scholarly journals THE IMPACT OF LENDING TO NON-FINANCIAL CORPORATIONS ON ECONOMIC GROWTH

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 ◽  
pp. 111-115
Author(s):  
Rogneda Vasilyeva ◽  
Oleg Turygin ◽  
Olga Ie ◽  
Maria Kozlova
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
High Interest Rate ◽  
High Interest ◽  
Economic Growth Rates ◽  
The Impact

Acceleration of economic growth, especially in modern conditions, requires the use of stimulating measures of fiscal and monetary policy. Measures to stimulate economic growth should also maintain macroeconomic stability. Many emerging markets and developing economies are pursuing high interest rate policies to curb inflation, but this leads to a reduction in lending to non-financial corporations and to economic growth rates decline. The goal of the study is to show that pursuing high interest rates policy is insufficient. We tested several hypotheses: first, we assume that an increase in lending to non-financial corporations stimulates economic growth. Our second hypothesis, in contrast, suggests that increasing interest rates on loans dampen economic growth. Third, we assume that inflation has no significant effect on economic growth. Forth, we consider that lending to non-financial corporations does not spur inflation. We empirically assess the data for 13 countries related to emerging markets during 2001–2020. The results of the research confirmed all the hypotheses. The monetary policy of maintaining high interest rates used by many developing countries leads to low lending to non-financial corporations and reduced economic growth. We propose several policy implications aimed at stimulating the lending to non-financial corporations and scarce inflation.

scholarly journals External effects of US monetary policy

2018 ◽  
Vol 11 (2) ◽  
pp. 82-99
Author(s):  
M. Yu. GOLOVNIN
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Flows ◽  
Treasury Bills ◽  
The Us ◽  
National Economies ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Us Monetary Policy

The article focuses on the changes in US monetary policy since the  beginning of the 21st century and reveals the impact of this policy  on the national economies of other countries, especially emerging markets. The US monetary policy influenced the emerging  markets both through the real and financial channels. Through the  latter, the main impact was on the Treasury bills rates and on the  exchange rates. At the same time, the influence on different  countries varied in different periods. For example, interest rates in  Thailand, Mexico and Pakistan before the global economic and  financial crisis in general followed the cycle of US monetary policy.  The “quantitative easing” policy, the statements and the follow-up  actions to abolish it, have influenced cross-border capital flows to  emerging markets. A number of countries, including Russia,  experienced the impact of US monetary policy through the dynamics  of oil prices. Emerging markets face restrictions on their monetary  policy from the US monetary policy, but in practice they seek to  circumvent them through exchange rate regulation, restrictions on  crossborder capital flows and the pursuit of an independent monetary policy, not following the  cycles of interest rate changes in the US.

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy on Economic Growth: Empirical Evidence in Vietnam

2019 ◽  
Vol 5 (10) ◽  
Author(s):  
Tang My Sang
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Empirical Evidence ◽  
Money Supply ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Positive Impact ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
The Impact

Through the secondary data collected from 2009 to 2018, the research used Var method to test the impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Vietnam. The results show that there is a relationship between the variables of monetary policy and economic growth, in which the money supply has a positive impact at a high significant level, interest rates have a negative impact on Vietnam economic growth. From the results obtained, the research proposed solutions for operating monetary policy.

scholarly journals Impact of Monetary Policy and Foreign Direct Investment Against Indonesia's Economic Growth

2022 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Faridsky Faridsky ◽  
Syarwani Canon ◽  
Boby Rantow Payu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Model ◽  
Short Term ◽  
Indicator Variables ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to determine the impact of monetary policy and FDI on economic growth and discuss it. The monetary indicator variables used are inflation, interest rates and exchange rates. The data used in this study are secondary data in 1990-2019 sourced from data from the Central Bureau of National Statistics and the World Bank. The analysis model in this study uses Multiple Linear Regression with the Error Correction Model (ECM) analysis model. The results of the analysis show that in the long term monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) have a significant effect on economic growth. And in the short term FDI has a significant effect on economic growth. It is concluded that monetary variables (inflation, interest rates and exchange rates) are the main variables that affect economic growth in the long and short term.

