals. The purpose of the article is to substantiate two hypotheses: first, the impact of M&A agreements especially on the increase in the value of banks; and impact of factors that show economic development level on the value of banks. The object of the study is the relationship between the value of commercial banks in domestic and foreign financial markets, M&A agreements, as well as economic indicators published by the World Bank and measuring the level of economic development of countries. The article uses statistical modeling method. The constructed model of linear regression allows to state that the fact of influence of M&A on growth of cost of consolidated banks is fair for 54.8% of cases. The study shows that the M&A processes have the greatest impact on the value of banks in the interval of 3—5 years after the conclusion of the agreement. Analysis of the relationship between economic indicators and the growth of bank value shows that the greatest impact on the value of banks has percent of the growth of GDP and GDP per capita, but the low value of the determinant at 22.9% indicates a low dependence of bank value on the level of economic indicators in general. It was found that external factors do not directly affect the growth in the value of banks in the process of M&A transactions. The question of expanding the system of factors that will influence the M&A processes and, as a consequence, the value of the banks, will be the subject of further research. Keywords: globalization of markets, mergers and acquisitions of banks, consolidation, M&A dynamic, market capitalization, bank value. JEL Classification Е44, Е47, G14 Formulas: 2; fig.: 4; tabl.: 4; bibl.: 14.


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