scholarly journals Modeling of the current and future potential distribution of Atlas cedar (Cedrus atlantica) forests revealed shifts in the latitudinal, longitudinal and altitudinal range towards more humid conditions

2020 ◽  
Vol 31 (3) ◽  
pp. 49
Author(s):  
Abdelkrim Arar ◽  
Yassine Nouidjem ◽  
Rabah Bounar ◽  
Slimane Tabet ◽  
Yacine Kouba
Keyword(s):  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Cedrus Atlantica ◽  
Altitudinal Range ◽  
Future Potential

Ecological niche modeling of coastal dune plants and future potential distribution in response to climate change and sea level rise

2013 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 2524-2535 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gabriela Mendoza-González ◽  
M. Luisa Martínez ◽  
Octavio R. Rojas-Soto ◽  
Gabriela Vázquez ◽  
Juan B. Gallego-Fernández
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Ecological Niche ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Ecological Niche Modeling ◽  
Niche Modeling ◽  
Coastal Dune Plants ◽  
Future Potential ◽  
Dune Plants

Will dragonblood survive the next period of climate change? Current and future potential distribution of Dracaena cinnabari (Socotra, Yemen)

2007 ◽  
Vol 138 (3-4) ◽  
pp. 430-439 ◽  
Author(s):  
Fabio Attorre ◽  
Fabio Francesconi ◽  
Nadim Taleb ◽  
Paul Scholte ◽  
Ahmed Saed ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Future Potential ◽  
Dracaena Cinnabari

scholarly journals Modeling the Potential Global Distribution of Phenacoccus madeirensis Green under Various Climate Change Scenarios

Forests ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 10 (9) ◽  
pp. 773 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jiufeng Wei ◽  
Xiaozhou Li ◽  
Yunyun Lu ◽  
Ling Zhao ◽  
Hufang Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climatic Conditions ◽  
Invasive Pest ◽  
Distribution Model ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Rcp 8.5 ◽  
Future Potential ◽  
Phenacoccus Madeirensis ◽  
Control And Management

The Madeira mealybug, Phenacoccus madeirensis Green, is a serious invasive pest that does significant damage to more than 120 genera of host plants from 51 families in more than 81 countries. However, the potential distribution range of this pest is unclear, which could hamper control and eradication efforts. In the current study, MaxEnt models were developed to forecast the current and future distribution of the Madeira mealybug around the world. Moreover, the future potential distribution of this invasive species was projected for the 2050s and 2070s under three different climate change scenarios (HADGEM2-AO, GFDL-CM3, and MIROC5) and two representative concentration pathways (RCP-2.6 and RCP-8.5). The final model indicates that the Madeira mealybug has a highly suitable range for the continents of Asia, Europe, and Africa, as well as South America and North America, where this species has already been recorded. Potential expansions or reductions in distribution were also simulated under different future climatic conditions. Our study also suggested that the mean temperature of the driest quarter (Bio9) was the most important factor and explained 46.9% of the distribution model. The distribution model from the current and future predictions can enhance the strategic planning of agricultural and forestry organization by identifying regions that will need to develop integrated pest management programs to manage Madeira mealybug, especially for some highly suitable areas, such as South Asia and Europe. Moreover, the results of this research will help governments to optimize investment in the control and management of the Madeira mealybug by identifying regions that are or will become suitable for infestations.

scholarly journals Predictive Modelling of Current and Future Potential Distribution of the Spectacled Bear (Tremarctos ornatus) in Amazonas, Northeast Peru

Animals ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 1816
Author(s):  
Gerson Meza Mori ◽  
Elgar Barboza Castillo ◽  
Cristóbal Torres Guzmán ◽  
Dany A. Cotrina Sánchez ◽  
Betty K. Guzman Valqui ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Predictive Modelling ◽  
High Potential ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Potential Habitat ◽  
Total Potential ◽  
Protected Natural Areas ◽  
Future Potential ◽  
Sustainable Conservation

The spectacled, or Andean, bear (Tremarctos ornatus) is classified as vulnerable by the IUCN due to climate change and human-induced habitat fragmentation. There is an urgent need for the conservation of spectacled bear at real time. However, the lack of knowledge about the distribution of this species is considered as one of the major limitations for decision-making and sustainable conservation. In this study, 92 geo-referenced records of the spectacled bear, 12 environmental variables and the MaxEnt entropy modelling have been used for predictive modelling for the current and future (2050 and 2070) potential distribution of the spectacled bear in Amazonas, northeastern Peru. The areas of “high”, “moderate” and “low” potential habitat under current conditions cover 1.99% (836.22 km2), 14.46% (6081.88 km2) and 20.73% (8718.98 km2) of the Amazon, respectively. “High” potential habitat will increase under all climate change scenarios, while “moderate” and “low” potential habitat, as well as total habitat, will decrease over the time. The “moderate”, “low” and total potential habitat are distributed mainly in Yunga montane forest, combined grasslands/rangelands and secondary vegetation and Yunga altimontane (rain) forest, while “high” potential habitat is also concentrated in the Jalca. The overall outcome showed that the most of the important habitats of the spectacled bear are not part of the protected natural areas of Amazonas, under current as well as under future scenarios.

Present and future potential distribution of the endemic Perote ground squirrel (Xerospermophilus perotensis) under different climate change scenarios

Mammalia ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 0 (0) ◽  
pp. 1-15 ◽  
Author(s):  
José Arturo García-Domínguez ◽  
Octavio Rafael Rojas-Soto ◽  
Jorge R. Galindo-González ◽  
Alberto González-Romero ◽  
María del Rosario Pineda-López ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Ground Squirrel ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climate Change Scenarios ◽  
Future Potential

scholarly journals Climate changes affect the future potential distribution of an exotic bee in South America

2017 ◽  
Vol 1 (8) ◽  
pp. 31
Author(s):  
Milton Ferreira Alves Júnior ◽  
Daniel De Paiva Silva
Keyword(s):  
South America ◽  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Climate Changes ◽  
The Future ◽  
Future Potential

Não há.

scholarly journals Current and future potential distribution and identification of suitable areas for the conservation of Cedrela odorata L. in the Yucatan Peninsula

2020 ◽  
Vol 26 (3) ◽  
pp. 391-408
Author(s):  
Gyorgy E. Manzanilla-Quijada ◽  
◽  
Eduardo J. Treviño-Garza ◽  
Oscar A. Aguirre-Calderón ◽  
José I. Yerena-Yamallel ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Potential Distribution ◽  
Yucatan Peninsula ◽  
Cedrela Odorata ◽  
Yucatán Peninsula ◽  
Future Potential
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