Achieving Price Stability in Nigeria: Monetary Policy Rate Approach vs. Foreign Exchange Policy Approach

2013 ◽  
Vol 03 (02) ◽  
pp. 32-43
Author(s):  
Ezekiel Oseni
Keyword(s):  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Foreign Exchange ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Price Stability ◽  
Economic Activities ◽  
Exogenous Factor ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Goods And Services ◽  
The Impact

Earlier studies have reached a consensus that monetary policies generate more economic activities than fiscal policies in developing economies. This study has bridged the existing gaps in earlier studies by addressing the question of which of the instruments of macroeconomics is more effective in achieving price stability remains largely unanswered. The study observed that the presence of exogenous factor was responsible for the inability of the tight monetary policies of the CBN to mob excess liquidity from the economy. In the same vein, the exogenous factor destabilizes the steady economic growth that would have emanated from a relaxed monetary policy. The study also found foreign exchange rates (fx) to be a more effective instrument to achieving price stability than monetary policy rates (mpr). The Nigerian economy is largely import dependent with most of the importation being consumable goods and services and less of productive (capital) goods. The impact of changes in fx are more pronounced on the economy than changes in the interest rates. The attainment of price stability would become feasible if the apex bank accords priority to the formulation and deployment of foreign exchange policies that are sound in principle and effective in practice.

scholarly journals COVID-19 Pandemic, Sustainability of Macroeconomy, and Choice of Monetary Policy Targets: A NK-DSGE Analysis Based on China

2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (6) ◽  
pp. 3362
Author(s):  
Xinping Zhang ◽  
Yimeng Zhang ◽  
Yunchan Zhu
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Social Inequality ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Labor Demand ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
Policy Implications ◽  
Dynamic Stochastic ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Policy Targets

This paper studies the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the sustainability of Chinese economic growth, government debt, and income inequality by constructing a new Keynesian dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (NK-DSGE) model. The choice of monetary policy targets is then analyzed to hedge the impact of the pandemic. We find that: (1) the aggregate demand and labor demand shocks caused by the COVID-19 pandemic posed serious challenges to the sustainable development of the economy and debt, and increased social inequality; (2) when the impact of the pandemic is mainly reflected in the recession in aggregate demand, monetary policy should pay more attention to the target of price stability; (3) when the impact of the pandemic is mainly reflected in a decline in labor demand, monetary policy should focus more on the target of economic growth; (4) when the pandemic has a significant impact on both aggregate demand and labor demand, a monetary policy which focuses more on the target of economic growth is conducive to minimizing welfare losses. Targeted policy implications, such as selecting monetary policy targets according to different manifestations of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic and placing emphasis on monetary policy tools to stimulate consumption, alleviate unemployment, and alleviate social inequality, are suggested to improve the sustainability of the Chinese economy.

scholarly journals THE EFFECT OF MONETARY POLICY ON UNEMPLOYMENT RATE IN INDONESIA

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Hafiansyah Mahadika ◽  
Wisnu Wibowo
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rate ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Unemployment Rate ◽  
Real Interest Rate ◽  
Real Exchange Rates ◽  
Series Data ◽  
The Real ◽  
The Impact

This study aims to determine the influence of monetary policy on the unemployment rate in Indonesia. Unemployment is one of the fundamental problems in the economy. The unemployment problem can be overcome by monetary policy. This study used time series data with the period 1975-2016 using real money demand, economic growth, real interest rates, and real exchange rates as independent variables, and the unemployment rate as the dependent variable. The data used in this study is secondary data obtained from the World Bank. The method used is ARDL (Autoregressive Distributed Lag) which can change a static economic theory to be dynamic by taking into account the role of time explicitly. The results show that in the long run the probability value of the economic growth variable is below the 5% significance level which indicates that economic growth had a negative and significant effect on the unemployment rate. In the short run, the real interest rate, the real interest rate at lag 1, economic growth at lag 1 and lag 3, and the real exchange rate at lag 1 had a negative and significant effect on the unemployment rate. This indicates that the impact of monetary policy on the unemployment rate is temporary.Keywords: Unemployment Rate, Monetary Policy, ARDL.JEL : E24, E52, E61.

scholarly journals Evolution of views on the role of central bank policy: conclusions for Ukraine

2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 (4) ◽  
pp. 7-23
Author(s):  
Bohdan DANYLYSHYN ◽  
Ivan BOHDAN
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Emerging Markets ◽  
Inflation Targeting ◽  
Financial Intermediation ◽  
Aggregate Demand ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Economic Agents ◽  
The Interest Rate ◽  
The Impact

The effects of COVID-19 pandemic resulted in modification of the goals and instruments of central banks activities in the context of strengthening their responsibility for supporting aggregate demand, more effective financial intermediation, smooth functioning of financial markets and creating conditions for inclusive economic growth. The purpose of the article is to elaborate proposals for changing the priorities of monetary policy in an economy with emerging markets in the post-crisis economic recovery. The article criticizes the concept of money supply neutrality from the standpoint of its simplified interpretation of the impact of the interest rate on activities with different duration and complexity of the technological process, as well as its detachment from the principles of inclusive economic growth. The authors reveal the factors that reduce the effectiveness of the application of the monetary regime of inflation targeting in countries with emerging markets, which consist in the dominance of non-monetary inflation factors, high import dependence of the economy etc. Based on empirical data for 1990-2019, they prove that low inflation is not a sufficient and necessary prerequisite for achieving economic success by a country. Authors suggest that the share of components of the inflation basket in Ukraine with high non-monetary effects is 62%, which indicates the presence of high risks of failures of the monetary policy transmission mechanisms. They argue that under the Ukrainian conditions at the beginning of 2021 an increase in the central bank’s key rate will appear to be counterproductive: the access to critically needed borrowed resources will go down, economic agents will spend more of their savings, and the pace of economic recovery will slow down. The recommendations for improving the NBU policy have been devised; they consist in ensuring the flexibility of the monetary inflation targeting regime, introducing targeted refinancing instruments to increase the efficiency of the financial intermediation, developing effective coordination of monetary and fiscal policy, and implementing measures aimed at creating conditions for inclusive economic growth.

scholarly journals Analisis Dampak Kebijakan Moneter terhadap Pertumbuhan Ekonomi di Indonesia

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (1) ◽  
pp. 34
Author(s):  
Hari Winarto ◽  
Adi Poernomo ◽  
Agus Prabawa
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Significant Relationship ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Analysis Tool ◽  
Estimation Model ◽  
Interesting Phenomenon ◽  
The Right ◽  
The Impact

The circuit of government monetary policy which is still uncertain in influencing economic growth is an interesting phenomenon to be examined, especially because it occurs in the era of globalization where monetary traffic is very rapid, the situation is the main problem in this study. Therefore, this study aims to determine the impact of monetary policy on economic growth in Indonesia using quantitative analysis methods. The type of data used is secondary data in the form of Time Series originating from the Central Statistics Agency, Bank Indonesia, and the Ministry of Trade from 2010 to 2019 in the form of quarterly. Based on the results of testing the determination of the analysis tool model shows that the right estimation model is Vector Auto Regression (VAR). The results of this study indicate that money supply has a significant relationship to economic growth. While interest rates, exchange rates, and inflation do not have a significant relationship to economic growth

scholarly journals Monetary Policy Convergence within the EAC: A Focus on Interest Rate and Exchange Rate

2021 ◽  
Vol 7 (5) ◽  
pp. p49
Author(s):  
Michael Oloo ◽  
Mary Mbithi ◽  
Daniel Abala
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Exchange Rate ◽  
Exchange Rates ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Monetary Union ◽  
Exchange Rate Regime ◽  
East African Community ◽  
Common Trade ◽  
The Impact

This study was conducted to establish whether the key variables in monetary policy transmission mechanisms are converging within the East African Community. This region is eyeing having an economic union and subsequently a monetary union hence the significance of investing developments in the monetary sector. The analysis used panel data from the year 2005 to 2020 for five EACs. To test for convergence of interest rates and exchange rates, the analysis employed; unit-root test, sigma convergence, co-integration tests, and finally used the panel fixed effect model to establish the impact of the two variables on the GDP. The analysis shows that in the short run, there is no convergence in interest rates but there is convergence in exchange rates. However, in the long run, the two monetary policy variables are co-integrated indicating that the region is doing well in terms of integration in the financial sector in their preparation to form a common trade area and monetary union. The analysis of the impact of the two variables on economic growth shows that only the exchange rate is significant, therefore, the region should strive to foster a stable exchange rate regime to realize increased economic growth.

scholarly journals Analysis of monetary regulation of the investment sphere in the Republic of Belarus

2021 ◽  
Vol 107 ◽  
pp. 09001
Author(s):  
Marina Zelenkevich ◽  
Natallia Bandarenka
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Monetary Policy ◽  
Open Economy ◽  
Financial Stability ◽  
Developing Economies ◽  
Small Open Economy ◽  
Price Stability ◽  
Practical Implementation ◽  
The Republic ◽  
The Impact

The purpose of the article is to substantiate the possibility and necessity of the central bank’s monetary policy to stimulate investment and economic growth for developing economies on the example of the investment sphere and monetary policy in Belarus. It was determined that the impact of monetary regulation on investment and economic growth is achieved in the course of the central bank’s activities to maintain indicators of price and financial stability which reflect favourable conditions for investment. Price stability is achieved through the implementation of various central bank strategies such as targeting the exchange rate, money supply and inflation. These strategies are defined as the objectives of monetary policy. The article discusses the advantages of monetary regulation in comparison with fiscal regulation, and also contains an analysis of its practical implementation in the Republic of Belarus in the period 2000–2019. As a result of the study the economic and financial results of the strategies applied at different stages were determined, their consequences for the economy were substantiated, and the strategies that best affect the financial and economic indicators in the country were identified. For countries with a small open economy which includes Belarus maintaining price and financial stability is complemented by a set of measures to reduce the devaluation expectations of market entities and create a favorable foreign economic environment.

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